NBA Fantasy News 2010/2011

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hacheman@therx.com
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Aloha Means Goodbye...



Twitter has become the quickest way for us to find and pass along breaking fantasy hoops news, and I can almost guarantee you that I will be breaking some injury news as games are going on throughout the year. In short, it should help give you an edge to beat your opponents to the waiver wire, so click the link and come on in.
What follows is a possibly hokey ode to the rock band Pavement. My apologies if you couldn't care less about them, but the bottom line is that the information below should be useful to all fantasy owners. And if you love, or even like Pavement, chances are you will be slightly more entertained than you would be by a simple nuts and bolts column. I'm going to see them in Atlanta on Sunday, where I will hopefully be treated to an incredible show as they wind down their reunion tour. The tour has been fantastic, they tore it up on The Colbert Report and Late Night With Jimmy Fallon recently, and it doesn't seem like things could be going any better.

I saw them in '94, '95, '97 and '99, but this is different. These are "greatest hits" shows, although they never truly had many 'hits,' if you define a hit by being popular on the radio. But I was also taking them for granted back in the day, not realizing that it might come to an end at a moment's notice – and it did, shortly after I saw them in Chicago at the Metro in '99.

Anyway, I haven't been this excited about a rock show in a long, long time. Maybe it was Beastie Boys in '86, Pixies in '89, Pearl Jam in '94, or R.E.M.'s opening show on the Green tour in '88? Maybe it was Sebadoh in '95? I'm not sure, but I am pretty psyched about Sunday. And in honor of that show, here is a Pavement-inspired fantasy column about some of the latest news around the NBA.

Aloha means goodbye, and also hello – it's in how you inflect

From the song 'Blue Hawaii,' can you think of a better introduction for Don Nelson leaving the Warriors? I can't, especially since he got all his cash and is going to Maui to shut it down for good. As for what will happen with the core of the Warriors this year? I think this means the end of no-name scrubs becoming fantasy superstars, as Keith Smart will probably have a "normal" rotation. And as for guys like Stephen Curry, Monta Ellis and David Lee, they're still going to be top fantasy players, but I am starting to believe that Curry looks more like a second-round pick than a first-rounder. Could he still return first-round value? Absolutely. And there is still only one untouchable player on the roster – Curry. But with Nellie's shoot-first, shoot-second, shoot-third, shoot-fourth offense now extinct, these kids are going to have to trade in a few shots in order to play defense, which is going to look weird. I also still really like Reggie Williams as a deep sleeper, while Dorell Wright is also a guy to look at as a late-round flier for GSW.

And just to close the book on Nellie, I have been as hard on him as anyone (well, except for @TimKawakami) over the past five years, but I really grew to love him last season. He turned Stephen Curry into a beast, and didn't really hold back any of the bigger names last season. It's not his fault that the two guys he really didn't want to play, Anthony Randolph and Andris Biedrins, got hurt, but it helped eliminate the need for him to constantly screw with their heads and minutes, and made Nellie bearable. That is all.

Go back to those gold soundz, and keep my advent to yourself

Nuggets. Gold. Get it? And yeah, 'Gold Soundz' is one of the best songs of the 90's. The Carmelo Anthony trade that may or may not happen is dominating Rotoworld, ProBasketballTalk, Twitter and just about every other sports-related outlet. Am I sick of it yet? Absolutely. Is there any point in speculating what's going to happen, when it's clear that no one knows? Probably, as it's become pretty clear that the chances of Melo playing for the Nuggets again are dwindling a little more with each day that goes by.

Here's the deal. Every minor player on the Jazz, Bobcats, Nuggets and Nets could be moved. Big names like Melo, Andrei Kirilenko, Devin Harris, Derrick Favors, D.J. Augustin and possibly even the Bulls' Joakim Noah are also in play. Then there's also the possibility that a team not even mentioned swoops into the fray and ends up landing him. But I'm not a big fan of wasting time, and until this deal happens (or doesn't), I'm not going to try to speculate what Harris will do in Charlotte, what Melo will do in Jersey and what you can expect from Favors if he goes to Denver. In other words, we'll cross that bridge if it's ever built. I will say this, though. Favors is behind Troy Murphy in Jersey, and Paul Millsap in Utah, so I doubt his value really changes either way. Ditto on most of the big names, as they're still going to be big names wherever they land, including Melo. So, let's just get something done, or kill it. I'm tired of doing this.

Doctor's leaving for the holiday season, got crystal ice picks, no gift for the gab

That's the opening line to 'Grounded,' which is exactly what Andrew Bynum will be to start the season. The doctor performing Bynum's offseason knee surgery didn't exactly leave for the holiday season, but Bynum did, heading off to the World Cup and Europe for a month without having surgery. Then, when he returned to the states and was ready to have his operation, his doctor delayed it by another 10 days due to a "scheduling issue." Whatever the case may be, this song and lyric fit this situation perfectly.

Bynum was initially ruled out for opening night, and now says he won't return until late November, at the earliest. Had he gone under the knife as soon as the Lakers won it all, he'd probably be good to go. But with him now set to miss the first month of the season (at least), his stock is once again falling. Add him to the list of extremely risky centers (along with Yao Ming, Greg Oden and Andrew Bogut, just to name a few), and strongly consider letting someone else have him this year. The knee was in worse shape than anyone thought when they opened him up and it would not be surprising to see more problems arise once he returns to the court. No thanks.

I am the only one, searching for you, and if I get caught, then the search is through

The opening lyric to 'Frontwards' is one of my all-time favorites and the song is a Top 3 Pavement jam in my opinion, if not No. 1. As Stephen Malkmus once said, "it's a song about moving forward, obviously." I wish I was the only one looking for Andray Blatche, but that is simply not the case. He kind of blew up last season and helped many fantasy owners win a championship, and despite coming off a broken foot, all indications are that he's ready to pick up where he left off. I have him projected to be taken in the fifth round in fantasy drafts, but my buddy (name dropper alert) Brian Rosenworcel disagrees. The first thing the drummer for Guster said to me when I saw him on Friday night after he read part of the Rotoworld Hoops Guide was: "Dude, Round 5 on Blatche? Try Round 3, my friend." Brian's team name last year was House of Blatche and it's obvious the love affair has not lost any steam over the summer. I don't care if you take Blatche in Round 3, 4 or 5, but getting him on your roster seems like an extremely smart choice again this season. And you've got to love a guy who just negotiated a three-year extension with the Wizards without the help of an agent. House of Blatche, indeed.

Stick your fingers in my mouth, pull my lips back and watch me smile…If you're willing to call my machine, flip the coins and watch me light up

These are some of the lyrics to 'Home,' another favorite. And now there are rumors that D.J. Augustin may be on the verge of finding a new home, as his name has popped up in the Carmelo Anthony trade rumors. But as of now, he looks like the starting point guard for the Bobcats, which is a place I really like him. We've seen him "light up" from downtown, as he's a smooth-scoring guard who can shoot the three, and is finally on the verge of a breakout season. But if Devin Harris ends up in Charlotte, Augustin is going to see a huge hit in value. Yes, he'll get plenty of run when Harris is injured (not if, but when), but Augustin would come off the bench if Harris is a Bobcat (if Augustin isn't moved to the Nets, where he would compete with Jordan Farmar for the starting job).

So if Augustin and Harris stay home, DJA is an excellent sleeper point guard. And speaking of sleeper point guards, perhaps no position is as deep in fantasy hoops this year. Even if you miss out on some of the top PGs in the early part of your draft, there should be plenty of value in the middle and later rounds, including DJA. But if he loses his job due to a Harris trade to the Bobcats, he'll barely be worth owning in most leagues.

Life is a forklift

The lyrics to 'Forklift' are so bizarre and incomprehensible that I'm not even going to try to make a connection here. But Yao Ming's left foot, which has been rebuilt Six-Million-Dollar-Man-style, is, of course, a major concern. Yao had a great practice on Saturday and everyone in Houston's camp was giddy about how he looked. But the truth of the matter is that he and his foot are a ticking time bomb. Maybe he'll stay healthy and it won't explode this season, which would be nice, but the odds aren't in his favor. He's already been limited to 24 minutes per game without exception and I would not recommend drafting him this year. You don't want to be the guy's owner when they have to wheel out a forklift to carry his massive body off the court.

You're gorgeous, I'm pretty handsome too, we make a pair, me and you, me and you forever on and on and on and on, me and you forever ever on

The 'I Love Perth' lyrics, taken from Pavement's tribute to one of Australia's largest cities, perfectly summarized fantasy owners' love affair with Andrew Bogut last year, when he basically put up All-Star numbers for the Bucks. But a disastrous and nasty fall late in the season led to a serious arm injury (and playoff disaster for the Bucks), and there's talk that he will miss some serious time this year. Like Bynum, Greg Oden and Yao, Bogut is still a center worth drafting and owning this year, but the potential reward comes with quite a bit of risk. I'd rather take a shot on an up-and-comer like JaVale McGee, or a revitalized Samuel Dalembert in Sacramento instead.

This is the slow sick sucking part of me

The 'Unfair' video in the Fallon link is a great ride, with a classic Bob Nastanovich freak out from start to finish. And "unfair" is exactly how Kevin Love has been treated in Minnesota thus far in his young career. As if on cue, Kurt Rambis recently sent out a fantasy fire alarm when he said Love would need to earn the starting power forward job, because that's the "culture" from which Rambis comes from. Look. Love has a chance to lead the league in rebounding if he gets a starting job and 35 minutes a night, which he deserves. But with the Minnesota organization failing to get much right over the last decade, David Kahn in charge and Rambis pulling the strings on the bench, it's possible Love is held back yet again. Unfair. I am still a big Love fan this year and am holding out hope that cooler heads prevail and he is easily named a starter this season. Even if that happens, he'll have to stay out of the doghouse and keep his confidence up while playing for one of the worst teams in the league. But Love should qualify at both PF and C and be a double-double machine, as well as a fantasy beast this season. So draft him with some unwarranted confidence and hope for the best.
 

hacheman@therx.com
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NBA Tiers: Studs and Duds
For this column I'm going to pick two players from each position tier exclusively featured in the Rotoworld NBA Draft Guide, which is available right now. One player will be someone I like and trust this year, while the other will be a player I would avoid if possible. I should have some more mock/real drafts coming up soon and I will write about them and share the results in upcoming columns.

Follow me on Twitter!

I promise to give you some tidbits during the season that will help you win, or at least beat the rest of your league to the waiver wire when a big name goes down during a game.

Point Guards

The point guard position appears to be the deepest in fantasy hoops this year. There are serviceable ones going in the later rounds, but I still recommend getting one from the first three tiers if possible.

Tier 1 is Chris Paul and Tier 2 includes Deron Williams and Stephen Curry. I love all three players this year and you should too.

Tier 3

Like: Derrick Rose

Rumors are flying that Rose is hitting threes this year and he's also talking about becoming the best player in the league. The stars are shining bright in Chicago and it simply feels like Rose is ready to take a big step forward this year.

Dislike: Chauncey Billups

Carmelo Anthony? Wants out. Kenyon Martin? Injured and angry. J.R. Smith? Likely still a head case. Shelden Williams? Probably a starting power forward. Ty Lawson? Pushing Billups and cutting into his minutes this season. Chris Andersen? Out and injured. In other words, Denver is a complete mess and Billups is really the only key figure that seems to be truly happy. He's still going to have a good year, but may not get enough help to be worth what you have to pay for him.

Tier 4

Like: John Wall

Wall has looked like a phenom in practice and scrimmages, and is completely living up to the early hype. He's still a rookie and hasn't proven a thing, but I'm thinking he could land in Tier 3 if things keep going in this direction.

Dislike: Baron Davis

Plump, out of shape and getting older, Davis isn't even practicing with the Clippers yet. Eric Bledsoe and Randy Foye are ready to step in when he struggles and new coach Vinny Del Negro doesn't appear to be a big fan. All signs, at least for now, say stay away.

Tier 5

Like: Jarrett Jack

Jack looks like the starter over Jose Calderon and should hold the job all season. He can hit threes, steal the ball and should be a decent scorer as well. As long as JC is around, the two are going to split time, but there's also a chance the Raptors will trade Calderon by deadline, clearing the way for Jack to fully take over. Jack's numbers are not going to blow you away, but that's why he's in Tier 5. In other words, he should be a decent option late in your draft. And if you take Calderon around the same spot in the draft, he should help you instead of hurt you. He was painful to own last year, but he was also going early in drafts instead of late.

Dislike: Luke Ridnour

Ridnour is going to likely start the season as Minnesota's starting point guard and it's possible he holds the job all season. But Jonny Flynn will be back from his hip injury eventually and the two will be locked into at timeshare, at least. It's also possible that Flynn retakes the job and relegates Ridnour to the bench. Ridnour's ceiling isn't very high and while he's a serviceable point guard, there's no reason to go out of your way to try to get him.

Tier 6

Like: Jeff Teague

Teague is going to at least split time with Mike Bibby and could end up taking over the starting job before Christmas, if he doesn't already have it on opening night. But this is Tier 6, which could be too deep for many leagues out there.

Dislike: Shaun Livingston

His knee is already a problem and he was very injury prone prior to the devastating knee injury he suffered a few years ago. D.J. Augustin is ready to take over the point in Charlotte, although Livingston would have a shot at having value if DJA can't perform up to Larry Brown's tough standards.
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Shooting Guards

Kobe Bryant and Dwyane Wade make up Tier 1 and this one's pretty easy. I love Kobe this year and just don't trust Wade. Yes, everyone is still saying it's Wade's team in Miami, but I don't think that's really true. He's already said it's strange to have so many scoring options in the house and I wouldn't be at all surprised if LeBron leads the team in scoring. Wade is still a stud, big time, but I don't think I'm going to be drafting him this year.

As for Tier 2, I'm comfortable with all the players in that one, especially Monta Ellis.

Tier 3

Like: Gilbert Arenas

He's in possibly the best shape of his life and appears to be fully healthy for once. Will it last? I have no idea, but I'm feeling like taking a chance on Arenas this year, who will start at shooting guard alongside Wall.

Dislike: Kevin Martin

Martin could score a ton of points, hit a ton of threes and free throws this season but the bottom line is he will go down with a somewhat serious injury at some point. At least, that's what history tells us and is why I will not be drafting him in many leagues this year.

Tier 4

Like: Mike Miller

He's the designated 3-point shooter for the Heat and could lead the league in threes. He's going to fly under the radar in Miami and should also grab some boards and hand out assists. Don't go crazy and overpay for him, but once the later-middle rounds roll around and you find yourself in need of threes, it's time to pounce.

Dislike: Jason Terry

The Mavs have a lot of guards, including Rodrigue Beaubois and Jose Juan Barea, as well as rookie Dominique Jones and veteran Caron Butler, who will also spend some time at shooting guard. I keep waiting for Terry to fall off a cliff every year, yet he keeps coming back strong. I'm banking that this will be the year we finally see an actual decline from Jet.

Bonus Dislike Wilson Chandler

Chandler is bummed out about several of his teammates being shipped out of New York. Additionally, his shot is said to be very flat right now and he's even being pushed by Roger Mason for his starting job. Chandler's also coming off ankle and hernia surgeries, which have impacted his camp as well. Depending on how things go over the next few days, Chandler may be dropping into Tier 5, while Mason is a guy we should put on our collective radar.

Tier 5

Like: Kyle Korver

Korver is challenging Ronnie Brewer for the starting shooting guard job in Chicago and will be among the league leaders in 3-pointers if he wins it. With Rose dishing and Luol Deng, Carlos Boozer and Joakim Noah around to kick it out to him when double-teamed down low, Korver could see a rebirth this season – if he beats out Brewer, who is still dealing with a hamstring injury from last year.

Dislike: Francisco Garcia

It's not that I don't like Garcia. I always have thought of him as a potential sleeper. But he either gets injured or buried in the depth chart, both of which could happen to him again this year. I just think there are other guys out there who are a better late pick than Garcia.

Small Forwards

Tier 1 has two players in it, and I'm just going to let you guess who they are (it should be obvious). And yes, I love both of them.

Tier 2

Like: Gerald Wallace

Wallace may be the most underrated fantasy player in the game and is primed for another big year in Charlotte. He won't hurt you anywhere outside of the free throw line, and collects plenty of steals and blocks to go along with some freakish rebounding last year. As long as he can stay healthy, I'm a huge fan.

Dislike: Danny Granger and Carmelo Anthony

Both of these guys could finish the season with Top 5 value – easily. Then again, if Granger's knee acts up and he continues to bomb away from downtown with no conscience, he could take a big dip, as well. Ask anyone who took him over Kevin Durant last year and they'll probably tell you they won't draft him again this time around. Yes, he might be there late in Round 1 or early in Round 2, but there is some risk involved. But because he's got such a great all-around game, he might be worth it.

As for Melo, we don't know where he's going to end up or when he might snap and decide to become a bad attitude in Denver. If they lose games early (remember, Shelden Williams might be starting), Melo could go into a funk. Again, he's a potential Top 5 fantasy player, but he'd look at lot better if he was happy and if Denver weren't such a mess from the front office all the way down to the power forward slot.

Tier 3

Like: Hedo Turkoglu

Hedo was a disaster in Toronto last year but gets new life in Phoenix this season, where he looks like the starter at power forward. Yeah, he'll be out of position and his field goal percentage is a concern, but he looks great in training camp and should really enjoy playing with Steve Nash. I think a resurgence is coming.

Dislike: Luol Deng

Injuries are always a concern with Deng and you have to wonder how many points and rebounds he's going to be capable of playing alongside Rose, Boozer and Noah. He's worth owning, but don't expect him to be a huge producer on a consistent basis.

Tier 4

Like: Dorell Wright

Wright is a starter for the Warriors and while he'll focus on defense, he can also hit threes, score and steal the ball. He's not going to put up big numbers, but should be available quite late in fantasy drafts, where he can provide some solid value. Just beware that we've thought of him as a sleeper at times in the past, and he usually failed miserably.

Dislike: Corey Maggette

Maggette is out after undergoing ankle surgery and now plays for the Bucks, who are one of the deepest teams in the league. Add in the fact he plays for Scott Skiles, who may not like Maggette's 'me first' attitude, and it could be a long year for the man who has some extra value in leagues that count free throws made.

Tier 5

Like: Josh Childress

People are going to sleep on Childress after he spent the last couple years in Greece, but he's going to play a big role for the Suns. He should be able to score 10-15 points per game and could average five boards, five assists, a steal and a 3-pointer per game in that offense. He's having a great camp and I think he's a great late-round pick.

