printman...nothing but love for you, but come on. bad beats?? losses are losses. sure, ugly caps are fun to laugh at, but money is money. i was so wrong on maryland yesterday and it was fun to laugh at myself after saying memphis did not have enough firepower, but when i lost the night before on the hook with gonzaga laying 13 1/2 against Akron, it was not a "bad beat". it was a loss. i am just saying. and some people ask why the emotion on this guy...well i just think it is because people jock him so hard at times that it is purely a function of adoration backlash. that being said, i like reading his research and analysis. at 40% or 60% he is still a breath of fresh air in an industry of bad dudes and average cappers. i will always read his stuff and even buy picks here and there whether he is 40% or 60%.
Razor, you are twisting his numbers. It's easy to take any streak and claim he is this or that, come on now. He is 6-8 last week. I judge him based on what he does week to week. You can say he was 5-2 to start the week as easy as it is to say he finished 1-6. So, I just say he was 6-8 in the week. The guy won in Jan, Feb and he has lost units in March.
Eeks,
I agree with you. Over the long haul he is solid- it's just that his betting philosophy takes incredible discipline, which I don't have.
Eeks,
I agree with you. Over the long haul he is solid- it's just that his betting philosophy takes incredible discipline, which I don't have.
well said, printman. what confuses me about IC is that other games do not resonate with him that seem obvious to me and warrant more detailed work. now i might be wrong on a game, but i would rather go down swinging on something that stands out to me than cap a quirky game or angle. like syracuse/asu yesterday. for the life of me i can not figure out how he rolls with 2 o/u plays when that game clearly stood out for anyone who has watched these two teams closely throughout the year, particularly of late. or kansas/dayton for that matter. dayton had been WORKED by top teams when laying anythign close to 8 this year and really had no business being in the tourney imo. so for me the infuriating aspect is the weirdness surrounding the caps. i like to see how his mind works, but i can not bring myself to play any of his picks. i would like to see him apply some of the same discipline and research to some more conventional games every now and again. i am a nobody, so not trying to preach at all and i know nobody cares what i think...just my 2c and i like to think out loud to help myself and anyone that might read a post. i think this is a business that can be beat, so i take it seriously and i think his research helps. would just love to see him work less "random" games that seem to get lost as "leans".
What you just said up there,MJM,is the same with me,even when this guy was winning,i never liked his picks,back in Feb,I kept seeing him go 2-0,3 out of 4 nights,and i would say damn,"i have to start following this dude",but i just couldnt bring myself to bet on 80% of his games,everybody has their different styles,IC long hual is very good,goes against the public,takes alot of dogs,has really good money management,and he does make alot of ballsy picks,he just isnt for me,i guess its because,i like to take mostly favs,and be a little more high risk with the money management part,but for people who are more conservative,and like to bet on only 2-3 games a day,then IC would really be a good capper to use!!
He picks the ugliest dogs known to man, I agree, he is good in the long haul, but damn, some of his underdogs just take a 3rd pair of balls.
Here is what he has today:
I know he is high on Belmont because I read his blogs. I'm not sure what to think on the other 2.
Here is what he has today:
I know he is high on Belmont because I read his blogs. I'm not sure what to think on the other 2.
5* CBB: Charleston vs. Richmond (7pm)
4* CBB: Belmont vs. Old Dominion (7pm)
4* NBA: Clippers vs. Celtics (7pm)
Anyone have the write up for these games or at least the 5 unit play? 5 Units is his biggest play that I have seen and he is usually never ever siding with the public. That over has 85% of the action on it and it has come down 1 point since the opening line. Would love to read what he has to say, thanks in advance.
