Newsletter about Bills/Patriots

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Part Bionic and Organic
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[font=verdana, arial, helvetica] New England over *Buffalo by 22

The Patriots won the Super Bowl last year and are better this season. They have outscored their two opponents by 14 points. The Patriots have had great coaching with Bill Belichick, heady quarterback play from Tom Brady and outstanding team defense. Now they add something new – a solid ground game courtesy of Corey Dillon. Thanks to Dillon the Patriots now have a solid ground game to go with Brady’s precision aerial attack. Dillon has rushed for 244 yards in two games, while averaging 5.2 yards a carry. The Bills, on the other hand, are 0-2 for only the second time since 1998. Their defense remains respectable but oh that offense. There aren’t many teams QB Drew Bledsoe could start for anymore. Yes, he’s become that bad. The Bills are susceptible to blitzes with a weak offensive line and Bledsoe’s lack of mobility. This has been an outgoing problem and is a major reason why the Bills have won only four of their past 16 games, averaging just 12.1 points during this span. The Bills have managed a pathetic 18 touchdowns their past 16 games. In large part because of this the Bills have gone under the total in 25 of their last 27, and in their last 11 home games. The last 10 in this series have also gone below the total. As home ‘dogs, the Bills are 3-8-1 ATS the last three years. Don’t look for the Patriots to give them any sympathy, not while they’re chasing the consecutive win record and remembering how the Bills embarrassed them, 31-0, during opening week last year at Buffalo. No coach is more dangerous with two weeks to prepare than Belichick. His job won’t be too hard this week. NEW ENGLAND 31-9.
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[font=verdana, arial, helvetica]both picks are from [/font][font=verdana, arial, helvetica] WINNINGPOINTS FOOTBALL NEWSLETTER 21 WINS; 14 LOSSES (60%)[/font]
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***BEST BET
*San Francisco over St. Louis by 11


The 49ers suffered their first shutout since 1977 in a humiliating loss to the Seahawks last week. Now here’s their chance for redemption, playing against a hated rival at home on Sunday night. Set aside the defeat to Seattle for a second and realize the 49ers could very well be 2-1. They lost their first two games to Atlanta and New Orleans by a combined five points. A controversial offensive pass interference call on a successful screen pass may have stolen a win from them against the Saints. At 0-3, this is the 49ers’ season right here. Yes, the 49ers are young and mistake-prone. But they also usually play hard. Dennis Erickson is doing an excellent coaching job, considering what he has to work with, and the team is united in its support of QB Ken Dorsey. He should be more comfortable getting his first start at home. Kevan Barlow provides San Francisco with a running threat against a soft Rams rush defense that last week surrendered 106 rushing yards to Saints backup runner Aaron Stecker. The Rams’ defense misses Lovie Smith, their former coordinator. The Rams have yet to force a turnover. While the Rams have a high-octane offense featuring Torry Holt, Marshall Faulk and Isaac Bruce, their offensive line isn’t the high caliber of past seasons. Switching surfaces also is a problem for the Rams. This is their first grass game of the season. They are 6-14 ATS on grass, just 2-9 ATS as a road favorite. Conditions could turn out to be cold and windy considering this is a night game in San Francisco. The 49ers have covered their past three home games against the Rams. SAN FRANCISCO 28-17.
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