Dislike: Quentin Richardson

Richardson will likely start at small forward for the Magic, but Mickael Pietrus has had a nice camp and the two will share minutes. Richardson hasn't been the same player since he finally overcame back problems, and while the potential for boards and threes is there, I just don' trust him.
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Power Forwards

Amare Stoudemire is in Tier 1 and I think he's going to have a big year for the Knicks. If you want him in Round 1, go for it.

Tier 2

Like: Tim Duncan

Yes, he's old as dirt, but is still a solid fantasy performer. His free throws are shaky, but he's going to have a good year for the Spurs and I expect him to stay healthy, as usual.

Dislike: Kevin Love

Don't get me wrong - I actually love Love, but he could easily be jerked around again in Minnesota. Would I draft him this year? Yes, but there is plenty of risk involved. Then again, he could also lead the league in rebounding if he gets 35 minutes a night, meaning there's a lot of potential reward as well. If Kurt Rambis would have said that Love is his starting power forward, instead of saying that he'll have to win the job in camp, I'd feel better about him. Just beware that if you take him, you're putting some faith in Rambis and David Kahn, which is a risky proposition.

Tier 3

Like: I actually am a pretty big fan of almost everyone in Tier 3, except for…

Dislike: Channing Frye

Frye had a big year from downtown last season and is going to hit a lot more of them again this year. But last year's bonanza has a bit of a fluke-feel to it and I'm just not convinced he'll do it again. I have no problem with drafting him this year, but I prefer my power forwards to have the potential to grab 10 boards and block a couple shots each night, which doesn't apply to Frye. My guess is he's drafted higher than he should be in most leagues this year.

Tier 4

Like: Elton Brand

Brand appears to be in great shape and will start at PF for the Sixers. Am I expecting a rebirth of the Brand we knew and loved in 2006? No. But he could be a nice source of double-doubles and blocks, and I expect him to finally make a nice comeback after being bothered by serious shoulder and achilles' injuries over the last few seasons. He should be a value pick.

Dislike: DeJuan Blair

Blair is an animal and has cut his body fat down to eight percent from 15 percent. He's got unlimited potential and is fun to own if he's getting 25 minutes per game. The problem is that Duncan is still playing well and holding him back. Feel free to draft Blair, but make sure it's with a pretty late pick, as he's just not going to get enough minutes to be an everyday fantasy starter in most leagues.

Centers

Tier 1 is Dwight Howard and Brook Lopez, and outside of Dwight's FTP and turnovers, and Lopez's lack of rebounds, it's hard not to love either guy.

Tier 2

Like: Andrea Bargnani

He's going to see a bigger role for the Raptors and while he's not a rebounding center, he's going to hit a ton of threes and block a lot of shots. He should also score 20 points per game this year and looks like an excellent fantasy center to grab fairly early.

Dislike:

While I don't dislike any of the centers in Tier 2 I am a little concerned about Nene's health, as usual. Nothing seems to be going right for Denver right now and it wouldn't surprise me if this is the season Nene goes down with a big injury. Just a hunch.

Tier 3

Like: Andris Biedrins

After last year's lost season Biedrins is flying under the radar. He's healthy and has already been named GSW's starting center, and his arch nemesis – Don Nelson – is gone. He should go back to being a double-double machine with a couple blocks per game. Free throws are a nightmare, but the rest of his game should be solid.

Robin Lopez, JaVale McGee and Samuel Dalembert are other guys I really like from Tier 3.

Dislike: Andrew Bynum

The argument can be made that Bynum shouldn't even be in Tier 3, and he may not be for much longer. He delayed his knee surgery to go play this summer and now he's going to miss about the first month of the season. If that's all the time he misses, Tier 3 is right on. But if he gets hurt again at some point during the season, and that is a likely scenario, he's going to be tough to own. I am planning on letting someone else deal with him this year, along with Greg Oden and Yao Ming (who are both in Tier 4 currently).

Tier 4

Like: Darko Milicic

The Wolves seem hell bent on proving to the world they were right about Darko and are going to give him plenty of chances to make a splash. He's never lived up to the hype before, but if he's ever had a chance of doing so, this is it.

Dislike: Yao, Jermaine O'Neal and Oden

Injuries are their specialty.

Tier 5

Like: Spencer Hawes

I had written Hawes off early, as I just didn't see him getting much run in Philly. Oops. He's slated to start right off the bat and is one of those guys who can hit threes and block shots, as well as score and rebound. His knees are a fairly big concern and he's been very inconsistent throughout his career. That said, he's got a decent chance of having a good year for the Sixers.

Dislike: Tyson Chandler

Yes, he looks healthy and is moving well enough to produce this season, but he's coming off the bench behind Brendan Haywood. And as long as Haywood keeps the job, Chandler won't do enough to be worth using in standard leagues.

[SIZE=+1]Auction Leagues[/SIZE]

I get a lot of questions about auction league values in the guide, or the lack thereof. Everyone uses a different salary cap, making it tough to put values on guys, but really, there's no need. Obviously, the higher ranked players in Tiers are the guys who are going to cost the most money.

As for draft strategy, I almost hate to throw it out there, as it's going to not only hurt me in my auctions, but could cause other folks in your league to use the same strategy. But here it is.

Spend as much money as you can on your Top 2-3 players. If you can get Durant and LeBron James, do it. You can fill in the gaps with some late talent and there are enough serviceable point guards and centers available on the cheap that you shouldn't have a problem. A reader named Howard recently ended up with Durant, LeBron AND Pau Gasol in his auction. Are you kidding me? I don't care what scrubs you fill the holes with, that is a team that's going to win it all barring disaster. I got Dwyane Wade and LeBron last year and won, and am planning on spending as much as it takes to get two Top 5 players again this year.

Now that everyone knows my strategy, it's very possible another guy could keep bidding with me and drive up the price of Durant to a ridiculous number and ruin the plan, but that's what I get for having such a great job. But from my experience, saving money in auction hoops drafts simply isn't worth it. You end up having money to burn on players who just aren't that great. Good luck!
 

hacheman@therx.com
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30-Team First Round Draft

As many of you know, I play in a 30-team league each year and that draft is currently going down as we speak. It's among the slowest drafts you will ever find and it's been going on for two full days, yet I still haven't gotten to pick. But we're getting closer, as I prepare to see who is still there when I get picks 30 and 31. A few guys who will not be there include John Wall, Stephen Curry and Tyreke Evans, who are all going way early in the leagues I'm playing in.

For breaking NBA news and occasional humor, follow me on Twitter! I promise not to go all "play-by-play" on you this year. In fact, I'm dealing with that problem myself, as multiple NBA writers are basically doing play-by-play from the same game, which makes the real news I'm digging for tough to find.

And the Rotoworld NBA Draft Guide is available right now and includes everything you need to help you dominate your league. I will be updating projections and rankings on Saturday, accounting for recent injuries, playing time, rotation changes, and anything else that might hurt or help a player.

In 30-deep, because we draft so many players, the key is having healthy ones. So while taking John Wall with the 20th pick might not seem right, it was not a bad call. Young guys are a commodity in this league, because having one starter go down can ruin your entire season, unless you happen to have a starter at the same position stocked on your bench (which is unlikely). When Lou Williams went down last season with a broken jaw, my season was essentially over. As for Wall? His stock is rising daily and my guess is he will go in Round 2 or 3 in almost every draft from here on out.

I have gotten more questions about who to take with picks 4-10 this year than any other. And there are no easy answers. Hopefully this draft will give you some ideas, and help you realize that you're not crazy for reaching for someone this year. There are not many obvious picks, and players who are going 10-20 could also be taken 4-10 at times. It's going to be a fun year.

This league is 30 owners, start 1 PG, 1 SG, 1 SF, 1 PF, 1 C and 1 FLEX, head-to-head, with the standard nine scoring categories (pts, rebs, asts, stls, blks, 3s, ftp, fgp, TOs). There are 12 rounds and 30 teams, meaning we go 360 players deep. A guy like Dante Cunningham or Jeff Teague could be a real stud in this league.

[SIZE=+1]30 Deep Round 1[/SIZE]

1. Brian McKitish, ESPN, Kevin Durant

No brainer and he's been No. 1 in every draft I've done thus far. And the fact he plays 82 games every year is another key in this tough league.

2. Matt Stroup, Rotoworld, LeBron James

The automatic No. 2 pick. Like Durant, he doesn't miss many games and is still a beast despite playing with a couple All-NBA players.

3. Eric Mack, SI.com, Dwight Howard

His free throw percentage and turnovers are going to leave their mark, but in head-to-head, he will help win FGP, scoring, rebounds and blocks every week.

4. Sergio Gonzalez, CBS, Chris Paul

A steal at No. 4 if he can stay healthy this year.

5. Tom Carpenter, ESPN, Dwyane Wade

He's already hurt and his hamstring injury could linger, but Wade can single handedly win games for you. The big problem comes if he goes down, as it's tough to find a guy getting enough minutes on your bench in such a deep league.

6. Matt Satten, BarkleysMouth.com, Stephen Curry

Despite the loss of Don Nelson, Curry is still consistently going Top 10 in most leagues. He's young, healthy and a fantasy beast, and while this might have been a tad early, it's a tough pick to argue with.

7. Hector Castro, RotoExperts.com, Kobe Bryant

Old Mr. Reliable and despite his terrible performance in his last game, he played 26 minutes on his surgically-repaired knee.

8. Tom Lorenzo, FanHouse, RotoExperts, Dirk Nowitzki

Dirk remains an underrated and somewhat boring fantasy selection, but the bottom line is he gets it done on a nightly basis and doesn't miss games.

9. Aaron Gleeman, Rotoworld, Deron Williams

Williams is mature and ready to have a big season. He missed six games last year and 14 the previous season, but it would not be surprising to see him play in 80 game this year.

10. Jamey Eisenberg, CBS, Tyreke Evans

Was this a reach? Absolutely. But he's young, all upside and appears to be shooting the ball much better from the field, the line and from downtown. Obviously Jamey wanted Tyreke this year, and he would have been long gone had he passed on him here. I probably would have taken… <!--RW-->11. Keith Lipscomb, ESPN, Pau Gasol

Gasol should be a monster with Andrew Bynum sidelined for at least a month. He'll average a double-double, won't hurt you anywhere, will post some 20 & 20 lines and block shots. Well done.

12. Corey Guerrera, CBS, Brook Lopez

Lopez has looked great in the preseason and despite a lack of rebounding presence, is primed for another big year and should make the all-star team. He's also young, healthy and doesn't miss games.

13. Daniel Dobish, OPEN Sports, Carmelo Anthony

Melo's a real question mark this season, but if he puts a smile on his face and plays hard for the Nuggets, he was a steal at 13. But there's plenty of risk involved with this pick.

14. Ryan Knaus, Rotoworld, Danny Granger

Knee problems and poor shot selection are distinct possibilities, but Granger simply offers too much upside to be ignored with the 14th pick. As a good friend of mine once said, "Had to do it. You have no choice."

15. Dave Gonos, OPEN Sports, Rajon Rondo

Rondo could have been taken up at No. 10 where Tyreke Evans went, and no one would have complained. Yes, he still is not a great shooter and free throws and threes are an issue, but he's fantasy gold everywhere else.

16. Rick Kamla, NBA TV, Josh Smith

Smoove is out for a week with a hand injury but will be good to go by the start of the season. The boards, blocks, steals, points and field goal percentage are all solid and I was hoping that he'd fall to me at 30.

17. David Klyce, Kylehoops.com, Amare Stoudemire

Amare at 17 could end up being the steal of the draft. He's healthy, motivated and ready to run in Mike D'Antoni's offense. I love Amare this year, even though I might be in the minority in that belief.

18. Nando Di Fino, Derrick Rose

All signs are pointing to a big year from Rose and he will shoot and hit more threes this year, while the rest of his numbers should also rise.

19. Robert Hirsch, Brandon Roy

Roy is a solid pick at 19, although his health was a concern late last year. But as of now he's fully healthy, and will be relied upon to score a little more this season with all the centers hurting in Portland.

20. Scott White, CBS, Andre Iguodala

Iguodala may not score as much this season as last, but the rest of his numbers could go up, including field goal percentage as he won't shoot as many threes this season. And look what eliminating the three-ball did for Josh Smith last year.

21. Brian Flood, John Wall

Twenty-one seems a little early for Wall, but he's young, healthy and appears to be the No. 1 option in Washington. In this league, I have no problem with using an early pick on Wall, and he's climbing up our cheat sheets by the day.

22. Patrick Madden, Givemetherock.com, David Lee

I thought Lee might go a little earlier in this draft, as he's been taken in the first round in most of the other ones I've done. He may not put up the ridiculous numbers he had in New York last year, but I bet he comes close. He'll just have to stay healthy.

23. Dave Gawron, Rotocommando, Steve Nash

Nash is old and doesn't have Amare around anymore, but is still a premier point guard. He doesn't miss many games, shoots lights out and outside of TOs, won't hurt you anywhere. A very safe pick at 23.

24. James Questel, MSG, Jason Kidd

Kidd's going to be pushed by Roddy Beaubois and possibly get more rest this season, but he's still a triple-double threat every night out. Scoring might be a problem for this owner's team, but Kidd is reliable almost everywhere else, including steals and threes.

25. Greg Urbano, CBS, Russell Westbrook

Turnover, poor field goal percentage and a lack of threes are the knock on Westbrook, but he's a triple-double threat every time out and doesn't miss games. I was hoping he'd fall to me.

26. Eric Karabell, ESPN, Chris Bosh

Bosh has looked good in the preseason and while he's not going to score as much, his ability to shoot jumpers, free throws and crash the glass are going to make him valuable in Miami. I'm not sure I'd have taken him this high, but given the early returns in Miami, he looks like a safe pick here.

27. Aaron Bruski, Rotoworld, Gerald Wallace

Wallace is a fantasy beast when healthy and I was hoping to snag him at 30. He has a pretty poor injury history, but missed just six games last year and 11 the season prior. A true Risk vs. Reward player.

28. John Cregan, ESPN, Joe Johnson

Joe Johnson was taken with the 30th pick previously in this league and that owner went on to win it all. He's reliable and still, by far, the No. 1 option in Atlanta. And their new motion offense should get him a few more open looks, and a little less 'Iso-Joe.'

29. Mike Yam, ESPN,

I'm pretty sure that if Yam doesn't take Monta Ellis or Andrea Bargnani, those are my guys. Both guys qualify at multiple positions (Monta PG/SG, Bargs C/PF), which is a big deal in this league, and Bargnani looks like one of the more valuable and reliable center options in fantasy this year. They both hit threes and free throws and shouldn't hurt me anywhere but turnovers and possibly field goal percentage. The key will be whether or not Monta can stay healthy. If Yam takes Monta, I'm leaning toward Al Horford, which would give me two center-eligible players early, although that would also mean there won't be any more scorers on the board when I pick next. And because of my draft slot, there's no way I'm getting Anthony Randolph or Danilo Gallinari, who I love this year, unless I want to take a big reach for one of them. Also, in this draft, PG is clearly the deepest position, so unless I can get a stud (Monta), I think it's a good idea to go big here and get a starting point guard late. I am also strongly considering Joakim Noah with one of these picks.

30. Steve Alexander, Rotoworld,

31. Steve Alexander, Rotoworld,
 

hacheman@therx.com
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30 Deep Round 2, Plus Sleepers
Did you somehow miss Round 1 of the 30-Team Industry Draft I'm taking part in? If you did, just click this link to check it out.

Also, if you're not interested in this draft (although I'm not sure why you wouldn't be), I attack sleeper and rotation questions for nearly every team after the draft breakdown. Can a 30-team league breakdown help you with your own draft? Absolutely. You don't play with 29 other owners, but you get a good feel for where guys are going in the first 60 picks in standard leagues.

And if you want to follow me on Twitter, just click here.

If you haven't picked up the NBA Draft Guide, It's time.

[SIZE=+1]30 Team Industry Draft, Round 2[/SIZE]

31. Alexander, Rotoworld – Andrea Bargnani F/C Raptors

It's no secret I love this guy and he should be a beast in Toronto without Chris Bosh. Blocks, threes, some boards, points, he can shoot free throws. Not your typical fantasy center, but I can't wait to see what the former No. 1 pick does this year.

32. Yam, ESPN – Zach Randolph PF Grizzlies

Can you say 20-10? I thought about him, but Bargs' PF/C dual qualification, blocks and threes made it an easy choice.

33. Cregan, ESPN – Al Jefferson F/C Jazz

He's off to a slow start in preseason, but I still think a big year is coming. Maybe not a huge year, but he will be a solid fantasy center.

34. Bruski, Rotoworld – Al Horford F/C Hawks

Double-doubles, some blocks, won't hurt you anywhere. One of the best young big guys in the league.

35. Karabell, ESPN – Aaron Brooks PG Rockets

A point guard who hits a ton of threes and scores in bunches is fun to own. That's Brooks, although I imagine his numbers won't be quite as big as they were last year.

36. Urbano, CBS – Andrew Bogut C Bucks

He's hurt and he's going to be in pain for most, if not all, of the year. But he was a borderline all-star last year and might be again this time around. He's a little scary in this league from an injury perspective, and could miss 20 or 30 games if he aggravates his right arm/elbow/hand injury. But he is a top center any night he's playing.

37. Questel, MSG – Paul Millsap PF Jazz

This is the year, right? No Boozer, starting and should be a double-double machine.

38. Gawron, RotoCommunity – Marc Gasol C Grizzlies

Gasol has been mysteriously quiet in the preseason but he's proven over the last two seasons that he is a legit No. 1 fantasy center. Hasheem Thabeet is going to push him, and I think I'd actually take Blake Griffin before Gasol this year.

39. Madden, GiveMeTheRock – Darren Collison PG Hornets

All upside, ready to run the Pacers' offense and was huge in Chris Paul's absence last year. Am I worried that Jim O'Brien recently said A.J. Price (his back up) was the best player in preseason? Not really, but it's something to keep an eye on.

40. Flood - LaMarcus Aldridge, PF Blazers

Aldridge is more finesse than he is banger, which kind of stinks in fantasy, but he's still good for a lot of points, solid boards and some blocks.

41. White, CBS – Joakim Noah, F/C Bulls

Noah is all upside and the other guy I was considering over Bargnani. With Boozer out for the first month or so, he should get off to a great start. His foot injury from last year appears to be behind him, but it's possible it becomes an issue again at some point this season. Regardless, there's plenty to love about drafting Noah this year.

42. Hirsch – Stephen Jackson, G/F Bobcats

Yes, FGP and TOs are a concern, but he scores a ton and produces in every category that I haven't mentioned, except for blocks.

43. Nando – Gilbert Arenas G Wizards

Which Arenas did Nando draft? The sulking, quiet, beard-wearing old man, or the spry, healthy, assassin who is ready to show the world that he's still got it? My guess is the latter.

