New Mexico State vs Auburn 11/3/2012

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Auburn is a heavy favorite winning 88% of simulations over New Mexico State. Kiehl Frazier is averaging 198 passing yards and 1.3 TDs per simulation and Tre Mason is projected for 82 rushing yards and a 63% chance of having at least 1 rushing TD. In the 12% of simulations where New Mexico State wins, Andrew Manley averages 1.84 TD passes vs 0.62 interceptions, while in losses he has a ratio of 0.76 TDs to 0.93 interceptions. Germi Morrison averages 69 rushing yards and 0.39 rushing TDs when New Mexico State wins and 60 yards and 0.2 TDs in losses. Auburn has a 53% chance of forcing more turnovers than they commit. Positive turnover margin helps them win 93% of the time. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is AUB -23
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