***NCAAB Computer Picks III*** LEAN MACHINE & POD's

[JimmyJet]

Thanks MJ and understand Dice..no hard feelings...GL

 

[JimmyJet]

Special Plays for Saturday with permission and consent from MJ.....

Loyola Marymount
Murray St
Pepperdine
Tenn Martin
Memphis
Iowa St
Texas

Good luck all......JJ

 

[Mistermj]

1-1 last night...

Record here since a major adjustment to the lean system is 13-6 (68% ATS)

It's encouraging, but a very small sample...use caution until we have a larger record.

All picks below are leans...no POD's qualified. Good luck!
NCAAB

Saturday, February 14

<table class="thepicks"><tbody><tr class="datahead"> <td width="32%">Game</td> <td width="15%">Score</td> <td width="15%">Status</td> <td width="29%">Pick</td> <td width="9%">Amount</td> </tr> <tr class="firstline"> <td> Purdue </td> <td> - </td> <td>4:05 PM ET</td> <td>Purdue -5</td> <td>500</td> </tr> <tr> <td> Iowa </td> <td> - </td> <td> </td> <td> </td> <td> </td> </tr> <tr class="firstline"> <td> Creighton </td> <td> - </td> <td>5:05 PM ET</td> <td>Creighton -3</td> <td>500</td> </tr> <tr> <td> Southern Illinois </td> <td> - </td> <td> </td> <td> </td> <td> </td> </tr> <tr class="firstline"> <td> Princeton </td> <td> - </td> <td>7:00 PM ET</td> <td>Princeton -2</td> <td>500</td> </tr> <tr> <td> Brown </td> <td> - </td> <td> </td> <td> </td> <td> </td> </tr> <tr class="firstline"> <td> Montana </td> <td> - </td> <td>7:05 PM ET</td> <td>Montana +1.5</td> <td>500</td> </tr> <tr> <td> Northern Arizona </td> <td> - </td> <td> </td> <td> </td> <td> </td> </tr> <tr class="firstline"> <td> Western Kentucky </td> <td> - </td> <td>8:30 PM ET</td> <td>Troy -1</td> <td>500</td> </tr> <tr> <td> Troy </td> <td> - </td> <td> </td> <td> </td> <td> </td> </tr> <tr class="firstline"> <td> Utah St. </td> <td> - </td> <td>9:05 PM ET</td> <td>Utah St. -4.5</td> <td>500</td> </tr> <tr> <td> Boise St. </td> <td> - </td> <td> </td> <td> </td> <td> </td></tr></tbody></table>

<table class="data" cellspacing="0"><tbody><tr class="datahead"><td class="left">Date</td> <td class="center">WLT</td> <td>Pct</td> <td>Net Units</td> <td>Record</td> </tr> <tr> <td class="left">02/13/09</td> <td class="center">1-1-0</td> <td>50.00%</td> <td>-50</td> <td>Detail</td> </tr> <tr> <td class="left">02/12/09</td> <td class="center">5-4-0</td> <td>55.56%</td> <td>+300</td> <td>Detail</td> </tr> <tr> <td class="left">02/11/09</td> <td class="center">3-0-0</td> <td>100.00%</td> <td>+1500</td> <td>Detail</td> </tr> <tr> <td class="left">02/10/09</td> <td class="center">2-0-0</td> <td>100.00%</td> <td>+1000</td> <td>Detail</td> </tr> <tr> <td class="left">02/09/09</td> <td class="center">1-0-0</td> <td>100.00%</td> <td>+500</td> <td>Detail</td> </tr> <tr> <td class="left">02/08/09</td> <td class="center">1-1-0</td> <td>50.00%</td> <td>-50</td> <td>Detai</td></tr></tbody></table>

 

[dice711]

Big injury on Iowa side so the line is moving on Purdue. Had to take it @ -5.5, it's was down to -4 this morning but was hoping for more movement, just not against me.

Good luck today.

 

[roc18]

Good Luck

 

[Icemantbi]

Bol mj...