44. Klyce, HoopsKlyce – Brandon Jennings PG Bucks

The 55-point game was the highlight last year and it was mostly downhill from there. He came on late in the season and should be setting up for big minutes this year. Hopefully Skiles trusts him enough to stick with him through thick and thin. Jennings is really the only Bucks player I would go out of my way to get.

45. Kamla, NBA TV – Blake Griffin PF Clippers

Rookie of the Year? He looks like a man among boys in the preseason and his knee appears to be in good shape. Love this pick.
<!--RW-->
46. Gonos, Open Sports – Tim Duncan, F/C Spurs

The elder statesman is going to be pushed by DeJuan Blair, but Duncan is the leader of this team. His free throws are pretty shaky, but he's going to put up Duncan-like numbers again this year. Probably a steal for Gonos.

47. Knaus, Rotoworld – Nene F/C Nuggets

I predicted he'd have injury problems in the Draft Guide, but it's just a hunch. Nene was great again last year and is a nice source of steals for a center. The Nuggets are a mess, but Nene should be money as long as he's healthy.

48. Dobish, Open Sports – David West PF Hornets

Steal this late. The guy is as consistent as they come and a very safe pick. He was hurt some last year, but he still feels very reliable.

49. Guerrera, CBS – Kevin Love F/C Timberwolves

All upside and you have to think the T-Wolves figure out that Love needs to be out there for 30 minutes every night. He could lead the league in rebounding, and will even hit some threes.

50. Lipscomb, ESPN – Raymond Felton PG Knicks

Felt is having trouble picking up the Knicks' offense, but is really the only true option to start at point guard. With weapons like Danilo Gallinari, Amare Stoudemire and Anthony Randolph at his disposal, along with Mike D'Antoni's running offense, Felton should figure it out and have a big year. Hint, Raymond – pass it to Amare down low.

51. Eisenberg, CBS – Rudy Gay SF Grizzlies

Gay is one of the few guys who produces in all categories and could be a steal this late. Good pick.

52. Gleeman, Rotoworld – Paul Pierce SF Celtics

He's old, but Pierce is still one of the 'men' in Boston. Another solid value pick.

53. Lorenzo, Fanhouse – Danilo Gallinari F Knicks

How many threes is this guy going to hit this year? A ton. And he's also capable of a steal and block per game. Love the pick.

54. Castro, Rotoexperts – Carlos Boozer PF Bulls

Out for the first month with a shady broken hand, but once Boozer's healthy, 20-10 is his middle name for the Bulls.

55. Satten, Barkleysmouth – Kevin Martin SG Rockets

It's not if, but when will Martin get hurt? As long as he's playing, he's going to score a ton of points, hit a lot of free throws and some threes. But he's a guy I'd be looking to move for a safer health option after the first month of the season.

56. Carpenter, ESPN – Andray Blatche PF Wizards

He's coming off a broken foot and is a little overweight, but who cares? He can hit threes, block shots and do a little bit of everything. What's not to love?

57. Gonzalez, CBS – Antawn Jamison F Cavaliers

Jamison could end up as sixth man in Cleveland, but I think he's too good to be held out of the starting lineup. At No. 57 overall, should end up being a steal.

58. Mack, SI – Devin Harris PG Nets

Like Kevin Martin, it's a matter of when Harris will get hurt this year, instead of 'if.' But he's one of the league's best point guards when healthy and should have big lines when he's on the floor.

59. Stroup, Rotoworld – Manu Ginobili SG Spurs

Manu is finally healthy again for the Spurs and this looks like another solid value pick.

60. McKitish, ESPN – O.J. Mayo SG Grizzlies

We pretty much know what Mayo is going to do from Day 1. Hit threes, score, hand out some assists, play some backup point guard and steal the ball. Maybe not my favorite pick here, but he's reliable, which is a key in this league.

Keep reading for a team-by-team breakdown of sleepers
<!--RW-->
[SIZE=+1]Preseason Sleepers[/SIZE]

Jeff Teague is easily outplaying Mike Bibby in Atlanta and now deserves to be drafted in most leagues, although target him at the end of your draft.

Center Semih Erden is intriguing, but the Celtics have enough centers and he should only have value in 20- or 30-team leagues.

Tyrus Thomas may come off the bench behind Boris Diaw, but I think the Cats are still trying to trade Diaw. Thomas is tight with coach Larry Brown and fills up the stat sheet every night. He sat out a recent preseason game, but from what I've been able to gather, he practiced on Monday. He's going to be taken very soon in 30 Deep and could be set up for a breakout season. Nazr Mohammed is a starting center for the Bobcats. He's not a shot blocker, but at the end of your draft, he might be the best center available.

Kyle Korver could score 15 ppg and hit a ton of threes this season for the Bulls. I like him in Chi-town.

It's possible we were too high on J.J. Hickson in the draft guide, but I'm not giving up on him yet. He's going to get a ton of minutes and I still like him a lot. Jamario Moon and Ramon Sessions are also nice deep sleepers to take a look at in Cleveland.

Rookie Dominique Jones (DoJo) looks good for Dallas and could start at shooting guard if Rodrigue Beaubois' foot is still not right at the start of the season. But you have to think Beaubois is going to eventually find a spot in the starting five this season. Tyson Chandler is pushing Brendan Haywood in Dallas, which is going to hurt Haywood's value slightly. But as of now, Haywood is still clearly the starter.

Shelden Williams looks like a potential starter for the Nuggets (due to injuries to Kenyon Martin and Chris Andersen), and qualifies as a late sleeper. Ty Lawson is also going to get some run this year and could start pushing Chauncey Billups for late minutes in Denver.

Austin Daye has looked good in preseason while Tracy McGrady has been "resting" for a week. Take Daye over T-Mac, every time. Rookie F/C Greg Monroe was awesome against the Hawks on Monday and with Jonas Jerebko out for most of the season, should be bumped up in all formats. Consider him a super-sleeper and a dark horse candidate for Rookie of the Year.

Dorell Wright (steals and 3s a plus) is a super-sleeper in Golden State, starting at small forward. Andris Biedrins is also a sleeper center, as he appears to be healthy.

Jim O'Brien says PG A.J. Price is his best player in preseason. With Darren Collison in front of him, I'm not expecting much from Price. But he's a guy you'll want to have your eye on at all times, simply because O'Brien is not a guy who seems to like many of his players. Mike Dunleavy could be healthy and have a nice year, while Josh McRoberts and rookie Paul George are possibly starters for the Pacers, and thus sleepers. And then there's Roy Hibbert, who I might be about to draft in 30 Deep. Hibbert looks fantastic this preseason and should be a very reliable fantasy center.

Blake Griffin looks fantastic and I fully support drafting him this year. Baron Davis? Not so much. Al-Farouq Aminu looked good in his last preseason game and might be a good way to burn a last pick in standard leagues. Randy Foye is another guy having a nice preseason who is going to excel if Davis is still out of shape (or injured) a month from now.

A sleeper for the Lakers? I don't really see one.

Carlos Arroyo appears to be the favorite to start over Mario Chalmers in Miami, therefore I'd think about taking Carlos in Round 13 instead of Mario.

Darko Milicic and rookie Wesley Johnson look like nice sleeper picks at center and SG/SF in Minnesota. Martell Webster is also a guy I like, but who knows what their final rotation will look like?

New Jersey's Terrence Williams isn't a starter as of now, but I still think he's worth a draft pick this year. Eventually, they're going to have to play him. And with Troy Murphy's bad back, rookie Derrick Favors is more interesting than ever. And don't be surprised if you find yourself grabbing Kris Humphries off waivers is Murphy continues to struggle with the back.

Marco Belinelli now looks like a lock to start for the Hornets, but I'd still rather own Marcus Thornton – especially in 30 Deep, where he also qualifies at PG as well as SG. Thornton scored 14.5 ppg last year, yet started in just 17 games. And when he started, he scored 20 a game and hit more than two 3-pointers per. Trevor Ariza has looked great in the preseason and is also going to be a mid-round value pick in fantasy.

Timofey Mozgov could easily end up starting at center for the Knicks. Ten points, seven boards and 1.5 blocks are within reach, but it's also looking like Anthony Randolph, Amare Stoudemire and Ronny Turiaf will get some run at center in New York. I'm targeting him late in drafts when I need a third center.

A lot of people have center Serge Ibaka on their sleeper lists, and while I'm digging that, the Thunder have a ton of centers. If you need blocks late, think about him.

The Magic have several sleeper candidates – Brandon Bass, Ryan Anderson and J.J. Redick - but none are guaranteed to see action every night at this point.

The Suns should see a different version of Hedo Turkoglu at power forward this season than the one who stunk in Toronto. He's struggled in preseason, but I'm not worried. I may be taking him at the end of Round 3 in 30 Deep. Hakim Warrick is also a guy to keep an eye on, while Robin Lopez now looks like a legit low end, No. 1 fantasy center.

Wesley Matthews has been a scoring machine off the bench for the Blazers, although I have no idea if it will carry into the regular season. My guess is that it does, but he's not worth a look until the end of your draft. Dante Cunningham could see time at center, but should be considered a very deep sleeper.

The Kings are a mess, as they're just too deep in the frontcourt to make sense out of anything, while the small forward position is still up for grabs. Antoine Wright could win the job, making him an interesting last-round sleeper. Tyreke Evans is going Top 15 in every league, so don't sleep on him if you want him. Samuel Dalembert's been hurt, but if he's healthy by the start of the season, he should be a very reliable fantasy C. And don't forget about Beno Udrih. He will be starting at point guard, probably all season, for the Kings again.

San Antonio loves DeJuan Blair and he might be able to give Tim Duncan a breather this year. George Hill will be an automatic pickup if Tony Parker gets hurt again, while rookie Tiago Splitter should be an interesting rookie big man to own this year. And expect Richard Jefferson, who did a lot of good work over the summer, to have a bounce back year. RJ is a real value pick in the middle to later rounds.

Amir Johnson has been pretty quiet in the preseason in Toronto, but should still emerge as a mini fantasy stud, Linas Kleiza is a nice sleeper pick as the starting SF, DeMar DeRozan is a true breakout candidate as the starting shooting guard in Toronto, while Jarrett Jack and Jose Calderon are going to split minutes and hurt each other's value.

I'm very interested in rookie Gordon Hayward in Utah, while Andrei Kirilenko is a guy owners should be targeting in drafts. C.J. Miles is not a guy I'd draft in most leagues, but he's another guy to be watched closely once the season starts.

Wizards center JaVale McGee is still a quality center sleeper option and I'd probably take him before guys like Andrew Bynum and Greg Oden. Andray Blatche should be good to go, while Al Thornton should put up decent numbers, at least until Josh Howard returns from knee surgery. But it does sound like the Wizards plan on utilizing Howard once he's healthy. Or should I say 'if?'
 

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Rounds 3 & 4 in 30-Deep
Welcome back for Rounds 3 and 4 of the 30 Team Draft. I'm almost embarrassed to put my next pick up here, as I feel like I really dropped the ball. I took Marcus Thornton instead of a big man, which wasn't smart. Focus is so important when you're drafting and I lost mine for a minute. Since I'm doing 60 players here there will be a few less comments to keep it manageable.

To see Round 1 or Round 2, just click on the links. You can also get the Rotoworld NBA Draft Guide or follow me on Twitter by clicking the links.

[SIZE=+1]Round 3[/SIZE]

61. McKitish - Anthony Randolph NYK F/C – All upside and the right spot.
62. Stroup – Jrue Holiday PHI PG – Could be Top 10 PG this year.
63. Mack – Jeff Green OKC F – Very underrated and doesn't miss games.
64. Gonzalez – Luol Deng CHI F – Injuries a concern, but happy in CHI.
65. Carpenter – DeMarcus Cousins SAC F/C – Great p/s, Sammy D injured.
66. Satten – Roy Hibbert IND C – Looking great for Pacers, big leap coming.
67. Castro – Marcus Camby POR F/C – Only C still standing in Portland.
68. Lorenzo – Jason Richardson PHO G/F – Value pick this late.
69. Gleeman – Chris Kaman LAC C – Underrated fantasy center.
70. Eisenberg – Caron Butler DAL G/F – Seeking rebirth in Dallas.
71. Lipscomb - Eric Gordon LAC SG – Nice summer boosted confidence.
72. Guerrera – Tony Parker SAS PG – Solid PG but I still don't like him.
73. Dobish – Baron Davis LAC PG – Big red flags early, risky.
74. Knaus – Andrei Kirilenko UTA F – Could start, health always risky.
75. Gonos – Tayshaun Prince F DET – No thank you. Wing cluster in DET.
76. Kamla – Trevor Ariza NO SF – Sneaky pick, now in New Orleans.
77. Klyce – Mo Williams CLE PG – Sessions could hurt him a bit.
78. Nando – Michael Beasley MIN F – Great preseason, looking up.
79. Hirsch – Rodney Stuckey DET PG – Serviceable PG.
80. White – Boris Diaw CHA F – Trade candidate, Tyrus threatening minutes.
81. Flood – Rashard Lewis ORL F – Bounce back year coming? Maybe.
82. Madden – Ray Allen BOS SG – Quality threes, but not much more.
83. Gawron – John Salmons MIL G/F – MIL super deep, but should play.
84. Questel – Andris Biedrins GSW C – Shaky preseason but healthy again.
85. Urbano – Luis Scola HOU PF/C – No blocks, but reliable. Nice one.
86. Karabell – Samuel Dalembert SAC C – Out for the first month or so.
87. Bruski – Hedo Turkoglu PHO F – Struggling, but PF job is his in PHO.
88. Cregan – Mike Conley MEM PG – Serviceable and plenty of upside.
89. Yam – Jamal Crawford ATL G – Not happy in ATL.
90. Alexander – Marcus Thornton NOH SG – Bench, but big points and 3's.

While I like Thornton as a fantasy player this year and this is about where he should be targeted, I really hate my pick looking back on it, only because I needed a big rebounder. Oh well, hopefully I can still find one when my turn rolls back around. I guess in the heat of the moment I felt like bigs were much deeper than guards at that point.

My lineup after four rounds is PG Andre Miller, SG Monta Ellis, SF, PF, C Andrea Bargnani, FLEX Marcus Thornton.

[SIZE=+1]Round 4[/SIZE]

91. Alexander – Andre Miller POR PG – Solid PG this late, didn't need 3s.
92. Yam – Lamar Odom LAL F – Value pick this late.
93. Cregan – Vince Carter ORL SG – Big drop, could pay off.
94. Bruski – D.J. Augustin CHA PG – Lots of 3s and upside.
95. Karabell – Jason Terry DAL SG – Boring, old and safe.
96. Urbano – Troy Murphy NJN PF – Back injury is very scary.
97. Questel – Channing Frye PHO F/C – Big 3s, not many boards.
98. Gawron – Tyrus Thomas CHA PF – Could this finally be the year?
99. Madden – Yao Ming HOU C – Good luck.
100. Flood – J.J. Hickson CLE PF – I should have taken him.
101. White – Emeka Okafor NOH C – Good C at 101.
102. Hirsch – Kevin Garnett BOS PF – Healthy for first time in years.
103. Nando – J.R. Smith DEN SG – Attitude always holds him back.
104. Klyce – JaVale McGee WAS C – Should be fun to own this year.
105. Kamla – Jameer Nelson ORL PG – Hasn't impressed in awhile.
106. Gonos – Evan Turner PHI G – Looks much better now than in July.
107. Knaus – Beno Udrih SAC PG – Still the starting PG in Sacto.
108. Dobish – Andrew Bynum LAL C – Good luck.
109. Guerrera – Elton Brand PHI PF/C – Looks more spry this season.
110. Lipscomb – Terrence Williams NJN G/F – Also thought hard about him here.
111. Eisenberg – Wilson Chandler NYK G/F – Not a big fan this year.
112. Gleeman – Anderson Varejao CLE F/C – Flying under radar by sitting.
113. Lorenzo – Anthony Morrow NJN SG – Lots of 3s, could start.
114. Castro – Jeff Teague ATL PG – Early, but could come through.
115. Satten – Robin Lopez PHO C – Nice sleeper center pick.
116. Carpenter – Wesley Johnson MIN SG – Smooth shooter, looks good.
117. Gonzalez – Ramon Sessions CLE G – May push Mo Williams.
118. Mack – Carl Landry SAC PF – This was another miss by me.
119. Stroup – Darko Milicic MIN C – Risky, but he's going to start/play.
120. McKitish – Ben Gordon DET SG – Already has Mayo, same boat as me.

So there you have it. Two more rounds and the top 120 picks thus far. This should give you a decent idea of where guys will fall in your draft and I'll probably wrap things up on Friday with Rounds 5 and 6. We should also have a "normal" draft or two posting next week. Now I'm going to sit here and watch in agony as the last few semi-reliable big men fall off the board before I pick again.
 

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Projected Rotations Part 1
Getting into the heads of NBA coaches is not easy. I mean, Stan Van Gundy goes into his closet and picks out a different mock turtleneck every night. How can we even take a stab at what is going through his mind?

Still, we are less than two weeks away from Opening Night. There are still a ton of questions about rotations that are being sorted out through the preseason, but it's time to make our (educated?) guesses. Imagine how valuable it would have been prior to last season if we knew that Mike D'Antoni was going to give Danilo Gallinari 34 minutes a night. Mixing a player with offensive skills and burn like that is a lock for production. Instead, he lasted until the 13th round of my main league.

So below you will find a guess at Opening Night starters and minutes per game. Some are set in stone, and others are very fluid. We're on the hunt for that enticing combination like Gallinari provided last year.

First up is the Eastern Conference. We'll be back with the West next week.

Editor's Note: For full projections, tiers, rankings and everything else you need, check out the Draft Guide!

* Denotes a player that is starting only because of a relatively short-term injury.
(xx) = projected minutes per game


<BIG>ATLANTA</BIG>
Starters
PG Mike Bibby (24)
SG Joe Johnson (38)
SF Marvin Williams (30)
PF Josh Smith (36)
C Al Horford (35)

Relevant reserves
SG Jamal Crawford (31)
PG Jeff Teague (21)

Notes: Jeff Teague is likely to unseat Bibby as the starter before long. At least an even timeshare should be expected. ... Reigning sixth man of the year Jamal Crawford is much more productive on a per-minute basis than Marvin Williams.

<BIG>BOSTON</BIG>
Starters
PG Rajon Rondo (37)
SG Ray Allen (33)
SF Paul Pierce (34)
PF Kevin Garnett (32)
C Jermaine O'Neal (27)

Relevant reserves
C Shaquille O'Neal (22)
G Delonte West (suspended first 10 games)
PF Glen Davis (18)

Notes: Shaquille O'Neal will sit out a bunch, but so will Jermaine O'Neal. Both are bigger headaches than they are worth. And Kendrick Perkins (knee) says he'll be back for the final 30 games. ... Kevin Garnett is reportedly extremely healthy, giving him a slight bump in projected minutes over last season. Still a big risk.

