NCAA WEEK 4 (( 151 ))

[one51rum]

well just going over some now, have to say right away I kind of like Syracuse over Stanford, it is 9 I would like to see it go down a little, but Stanfords 1st road trip, and Syracuse can move the football, looks like higher scoring game too, as Stanford has scored 27 and 41 , and Syracuse has scored 38 and 31 total is 58

one bet I am on now is OVER 60 in the Ariz st/Texas Tech game, and I do like Tech here at home giving a small number, Ariz st has 3 good wins but last week vs Tex st they maybe should have lost, the fumble late which gave them the short field, and they had another turnover also, if Ariz st can get some breaks they could win this, but Texas st can score, why I like the over so much

WV/Kansas could go over 57, Kansas is going to have to get that offense going, and WV has given up some points so far , both these teams lost games last week they should have won, the team that is up for the game should win

I think USC at Michigan could be a play, Michigan has struggled,...and maybe BYU at home getting 7 from Kansas st wanting to see where the line goes on that game , BYU just a very well coached team, they do not hurt their selves a lot I said they would beat Wyoming by 17 and it was 20 was a really big play for me actually Saturday was not bad

 

[one51rum]

have to admit Syracuse has an offense, I think Stanford traveling across country, I would give an edge to Syracuse -9 , I think they should be able to put up some offense, their TT is 33.5 I do like the over TT also here, Stanford gave up 335 yds passing to TCU, and I think Syracuse has a better offense right now than TCU, and a much better passing game, I think Syracuse can get 5 td's in this game,

and I do agree with some on the OHIO/KY game Ohio getting 19+ I would buy to 20 just because, but I do not think KY has the offense to cover 19-20 pts, and if Ohio scores 13-17 points they will cover this game, Ohio does have a very good running game, but they did get beat up on their pass defense, just do not think KY has the passing game like Syracuse did Ohio +the points looks good to me as a play , what's funny is this line has went to 20 from 19 so money going on KY, but I think that is only because of the effort they did against Georgia , Ohio is a sneaky good team since the line has went to 20 I am waiting here to see if I can get 21

actually had a decent saturday and a huge Sunday going 11-3 on STR ups hitting my only Parlay, which I said should be bet STR up, and won 1 of 3 teasers....thank you Las Vegas...lol but I caught slack early Saturday about wasting money on my teasers but won all 3 of them maybe they spoke too soon..lol I do not expect anyone to follow anything except maybe STR ups anytime you lose a game close means the teaser was good ...really hope some jumped on N Dame and BYU saturday

Confirmation: 5935506​

Date Placed: 09/16/24 17:33:29
Header:
INTERNET: Straight Bet risk 120.00 win 100.00
Bet Details:

1. REGULAR SEASON - (Full Limits Available on Game Day) 306 Syracuse -9 Buy ½ (-120) risk 120.00 win 100.00 (NCAA FB)

gl 151

 

[one51rum]

Miami Oh defense is ok, but their offense has struggled, I think N.Dame wins this by 34+ so 28 seems ok with me, after putting up 66 last game at Purdue I see no reason why their offense should lose a step here, it opened at 26.5 and I think this hits 30 so 28 I'll grab just a regular play here, everyone was on Purdue last game as that line dropped a lot and I went with ND I'll try them again regular play here ...I rarely lay numbers like this, but watching that offense last week, it will be a long day for Miami oh, and I just do not see their offense scoring more than 14 47-13

Confirmation: 5938227​

Date Placed: 09/16/24 19:32:58
Header:
INTERNET: Straight Bet risk 120.00 win 100.00
Bet Details:

1. 394 Notre Dame -28 Buy ½ (-120) risk 120.00 win 100.00 (NCAA FB)

 

[one51rum]

App st -7 write up later but this is a very good team, got their QB back this year, 11 starters back, this team could get 10 wins maybe, the game at ECU showed a lot, down I think 16-0 in the 1st Qtr, and they shut that team down to just a fg in the 4th, and App st had a int returned for a TD against them also, but on the road and being down 2 full scores that showed a lot there, I think they win their part of the Sunbelt conf, and S.Alab can score but their defense is bad, I think App st controls this game, and wins by 10+ i'll lay 7 at HardRock