 

[Icemantbi]

geez... we lost by 1 point in the Purdue game...

Creighton looking good though

 

[HarleyRoadKing]

Welcome to the Rx JimmyJet.. Nice to see you over here...I told you MisterMJ has some nice threads going over here...

HarleyRoadKing
aka: Warpath (at the other site)

 

[Icemantbi]

Princeton sucks balls... 2nd night in a row they got us

 

[dice711]

3-3 was it? I've seen worse.

 

[Mistermj]

3-3 last night...no picks today.

Record since the Feb 8 adjustment. 16-9 64% ATS

Not bad so far...we'll see if it continues.

<table class="data" cellspacing="0"><tbody><tr class="datahead"><td class="left">Date</td> <td class="center">WLT</td> <td>Pct</td> <td>Net Units</td> <td>Record</td> </tr> <tr> <td class="left">02/14/09</td> <td class="center">3-3-0</td> <td>50.00%</td> <td>-150</td> <td>Detail</td> </tr> <tr> <td class="left">02/13/09</td> <td class="center">1-1-0</td> <td>50.00%</td> <td>-50</td> <td>Detail</td> </tr> <tr> <td class="left">02/12/09</td> <td class="center">5-4-0</td> <td>55.56%</td> <td>+300</td> <td>Detail</td> </tr> <tr> <td class="left">02/11/09</td> <td class="center">3-0-0</td> <td>100.00%</td> <td>+1500</td> <td>Detail</td> </tr> <tr> <td class="left">02/10/09</td> <td class="center">2-0-0</td> <td>100.00%</td> <td>+1000</td> <td>Detail</td> </tr> <tr> <td class="left">02/09/09</td> <td class="center">1-0-0</td> <td>100.00%</td> <td>+500</td> <td>Detail</td> </tr> <tr> <td class="left">02/08/09</td> <td class="center">1-1-0</td> <td>50.00%</td> <td>-50</td> <td>Detail</td></tr></tbody></table>

 

[Mistermj]

Time to try NCAAB totals?

I'm adapting the formula from the NBA...will it work? I don't know. @)

Use caution...you are all big boys. I have no record or history here with NCAA totals.

This is the best value tonight. (In theory)

NCAAB O/U


Sunday, February 15

<table class="thepicks"><tbody><tr class="datahead"> <td width="32%">Game</td> <td width="15%">Score</td> <td width="15%">Status</td> <td width="29%">Pick</td> <td width="9%">Amount</td> </tr> <tr class="firstline"> <td> North Carolina </td> <td> - </td> <td>7:45 PM ET</td> <td>Under 163</td> <td>500</td> </tr> <tr> <td> Miami-Florida </td> <td> - </td> <td> </td> <td> </td> <td> </td> </tr> <tr class="firstline"> <td> Southern California </td> <td> - </td> <td>10:00 PM ET</td> <td>Over 124.5</td> <td>500</td> </tr> <tr> <td> Arizona St. </td> <td> - </td> <td> </td> <td> </td> <td> </td></tr></tbody></table>

 

[roc18]

heh, good luck.

 

[lax_gunman]

gl mj, i'm with ya for .5 unit. Really looking forward to your baseball season too. Thanks!

 

[Michelangelo]

Pardon the thread hijacking MJ but if you hadn't sanctioned it I wouldn't be posting this.

Jimmy J,

I have been doing the kind of thing you are tracking for a very long time.

The first thing that came to my mind is a sort by HF (home favorite), HD (home dog), RF, and RD.

From the tracking plays that you posted here I got the following results:

HF
-10' L
-12 L
-10 W
-10 P
-7' W

HD
+11' W
+7' W
+1 W
+6' W

RF
-12' W
-11' L

RD +10' L

This sampling is way too short to draw any valid conclusions but it sure looks like you are on to something when the teams who fit your parameters are Home Dogs.

I think it would be better if you started your own thread so as not to clutter up MJ's fine thread. If you continue to post your eligible games I would be happy to help you with further sorts.