<BIG>CHARLOTTE</BIG>
Starters
PG D.J. Augustin (29)
SG Stephen Jackson (38)
SF Gerald Wallace (40)
PF Boris Diaw (35)
C Nazr Mohammed (21)

Relevant reserves
PF Tyrus Thomas (29)
PG Shaun Livingston (14)

Notes: Tyrus Thomas is a tantalizing talent. At the very least he'll split time with Diaw at power forward and get extra minutes when the Bobcats go small. At best, Diaw will be traded. ... Shaun Livingston's knee is already acting up. Even if D.J. Augustin struggles, which he is prone to doing, this is his job to lose.

<BIG>CHICAGO</BIG>
Starters
PG Derrick Rose (37)
SG Ronnie Brewer (29)
SF Luol Deng (36)
PF Taj Gibson* (30)
C Joakim Noah (30)

Relevant reserves
PF Carlos Boozer (N/A)
SF Kyle Korver (20)

Notes: Carlos Boozer is expected back by the end of November. When that happens, Taj Gibson will go back to playing 15-18 minutes a night. … Don't buy the hype that Keith Bogans can win the starting shooting guard job. When healthy, Ronnie Brewer is a far superior talent on both ends.

Editor's Note: Pick a new fantasy team just for today and win real cash with Snapdraft!

<BIG>CLEVELAND</BIG>
Starters
PG Mo Williams (35)
SG Anthony Parker (28)
SF Jamario Moon (27)
PF J.J. Hickson (32)
C Anderson Varejao (33)

Relevant reserves
PF Antawn Jamison (31)
PG Ramon Sessions (19)

Notes: Jamario Moon and Jawad Williams are battling for the starting small forward gig. Those two plus Anthony Parker and Ramon Sessionsare all going to have their upsides capped. ... J.J. Hickson will play some center when Antawn Jamison comes in at power forward. ... Of course, Jamison could end up starting over Hickson. Regardless, it won't make a big difference in minutes for either.

<BIG>DETROIT</BIG>
Starters
PG Rodney Stuckey (34)
SG Richard Hamilton (33)
SF Tayshaun Prince (32)
PF Austin Daye (29)
C Ben Wallace (25)

Relevant reserves
SG Tracy McGrady (21)
SG Ben Gordon (27)
PF Charlie Villanueva (23)
PF Greg Monroe (20)

Notes: Tracy McGrady is already complaining about his knees and worn down body. There is too much competition here to mess with him. ... It looks like the Pistons are going to go with young sleeper Austin Daye to replace Jonas Jerebko (Achilles) instead of Charlie Villanueva. ... Look for Ben Wallace's role to get smaller as rookie Greg Monroe comes along.

<BIG>INDIANA</BIG>
Starters
PG Darren Collison (34)
SG Mike Dunleavy (25)
SF Danny Granger (37)
PF Josh McRoberts (31)
C Roy Hibbert (30)

Relevant reserves
SG Brandon Rush (suspended)
PF Tyler Hansbrough (18)
SF Paul George (16)

Notes: Brandon Rush is suspended for the first five games of the season. We doubt Mike Dunleavy will do enough in that time to maintain the job. ... Look for a big leap in minutes and production out of Roy Hibbert. He's reportedly in great shape and having a monster preseason. ... The Pacers are really thin up front. Josh McRoberts is a nice sleeper.

<BIG>MIAMI</BIG>
Starters
PG Carlos Arroyo (20)
SG Dwyane Wade (39)
SF LeBron James (40)
PF Chris Bosh (38)
C Joel Anthony (15)

Relevant reserves
SG Mike Miller (19)
PF Udonis Haslem (29)
C Zydrunas Ilgauskas (20)

Notes: Carlos Arroyo and Mario Chalmers are still battling for the starting PG gig. But they'll split the job and won't play 48 minutes combined as Dwyane Wade and LeBron James can handle point duties. ... There simply aren't many minutes to go around on the wing with Wade and James dominating the court and the ball.

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<BIG>MILWAUKEE</BIG>
Starters
PG Brandon Jennings (34)
SG John Salmons (35)
SF Corey Maggette (28)
PF Luc Richard Mbah a Moute (24)
C Andrew Bogut (31)

Relevant reserves
SF Carlos Delfino (29)
PF Ersan Ilyasova (28)
PF Drew Gooden (24)

Notes: Andrew Bogut's hand is not going to be 100 percent all season, but the Bucks don't have much behind him. He's going to have to fight through it. ... Ersan Ilyasova can bring offensive punch to the front line if Bogut is struggling.

<BIG>NEW JERSEY</BIG>
Starters
PG Devin Harris (35)
SG Anthony Morrow (20)
SF Travis Outlaw (33)
PF Kris Humphries* (23)
C Brook Lopez (37)

Relevant reserves
SF Terrence Williams (32)
PF Troy Murphy (N/A)
PF Derrick Favors (20)
PG Jordan Farmar (18)

Notes: It does not matter that Williams is likely to come off the bench. He's a major breakout candidate no matter what while filling both the shooting guard and small forward spots. ... Troy Murphy is out with a back injury. When he returns, he'll surely take the job back from Kris Humphries. Heralded rookie Derrick Favors looked completely lost in the preseason. ... Jordan Farmar will be a hot add when Devin Harris gets hurt or traded.

<BIG>NEW YORK</BIG>
Starters
PG Raymond Felton (33)
SG Roger Mason (18)
SF Wilson Chandler (33)
PF Danilo Gallinari (34)
C Amare Stoudemire (36)

Relevant reserves
PF Anthony Randolph (24)
C Timofey Mozgov (18)
SG Kelenna Azubuike (23)

Notes: Mike D'Antoni doesn't even know what his rotations are going to look like, so you know we're just guessing. We likely wants to start Timofey Mozgov, but it doesn't look like the big man is ready yet. ... Anthony Randolph has had a miserable preseason, but look for him to get a big chance sooner rather than later.

<BIG>ORLANDO</BIG>
Starters
PG Jameer Nelson (30)
SG Vince Carter (30)
SF Quentin Richardson (23)
PF Rashard Lewis (33)
C Dwight Howard (35)

Relevant reserves
SF Mickael Pietrus (23)
PF Brandon Bass (21)

Notes: Mickael Pietrus will probably end up in the starting lineup before too long. Quentin Richardson will make coach Stan Van Gundy pull his hair out. ... Nelson is finally fully healthy, give him a little boost in minutes despite the arrival of Chris Duhon. ... J.J. Redick signed a big contract to stay in Orlando, but there just aren't enough minutes to make him relevant.

<BIG>PHILADELPHIA</BIG>
Starters
PG Jrue Holiday (35)
SG Andre Iguodala (39)
SF Thaddeus Young (30)
PF Elton Brand (31)
C Spencer Hawes (29)

Relevant reserves
SG Evan Turner (21)
SG Lou Williams (28)

Notes: This lineup assumes that Spencer Hawes' back gets better sooner rather than later. If it doesn't, Elton Brand will likely move to center and Evan Turner will move to the starting lineup. ... Lou Williams will play shooting guard with the second unit while Turner handles point duties. Williams gets a boost in minutes as the projected fourth-quarter option. ... Jrue Holiday also gets a big spike in minutes. New coach Doug Collins is really high on him.

<BIG>TORONTO</BIG>
Starters
PG Jarrett Jack (26)
SG DeMar DeRozan (26)
SF Linas Kleiza (30)
PF Reggie Evans (18)
C Andrea Bargnani (36)

Relevant reserves
PG Jose Calderon (22)
SG Leandro Barbosa (25)
PF Amir Johnson (28)

Notes: Jarrett Jack and Jose Calderon are headed for another frustrating timeshare. They won't play together. ... The only reason Amir Johnson will come off the bench is to limit his fouls, something he has had big trouble with. ... Leandro Barbosa is a better pure scorer than DeRozan, limiting the youngster's breakout appeal.

<BIG>WASHINGTON</BIG>
Starters
PG John Wall (36)
SG Gilbert Arenas (35)
SF Al Thornton (28)
PF Andray Blatche (36)
C JaVale McGee (30)

Relevant reserves
G Kirk Hinrich (30)
PF Yi Jianlian (24)
SF Josh Howard (recovering from knee surgery)

Notes: The Wizards have been starting Hinrich in a three-guard alignment a bunch this preseason. Seems pretty insane, but that lineup figures to get plenty of burn together this year. ... Hilton Armstrong is a threat to start over JaVale McGee, but McGee is a lock for more minutes and production. He's a building block along with Wall. ... Josh Howard won’t be 100 percent until late in the season, but he'll push for immediate playing time once healthy.
 

hacheman@therx.com
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Preseason Dose & More 30-Deep Everyone seemed to enjoy the "Sleeper Notes" section from a recent column, so I thought we'd do something like that again, although I'll call this a 'Preseason Dose.' I'm going to leave the word "Daily" off it for now, although we're getting close to having a column like this up every day. It's a combination of guys on the rise and others whose stock is falling.

You can get the Rotoworld NBA Draft Guide or follow me on Twitter by clicking the links.

This year, more than any other I remember, guys are simply reaching for players they want. Cheat sheets and lists are being ignored as owners go for as much perceived value and upside as they can get, ignoring many solid veterans like Antawn Jamison, Jason Kidd and Monta Ellis for guys like Blake Griffin, Jrue Holiday and John Wall. The No. 1 rule about preseason used to be that it should be ignored. But nowadays we can actually watch the games on TV, get highlights, get in-depth breakdowns on blogs and actually come to some rational conclusions, when in the past you just assumed a big night meant the other team was playing it's scrubs, or star teammates were sitting.

Blake

In any case, if you have a guy, say the Clippers' Blake Griffin, that you really want, you better be ready to reach for him. You're not the only one seeing those nightly highlights of him looking like a man possessed, and in many cases he'll be gone by the time you pick in Round 4.

Gilly

Gilbert Arenas lied to his coach about an injury and then injured his groin on Thursday. There are also rumors abounding that the Wizards still desperately want to move him, and the entire situation is one big red flag to me – not to mention the fact he really hasn't played in two years. I don't own him anywhere and don't plan to.

Monta

We posted a blurb about Monta Ellis taking on a leadership role with the Warriors. While there's no telling how long it will last or if it's even real, Ellis is looking very good to me right now. I've taken him in Round 2 and also seen him drop to Round 3, where he becomes a no-brainer. This column is worth checking out if you're thinking about drafting Monta, or if you already have him.

Jamison

Cleveland's Antawn Jamison hurt his knee last night and while the details are still emerging, he's a guy simply being ignored in drafts. I'm still not sure why that is, but I too would rather take Griffin (and several others) over Jamison. And with him hurting, he's going to fall even further. But with Jamison no longer a hot commodity, I bet he ends up being a great value pick in the middle rounds for many of us. That said, small forward is also the most shallow position in fantasy hoops this year, as the talent really drops off quickly. And if Jamison is really injured, J.J. Hickson takes yet another step forward. I really like Hickson, but usually wait on him a little too long, or am not looking for a PF at the right time to get him.

Pistons

Austin Daye and Greg Monroe, the two guys I ended up getting in 30-Deep recently, are on an uptick in Detroit. Daye has performed very well in a couple starts at power forward and there is growing sentiment that he could even win the starting job for opening night. Monroe has had a nice preseason and while he's not likely to start right away, he should get plenty of minutes behind Ben Wallace and whoever starts at PF. Check out the latest blurbs and see what these guys have been doing. Simply click on their names.

Haywood & Chandler

Brendan Haywood and Tyson Chandler have been a mess in Dallas and Haywood's falling, not just down draft boards, but all the way off of them. Both players should pretty much be avoided unless you're in a very deep league.

Sammy D

Kings center Samuel Dalembert's stock has been falling and a strained abductor that will keep him out for a month (at least) probably sealed his fate to not be drafted in most leagues. Not only is he hurt, but he has to deal with DeMarcus Cousins, who looks like a starting NBA center right now. Cousins' stock is rising quickly, and he's another guy you're no longer going to steal at the end of your draft. Carl Landry is also looking like a guy all of us should want to own this season. As for Dalembert, he's usually good for 82 games, so hopefully he'll be healthy and ready to go in December. If he is, he'll probably be worth a pick up.

Stephen Curry

Stephen Curry's value is still very high, despite a new coach in Golden State. He's going in the first round every time and I have seen him going in the Top 5 usually, although I have been responsible for some of those, as well. The bottom line is that he is coming off an injury-free season, put up monster numbers as a rookie, is the focal point of everything his team does and doesn't hurt you in any categories. Picking fourth or fifth is tough, and many guys are simply going with Curry, who should be a very fun player to own this year.

Hibbert

Stealing Pacers center Roy Hibbert late is going to be harder than ever after we saw that line of 16 points, 14 rebounds, four assists and seven blocks on Wednesday! Yes, we've seen lines like that from him before, and they've been followed by inconsistency. But this time it really feels like Hibbert has turned the corner and is ready for a break out year. I feel like he'll be going in Round 5 or 6 of many upcoming drafts. Is that the right spot for him to go? Maybe not, but this is the year of 'reaching for your guy.'

McRoberts

Josh McRoberts is also locked into the starting PF job in Indy and offers a nice combo of 3-pointers, rebounds and a few blocks. Once the stud PFs are gone, he's worth a look.

Anthony Randolph

Anthony Randolph is a guy whose stock is falling, as he's clearly not in the starting lineup and there are no indications of how many minutes he might get from night to night. But even Mike D'Antoni realizes that the kid has a chance to be a 'stat monster' and do it all for the Knicks. As one of Randolph's biggest supporters (ever), I kind of like the fact he's no longer in the spotlight. He now becomes a very manageable pick in the later-middle rounds of drafts when the risk factor becomes much lower, and non-existent in smaller leagues. I still think he'll get it figured out, bust into the rotation and could end up in the starting lineup by the first of the year. But it's the same old story with him, which comes down to his attitude, work ethic and enthusiasm for the game. Eventually he's going to get it.
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Felton

Another Knick who is down on his luck is Raymond Felton, as he's having trouble picking up the offense and just doesn't look comfortable on the court. Early predictions had him putting up huge numbers and being a Top 10, even Top 5 point guard, but it doesn't look like that's going to happen. However, it's still early and the Knicks aren't ready to give up on him after paying him all that jack. They're going to find a way to make it work, and he becomes a value option instead of a bust candidate now.

Holiday

Speaking of point guards, has anyone's stock risen faster in the last 24 hours than that of Philly's starting point guard Jrue Holiday? He had that triple-double on Wednesday night shortly after Doug Collins said he can be a Top 5 point guard in the NBA. Wow. He's still going middle rounds, but he is no longer a sleeper you want to target late. If you want him, you're probably going to have to step up and take him a round or two earlier than you think you should. And I'm starting to think he'll be worth it.

Three Wise Men

A few other guys I didn't mention last time were Nicolas Batum (Blazers), Josh Childress (Suns) and rookie Gordon Hayward (Jazz). Batum does a little bit of everything and could really bump up his scoring this season. He's a defensive specialist, but can also score and it looks like he'll have a big role for the Blazers. Wesley Matthews, who I did mention last time, is also playing well and could be a solid sixth man.

Here's what I wrote about Childress for Tom Lorenzo's Fanhouse Roundtable:

"He's having a great preseason, fitting in very well with his new teammates and the Suns, and he's one of those guys that won't crush any category, but does enough of everything to be a nice glue guy at the end of a fantasy draft. He can score, hit threes, steal, rebound, shoot it (even though the shot is ugly) and is a great teammate. A hustle guy who won't hurt you anywhere, and is as excited as anyone to be running alongside Steve Nash. I really don't see a downside to him and had he been playing in the NBA for the last couple years he'd probably be going in Round 5 instead of 12."

As for Hayward, I think he's a last-round flier, at best. But there are rumors that he could be in the starting lineup for the Jazz on opening night, making him a nice guy to target when the options become brutal.

From Russia With No Love

Timofey Mozgov was getting a ton of hype until struggling Wednesday night. He's still the starting center in New York as of today, but I imagine Amare Stoudemire is probably going to win the job, which will also help Wilson Chandler, who would start at small forward. Additionally, Roger Mason is looking like the possible starting SG in New York and is back in my good graces – at least for now.

Blair

DeJuan Blair is looking great for the Spurs, and while he has to deal with Tim Duncan and Tiago Splitter, I have a lot more faith in him now than I did a month ago. He's a beast, Gregg Popovich knows he's a beast, and the Spurs are going to find a way to give him solid minutes.

Jarrett Jack

Jarrett Jack's last line of 9-of-12 shooting, two 3-pointers, 24 points, eight rebounds, six assists and two steals has boosted his stock, and he is clearly a better pick than Jose Calderon. He's also a decent starting fantasy point guard option and is another example of just how deep the point guard pool runs.

Hopefully this gives you a general idea of where these guys may be taken in your draft, and you'll be able to plan accordingly for the ones you think you need to have.

Rotation Breakdown

And if you haven't already, check out Adam Levitan's East Rotations column, be sure to do so. And be on the lookout for the Western Conference version in the near future.

30-Deep

And as for Rounds 5 & 6 in 30-Deep? Here you go. These will be the last two rounds I post, but you could compile these four lists and have a nice cheat sheet.

Click here for Round 1
Click here for Round 2
Click here for Rounds 3 & 4

Continue reading for (most of) the results of Rounds 5 & 6.
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[SIZE=+1]Round 5[/SIZE]

121. Serge Ibaka F/C OKC – All upside, lots of blocks.
122. Yi Jianlian PF WAS – Great preseason, behind Blatche.
123. Jonny Flynn PG MIN – Injured, but could produce.
124. Jason Thompson F/C SAC – Benefits from loss of Sammy D.
125. Jarrett Jack PG TOR – Starting and looks great.
126. Mike Miller G/F MIA – Threes galore.
127. Drew Gooden F/C MIL – Starting C when Bogut's out.
128. Jose Calderon PG TOR – Value this late.
129. Leandro Barbosa G TOR – Could be a big sixth man.
130. Udonis Haslem PF MIA – Bosh hurts him.
131. Al Harrington F DEN – Foot injury huge concern.
132. Richard Jefferson SF SAN – Great pick this late.
133. Mehmet Okur F/C UTA – Could be out 3-4 more months.
134. Nicolas Batum G/F POR – Sleeper, see above.
135. Richard Hamilton G/F DET – Solid pick this late.
136. DeJuan Blair F/C SAN – Super sleeper, beast.
137. George Hill PG SAN – Will be big if Tony P goes down.
138. Charlie Villanueva F DET – Looking for bounce-back year.
139. James Harden SG OKC – Too many other options in OKC.
140. Lou Williams G PHI – Sneaky sixth man pick, like Barbosa.
141. Ron Artest F LAK – Too much of a role player now.
142. Thaddeus Young PF PHI – Starting, value pick.
143. Tiago Splitter F/C SAN – Injured, role still unknown.
144. Kirk Hinrich G WAS – Won't see enough minutes w/ Gil & Wall.
145. Corey Brewer G/F MIN – Sneaky pick, steals and 3s.
146. Corey Maggette G/F MIL – Healthy again, starter.
147. Josh Childress G/F PHO – Love the pick.
148. Amir Johnson PF TOR – Was my guy!
149. Linas Kleiza G/F TOR – Starting SF, sleeper.
150. Austin Daye F DET (my pick) – Could start at PF.