App st-7 1 unit

 

[one51rum]

Well sent out App st last night on my email list and then today it is -8.5 go figure, I had some buddies out west that I know hit it last night pretty good, apparently others did too,

also I am going to go against Wyoming, who is on the road at N.Texas, I think N.Texas is going to want to score some points in this one after the horrible beating they took last week at Texas Tech, I was on N.Texas and that game turned around so quickly, it was like 17-7 and N Texas was inside the 20 ready to score to make it a 3-4 pt game and they turned it over I think and then within like 4 minutes TT scored 21 points to go up Big and game was over, ya have to think if NT had scored there maybe things turn out diff, but it was something, again I think at home N.Texas should be able to score, Maybe Wyoming can score some but laying 9 pts I think is ok here, Wyoming has really struggled to score and even move the ball this year as they are one of the worst at offensive yards this year in the NCAA

N.Texas -9 1 unit

 

[one51rum]

cant post these at covers getting a server error everytime

 

[one51rum]

App st -7 write up later but this is a very good team, got their QB back this year, 11 starters back, this team could get 10 wins maybe, the game at ECU showed a lot, down I think 16-0 in the 1st Qtr, and they shut that team down to just a fg in the 4th, and App st had a int returned for a TD against them also, but on the road and being down 2 full scores that showed a lot there, I think they win their part of the Sunbelt conf, and S.Alab can score but their defense is bad, I think App st controls this game, and wins by 10+ i'll lay 7 at HardRock

App st-7 1 unit

App st is a 1.5 unit play I know its 8.5 now but I think up to 9 is good buy to 8

 

[one51rum]

added the OVER I talked about it dropped to 59 and kind of happy it went down and not up, so its against me and kind of like that but just a half unit play till I get a grasp on totals

Confirmation: 5943024​

Date Placed: 09/17/24 13:31:19
Header:
INTERNET: Straight Bet risk 55.00 win 50.00
Bet Details:

1. 383 Arizona State vs Texas Tech over 59 (-110) risk 55.00 win 50.00 (NCAA FB)

 

[one51rum]

adding Colorado ML -125 think they get this, also really liking ark+3.5 buy up to 4.......also TCU laying the small number at SMU, SMU has been a disappointment .....like BC at home over Mich st -6, as long as it stays under 7 or 8 I like a lot , Rutgers has dropped wish I had gotten 4.5 when it opened would like +3.5 or 4

Colorado ML is a play

Arkansas bought up to 4 a play -120

both 1 unit

 

[one51rum]

Confirmation: 5944055​

Date Placed: 09/17/24 15:48:54
Header:
INTERNET: Straight Bet risk 125.00 win 100.00
Bet Details:

1. 320 Boston College -6 Buy ½ (-125) risk 125.00 win 100.00 (NCAA FB)

just really like this, BC at home, this team has really gotten better, buying the hook was expensive but I do not lose by a half pt , 17 returning starters, they played well at Missouri and maybe could have won that game , and Mich st has Ohio st next week at home maybe their mind is there BC stays at home vs WKY expect BC to play well like the win by 10+

 

[one51rum]

Syracuse-9
N.Texas-9
N Dame-28
App st-7 BIG
Col ML
Ark+4 bought up
BC-6 might add BIG
OVER 59 Texas tech game small

 

[neil1314]

Thanks for your insight Rum!
Here’s to a good weekend my man!