Good luck.

 

[Mistermj]

No leans today...but I do have a couple of O/U's with the new system here.

Record is 1-1 so far...go easy on these...another experiment.

Good luck!



NCAAB

Monday, February 16

<table class="thepicks"><tbody><tr class="datahead"> <td width="32%">Game</td> <td width="15%">Score</td> <td width="15%">Status</td> <td width="29%">Pick</td> <td width="9%">Amount</td> </tr> <tr class="firstline"> <td> Siena </td> <td> - </td> <td>7:30 PM ET</td> <td>Over 136</td> <td>500</td> </tr> <tr> <td> Iona </td> <td> - </td> <td> </td> <td> </td> <td> </td> </tr> <tr class="firstline"> <td> Louisiana Tech </td> <td> - </td> <td>9:00 PM ET</td> <td>Over 135.5</td> <td>500</td> </tr> <tr> <td> New Mexico St. </td> <td> - </td> <td> </td> <td> </td> <td> </td></tr></tbody></table>

 

[lax_gunman]

thanks mj, gl

 

[Icemantbi]

Wow.. we lost by 1 point in the Siena/Iona game..

Get em tomorrow man

 

[Mistermj]

One lean tonight...it is not a POD.

NCAAB

Tuesday, February 17

<table class="thepicks"><tbody><tr class="datahead"> <td width="32%">Game</td> <td width="15%">Score</td> <td width="15%">Status</td> <td width="29%">Pick</td> <td width="9%">Amount</td> </tr> <tr class="firstline"> <td> Michigan St </td> <td> - </td> <td>7:00 PM ET</td> <td>Michigan St +2.5</td> <td>500</td> </tr> <tr> <td> Purdue </td> <td> - </td> <td> </td> <td> </td> <td> </td></tr></tbody></table>
Record is 16-9 64% ATS since the Feb 8 adjustment to the system...for whatever that is worth to you.

<table class="data" cellspacing="0"><tbody><tr class="datahead"><td class="left">Date</td> <td class="center">WLT</td> <td>Pct</td> <td>Net Units</td> <td>Record</td> </tr> <tr> <td class="left">02/14/09</td> <td class="center">3-3-0</td> <td>50.00%</td> <td>-150</td> <td>Detail</td> </tr> <tr> <td class="left">02/13/09</td> <td class="center">1-1-0</td> <td>50.00%</td> <td>-50</td> <td>Detail</td> </tr> <tr> <td class="left">02/12/09</td> <td class="center">5-4-0</td> <td>55.56%</td> <td>+300</td> <td>Detail</td> </tr> <tr> <td class="left">02/11/09</td> <td class="center">3-0-0</td> <td>100.00%</td> <td>+1500</td> <td>Detail</td> </tr> <tr> <td class="left">02/10/09</td> <td class="center">2-0-0</td> <td>100.00%</td> <td>+1000</td> <td>Detail</td> </tr> <tr> <td class="left">02/09/09</td> <td class="center">1-0-0</td> <td>100.00%</td> <td>+500</td> <td>Detail</td> </tr> <tr> <td class="left">02/08/09</td> <td class="center">1-1-0</td> <td>50.00%</td> <td>-50</td> <td>Detail</td></tr></tbody></table>

 

[Mistermj]

Adding an O/U

NCAAB

Tuesday, February 17

<table class="thepicks"><tbody><tr class="datahead"> <td width="32%">Game</td> <td width="15%">Score</td> <td width="15%">Status</td> <td width="29%">Pick</td> <td width="9%">Amount</td> </tr> <tr class="firstline"> <td> Austin Peay </td> <td> - </td> <td>8:00 PM ET</td> <td>Over 148.5</td> <td>500</td> </tr> <tr> <td> Jacksonville St. </td> <td> - </td> <td> </td> <td> </td> <td> </td></tr></tbody></table>

Record is 1-3...might want to just watch these and see if I can tighten them up.