NBA Systems 2014/15

[Grindstone30]

Do you guys do a summary of your plays or just put out stats? Just wondering thanks

 

[rolltide]

Trying to figure this one out:

Conf Home Fav, Previous on Road and scored 110+ last game, Opponent didn't cover last game as Home Fav

Confused on spread filters. Is today -3 or less? Previous game +3 or less??

Conf home fav previously away with a line that was within 3 of pk (either fav or dog by 3 or less) and they scored 110 or more points ... opponent was just home fav and failed to cover spread.

 

[Biz]

Thanks Tide.

Grindstone,
The stats point out the plays.

It may be a little difficult to figure them out by reading the data. We will try to summarize the picks as they come out.

 

[RDTrains]

Much appreciated with your backup on that SF trend. It got me off the HD and on Dallas.

 

[DT32]

Two good 3pt shooting teams with rest UNDERS (best not C) 69-144 OU - Hawks / Knicks Under 195 - 10 straight unders from March - November

Saturday nonconference unrested OVERS 59-28-1 - Bucks / Grizzlies Over 185

 

[Grindstone30]

Thanks Tide.

Grindstone,
The stats point out the plays.

It may be a little difficult to figure them out by reading the data. We will try to summarize the picks as they come out.

Thanks Biz that would be great. Rolltide is a wealth of knowledge.... great job

 

[Biz]

San Antonio/New Orleans Over: Western Conf Game with Low Total. Play at 195.5 or Lower, No Play at 196+ 99-36-3 (73.3%)
Atlanta/NY Knicks OVER: Home Team, Low Total (188-199) After A Lot Of FG Att and 12+ Made 3s 60-19-2 (75.9%)

Today's Plays Nov 8:
San Antonio/New Orleans OVER (up to 195.5) 99-36-3 (73.3%)
Milwaukee/Memphis OVER 59-28-1 (67.8%)

Atlanta/NY Knicks are cancelled out

 

[Biz]

Sunday, Nov 9

OKC/Sac OVER: Western Conf game W/ Low Total (< 196), Line +3 to -12.5. (100-36-3: 73.5%)
Denver: Play against (Portland) Home Team that lost a Big Halftime Lead (69-41-3: 62.7%)
Denver/Portland OVER: Same as above, play the OVER (75-36-2: 67.6%)
Charlotte: On Mediocre Team, On Road, On a Winning Streak, Conf Game (88-39-1: 69.3%)

 

[LeftyRosenthal]

Charlotte is playing a conference game?

 

[Biz]

I think database read it as New Orleans Hornets.

This would be a no play, good catch.

 

[DT32]

Under for an unrested team off back to back big spread wins (25-57 OU) - Warriors under 211

 

[Biz]

Sunday, Nov 9

OKC/Sac OVER: (100-36-3: 73.5%)
Denver: (69-41-3: 62.7%)
Denver/Portland OVER: (75-36-2: 67.6%)
Warriors under 211: (25-57: 69.5% UNDER)

 

[Grindstone30]

Sunday, Nov 9

OKC/Sac OVER: (100-36-3: 73.5%)
Denver: (69-41-3: 62.7%)
Denver/Portland OVER: (75-36-2: 67.6%)
Warriors under 211: (25-57: 69.5% UNDER)

Love these 2 buddy GL

Denver/Portland OVER
Warriors under 211

 

[Biz]

I'll try to keep an updated record of the official plays we come up with. I'll start with Sat Nov 8, as that is the first day I put out a list of plays.

11/8: 1-1

San Antonio/New Orleans OVER (up to 195.5) 99-36-3 (73.3%)
Milwaukee/Memphis OVER 59-28-1 (67.8%)

11/9: 3-1
OKC/Sac OVER: (100-36-3: 73.5%) - WDenver: (69-41-3: 62.7%) - L
Denver/Portland OVER: (75-36-2: 67.6%) - W
Warriors under 211: (25-57: 69.5% UNDER) - W

Current Record: 4-2

All plays come from RollTide's systems list

 

[Biz]

Monday, Non 11

Atlanta and OVER: OPPOSE and OVER Home team after losing big HT lead
ATS: 42-69-3 (37.8%)
O/U: 73-36-2 (67.9%)

Chicago: OPPOSE unrested away dog after single Home Fav loss
ATS: 66-114-3 (36.7%)

 

[kidman232]

so atl, atl over, and bulls?