5 Unit Play (CBI Goy). Take Over 143.5 between Charleston vs. Richmond (Monday @ 7pm est). We started off the week strong in college hoops last week and then tailed a bit. No worries as I'm confident our research will yield a strong March to close and then we will continue to roll as the NBA takes us into summer. We had a winning January and February in college hoops and I'm confident we will return to that consistency we are used to. If you are looking for other selections today check out the site each day and read the research as every cbb and nba game is researched and published except for the ones that I have a play in. As per this play, Charleston is a team that can light it up. Frankly, it should have been this team that should have been playing in the NCAA Tourney but one of the worst officiated games ever went down in the books in Chattanooga as the home crowd helped propel Chattanooga to a birth to the Tourney. I'm glad the Southern Conference strategy of playing conference games blew up in their face as Chatt got blown out by 50+ to Uconn. If that was Charleston, I can promise you it would have been far more competitive. Rather than taking Charleston to win this game, let's take the over as I expect them to be a solid dog today. Remember, Charleston put up 93 points on Troy on the road and 77 points on Davidson on the road. For this game to go ovr, we need to expect each team to knock up roughly 72 points which I expec tot happen. Just as much as Charleston relies on the outside shot and loves to run, Richmond likes to do the same. The Spiders are the same team that put up 80 points on Xavier at home and 78 against Rhode Island. Heck, Richmond even put up 75 points against a defensive St. John's team and that game totaled 144. So, why can't this game total of 144? The over is 4-0 in the last 4 non-conference games and the over is 5-1 for the Spiders in the last 6 home games when they face a team with a winning % greater than 60% - meaning that if when they face competitive teams, both teams push the total over.
4 Unit Play. Take Belmont +6 over ODU (Monday @ 7pm eastern). Write-up to come by 12:15pm eastern. This is just way too tempting not to take Belmont here for several reasons. For starers, the public to a tune of 70% loves ODU here. But, it is Belmont that is a rock solid taem who shoots nearly 70% free throws, who lost to Tennessee on the road by a bucket and who comes off beating Evansville by 16 on the road. Belmont is out of the A-sun and I have personally seen this team place several times this year. This team lost to the eventual A-Sun champ in East-Tennessee State. This is not to take anything away from ODU but if you noticed they only beat Citadel by 8 points at home who is a top 200 team. Belmont is a top 125 team. ODU only beat the likes of William and Mary and Richmond by 1 point and 3 points. Belmont is an extremely well coached team, that shoots quailty free throws and runs a nice pro-set offense and defense. I can see Belmont hanging tough here and have an outside shot at a win. I'll take the 6 points here as the ODU Monarchs are 1-7 ATS as a small favorite of 0 to 6.5 points at home and 2-9 ATS as a favorite of this margin as they typically do not play well as small home favorites as they typically win these games but not by a wide margin.
4 Unit Play. Take Belmont +6 over ODU (Monday @ 7pm eastern). Write-up to come by 12:15pm eastern. This is just way too tempting not to take Belmont here for several reasons. For starers, the public to a tune of 70% loves ODU here. But, it is Belmont that is a rock solid taem who shoots nearly 70% free throws, who lost to Tennessee on the road by a bucket and who comes off beating Evansville by 16 on the road. Belmont is out of the A-sun and I have personally seen this team place several times this year. This team lost to the eventual A-Sun champ in East-Tennessee State. This is not to take anything away from ODU but if you noticed they only beat Citadel by 8 points at home who is a top 200 team. Belmont is a top 125 team. ODU only beat the likes of William and Mary and Richmond by 1 point and 3 points. Belmont is an extremely well coached team, that shoots quailty free throws and runs a nice pro-set offense and defense. I can see Belmont hanging tough here and have an outside shot at a win. I'll take the 6 points here as the ODU Monarchs are 1-7 ATS as a small favorite of 0 to 6.5 points at home and 2-9 ATS as a favorite of this margin as they typically do not play well as small home favorites as they typically win these games but not by a wide margin.
just take the Spiders on the spread, the math says they should win by 8-9, and ATL-10 is better than the Southern IMO.Anyone have the write up for these games or at least the 5 unit play? 5 Units is his biggest play that I have seen and he is usually never ever siding with the public. That over has 85% of the action on it and it has come down 1 point since the opening line. Would love to read what he has to say, thanks in advance.