[SIZE=+1]Round 6[/SIZE]

151. Greg Monroe F/C DET (my pick) – Good preseason.
152. Will Bynum G DET – Waiting for Stuckey to slip.
153. Marvin Williams F ATL – Looks great for new coach.
154. Dorell Wright G/F GSW – Starting for GSW.
155. Taj Gibson PF CHI – Starting while Boozer's out.
156. Courtney Lee SG HOU – Behind K. Martin, who will get hurt.
157. Jamario Moon SF CLE – Could start at SF, replacing LBJ.
158. Mike Dunleavy SG IND – Starting at SG, could be healthy.
159. Reggie Williams F GSW – Super-sleeper alert.
160. Nate Robinson G BOS – Good preseason, but spotty.
161. Ty Lawson PG DEN – More minutes coming this year.
162. Shawn Marion F DAL – No risk this late.
163. Jermaine O'Neal F/C BOS – Starting C, boards & blocks.
164. Carlos Delfino G/F MIL – Buried for Bucks.
165. Josh McRoberts F/C IND – Starting PF, value pick.
166. Brendan Haywood C DAL – Looks awful right now.
167. Roddy Beaubois G DAL – Could have huge second half.
168. Randy Foye G LAC – Waiting for Baron Davis to slip.
169. Tracy McGrady G/F DET – Won't be ready for opener.
170. Luke Ridnour PG MIN – Starting PG for Wolves.
171. J.J. Redick SG ORL – Will hit a lot of 3s.
172. Kenyon Martin PF DEN – Injured, who knows when?
173. Greg Oden C POR – Ditto.
174. Steve Blake PG LAK – Could end up starting in L.A.
175. Chris Andersen F/C DEN – Injured, but boards & blocks.
176. Chase Budinger G/F HOU – Sneaky, good preseason.
177. Josh Howard G/F WAS – Won't be ready for opener.
 

hacheman@therx.com
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Fantasy Points Mock Draft
The UBC is a league that started in 2002 and featured guys like Matthew Berry, John Hollinger and Brandon Funston. It was the first "expert" league I ever played in and it's still in existence today. My plan was to post some draft results before now, but the three leagues I'm currently drafting in are doing 'extended' drafts, which is actually just another term for 'really, really slow.' In any case, there's still plenty of talent around in the UBC, which is a H2H Fantasy Points league. The rankings for points leagues really aren't much different than any other, but the fact remains that individual categories don't really matter. You could have a team that never gets assists or steals, but it doesn't matter, as your team's total points are all that count in the end.

It's a deep league, 12 owners, 17 rounds, start two centers, four guards, four forwards and a couple flexes. Because of the two center requirement, centers go higher in this league than most. Here's the scoring system:

Three Pointers Made = .08 points
Assists = .17 points
Blocks = .25 points
Field Goals Made = .25 points
Field Goals Attempted = -.08 points
Free Throws Made = .25 points
Free Throws Attempted = -.17 points
Points = .08 points
Steals = .17 points
Turnovers = -.17 points
Total Rebounds = .10 point

When it's all said and done, you end up with a score over a week resembling an actual NBA score. The system may look a little intimidating or scary at first, but it is highly effective and a system I'd recommend trying if you play in a points league.

Sorry for the lack of mocks this year, but along with this one, I should have a 12 Team Head-to-Head categories league draft posted on Tuesday.

You can get the Rotoworld NBA Draft Guide or follow me on Twitter by clicking the links. And don't forget about SnapDraft!

Here are the drafters, the draft order, and results (so far). This thing could go on for a couple more days.

1. Andrew Feingold, Rotocommunity.com
2. Brian Flood, NFL
3. Steve Alexander, Rotoworld.com
4. David Klyce, Hoopsklyce.com
5. Sergio Gonzalez, CBSSports.com
6. Dave Gawron, Rotocommunity.com
7. Matt Buser, Yahoo.com
8. Tim Trout, Beckett Media
9. Tom Carpenter, ESPN.com
10. Hector Castro, MMADiehards.com
11. Dan Dobish, OPENSports.com
12. Keith Wayland, KFBA.net

Flood is a former 30-Deep champion and used to work for CBS, while Castro used to work in the fantasy hoops industry before moving on to a more violent sport.

Round 1

1. Feingold – Kevin Durant
2. Flood – LeBron James
3. Alexander – Stephen Curry
4. Klyce – Chris Paul
5. Gonzalez – Deron Williams
6. Gawron – Dirk Nowitzki
7. Buser – Dwyane Wade
8. Trout – Kobe Bryant
9. Carpenter – Amare Stoudemire
10. Castro - Danny Granger
11. Dobish – Dwight Howard
12. Wayland – Carmelo Anthony

Nothing to see here folks. Oh, except that I got a little crazy just as my pick came up and decided I trusted Stephen Curry more at that moment than Chris Paul. Some of you probably love this call, some of you hate it. Paul missed a ton of games last season and still doesn't sound particularly thrilled to be in New Orleans. Curry was all-world in the second half and is the focal point of everything in Warriorland. I'm still going to leave CP3 at No. 3 in my rankings, but really felt the urge to take Curry in this one. And this is another good reminder that a Draft Guide is just a "guide." Someone in another draft recently said to me "don't you write the Tiers at Rotoworld? Then why don't you follow them?" Great question, but I don't even use a list of players when I draft my hoops teams anymore.

Round 2

13. Wayland – Derrick Rose
14. Dobish – David Lee
15. Castro – Pau Gasol
16. Carpenter – Brook Lopez
17. Trout – Andre Iguodala
18. Buser – Al Jefferson
19. Gawron – Tyreke Evans
20. Gonzalez – Zach Randolph
21. Klyce – Rajon Rondo
22. Alexander – Josh Smith
23. Flood – Chris Bosh
24. Feingold – Steve Nash

Rose, Rondo and Evans all went before the older point guards, while Nash was taken just ahead of several more young guns. I went with Josh Smith, as usual, and it was interesting to see Bosh taken in Round 2. Gasol has been going in Round 1 of most of the drafts I've seen.

Round 3

25. Feingold – Russell Westbrook
26. Flood – John Wall
27. Alexander – Monta Ellis
28. Klyce – Brandon Roy
29. Gonzalez – Joe Johnson
30. Gawron – Al Horford
31. Buser – David West
32. Trout – Gerald Wallace
33. Carpenter – Brandon Jennings
34. Castro – Tim Duncan
35. Dobish – LaMarcus Aldridge
36. Wayland – Marc Gasol

Quite the guard run with Westbrook, Wall, Ellis, Roy and Johnson. I am not sure how or why, but Monta fell to Round 3 and I felt like I had to take him at this spot. I've not got Curry and Monta on the same team, and while some people hate the idea of doing such a thing, I am feeling it. You can bet I'll be watching the Warriors a lot this year. Maybe a round or two too high for Jennings, while you won't see Duncan taken this high in most leagues.

Round 4

37. Wayland – Andrew Bogut
38. Dobish – Darren Collison
39. Castro – Andrea Bargnani
40. Carpenter – Rudy Gay
41. Trout – Jason Kidd
42. Buser – Stephen Jackson
43. Gawron – Chris Kaman
44. Gonzalez – Aaron Brooks
45. Klyce – Kevin Love
46. Alexander – Andray Blatche
47. Flood - Blake Griffin
48. Feingold – Joakim Noah

I was pretty thrilled to get Blatche here, especially since he qualifies at center and this is a two-center league. But in hindsight, I think I would take Griffin instead next time around. Too early for Bogut, who is going to feel a jolt every single time his arm is hit this year, while this is typically the place you'll see Collison, Bargnani, Gay and Noah going.

Round 5

49. Feingold – DeMarcus Cousins
50. Flood – Chauncey Billups
51. Alexander – Roy Hibbert
52. Klyce – Nene
53. Gonzalez – Antawn Jamison
54. Gawron – Carl Landry
55. Buser – Anthony Randolph
56. Trout – Carlos Boozer
57. Carpenter – Devin Harris
58. Castro – Raymond Felton
59. Dobish – Baron Davis
60. Wayland – Tony Parker

That's a pretty big reach for DeMarcus Cousins I think, while the same thing can be said about me grabbing Roy Hibbert here. It was just after he had that seven-block game and we have to play two centers in this league. I'm not feeling Chauncey Billups this year, but he'll still be solid and steady. This round has several question marks, including Antawn Jamison, Carl Landry, Anthony Randolph, Devin Harris, Raymond Felton and Baron Davis.

Continue reading for Rounds 6-10.
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Round 6

61. Wayland – Yao Ming
62. Dobish – Paul Pierce
63. Castro – Jrue Holiday
64. Carpenter – Paul Millsap
65. Trout – John Salmons
66. Buser – Manu Ginobili
67. Gawron – Mo Williams
68. Gonzalez – Luol Deng
69. Klyce – Rodney Stuckey
70. Alexander – J.J. Hickson
71. Flood – O.J. Mayo
72. Feingold – Luis Scola

No thank you on Yao Ming this year. Castro jumped in and reached for Jrue Holiday after the triple-double, and I fully support that move. I did the same with young J.J. Hickson, who qualifies at F/C and looks like the starting PF in Cleveland. Maybe Scola would have been a better pick, but he's only a forward in this league.

Round 7

73. Feingold – Emeka Okafor
74. Flood – Danilo Gallinari
75. Alexander – Jeff Green
76. Klyce – Gilbert Arenas
77. Gonzalez –Troy Murphy
78. Gawron – Wilson Chandler
79. Buser – Andre Miller
80. Trout – Jason Thompson
81. Carpenter – Jason Richardson
82. Castro – Kevin Martin
83. Dobish – Andrew Bynum
84. Wayland – Kevin Garnett

I just saw Okafor taken in the 10th round of another draft, which I will attribute to this one requiring the two starters. Leagues that require two starting centers draft in a different manner than one-center leagues. Which also explains why Andrew Bynum went in Round 7, when he wasn't taken until Round 10 in my other league. Jason Richardson looks like a serious value pick here, as does Jeff Green. This is the farthest I've seen Danilo Gallinari fall this year, while Gilbert Arenas remains one of the biggest crapshoots in the league.

Round 8

85. Wayland – Vince Carter
86. Dobish – Mehmet Okur
87. Castro – Michael Beasley
88. Carpenter – Robin Lopez
89. Trout – Marcus Camby
90. Buser – Hedo Turkoglu
91. Gawron – Eric Gordon
92. Gonzalez – Caron Butler
93. Klyce – Lamar Odom
94. Alexander – Trevor Ariza
95. Flood - Channing Frye
96. Feingold – J.R. Smith

You won't find Vince Carter, Mehmet Okur or Marcus Camby on any of my teams this year, but I was looking closely at Michael Beasley and Lamar Odom here. I ended up going with Trevor Ariza, who should be set for a bounce-back year playing with Chris Paul.

Round 9

97. Feingold – Terrence Williams
98. Flood – Ray Allen
99. Alexander – DeJuan Blair
100. Klyce – JaVale McGee
101. Gonzalez – Jamal Crawford
102. Gawron – Jason Terry
103. Buser – Drew Gooden
104. Trout – Rashard Lewis
105. Carpenter – Ben Gordon
106. Castro – Mike Dunleavy
107. Dobish – Tayshaun Prince
108. Wayland – Jameer Nelson

I was sad to see Terrence Williams taken in front of me, so went with another big man in DeJuan Blair, who is quickly growing on me. He could even work his way into the starting lineup and stay there all year. I also considered JaVale McGee here. Ray Allen, Jamal Crawford, Rashard Lewis and Ben Gordon all look like solid value picks here.

Round 10 is currently underway, but may not even get finished until Tuesday.

I'll be back on Tuesday with another draft.
 

hacheman@therx.com
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Projected Rotations Part 2
Last week, we previewed the Eastern Conference by projecting rotations and minutes played for all the relevant players. Now it's time to go west.

Remember that these rotations are far from set in stone. Even though we are just one week away from Opening Night, coaches are still toying with their final open slots. We need to be ready to adjust once the season hits.

Also, be sure to take a look at Dr. A's risers and fallers plus his 30-deep draft as you get ready for your own draft.

Editor's Note: For full projections, tiers, rankings and everything else you need, check out the Draft Guide!

* Denotes a player that is starting only because of a relatively short-term injury.
(xx) projected minutes per game


<BIG>DALLAS</BIG>
Starters
PG Jason Kidd (34)
SG DeShawn Stevenson* (18)
SF Caron Butler (32)
PF Dirk Nowitzki (37)
C Brendan Haywood (27)

Relevant reserves
SG Jason Terry (32)
SF Shawn Marion (30)
SG Rodrigue Beaubois (N/A - 25 when healthy)
C Tyson Chandler (21)
SG Dominique Jones (14)

Notes: Look for Rodrigue Beaubois to start at shooting guard once he recovers from his foot injury. ... DeShawn Stevenson is only projected as a starter here because Jason Terry is a natural sixth man and Dominique Jones is a rookie. Stevenson is one of the worst offensive guards in the league. ... Tyson Chandler and Brendan Haywood are going to cancel each other out.

<BIG>DENVER</BIG>
Starters
PG Chauncey Billups (32)
SG Arron Afflalo (27)
SF Carmelo Anthony (38)
PF Shelden Williams* (17)
C Nene Hilario (33)

Relevant Reserves
SG J.R. Smith (28)
PF Kenyon Martin (N/A - 30 when healthy)
C Chris Andersen (23)
PG Ty Lawson (26)
PF Al Harrington (27)

Notes: Chauncey Billups is accumulating a ton of wear on his tires. Ty Lawson will be used to move Billups off the ball at times. ... Kenyon Martin (knee) is out until at least December. ... Al Harrington (torn fascia) should be ready for the season but will be eased in. He would benefit greatly from a Carmelo Anthony trade.

<BIG>GOLDEN STATE</BIG>
Starters
PG Stephen Curry (38)
SG Monta Ellis (38)
SF Dorell Wright (29)
PF David Lee (39)
C Andris Biedrins (33)

Relevant reserves
SF Reggie Williams (25)
PF Vladimir Radanovich (26)

Notes: With Don Nelson gone, the Warriors will likely play less small ball. Good news for David Lee and Andris Biedrins. ... Monta Ellis played over 41 minutes a game last year and the Warriors have discussed scaling that back. ... Even with Don Nelson gone, this offense is going to revolve around Stephen Curry. He is a beast.

<BIG>HOUSTON</BIG>
Starters
PG Aaron Brooks (35)
SG Kevin Martin (35)
SF Shane Battier (30)
PF Luis Scola (34)
C Yao Ming (24)

Relevant reserves
SF Chase Budinger (24)
C Brad Miller (24)
SG Courtney Lee (22)
PG Kyle Lowry (21)

Notes: Yao Ming is expected to be on a 25-minute cap all season. He will also sit out some games. ... Chase Budinger has a fantasy-friendly game and will have a much bigger role as the year goes on. ... Luis Scola averaged 18.7 points and 8.9 rebounds after the All-Star break last year, mainly because Carl Landry was traded away. It also didn't hurt that Yao Ming was out.

<BIG>LOS ANGELES CLIPPERS</BIG>
Starters
PG Baron Davis (31)
SG Eric Gordon (36)
SF Ryan Gomes (31)
PF Blake Griffin (37)
C Chris Kaman (34)

Relevant reserves
PG Randy Foye (24)
SF Rasual Butler (25)
C DeAndre Jordan (18)

Notes: Baron Davis is on the wrong side of the hill and doesn't seem to really care. ... Ryan Gomes and Rasual Butler are going to cancel out any upside. ... Blake Griffin's knee appears 100 percent.

<BIG>LOS ANGELES LAKERS</BIG>
Starters
PG Derek Fisher (26)
SG Kobe Bryant (36)
SF Ron Artest (33)
PF Lamar Odom* (35 while Bynum is out)
C Pau Gasol (37)

Relevant reserves
C Andrew Bynum (N/A - 27 when healthy)
PG Steve Blake (22)
SG Shannon Brown (20)
SF Matt Barnes (23)

Notes: Andrew Bynum (knee) is expected back by December. But he'll be handled with kid gloves. ... Kobe Bryant's assortment of nagging injuries are a concern. ... Pau Gasol is an absolute monster when Bynum is out. Same goes for Lamar Odom.

<BIG>MEMPHIS</BIG>
Starters
PG Mike Conley (34)
SG O.J. Mayo (38)
SF Rudy Gay (40)
PF Zach Randolph (38)
C Marc Gasol (35)

Relevant reserves
SF Sam Young (19)
C Hasheem Thabeet (18)
SG Tony Allen (22)

Notes: This rotation won't change much from a year ago. Heavy minutes for all the starters again. ... The only one with real upside in his game to make a leap is Mike Conley.

<!--RW-->
<BIG>MINNESOTA</BIG>
Starters
PG Luke Ridnour* (31 while Flynn is out)
SG Corey Brewer (28)
SF Michael Beasley ( 32)
PF Kevin Love (34)
C Darko Milicic (30)

Relevant reserves
PG Jonny Flynn (N/A - 30 when healthy)
SG Martell Webster (27)
SF Wesley Johnson (28)

Notes: Corey Brewer is not locked in as the starter, but he gets the nod here because he is the incumbent. It's a fluid situation. ... Jonny Flynn (hip) should be ready within the first month of the season. Expect him to get his job back from Luke Ridnour, but it will still be a pretty even timeshare. ... Kevin Love is a stone cold lock to average a double-double with these kind of minutes.