 

[Grindstone30]

Monday, Non 11

Atlanta and OVER: OPPOSE and OVER Home team after losing big HT lead
ATS: 42-69-3 (37.8%)
O/U: 73-36-2 (67.9%)

Chicago: OPPOSE unrested away dog after single Home Fav loss
ATS: 66-114-3 (36.7%)

Biz and Rolltide was wondering if I give you guys some picks can you run them into your queries? NBA is tough sport to cap so the more info we have the better it is to make picks.

LEANS

NO/CLEV O201.5
SA/LAC O202.5
DET +9

Would love if we can help each other thanks

 

[Biz]

We would need the filters. Home dog, btb, etc....

Correct Kidman. The play will always be in Bold. If it's a play against, the other team will be in Bold.

 

[Biz]

11/10:

Atlanta
Atlanta/NY Knicks OVER
Chicago

2-1

Current Record: 6-3

 

[rolltide]

Biz and Rolltide was wondering if I give you guys some picks can you run them into your queries? NBA is tough sport to cap so the more info we have the better it is to make picks.

LEANS

NO/CLEV O201.5
SA/LAC O202.5
DET +9

Would love if we can help each other thanks

so there are basically 70 league-wide systems in play here and they either spit out a game/total or they don't. last night obviously would have been against detroit but neither of those totals had anything in play. doesn't make them a bad play, just doesn't fit any current system being run.

ks does has a daily trend thing you can run but i really don't care about team trends... you can check the little boxes each day and hit submit at:
http://killersports.com/nba/trends

so if you hit that right now it would show up as:
NBA Match Ups for

	ATS	OU
Magic:	8 trends (10 - 68)	No Trends
Raptors:	3 trends (9 - 16)	No Trends
Lakers:	8 trends (24 - 67)	No Trends
Grizzlies:	11 trends (35 - 105)	No Trends
Thunder:	5 trends (15 - 23)	No Trends
Bucks:	9 trends (51 - 67)	No Trends
Kings:	5 trends (16 - 23)	No Trends
Mavericks:	8 trends (66 - 47)	No Trends
Hornets:	2 trends (11 - 6)	No Trends
Trailblazers:	3 trends (22 - 8)	No Trends
Spurs:	8 trends (25 - 38)	No Trends
Warriors:	6 trends (48 - 10)	No Trends

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from there you can click on the blue links to see what is all involved in those #'s. again i don't follow team trends...but if you then click on the grizzlies, for example:

p val	wins	losses	%	link
0.003599	4	17	19.0	The Grizzlies are 4-17 ATS (-4.57 ppg) since Nov 19, 2012 as a home favorite after a game as a road favorite
0.003599	4	17	19.0	The Grizzlies are 4-17 ATS (-4.57 ppg) since Nov 19, 2012 at home after a game as a road favorite
0.003906	0	8	0.0	The Grizzlies are 0-8 ATS (-4.75 ppg) since Feb 01, 2014 as a favorite after a game as a road favorite
0.006470	2	12	14.3	Teams are 2-12 ATS (-6.36 ppg) since Nov 02, 2014 as a favorite after a game as a road favorite
0.010635	3	13	18.8	The Grizzlies are 3-13 ATS (-4.22 ppg) since Nov 30, 2013 after a game as a road favorite
0.019287	2	10	16.7	The Grizzlies are 2-10 ATS (-5.17 ppg) since Mar 22, 2012 after a loss as a road favorite
0.019531	1	8	11.1	Teams are 1-8 ATS (-7.89 ppg) since Nov 02, 2014 as a home favorite after a game as a road favorite
0.032715	2	9	18.2	Teams are 2-9 ATS (-6.27 ppg) since Nov 02, 2014 at home after a game as a road favorite
0.035156	1	7	12.5	The Grizzlies are 1-7 ATS (-8.44 ppg) since Feb 09, 2010 at home after a loss as a road favorite
0.054688	8	2	80.0	Teams are 8-2 ATS (5.05 ppg) since Nov 08, 2014 at home after a loss
0.054688	8	2	80.0	Teams are 8-2-1 ATS (4.27 ppg) since Nov 07, 2014 as a favorite after a loss

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