New Mexico vs Brigham Young 11/20/2010

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Brigham Young is a heavy favorite winning 91% of simulations over New Mexico. Jake Heaps is averaging 258 passing yards and 2.2 TDs per simulation and JJ Di Luigi is projected for 93 rushing yards and a 67% chance of having at least 1 rushing TD. In the 9% of simulations where New Mexico wins, B.R. Holbrook averages 1.42 TD passes vs 1.05 interceptions, while in losses he has a ratio of 0.7 TDs to 1.36 interceptions. Kasey Carrier averages 40 rushing yards and 0.32 rushing TDs when New Mexico wins and 37 yards and 0.16 TDs in losses. Brigham Young has a 53% chance of forcing more turnovers than they commit. Positive turnover margin helps them win 95% of the time. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is BYU -27.5

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