<BIG>NEW ORLEANS</BIG>
Starters
PG Chris Paul (36)
SG Marco Belinelli (29)
SF Trevor Ariza (34)
PF David West (36)
C Emeka Okafor (30)

Relevant reserves
SG Marcus Thornton (28)
SF Peja Stojakovic (27)

Notes: Marcus Thornton is coming off the bench due to defensive struggles. He is still going to log a ton of minutes as the year moves along at both guard spots. ... Playing with Chris Paul should be a big boost for Trevor Ariza's offensive game. ... Peja Stojakovic is one of the worst defenders in the league, limiting his ability to get burn.

<BIG>OKLAHOMA CITY</BIG>
Starters
PG Russell Westbrook (35)
SG Thabo Sefolosha (26)
SF Kevin Durant (40)
PF Jeff Green (38)
C Nenad Krstic (21)

Relevant reserves
C Serge Ibaka (25)
SG James Harden (25)

Notes: Nenad Krstic is nursing a finger injury, but should be okay for the start of the season. ... Thabo Sefolosha starts ahead of Harden because of his defense. ... Serge Ibaka blocked 12 shots in six games off the bench during last year's playoff series against the Lakers.

<BIG>PHOENIX</BIG>
Starters
PG Steve Nash (30)
SG Jason Richardson (31)
SF Grant Hill (30)
PF Hedo Turkoglu (32)
C Robin Lopez (25)

Relevant reserves
PG Goran Dragic (23)
SG Josh Childress (20)
PF Hakim Warrick (22)
C Channing Frye (23)

Notes: Steve Nash's minutes have declined in each of the last four seasons. He'll be 37 years old in February and Goran Dragic is one of the better backups in the league. ... If the Hedo Turkoglu at power forward experiment fails, Hakim Warrick is a fine replacement.

<BIG>PORTLAND</BIG>
Starters
PG Andre Miller (30)
SG Brandon Roy (37)
SF Nicolas Batum (29)
PF LaMarcus Aldridge (38)
C Marcus Camby (31)

Relevant reserves
C Greg Oden (N/A)
C Joel Przybilla (N/A - 21 when healthy)
SG Wesley Matthews (21)
SG Rudy Fernandez (23)

Notes: Greg Oden (knee) will be out until at least Christmas. Joel Przybilla (knee) should be back by Thanksgiving. By then, Marcus Camby should be breaking down. ... Brandon Roy is going to play more on the ball, leaving Jerryd Bayless without a role once again. ... Rudy Fernandez does not look like he's going to get his wish of a trade granted.

<BIG>SAN ANTONIO</BIG>
Starters
PG Tony Parker (32)
SG Manu Ginobili (31)
SF Richard Jefferson (31)
PF Tim Duncan (31)
C DeJuan Blair (22)

Relevant reserves
C Tiago Splitter (28)
PG George Hill (29)

Notes: Tiago Splitter has had some nagging injuries and will be in a fight with DeJuan Blair for the starting gig even when healthy. Blair is making it tough for coach Gregg Popovich not play him. ... Tim Duncan was playing 34 minutes a night in 2007-08. Last year, he was at 31. He needs rest for the playoffs. ... George Hill is going to get plenty of starts behind those injury-prone starters. He has starting-caliber ability anyway.

<BIG>SACRAMENTO</BIG>
Starters
PG Beno Udrih (34)
SG Tyreke Evans (40)
SF Donte Greene (24)
PF Carl Landry (37)
C DeMarcus Cousins* (28 while Dalembert is out)

Relevant reserves
C Samuel Dalembert (N/A - 30 when healthy)
SG Francisco Garcia (23)
PF Jason Thompson (29)

Notes: Beno Udrih has no competition for the starting gig and averaged 14.8 points, 6.0 assists and 1.4 steals as a starter last year. ... Tyreke Evans should never come off the floor. ... Samuel Dalembert (hip) should be back by Thanksgiving.

<BIG>UTAH</BIG>
Starters
PG Deron Williams (37)
SG Raja Bell (28)
SF Andrei Kirilenko (30)
PF Paul Millsap (36)
C Al Jefferson (34)

Relevant reserves
PF Mehmet Okur (N/A - 30 when healthy)
SG Gordon Hayward (24)

Notes: Mehmet Okur (Achilles surgery) is tentatively expected back by December. He will still come off the bench as long as Paul Millsap is living up to expectations. ... Andrei Kirilenko simply performs better as a starter. Jerry Sloan knows it.
 

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More Mock, Dwight at No. 4 Here are the results for the 3rd Annual Rock and Roll Fantasy Hoops League draft. While it's not a league full of industry insiders, it is possibly my most competitive league, as all 12 owners are highly motivated and driven to win. This league is H2H with each category win worth one point. Eight categories, no turnovers, start four guards, four forwards, one center and one flex.

The owners in this 12-team league are all in the music industry and include Bo Koster, Brian McPherson, Sonia Grover, Mark Smith, Stephen Malkmus, Jamie Sampson, Ryan Wilson, Andrew Steinthal, Doug Martsch, Amy Seidenwurm and Dan Parratt. They all read Rotoworld, among other things, and my guess is that this is what many of your drafts will look like.

You can get the Rotoworld NBA Draft Guide or follow me on Twitter by clicking the links. And don't forget about SnapDraft!

Round 1

1 Kevin Durant SF OKC
2 LeBron James SF MIA
3 Chris Paul PG NO
4 Dwight Howard C ORL
5 Steve Alexander Stephen Curry PG GS
6 Deron Williams PG UTA
7 Tyreke Evans PG SAC
8 Kobe Bryant SG LAL
9 Dwyane Wade SG MIA
10 Dirk Nowitzki PF DAL
11 Danny Granger SF IND
12 Brook Lopez C NJ

This draft went pretty true to form, with the Big 3 going in order. Too early for Dwight Howard? Maybe, but punting free throws for everything else he does is probably fine. Tyreke Evans may have been a reach at No. 7 for Jamie, but the potential is there and his shooting, both from outside and the free throw line, looks better this year. I got Stephen Curry again, and might have him in every single league thus far, which is a lot of eggs in one basket. In a lot of leagues, you might see Dirk Nowitzki go at No. 5 and Curry at No. 10.

Round 2

1 John Wall PG WAS
2 Pau Gasol PF LAL
3 Rajon Rondo PG BOS
4 Amare Stoudemire PF NY
5 Russell Westbrook PG OKC
6 Carmelo Anthony SF DEN
7 Josh Smith PF ATL
8 Steve Alexander Gerald Wallace SF CHA
9 Monta Ellis SG GS
10 David Lee C GS
11 Derrick Rose PG CHI
12 Steve Nash PG PHO

John Wall with the first pick of Round 2 is making quite a statement, although we don't count TOs in this league. Dan obviously wanted to make sure he got him, and this was probably his only shot at him based on his No. 12 draft spot. A lot of people disagree with taking Russell Westbrook in Round 2, but in non-TO leagues, I think it makes a lot of sense. Malkmus took Josh Smith right before I picked, so I grabbed Smoove Jr. in Gerald Wallace. I don't think you'll see Derrick Rose go after Wall and Westbrook in most leagues.

Round 3

1 Chris Bosh PF MIA
2 Andre Iguodala SF PHI
3 Brandon Roy SG POR
4 Jason Kidd PG DAL
5 Steve Alexander Joe Johnson SG ATL
6 Andrea Bargnani C TOR
7 Zach Randolph PF MEM
8 Aaron Brooks PG HOU
9 Chauncey Billups PG DEN
10 Al Jefferson C UTA
11 Darren Collison PG IND
12 Brandon Jennings PG MIL

I was surprised to see Aaron Brooks, Chauncey Billups and Brandon Jennings going in Round 3, and while it might also be a round early for Darren Collison, he's consistently been going in 3 or 4 in my drafts. I got Joe Johnson in the middle of Round 3, which should make him a solid value pick this year. Point guard is so deep this year it was interesting to see the run happen early.

Round 4

1 Kevin Love PF MIN
2 Joakim Noah C CHI
3 Stephen Jackson SG CHA
4 Al Horford C ATL
5 Blake Griffin PF LAC
6 Danilo Gallinari SF NY
7 Rudy Gay SF MEM
8 Steve Alexander Andray Blatche PF WAS
9 Marc Gasol C MEM
10 Paul Pierce SF BOS
11 Antawn Jamison PF CLE
12 Andrew Bogut C MIL

There's Blake Griffin right in the middle of Round 4 again. He's gone in Round 4 of all my recent drafts, which is where you have to plan on him in your draft if you want him. I did hear from Ashley3546 on Twitter that she got him in Round 7 last night, but I haven't seen him drop that far since he started exploding in preseason games last week. Round 4 was probably too early for Paul Pierce, Antawn Jamison and Andrew Bogut, simply because I think they would have been available in Round 5 or 6 instead.

Round 5

1 Raymond Felton PG NY
2 David West PF NO
3 Devin Harris PG NJ
4 Nene C DEN
5 Steve Alexander Jrue Holiday PG PHI
6 Jason Richardson SG PHO
7 Baron Davis PG LAC
8 LaMarcus Aldridge PF POR
9 Tim Duncan PF SA
10 Mo Williams PG CLE
11 O.J. Mayo SG MEM
12 DeMarcus Cousins C SAC

It's early, but Raymond Felton has looked terrible in New York thus far and his stock is dropping every day. He'll probably get it figured out, but things are not going like we thought they would for Felton and Mike D'Antoni. I may have reached a little for Jrue Holiday after his triple-double, but the pick also brought out some 'dammits' from the draft room, which is always nice to hear. I also made that pick from my kid's school by calling my wife on my cell phone and having her log into our draft room and get him. Whatever it takes. I'm not sure DeMarcus Cousins should be going in Round 5, but at least we know he's going to start for at least a month or so.

Round 6

1 Kevin Martin SG HOU
2 Gilbert Arenas PG WAS
3 Trevor Ariza SG NO
4 Manu Ginobili SG SA
5 Roy Hibbert C IND
6 Chris Kaman C LAC
7 Jeff Green PF OKC
8 Steve Alexander Paul Millsap PF UTA
9 Carlos Boozer PF CHI
10 Troy Murphy PF NJ
11 Eric Gordon SG LAC
12 Caron Butler SF DAL

Roy Hibbert's been going in Rounds 5 or 6 in most of my drafts, although it's possible Chris Kaman would have been a smarter pick. I love the Jeff Green pick here. Carlos Boozer's out for at least a month, while Troy Murphy's back has been a problem. I like Trevor Ariza playing alongside Chris Paul and I decided to go with another big in the form of Paul Millsap. Caron Butler looks like a nice pick at the end of Round 6 as he's looking for a bounce-back year.
<!--RW-->
Round 7

1 Lamar Odom PF LAL
2 Marcus Camby PF POR
3 Rashard Lewis PF ORL
4 Mike Conley PG MEM
5 Steve Alexander Luis Scola PF HOU
6 Andre Miller PG POR
7 Wilson Chandler SG NY
8 Luol Deng SF CHI
9 Hedo Turkoglu SF PHO
10 Anthony Randolph PF NY
11 Carl Landry PF SAC
12 James Harden SG OKC

I like Marcus Camby in Round 7, but not in Round 4 or 5. And yes, he's already hurting with hip and groin injuries. There's a ton of nearly guaranteed value in Round 7 with Lamar Odom, Rashard Lewis, Mike Conley, Luis Scola and Andre Miller, while Wilson Chandler, Luol Deng, Hedo Turkoglu, Carl Landry and James Harden should all end up being solid plays. Anthony Randolph has been a mess early, but Round 7 is a great spot for him, as the risk is mostly alleviated.

Round 8

1 Michael Beasley PF MIN
2 Jameer Nelson PG ORL
3 Jamal Crawford SG ATL
4 Evan Turner SG PHI
5 J.J. Hickson PF CLE
6 Tony Parker PG SA
7 Rodney Stuckey PG DET
8 Steve Alexander Terrence Williams SG NJ
9 John Salmons SF MIL
10 Ray Allen SG BOS
11 Kevin Garnett PF BOS
12 Vince Carter SG ORL

I love the Hickson pick this late, while Bo was in shock that he took Vince Carter. Actually, Carter looks pretty motivated and wants to win a ring this year. Probably a value pick . Not in love with my Terrence Williams pick here, but needed to start getting some guys who can play guard.

Round 9

1 Anderson Varejao PF CLE
2 Jarrett Jack PG TOR
3 Jason Terry SG DAL
4 Tyrus Thomas PF CHA
5 Steve Alexander DeJuan Blair C SA
6 Robin Lopez C PHO
7 Jason Thompson PF SAC
8 Channing Frye C PHO
9 Andris Biedrins C GS
10 Samuel Dalembert C SAC
11 D.J. Augustin PG CHA
12 Mike Miller SG MIA

I wasn't thrilled that Brian scooped up Jarrett Jack here, as I wanted him, so I decided to go big again with DeJuan Blair. I am starting to like Blair's situation in San Antonio a little more each day. I especially like the Anderson Varejao, Tyrus Thomas, Robin Lopez and D.J. Augustin picks in this round.

Round 10

1 Linas Kleiza SF TOR
2 Drew Gooden PF MIL
3 Nicolas Batum SG POR
4 Beno Udrih PG SAC
5 Martell Webster SF MIN
6 Jonny Flynn PG MIN
7 Andrei Kirilenko SF UTA
8 Steve Alexander Elton Brand PF PHI
9 George Hill PG SA
10 Emeka Okafor C NO
11 Andrew Bynum C LAL
12 Jose Calderon PG TOR

Mostly solid names in Round 10. I guess someone had to take Andrew Bynum at some point, right? Linas Kleiza's looking good in Toronto, while the question marks in this round include Martell Webster, George Hill and Jose Calderon.

Round 11

1 J.R. Smith SG DEN
2 Marcus Thornton PG NO
3 Yao Ming C HOU
4 Ramon Sessions PG CLE
5 Steve Alexander Josh Childress SG PHO
6 Anthony Morrow SF NJ
7 Wesley Johnson SF MIN
8 JaVale McGee C WAS
9 Boris Diaw SF CHA
10 Nate Robinson SG BOS
11 Marvin Williams SF ATL
12 Corey Maggette SF MIL

I was surprised to see JaVale McGee fall this far, while Boris Diaw looks like a real value pick here. I finally got another guard with Childress, but I wish he didn't have to deal with Grant Hill and Jason Richardson for his minutes. Marcus Thornton's story is only getting worse, but at least Brian got him in Round 11, unlike yours truly in 30-Deep.

Round 12

1 Jeff Teague PG ATL
2 Leandro Barbosa SG TOR
3 Shaun Livingston PG CHA
4 Dorell Wright SF GS
5 Courtney Lee SG HOU
6 Greg Oden C POR
7 Amir Johnson SF TOR
8 Steve Alexander Ben Gordon SG DET
9 Al Harrington PF DEN
10 Thaddeus Young SF PHI
11 DeMar DeRozan SG TOR
12 Brendan Haywood C DAL

Sleeper central in Round 12, although I think Shaun Livingston was a wasted pick. Ben Gordon was just sitting there waiting and I had to pull the trigger. He should have a bounce-back year, but still plays in Detroit. I'm somewhat astounded by the number of Detroit players I'm accumulating in these drafts. Jamie's going to need some good luck with Mr. Oden.

Round 13

1 Tayshaun Prince SF DET
2 Tiago Splitter C SA
3 Carlos Delfino SF MIL
4 Serge Ibaka PF OKC
5 Steve Alexander Austin Daye SF DET
6 Richard Jefferson SF SA
7 Yi Jianlian PF WAS
8 Ty Lawson PG DEN
9 Luke Ridnour PG MIN
10 Travis Outlaw SF NJ
11 Ersan Ilyasova PF MIL
12 Arron Afflalo SG DEN

I am quickly becoming a big Austin Daye fan and am going to target him in all of my drafts. Serge Ibaka is interesting and could end up starting a lot of games in the middle for OKC, and will block a ton of shots this year.

Round 14

1 Ron Artest SF LAL
2 Josh Howard SF WAS
3 Jermaine O'Neal C BOS
4 Josh McRoberts PF IND
5 Anthony Parker SG CLE
6 Richard Hamilton SG DET
7 Charlie Villanueva PF DET
8 Steve Alexander Jamario Moon SF CLE
9 Roddy Beaubois PG DAL
10 Shane Battier SF HOU
11 J.J. Redick SG ORL
12 Mike Dunleavy SG IND

Jamario Moon is starting for the Cavs and has the potential to do it all, so I was happy to get him. Charlie Villanueva was a sneaky pick for Malkmus, while Mark made a nice call on Roddy Beaubois. Bo's hoping for a Mike Dunleavy resurgence and might get it, while Jermaine O'Neal and Richard Hamilton should offer solid value this late. Even thought it's Round 14, I still wouldn't have taken Josh Howard, who isn't likely to be ready for the start of the season. Sorry, Amy!
 

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Rise of the Baron

Welcome to the third annual season-opening edition of Roundball Stew. As the title of this column suggests, the past two seasons have seen this weekly feature be something of a swirling cauldron of bubbly (and occasionally delicious) fantasy basketball insight.

In 2010-11, I shall still stir the cauldron with the same vigor, but am planning to give the column more of a regular format so that you, the reader, may enjoy a more coherent experience without getting broth all over your new cat sweater.

But enough talk of soup and clothing. With the season less than a week away, let's get to the key topics:

[SIZE=+1]Trendspotting[/SIZE]

Three on the Rise:

(Note: The point here is to mention players you aren't necessarily thinking about. We all know, for example, that Amare Stoudemire's stock is rising after that 39-point game, and that players like Kevin Love and John Wall are rapidly escalating in draft position. The goal is to highlight players who haven't gotten relentless buzz during the preseason.)

Baron Davis: After coming into camp out of shape, Le Baron is finally looking like his dynamic self again. The preseason numbers don't reflect it overall (9.8 points, 2.0 rebounds, 7.2 assists, 1.2 steals), but he looked terrific on Tuesday (15 points, five rebounds, eight assists, a three and a block) and has plenty of talent surrounding him in the starting five. Injuries are always a concern, but I'm feeling way more inclined to burn a fourth-round pick on Baron than I was a couple weeks ago.

Trevor Ariza: If the equation sounds simple, it is. Playing with Chris Paul will most definitely improve Ariza's FG% (39.4), which was his most glaring weakness as a fantasy player a year ago. Not to say that he'll return to the 46.0 percent he shot for the Lakers in 2008-09, but 43 percent is well within reach, and lines like the one he posted Wednesday (19 points, four rebounds, two assists, four three, three steals, two blocks) should serve as a reminder why he's undervalued in drafts.

James Harden: Preseason stats shouldn't always be taken too seriously, but when a strong preseason (15.2 points, 4.7 rebounds, 3.2 assists and 2.8 steals per game) merges with some complimentary words from Scott Brooks about Harden's improvement (click his name above for more details), you take notice. Though he's likely to come off the bench, Harden could break through as a very strong supporting fantasy option this season.

