NCAA Hoops

[LowTide]

YTD 18-8 +14.1%

1.5*UAB-6
Nebraska has been playing some patsies as they break in some new players as they lost a lot of firepower from last year. This will be their first road test and I see them eventually wilting from UAB's pressing style.Plus,UAB has just released a new commercial that is actually funny.

 

[Budworth22]

Hey LowTide

Most of my family is from New Brockton (Coffee county), you familiar with that area at all?
GL on this slow wagering thursday.
Bud

 

[LowTide]

Saturday 12/04

Bud,

I have to say I have never been to New Brockton-I know it is a small town about 70 miles from Montgomery,but that is about all.

YTD 19-8+15.6% Plays rated 1-3*

2*Villanova-3.5(-20)
Big 5 matchup at the Palestra.As usual,Temple cannot shoot straight,but they have other problems as well.They have height on the inside,but they get no production-Butler can't score and smaller ASU outrebounded them by 15.Temple has played 4 tough opponents while Nova has played 1 patsy,but I cannot see how one could back Temple.Nova is talented and I think they will have a surprise season.Ray,Foye,and Nardi are a formidable guard trio and Sumpter is productive inside.In the end,these are essentially the same teams as last year except Temple is without Hawkins.Last year's result-Nova73-Temple 48.

 

[jwblue]

It's already up to 4.5.

As you said, I think Nova could be a surprise team this year.

IS

 

[LowTide]

One more for Saturday

2*UNLV+5
Cannot see this line going any higher.Nevada is relying heavily on Fazekas as he is the only one averaging in double figures.Outside shooting has been a real problem for the Wolfpack as they are currently 6-38(15%) from behind the arc.Blankson and Beck are a tough twosome and if you want a good moneyline on an underdog,this is the play.

 

[Kapusta]

LowTide-I'm taking a very hard look at Nova, agree with you 100%, think you are on the right side. Good luck today, UNLV should win that game outright!

 

[LowTide]

for Tuesday 12/7

YTD 19-10 +11%

Bad selections on Saturday.Nova was 5-of 26 from 3 point land.Who needs to penetrate when you can shoot like that?UNLV was 10-17 from the foul line-I am not good at math but I do know that is not even 60 %.Anyway,enough excuses.

1* Fairfield +6
1*San Francisco-5.5

 

[Kapusta]

LowTide-Good Luck to you today-I think St.Joe's was exposed their last time out against Drexel.

 

[LowTide]

Fade this

YTD 19-12(61%) +8.8%

O-4 slide.Lost 3 of those by .5,1,and 2.If(when) I lose this,I will be taking a break from posting.

2*Minnesota+9
As horrible as Nebraska looked against UAB,it is hard to imagine they can be favored by 9 over a team from another power conference.Famous last words.

 

[jwblue]

A lot of handicappers would be happy with a 61% winning percentage.

IS

 

[LowTide]

Adding:

1*Niagara-6(1st half)
1*Niagara-10.5

 

[_wheredatreezat]

I was liking Minnesota myself, but again, I SUCK so was waiting for someone to confirm. Question is, why the high line? I am aware that Nebraska plays much better at home, but 9 points...ehhhh....too scary for me, looks like that Gtown / Penn St. matchup the other night where Gtown gave 10 and won by 13.


Good Luck to you.

 

[jwblue]

:drink:


IS

 

[adhd]

nice night!

 

[oldirtyku]

Nice call on the Gophers. Tried to talk my friend outta the corn chuckers after I saw u on the other sude. He did not listen.

Take care,
Ku

 

[LowTide]

Thursday 12/9

Thanks,guys.

YTD 22-12+12.8%

1*SEMO-3.5
I know SEMO was picked to finish in the bottom half of the OVC,but I think they are being underestimated.Last year's leading scorer Winans has returned from an injury,although he was rusty in his first game.In the meantime,Dainmon Gonner looks like he is ready to have a breakout season as he is averaging 22 points and 8 boards.They are shooting 42% from behind the arc.
I will have to say Montana appears to have the better depth and a slight rebounding edge.They are shooting 30% from behind the arc.

Both of these teams were smoked by Western KY(SEMO by 21 and Montana by 26).Montana has losses to Gonzaga(16) and Santa Clara(2) while SEMO has 4 point road losses to Bradley and Wisconsin-GB.

This line opened at 4 so you may want to see if it will drop further.

 

[LowTide]

Saturday

2*Oregon(1* at +18and 1* at+17)
1*Oregon State-1
1*Montana+11
1*WiscGB-2.5
1*Iona-pick

 

[LowTide]

1.5*Wichita State+6
I will bite at +6 even though there appears to be heavy action on Providence.The Shockers are a deep squad-4 players averaging in double figures,3 more averaging at least 7 and they are fundamentally sound. This team should make the Big Dance and has a good shot at the outright here.

Upgrading:Montana(.5* at +12)(total play is now 1.5*
Surprised to see the move back on Missouri.It is hard to pass on the points with how Missouri has struggled all year to win games,let alone cover a 12 point spread against a team that is stronger than other teams that Missouri has played.

 

[jwblue]

Let's have a huuuuuuuuuge day!

IS

 

[LowTide]

Sunday 12/12

I wish it could have been better,IS.Hope you had a good day.

YTD 25-16 +11.35%
(Note to record watchdogs-I have Oregon graded as a 1*winner at +18 making it a 3-3 day.)

2.5*Illinois-Chicago+2
The Flames have definitely played the tougher schedule.I like the spot for them coming off the loss to Mil.Wisc-this game should have their attention.Armond Williams has returned for UIC and should be more comfortable in his second game.The Seahawks are extremely perimeter oriented-42% of their shots are trey attempts.They are weak on the boards as well.I feel the wrong team is favored here.

Will probably have a play on UNLV,but I am going to wait to see if the line will go higher.