 

[one51rum]

Thanks for your insight Rum!
Here’s to a good weekend my man!

truly hoping so my friend

 

[one51rum]

Many people are on ECU this week, not sure why, they have 1 win over ODU and they just blew a 16-0 lead against App st, Meanwhile Liberty comes in 3-0 and true no wins over anyone really good, as they beat New Mexico st and UTEP, Liberty is a team that gets better as the year goes on, and they are a very good 2nd half team, they had a very good 2nd half at N.Mex st to win 30-24 and last week they had 2 very good drives scoring td's to win 28-10, they did not cover but winning by 18 is not a bad thing, and they had some blown chances, they recovered a fumble at the UTEP 28 and fumbled it right back , and UTEP got their 1st 3 points after Liberty had a 20 yd punt, this line has dropped a point from 7.5 to 6.5 I do like Liberty but I may be a little biased here, as I have just liked this team over the years, they are always a good team from a small school, and this is a game again where everyone is on ECU but I have not seen any write ups as to why, so maybe they are the play, but I am a stubborn person...lol I need someone to explain shit to me...LOL! I am going to continue watching this line move, there are no injuries so again this is action here, I mean maybe I am trying to figure out why so many like ECU, and after a game where they totally collapsed and are on the road here playing a decent team, neither team has really beat anyone that good, I mean ECU beat ODU but how good is ODU? they were at home last week and gave up almost 500 yds of offense to VT, and lost big-time, or maybe App st is really that good to get behind 16-0 and just shut ECU down , ECU only generated 1 TD and 1 fg in that game, the other was a pick 6...anyway this is just me thinking out loud about a game and passing it along anyone have any thoughts on it please feel free to share
gl 151

 

[XENO]

Interesting writeups pa
thoughts on tenn -7 at okla i dont think in my lifetime where okla at home was getting + 7

 

[one51rum]

Memphis at Navy....got Memphis coming in off a road win at Fla st, I was dumb enough to put Fla st in a Parlay just because I thought maybe the talent at Fla st would show up, maybe their talent is not as good as people thought, Navy comes into this game only giving up 2 td's this season, they are giving up only 83 yds rushing a game this year, I think Memphis might have problems stopping the running game here, and Navy is averaging 423 yds a game this year....Memphis off the win at Fla st now goes to Navy, I think this sets up well for Navy, I am on them +10 wish I had looked at this game right away when it was 10.5 and took 11 but I do not think they lose by more than 4-6 to be honest

Confirmation: 5950540​

Date Placed: 09/18/24 09:09:11
Header:
INTERNET: Straight Bet risk 120.00 win 100.00
Bet Details:

1. 398 Navy +10 Buy ½ (-120) risk 120.00 win 100.00 (NCAA FB)

line on Syracuse is going against me, as long as it's not injury related I like it

 

[one51rum]

Interesting writeups pa
thoughts on tenn -7 at okla i dont think in my lifetime where okla at home was getting + 7

I am kind of favoring Tenn but am hoping it drops more

 

[one51rum]

bought 8 ounces of gold yesterday , little investment

 

[one51rum]

another game I am looking at is Duke at MTSU, this Duke defense is solid, and they have scored exactly 26 pts in each of their games this year, the line was -14 and is now 15 , I like Duke here, MTSU has really struggled on defense so far, and the offense has not been much better, they have played some good teams, losing by 49 to Ole Miss, and by 28 to WKY, their defense is ranked 131st giving up 542 yds a game this year, so this could be a game where Duke maybe could get into the mid 30's , their QB Murphy was the Texas Backup, and he has a 64% completion rate, 8 td's and 3 int's, but in this game he should do better as MTSU 's defense is giving up 77% completion rate on defense, and they are giving up a 73% 3rd down conversion rate worst in the NCAA, so I look for Duke to do better on offense, but this team is living off their defense right now, so laying 14-15 could be a good play, I think they should get over 33-34 pts and should hold MTSU under 16 pts its for sure a game to really consider , as Duke is giving up just 247 yds a game 17th in the nation right now, MTSU managed just 3 pts vs Ole Miss

strong Opinion on Duke -14-15 and maybe this is an UNDER play at 53

 

[one51rum]

and 1 total I am looking at, is maybe the over 48 in the Charlotte/Indiana game, just not sure how many Charlotte will be able to score on Indiana as they are only giving up 180 yds a game on defense so far, I do think Indiana -28 is the play , again I hate laying huge numbers, but Indiana put up 42 at UCLA last game, and if they score in the 40's again we would need Charlotte to maybe get 7 somehow, but also maybe Indiana just piles it on, but 48 is very tempting I think 45-7 or maybe a 42-9