Three on the Plummet:

Rashard Lewis: He's still a valuable source of threes, but in my opinion he's being selected too high in drafts based on his reputation. Lewis' scoring average has dropped for three straight seasons (22.4 --> 18.2 --> 17.7 --> 14.1), and last season he was only the 76th-best player in Basketball Monster's rankings. He's still worth owning in all leagues, but don't overdraft just because you associate his name with past success.

Caron Butler: Another veteran on the decline who is being overdrafted based on name recognition. I know there have been reports about how he came into camp in great shape – and that may very well be the case – but Butler's role in the Dallas offense makes him a marginal fantasy player at best. Part of what made him great in Washington was the assist potential from the SF position, but last year for Dallas he averaged just 1.8 apg (to go with 15.2 ppg, 5.4 rpg, 1.8 spg and 0.6 threes). He could improve on those numbers this season, but not enough to make him a standout mid-round draft pick.

Hedo Turkoglu: You hopefully know this one by now, but let this be your reminder to stay very far away. Between the shift to a position he should never be playing (power forward) and the prolonged absence of his mojo dating back to last season, I will not be nudging Turkoglu with an 11-foot javelin unless he somehow falls to the last few rounds of my draft. His only potential saving grace is that Steve Nash can make anyone good, but this bizarre, prolonged slump (including 5.1 ppg on 31.1 % shooting this preseason) may transcend even that.

[SIZE=+1]Five Random but Hopefully Useful Observations[/SIZE]

1. Tyreke Evans is not about to become a significant force on threes. He has hit 0.8 per game during the preseason on 35.7 percent shooting, which does represent an improvement on his 0.5 and 25.0 percent from last year, but not enough to make an enormous difference. The bottom line: Tyreke will improve on threes, but expecting more than one per game is unrealistic.

2. No Chris Bosh may not be a good thing for Andrea Bargnani. He'll still be an asset in threes and blocks, but Bargnani has averaged just 11.6 ppg and 4.4 rpg on 33.3 percent shooting while facing extra defensive attention this preseason, and he'll be a focal point for opposing defenses all year long.

3. I'm a big fan of Linas Kleiza toward the end of drafts. He may not do a ton other than score and hit threes, but I can easily picture him topping 16.0 of the former while hitting somewhere in the range of 1.5 of the latter. And he comes a lot cheaper than some points/threes options you might be targeting earlier.

4. While we're on the Raptors, I don't see the point of drafting DeMar DeRozan. Sure, he's bound to improve this season, but I'm not convinced he'll do anything other than score and grab a steal here and there. He's just 1-for-3 on threes this preseason, which is not good news for a SG/SF type.

5. Don't overlook Austin Daye in the last round. Seems like he's been beginning the season on waivers in a lot of leagues, but Daye is quick becoming an extremely stealthy pick after averaging 15.0 points, 5.6 rebounds, 0.9 steals, 0.9 blocks and 2.0 threes during the preseason. Again, it's not always logical to put a ton of stock in preseason stats, but he appears to have locked up the starting PF gig, or at the very least something close to 30 minutes per game off the bench. Quite simply, players who hit threes and get blocks are immensely useful, and the cost on this particular prospect is impossible to argue with.

[SIZE=+1]Other Things to Know[/SIZE]

If you're eager for more hoops insight, I did a brain-melting two-hour chat this week covering a slew of topics. It should be noted that during said chat I was momentarily down on Baron Davis and Andre Iguodala, but in the past couple days I have become considerably more encouraged about their outlooks. But enough talk, check out the chat right here.

For even more fantasy hoops-related insight, including cheat sheets, exclusive articles and positional tiers, you are hereby encouraged to check out the Rotoworld NBA Draft Guide.

And if you can accept the fact that I sometimes make completely bizarre, non-sports-related insights (shocking, I know) and prefer not to answer fantasy-related questions on Twitter, you can follow me on the aforementioned social networking tool right here.

I'm planning to continue to streamline (and add sections to) the new-look Stew as the year goes on, until the final edition of the season will be so profoundly focused and meaningful that it will make everyone reading it black out and wake up in a vast meadow suddenly wielding basketball knowledge they didn't even know existed.

At least that's the general idea, anyway.
 

hacheman@therx.com
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It's Tip-Off Time!
Well here we are. Opening night of the NBA season is finally upon us and it's time for the first Daily Dose. Hopefully your drafts went smoothly and you feel good about your teams. Enjoy that feeling, as about 85 percent of us will not feel so great about our teams a week from now. Players I tended to end up with multiple times included Stephen Curry, Deron Williams, Monta Ellis, Kevin Love, Roy Hibbert, Jrue Holiday, Terrence Williams and Austin Daye, just to name a few.

The NBA Season Pass is ready to go! It's already got a Pickup of the Day and a live chat scheduled for Wednesday at 4 p.m., as well as weekly rankings and projections, The Week Ahead column and several other tools to help you win your league.

You can still get the Rotoworld NBA Draft Guide here.

And you can follow me on Twitter here.

Tonight's Games

Miami @ Boston 7 p.m.
Phoenix @ Portland 10 p.m.
Houston @ Lakers 10:30 p.m.

Can't wait to see how many folks tune in to see that first one.

Games Played This Week

4 Games: Heat
2 Games: Bulls, Magic, Spurs, Raptors, Wizards

Everyone else plays three in many leagues. If you're using ESPN, they combine Weeks 1 and 2 into one week, so beware of that if you're new there. Also, if you're setting a weekly lineup on CBS, Week 1 will show Nov. 1 as part of the week, but don't be fooled. It's a yearly Week 1 glitch and that game is really the start of Week 2.

How fired up am I that the season is starting? Very! But my problem is I've got 12 or 13 teams to keep track of, so I know I own LeBron in one or two of them, but literally have no idea which ones. I'm going to spend some time prioritizing my leagues and only following four or so on a nightly basis. Once I get a handle on what I've got, I'll feel better.

News and Notes

By now I'm pretty sure you've heard about Grizzlies' center Marc Gasol's ankle sprain. The good news is it's not as bad as originally thought. The bad news is that it still appears to be a severe sprain (Grade 2) and he could easily miss the entire first week, if not longer. Bench him for this week and make sure he's healthy before you put him in your lineup again. I wouldn't be surprised if this thing lingers for three to four weeks. Does this make Hasheem Thabeet an automatic pickup? Not necessarily, but if you're sitting on a guy like Tyler Hansbrough, Jermaine O'Neal, Mike Miller or some other guy you simply want to cut, Thabeet is a great way to replace him. He could rack up10 or so blocks this week, if nothing else.

Dwyane Wade will start for the Heat tonight after missing all but three minutes of the preseason with a hamstring injury. You simply have to put him in your lineup if you drafted him, but I'd be lying if I said my confidence level in Wade is extremely high. For the season I think he'll be great once healthy, but this hamstring injury just doesn't feel fully healed to me, and my fear is he's pushing himself to come back for this huge night, even though he might not be fully ready. I could be completely wrong, but it's hard to argue with that logic after he went down just three minutes into his union with the Super Friends.

Kobe Bryant, who basically stunk in the preseason, wants to play more than 30 minutes in Game 1 tonight, but Phil Jackson will make the final decision. My guess is Kobe comes out and looks like a completely different player than we saw in the preseason. It goes without saying, but make sure he's in your lineup.

Stephen Curry's ankle injury might still be an issue, but it sounds like he's good to go for the opener. He should be in all lineups.

Gilbert Arenas is now very iffy for Game 1 due to a sprained ankle and it's starting to feel like things may spiral out of control with Arenas. I have no idea how this soap opera will end, but Arenas' preseason has been about as weird as his last two years, which is not a good thing. Hold onto him, but I can't help but think that Kirk Hinrich's value is increasing with every day that passes. I wouldn't cut a potentially valuable player to grab Hinrich yet, but he's a guy to keep an eye on. And with the Wiz only going twice this week, I would be benching Arenas.

Continue reading for more News & Notes
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Andre Iguodala's wrist injury is a concern, but he has played in 82 games in each of the last three seasons and will do what he can to play through it. I think he's good to go for now, but my fear is he's going to take a shot to the wrist early in the season. And from what I'm hearing, it wouldn't take too much to push it from very sore to excruciating, which could cause him to miss some time. Cross your fingers if you own him.

John Salmons, who missed the Bucks' preseason with a sprained right knee, looked great in Monday's workout and it's possible he could start at shooting guard this week. I think starting him in a weekly league is very risky, but depending on your options it could be worth the risk.

Danny Granger should be good to go in the opener after missing several preseason games with a sprained ankle.

Samuel Dalembert's strained abductor injury, which was to keep him out for a month, apparently isn't too serious, as he is strongly considering playing on Friday. While that's great news for Dalembert and his owners, it's bad news for DeMarcus Cousins and Carl Landry. With Dalembert sidelined, the logjam cleared up a bit, offering promise to Cousins and Landry. But with all of them healthy, we're back to square one.

Troy Murphy (back) should be ready to go for Week 2, but he should be benched in all leagues for the upcoming week.

Joel Przybilla should play in Week 3 for the Blazers and might be worth a look in deeper leagues if you need blocks. But the Thunder's Serge Ibaka is a much better player to own and should already be owned in most leagues that count blocks.

Al Harrington is set to return from a foot injury, but will come off Denver's bench behind Shelden Williams. Yes, Williams is worth a flier in all leagues at this point. And I'm kind of excited to see Harrington and J.R. Smith fighting over who gets to take bad shots in the second unit this season. It's going to be an entertaining year in Denver, but probably not for their fans.

Josh Childress is a game-time decision with his finger injury, but I'd bench him for now. Hedo Turkoglu's grip on the starting PF job in Phoenix is not strong. This means we all need to keep a close eye on Hakim Warrick, who is next in line. And if the Turk at PF experiment ends and he gets pushed back to SF, it's probably also bad news for Childress.

Yao Ming's 24-minute limit sounds like it will be in place all season. This is more bad news, but if Yao could somehow play in 77 games, he'll end up having decent value, despite the limit.

Tiago Splitter missed the preseason for the Spurs and won't play in Wednesday's opener. I was high on him early, but have switched my allegiances to DeJuan Blair. If Blair is available in your league, he shouldn't be.

Ben Gordon's shoulder injury isn't serious and he's ready to go, but I simply don't trust him. His preseason was nothing special and he still doesn't look like he really knows his role, or even has one, in Detroit.

Leandro Barbosa is iffy for the Raptors due to a wrist injury. And yes, that's the same wrist he had surgery on last year, which is highly concerning. This is great news for DeMar DeRozan, who will have the shooting guard minutes to himself if Barbosa is out for long.

Hawks point guard Jeff Teague will start the season off the bench, but I don't think he'll be there long. Once his ankle is fully healed and Larry Drew gets a sense for just how old and slow Mike Bibby has become, Teague will be the man. It will be tempting to cut him early, and possibly justifiable, but I still think he will be the starter sooner than later. Oh, and best line from the Planet Lovetron online draft last night after Teague was taken late: "Who the hell is Jeff Teague?"

Add injury to the insult that has been Marcus Thornton, as he's now dealing with an Achilles injury. Additionally, I got an email yesterday from someone suggesting that Jerryd Bayless was brought in to New Orleans to play 30 minutes a game. While I'll believe that one when I see it, the arrival of Bayless, the injury and the fact Thornton's coming off the bench behind Marco Belinelli are all big red flags. I'm not sure you can cut him just yet, but my guess is he will be on waiver wires in nearly all leagues within two weeks. The real question is, will he be able to get it together and blow up for a big second half?

Under the Radar

Taj Gibson was ignored in many drafts but is going to be the starting power forward for the Bulls until Carlos Boozer gets back, which should be at least another three or four weeks. Along those same lines, it looks like Wayne Ellington has won the shooting guard job in Minnesota. My guess is that will be a revolving door all season, but he's worth keeping an eye on. Daniel Gibson is someone I haven't said much about, but he had a good preseason and could be ready for a breakout season. Mike Miller's out until January after thumb surgery and is a guy you can cut for any of these players.

Last Two Drafts

Here are my teams after my last two drafts of the year last night.

League Freak

First pick, 12 teams, start six, H2H, no turnovers.

Starters: SF Kevin Durant, SG Monta Ellis, PF Kevin Love, PG Jrue Holiday, C Roy Hibbert, 1 Util: J.J. Hickson/Andrei Kirilenko/D.J. Augustin.

Planet Lovetron

Last pick, 10 teams, start 12, points league.

Starters: Deron Williams, Danny Granger, Monta Ellis, Derrick Rose, Jeff Green, Luis Scola, Roy Hibbert, J.J. Hickson, Terrence Williams, Andrei Kirilenko, Austin Daye, Drew Gooden.
 

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Not so hot: Celtics roll Heat
Day 1 is in the books, and while it was relatively quiet from a fantasy point of view, all three games were entertaining and no one got hurt. Paul Pierce injured his back when he intentionally stepped in front of a charging LeBron James, but was able to return and finish the game. The fact that games featuring the likes of Kobe Bryant, Dwyane Wade, Kevin Garnett, Kevin Martin and Yao Ming ended without any significant injuries was nice to see. www.miamiheat.ws

The NBA Season Pass is back. Check it out for things like the Pickup of the Day, exclusive live chats (one today at 4 p.m.), weekly rankings, projections, The Week Ahead column and several other tools to help you win your league.

Celtics Bounce Heat

Pierce said after the game his back was hurting and he'd wait and see how he felt today before declaring himself good to go. Our guess is he'll be sore but will be able to go in the next one, which is tonight at Cleveland. Pierce had 19 points, nine boards and three 3-pointers last night, while Rajon Rondo handed out 17 assists and Ray Allen hit five 3-pointers of his own in a tough win over the Heat. Rondo shot it like he was wearing an invisible headband over his eyes, hitting just 2-of-9 shots, but he also had two steals and just three TOs. Shaquille O'Neal looked decent, Kevin Garnett added 10 points and 10 boards, but also had seven TOs, and Glen Davis scored 13 points. You know who didn't look good? Jermaine O'Neal. As usual, dude is dealing with several injuries, hasn't learned his way around the C's offense yet and can be dropped if you're holding him. Yeah, it's only one game, but there has to be something better on your wire than an old man with one leg who doesn't know his way around.

As for the losing Heat, who was blown out in the first half before making a late run, it was not a great night. The Super Friends didn't look so super and the team played it's best when LeBron was running things without the other two around. In fact, they looked a lot like last year's Cavs at times when Dwyane Wade and his bum hamstring were on the bench. LeBron scored 31 points on 10-of-21 shooting, hit three 3-pointers, blocked a couple shots and committed eight turnovers. A 'nice?' Sure, but it left plenty to be desired. The Heat looked like a team that had never practiced together before – basically because Wade missed 99.8 percent of the preseason with the injury. He played last night, and looked pretty good physically, but hit just 4-of-16 shots for 13 points, four boards, six assists and six turnovers. Chris Bosh was just 3-of-11 for eight points, eight boards, a steal and a block, while Udonis Haslem chipped in with eight points, 11 boards and a block.

So, should you panic if you drafted Wade? Not yet. But for those of you who thought this was going to be his team, and LeBron would be taking a back seat, you were wrong. It's just one game and the Heat will get this figured out. If you want to make some low-ball offers for any of the Super Friends, go for it, but I doubt you'll find any takers. Now, if things go poorly on Friday against the Knicks, that could change everything.

Blazers Roll Suns

The Trail Blazers beat the Suns last night with Nicolas Batum posting a big line. Batum, who was on most sleeper lists coming into the season, hit three 3-pointers and finished with 19 points, 11 boards and a steal. He didn't block a shot, but they're coming. He should be owned in all standard leagues, but could be sitting on waivers in some. Make sure he's not available in yours. Brandon Roy scored 24, Marcus Camby double-doubled and Andre Miller just missed one of his own. LaMarcus Aldridge played a whopping 38 minutes, but hit just 3-of-9 shots for eight points, nine boards, two steals and a block. I'm not worried about Aldridge and you shouldn't be either. Wesley Matthews had 13 points, six boards and a three off the bench, and is another guy who can be added in many leagues if you have someone to drop.

Steve Nash led the Suns with 26 points, but handed out just six assists and committed nine turnovers. He hit a couple threes, but he might miss Amare Stoudemire more than he thought he would. He also dissed his team, saying they didn't have the pieces to win this year. If he was talking about Channing Frye, he might be right. Frye was a dud off the bench, hitting 1-of-4 shots for three points. Hopefully he'll get more involved in the next one. Owners should just hold on and hope Game 1 was a fluke for Frye. [URL="http://fantasyfootball.usatoday.com/content/playerpages/player_main.asp?sport=NBA&id=1551"]Jason Richardson[/URL] had 22 points, six boards and three 3-pointers, but Hedo Turkoglu and Robin Lopez struggled. Turkoglu might already be on the verge of losing his starting power forward job after going for six points on 2-of-7 shooting with three rebounds. There's a reason the Suns were outrebounded 48-30, and Turkoglu at the PF is a big one. Lopez had just five points and five rebounds for a disappointing opener, but don't give up on him yet.

Lakers Come Back To Ground Rockets

This was actually the best game of the night, as the Rockets looked very good and led for the most of the game. But Shannon Brown hit some clutch threes down the stretch and Pau Gasol was his usual dominant self with 29 points, 11 rebounds and two blocks in the win. As for Kobe, who looked like he'd forgotten how to play in the preseason, he finished with 27 points on 8-of-20 shooting with five boards and seven assists. Not his greatest line ever, but he certainly looked better than in the preseason and played 37 minutes. Lamar Odom double-doubled with 14 points and 10 boards, but only had one assist. My guess is he posts at least one triple-double before the end of November, as the assists will come. Brown looked good in just 21 minutes, hitting 6-of-9 shots, four threes and grabbing four steals on his way to 16 points. The minutes will be shaky, but it does look like he's going to have a bigger role with the Lakers this season, and I think he's worth a look in many leagues. Steve Blake had 10 points and three 3-pointers off the bench.

As for Ron Artest? It was a pretty typical night for the crazy one, as he hit just 3-of-15 shots, but hit two threes, had seven rebounds and four steals to go along with eight points. I stayed away from Artest and we ranked him low in the Guide because of his poor shooting and inconsistent play. And owners should expect more of the same approximately 81 more times this season. Every time Ron-Ron has a big game should be looked at as an opportunity to sell high.

