NBA play-in odds and discussion

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Nothing Can Stop What is Coming!!!
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We have a number of NBA playoff themed threads but figured this would be more focused on just the play-ins over the next several days



play in.png



Can any 7/8 win twice?
 

Nothing Can Stop What is Coming!!!
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Interesting way of looking at each teams chances of advancing out of the play in round

  • To Make the Playoffs
    Atlanta Hawks To Make the Playoffs 2022-23

    Settled on final 8 teams in playoffs for each conference, after any possible Play-In Tournament has concluded.



  • Yes
    -260
    No
    +205
    7:30pm ET



  • Chicago Bulls To Make The Playoffs 2022-23
    Settled on final 8 teams in playoffs for each conference, after any possible Play-In Tournament has concluded.

  • Yes
    +570
    No
    -900
    7:30pm ET



  • Los Angeles Lakers To Make The Playoffs 2022-23
    Settled on final 8 teams in playoffs for each conference, after any possible Play-In Tournament has concluded.

  • Yes
    -3000
    No
    +1120
    10:00pm ET



  • Miami Heat To Make The Playoffs 2022-23
    Settled on final 8 teams in playoffs for each conference, after any possible Play-In Tournament has concluded.

  • Yes
    -950
    No
    +570
    7:30pm ET



  • Minnesota Timberwolves To Make The Playoffs 2022-23
    Settled on final 8 teams in playoffs for each conference, after any possible Play-In Tournament has concluded.

  • Yes
    -290
    No
    +225
    10:00pm ET
  • New Orleans Pelicans To Make The Playoffs 2022-23

  • New Orleans Pelicans To Make The Playoffs 2022-23
    Settled on final 8 teams in playoffs for each conference, after any possible Play-In Tournament has concluded.

  • Yes
    +250
    No
    -325
    10:00pm ET



  • Oklahoma City Thunder To Make The Playoffs 2022-23
    Settled on final 8 teams in playoffs for each conference, after any possible Play-In Tournament has concluded.

  • Yes
    +760
    No
    -1400
    10:00pm ET



  • Toronto Raptors To Make The Playoffs 2022-23
    Settled on final 8 teams in playoffs for each conference, after any possible Play-In Tournament has concluded.

  • Yes
    +225
    No
    -290
 

Nothing Can Stop What is Coming!!!
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Hawks upset the Heat, now get to play the Celtics

Here are the results from past 2 seasons

clet haw.png
 

Nothing Can Stop What is Coming!!!
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this is it, win and you are in

pi.png
 

Nothing Can Stop What is Coming!!!
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Bet the dogs?

Chicago Bulls at Miami Heat


Bulls +5.5 -110


While it seems like the market is still a bit hazy when it comes to OKC vs. MIN, there’s no question about the feeling surrounding this game. Chicago is the public play, but the sharps are also riding with the Bulls.


I’m taking the points instead of going with Chicago straight up, but the sharps are riding with the Bulls on both plays. As of writing, the Bulls have gotten 57% of the moneyline bets for this game and 72% of the handle. When you look at the spread, it’s a similar situation — Chicago is getting 76% of the spread bets and 82% of the handle.


That all adds up when considering how these two teams found themselves competing in this game, as well as the setting. Miami is one of the worst teams against the spread as home favorites, dropping to 14-26-2 in this setting after their meeting with Atlanta. Whereas, Chicago improved to 16-12-1 ATS as road underdogs after upsetting Toronto.




Oklahoma City Thunder at Minnesota Timberwolves


Thunder +5 -110


Rudy Gobert should be back in the mix for this one, but is that a good thing?


Minnesota is a mess right now — at the worst possible time. And guess what? The Timberwolves were also one of the worst teams against the spread as home favorites, going 8-17 ATS in that setting throughout the regular season.


Meanwhile, the Thunder are trending in the opposite direction after defeating the Pelicans as 5.5-point underdogs. I’m taking the points again, but we could witness another upset in the West on Friday.


Playing the spread is my preferred option because the Timberwolves still won three of their four meetings vs. OKC throughout the regular season and went 2-2 ATS vs. the Thunder. However, the last time these two teams met, OKC was the favorite and failed to cover. When the Thunder were underdogs vs. Minnesota, OKC went 2-1 ATS. And while they struggled to cover late in the season, the Thunder were still one of the best teams against the spread as road dogs, improving to 20-11-3 ATS after upsetting New Orleans on Wednesday.
 

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. Miami is one of the worst teams against the spread as home favorites, dropping to 14-26-2 in this setting after their meeting with Atlanta.
This seems inaccurate. Maybe that’s their home record ATS in general?

This implies that they were never underdogs at home this year, which seems hard to believe
 

Nothing Can Stop What is Coming!!!
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This seems inaccurate. Maybe that’s their home record ATS in general?

This implies that they were never underdogs at home this year, which seems hard to believe
Why dont you LITFU instead of making assumptions cuck boy
 

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This seems inaccurate. Maybe that’s their home record ATS in general?

This implies that they were never underdogs at home this year, which seems hard to believe
Yes you're correct @Avocado33 . That isn't correct what was posted. Miami hasn't been a home favorite 42 times this season. That's overall at home as you stated.
 

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