hard to go against the Spur$, my direction is that the Spurs are unbeatable until beaten, not LOCK STATUS, but I will need a good reason to fade them. I am eyeing their dog status to win the West, but not as much value as last year there. I'm a bit overdue for a rough stretch, but I usually do better the farther the playoffs go along. I did win 3 or 4 games by a single point earlier, I usually lose those, and it is a minor miracle I am doing well with all the favorites covering so far. LA won the season 3-1 over SA I believe, but I think the first one was when Duncan was out, LA was a 10 pt fave, and I lost the SA ml on that one in OT, I think. There is a dangerous angle that I am going against for SA/LA game one, I have laid off it so far this playoff year since I did not like the matchups, but I used it in the MLB playoffs recently. I have SA -7 to -7.5 hitting about 57% of the time for game one, it's just what I see right now. The Lakers just dont seem to have their sh*t together, at least not enough to challenge SA right now, of course that can change in a heartbeat. I WILL be watching those games. Actually watching the games may screw me up, I may tend to overreact to something, especially on 2nd halves. Just thinking out loud. But I will try to write a little about each wager as there are fewer bets to look at. That way people can see why I like something, see what I am missing or focusing on, and make their own decisions.
I will probably take Denver in the first quarter tonight. Probably .4% on the pts and .2% on the ml. MIN most likely blows them the f*** out by the end of the game but I like Denver to put together some real effort in the 1st, and MIN may just be jabbing to open this game. I am also looking for something in the 2nd, I am looking for a 2nd half under or 4th q under scenario. good luck the rest of the way.