The Rockets got 50 points, 11 assists and seven 3-pointers out of Aaron Brooks and Kevin Martin, who both looked great. Martin is always a sell-high guy as long as he's playing. Luis Scola came up big with 18 points, 16 rebounds and four assists, but as usual, didn't block a shot. He also hit just 7-of-18 shots, which could prove to be his worst shooting night of the season. Yao Ming survived, finishing with nine points, 11 boards and two blocks in 23 minutes. And if you drafted him, you really couldn't have hoped for much more. Shane Battier started and did a (very) little bit of everything, but was mostly invisible. Chase Budinger looked good off the bench, hitting 6-of-10 shots for 13 points and five boards, and I like him as a pickup in most leagues. He should play a big role this season, as well as hit a bunch of threes. Brad Miller had nine points and nine rebounds, and is going to get a ton of minutes with Yao limited to 24 a game for the entire season.

Continue reading for Wednesday's 13 fantasy game previews
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Wednesday Night Lights

The season may have started last night, but things officially get underway on Wednesday night as 26 teams will see action.

New York @ Toronto

No Anthony Randolph (ankle) for the Knicks and Landry Fields at shooting guard are two big surprises in New York. Randolph could be out an entire week and you can expect to see him on waiver wires by the time he's ready to play for the Knicks. Toronto's Leandro Barbosa's wrist injury doesn't sound good and he's probably going to need more surgery. If DeMar DeRozan is available in your league, I'd grab him if you have someone to drop. It will be interesting to see if Andrea Bargnani can break out of a preseason funk, as well as how point guards Jose Calderon, Raymond Felton and Jarrett Jack all perform tonight. As for Fields, I don't believe there's any reason to pick him up, while I also guess that we'll see a revolving door at SG in New York all season. Timofey Mozgov will start for the Knicks, which should at least be interesting.

Miami @ Philadelphia

LeBron and friends, Take 2. Spencer Hawes sounds like he'll start for the Sixers while Andre Iguodala will give it a go with a very sore wrist. I'll have my eye on Jrue Holiday, Lou Williams and Elton Brand in this one.

Boston @ Cleveland

We'll see if Pierce's back is ready to go. I can't wait to see how J.J. Hickson plays as the starting power forward, as well as how Antawn Jamison will react off the bench. Guys to watch include Jamario Moon, Daniel Gibson and Ramon Sessions – especially with Mo Williams iffy (groin, personal). I also suspect Anderson Varejao is going to have a big year.

Detroit @ New Jersey

It's a brand new Austin Daye, as all eyes will be on one of the hottest sleepers in the league tonight. For the Nets, Joe Smith will start at power forward for injured Troy Murphy, while I'm secretly hoping Terrence Williams comes off the bench for a triple-double.

Sacramento @ Minnesota

De[URL="http://fantasyfootball.usatoday.com/content/playerpages/player_main.asp?sport=NBA&id=1794"]Marcus Cousins[/URL] and Carl Landry should have a good night, while Tyreke Evans will serve his one-game suspension tonight. That should open things up for Beno Udrih, while small forward is still a mess for the Kings, but Donte Greene will kick things off there. I'm intrigued by rookie Hassan Whiteside, who is going to block a ton of shots this year in limited minutes, while Samuel Dalembert is hoping to return this weekend from a strained abductor. The Wolves will give us our first new look at Darko Milicic as a starting center, while Wayne Ellington sounds like the starter at shooting guard. It's all about Kevin Love in Minnesota this year, and I'm expecting big things tonight.

Atlanta @ Memphis

Mike Bibby will start at point guard for the Hawks while Memphis could have Hasheem Thabeet in the middle for Marc Gasol, who is dealing with a sprained ankle.

Milwaukee @ New Orleans

John Salmons and Carlos Delfino appear to be starting for the Bucks, while Corey Maggette will come off the bench. In New Orleans, it will be interesting to see how the minutes are divided between starting SG Marco Belinelli, newcomer Jerryd Bayless and incumbent Marcus Thornton, who is dealing with an Achilles injury. And of course, Chris Paul owners are fired up about this one.

Chicago @ Oklahoma City

Derrick Rose vs. Russell Westbrook with a splash of Kevin Durant, Jeff Green, Joakim Noah and Luol Deng sprinkled in. This is the one I'll be watching.

Charlotte @ Dallas

Keep an eye on Nazr Mohammed, as well as Tyson Chandler, who should have some extra motivation against his former team. Stephen Jackson hurt his ankle recently and is a bit iffy, but will start. I'm expecting D.J. Augustin to go off tonight, for what it's worth.

Indiana @ San Antonio

Danny Granger owners will be holding their breath every time he lands on his ankle tonight, while Darren Collison owners are ready to see exactly what they purchased on draft night. Mike Dunleavy should play, but I'm most excited about seeing Roy Hibbert go up against Tim Duncan and DeJuan Blair. If you're holding Tiago Splitter but want to cut him for a free agent, do it. I think Blair is going to be the one to break out for the Spurs this year.

Utah @ Denver

Al Jefferson will make his Jazz debut and Andrei Kirilenko returns to the starting five. Denver is hoping for big things from Arron Afflalo and I'm going to predict he hits four 3-pointers tonight, while Shelden Williams will start at power forward. J.R. Smith and Al Harrington will come off the bench, and Harrington expects to be somewhat limited from a conditioning standpoint. It will also be interesting to see if Paul Millsap can break out of his preseason slump for the Jazz tonight.

Houston @ Golden State

Stephen Curry should play on his sprained ankle for the Warriors, when we'll get our first look at how they'll play under Keith Smart. I doubt we see him running like Don Nelson, but it's not going to be a slow-paced offense, either.

Portland @ Clippers

Aldridge will try to bounce back but will have his hands full with Blake Griffin. I'm also intrigued to see how Chris Kaman shares the floor with his new teammate, while owners in deep leagues should keep an eye on Al-Farouq Aminu tonight. He had a nice (and quiet) preseason.
 

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Monta Drops 46 on Rockets
Rotoworld's Jesse Burkhart wrote part of this column, with Steve Alexander also chipping in his two cents.

With 13 games on Wednesday's slate, the season shifted into full gear. There's much for fantasy owners to take notice of, including the Warriors looking like last year's fantasy-friendly version, the Miami trio taking an encouraging step forward, and a super-rookie dazzling in his debut.

Warriors Drop Rockets

The more things change, the more they stay the same. With Don Nelson out and Keith Smart in, the Warriors went for 132 points against the Rockets on Wednesday. Leading the charge was Monta Ellis, who was unconscious from the perimeter in tying a career high with 46 points on 18-of-24 shooting. Owners can feel relieved that Ellis' 25 points-per-game average from a season ago will not regress in the wake of Nelly's departure.

Stephen Curry gave his owners a scare in the first half when the sophomore guard left with an ankle injury, only to later return and post a line that suggested nothing ever happened. Curry went for 25 points and 11 assists, going 9-of-16 from the field with three treys. It sounds as if Curry will be a go for Friday's game against the Clippers, so owners are safe to keep him in their lineups. Andris Biedrins came through with a near double-double, while David Lee came on late to finish with 17 points, 15 boards and six assists. That looks great on the surface, but he could have gone for 40 & 20 if Monta and Curry actually through it to him when he pick and rolled. Dorell Wright chipped in with 15 points and three 3-pointers.

Luis Scola was a beast in this one, going for 36 points, 16 boards, a steal and a block, making him an early candidate for "fantasy value pick of the year." Yao Ming was out due to it being the second of a back-to-back, so Chuck Hayes had one of the best lines we've seen from him: 16 points, 8 boards, 6 assists. We're still not biting. We're not sure where Brad Miller was, but he got just three minutes last night, while Aaron Brooks and Kevin Martin struggled with their shot against a porous GSW D.

Heat Crush Sixers

The Heat took their first real step toward developing continuity on offense, as Dwyane Wade led the Super Friends with his 30 points, seven rebounds, four assists, three steals and two blocks in an easy win over the Sixers. LeBron James was his all-around usual self, adding 16 points, six rebounds and seven assists. Chris Bosh managed just 15 points and seven rebounds, but his production should exceed that once he figures this out. If you own any of these three, you'll get the numbers you paid for by the end of the year, but you'll have to be prepared for any of them to take a backseat in the scoring department on any given night. James Jones came through in a big way, hitting six 3-pointers on his way to 20 points. It's going to be a different horse pulling the cart every night in Miami, but Jones is worth a look if you're hurting for threes.

As for the Sixers, Dr. A received some hate mail, some hate Twitter and generally a whole lot of "what the hell happened?" in regards to Jrue Holiday. He actually hit a couple late threes to salvage what was still a really bad line. Holiday got off to a bad start, was dealing with the Heat and never got it going. The fact remains that Doug Collins loves him, he's a solid player and is the team's point guard of the future. This was one game, albeit a very disappointing one, but it's not the end of the world. If we're still dealing with lines like this 10 days from now, then there is a serious problem. Andre Iguodala's wrist looked fine, Lou Williams was solid off the bench in lieu of Jrue and Thaddeus Young was also nice off the bench in the loss. Additionally, rookie Evan Turner came off the bench and threw down 16 points, seven boards and four assists on the Heat. Nicely done, rook.

Cavs Shock Celtics

One night after the Celtics disposed of the Heat with relative ease, they fell to LeBron's former team, taking a 95-87 loss at Cleveland. Rajon Rondo, who went 2-of-9 on Opening Night, regained his shooting touch on Wednesday and finished with 18 points on 8-of-12 shooting with nine assists, four rebounds and three assists. Paul Pierce played through a back injury and Kevin Garnett, who is showing signs of life, had 15 boards. But the surprise in Boston is how much run Glen Davis is getting off the bench. Head coach Doc Rivers knows that his ancient frontcourt of Shaquille O'Neal, KG and Jermaine O'Neal (two points, 6 fouls) must have fresh legs come April, which means that Davis will be playing a more prominent role this season. And it's not just the number of minutes that should interest fantasy owners – he is doing something with them. In 62 minutes over his first two games, Davis is averaging 13.5 points and five rebounds while shooting 72 percent, making him worth a look in many leagues.

J.J. Hickson, who started at power forward and played 29 minutes, was a popular sleeper pick in the preseason, and for good reason. The 2008 first-round pick is a very skilled offensive player who will be forced to pick up the scoring load sans LeBron. He contributed 21 points, six rebounds and a block on Wednesday. Jamario Moon may stand to gain the most from LeBron's departure, inheriting the starting small forward job and logging 29 minutes in Wednesday's game. He registered 10 points, including two-three pointers, with five rebounds. Moon has a long-range game, and he can also supplement your defensive numbers with a steal and block per game. Mo Williams sat this one out with a groin injury, allowing Ramon Sessions to start and post a decent fantasy line. Daniel Gibson came off the bench to miss his first eight shots, but got hot late finishing with 16 points, eight assists and two 3-pointers. Yes we think he's a solid pick up, but it's also too early to be dropping some players who might have had a bad first night, so be careful.

Blazers Clip Clippers

Blake Griffin played like he hadn't a played a game that meant something in more than a calendar year (because he hadn't), collecting 20 points on 8-of-14 shooting with 14 rebounds and four assists. He was very energetic over his 38 minutes played, particularly on the boards, where he was noticeably more tenacious than anyone else on the floor. And as talented as Griffin is, his motor equals that of his skill, which ensures that he'll be productive on a nightly basis, even when he can't find his offensive game. It also looks like he is going to hurt Chris Kaman some, as Kaman had just eight points, but also added 11 rebounds. Eric Gordon scored 22, but Baron Davis went just 3-of-11 for eight points. Bad vibes.

Nicolas Batum remains the story for the Blazers after another nice stat line filled with everything, including threes, steals and blocks. If he's available in your league, get him now. It was also nice to see LaMarcus Aldridge bring his owners in off the ledge with 19 points, 10 boards and two steals, although is it too much to ask for a blocked shot?

Hornets Sting Bucks

Who needs knee cartilage anyway? Chris Paul, who tore the meniscus in his left knee last season and subsequently had part of it removed, notched 17 points and 16 assists on Wednesday, going 6-of-11 from the field. The world's best point guard – when healthy – looks fully rehabbed and in top form early. Marco Belinelli lived up to the early hype with 18 in the win, while Trevor Ariza and David West were solid, as expected. Marcus Thornton got just 10 minutes off the bench and had eight points, but unless something weird happens with Belinelli, it's going to be a long winter for MT.

The Bucks got a great line from Carlos Delfino (19 points, five 3-pointers, etc.) and owners, or prospective owners, should prepare for more of them. Pick him up. Brandon Jennings, Drew Gooden and Andrew Bogut all double-doubled, while Corey Maggette tossed in 16 off the bench. John Salmons posted one of the most disappointing lines of the first two nights. Again, he missed all of the preseason, was lucky to even be playing and it's just one game. Remain calm.

Nets Are Undefeated!

After taking a month to win their first game last season, the Nets are 1-0 after toppling the Pistons. Devin Harris is very fun to own when he is posting lines like the one he posted Wednesday (22 points, nine rebounds, four assists and two steals), but there's no telling when the fun will come to a sudden halt (i.e. injury). Derrick Favors was especially productive in his pro debut considering be logged just 20 minutes played off the bench, notching eight points and 10 boards. Don't expect that from the 19-year-old every night – especially when Troy Murphy returns from a back injury. Brook Lopez was his normal, awesome self, Travis Outlaw still doesn't look like he should be starting in the NBA and Anthony Morrow had a nice debut with 13 points and three 3-pointers. Terrence Williams' line wasn't spectacular, but the fact he played 32 minutes off the bench was eye opening, and he should be held in every league.

As for the Pistons? What a mess. Two starters and a bench player led the team with 14 points, while four other players scored 10 or more. Greg Monroe didn't even get off the bench! Austin Daye started and got 21 minutes, but was outplayed by Jason Maxiell. I still think Daye will have a nice season, but given the endless rotation and number of wing players the Pistons have, this team is one big fantasy logjam. Rodney Stuckey, who played well, is worth owning and starting, while every other Piston is an absolute roll of the dice.

Knicks Top Raptors

Timofey Mozgov is a fouling machine and not playable in fantasy leagues. Wilson Chandler came off the bench for 22 points and eight rebounds, and maybe the benching was the wake up call he needed. Raymond Felton eased his owners concerns with 15 points, six boards and six dimes, Amare Stoudemire went big, and Landry Fields started and hit three 3-pointers in the win.

Jarrett Jack started over Jose Calderon and looked very good. Pick him up if he's available (and forget about Jose Calderon as long as Jack is walking). Andrea Bargnani did what he does (points, blocks, threes) and Reggie Evans may be the only person capable of hauling in 16 boards without scoring one bucket. The prolific one-trick pony has the ability to go for double-digit rebounds if given enough run, but nothing else can be expected from him. Amir Johnson barely got off the bench and it may be a month or two before he starts making an impact. Leandro Barbosa played well through a wrist injury, which is one reason DeMar DeRozan scored just nine points.

Keep reading for the rest of the recaps
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[SIZE=+1]Quick Hits[/SIZE]

Every Rose Has It's Thorn

Derrick Rose had a big first half against the Thunder last night, but Russell Westbrook had the last laugh. It was a fun battle to watch, but Westbrook's huge line of 28 points, 10 rebounds, six assists, two steals and a block on 8-of-15 shooting was money. He also only had three turnovers, which should quickly quiet all the haters. Then again, it was one game. Kevin Durant scored 30, Jeff Green and Serge Ibaka were helpful, and the Thunder are ready to take people out this year.

Rose was solid for the Bulls with 28 points and six assists, but hit just 12-of-31 shots, missed all four of his 3-point attempts and didn't have a steal. Same old, same old. Joakim Noah was big with18 points and 19 boards making him an interesting sell-high candidate. Can he really do that when Carlos Boozer returns? Taj Gibson also double-doubled and should be owned until Boozer gets back.

No Love In Minnesota

Twitter and email is blowing up because Kevin Love wasn't on the floor for most of the fourth quarter last night. He had 11 points, 10 rebounds and two 3-pointers, but played just 23:37 in a very tight game. Even when the Wolves needed a 3-point threat late, Love was nowhere to be found. Anthony Tolliver had a huge game with 14 points, seven boards, a steal, four blocks and two 3-pointers, which is probably why Love wasn't playing. But this is not going to help his confidence, the Wolves LOST to the Kings by a point, and fantasy owners everywhere are ready to drive to Minnesota to track down Kurt Rambis. I don't know what the answer is, but I'll give my stock one for Day 2. It's just one game. Luke Ridnour was nice, Michael Beasley scored 17 and Darko Milicic struggled, but had four blocks.

Francisco Garcia started for the Kings in place of Tyreke Evans and went off for 22 points, three steals, a block and two threes, among other things. DeMarcus Cousins was solid in his debut, Beno Udrih came through and Carl Landry double-doubled. Garcia will crawl back into a hole now that Evans is back, but we should all still keep a collective eye on him, just in case.

Down Goes Z-Bo

The Hawks beat the Grizzlies after Zach Randolph left with a lower back contusion. He joined Marc Gasol in street clothes and will have some tests run, while Gasol remains day-to-day with an ankle sprain. Darrell Arthur and Sam Young both looked great, but we don't think they're worth a look unless the two big men remain sidelined. Hasheem Thabeet was invisible, as Arthur stole the start and the spotlight. O.J. Mayo was mysteriously bad last night, but it was a fluke. Mike Conley torched Mike Bibby for a very promising stat line.

Al Horford was in some foul trouble and wasn't feeling it, leading many owners to wonder if he was hurt. Nope, just "one of those nights." In the meantime, Zaza Pachulia had the game of his life, but let someone else pick him up. Mike Bibby caught fire and couldn't miss last night, but we're not picking him up either. Jeff Teague was rendered useless with Bibby's big game and it could really take him some time to get it going. If you want to drop him for a hot FA, it makes sense. Josh Smith hit a three and blocked five shots, but we're hoping this doesn't mean he now thinks he's a 3-point shooter again.

Duncan In A Time Machine

Tim Duncan's huge line (23 points, 12 boards, 3 steals, 4 blocks, 10-of-12) was great to see if you got him in the middle rounds of your draft. He limited DeJuan Blair, who struggle by hitting just 2-of-9 shots, but we still think it's way too early to give up on Blair. Richard Jefferson looked better, scoring 16 points, while George Hill equaled that total off the bench. Both players are worth serious consideration if available.

The Pacers were led by Roy Hibbert's ridiculous 28 points, nine boards, three assists and three blocks, while Danny Granger's ankle looked good on his way to an efficient 26 points. Darren Collison was solid with 19 points and seven assists in his debut, while Josh McRoberts played well in a start at PF. Mike Dunleavy wasn't awe inspiring, while the Pacers bench might as well have been empty. If you reached for Hibbert in your draft, you have to feel good after Game 1. Just expect a let down in the near future, although it may not happen.

Kidd Teaches Kid

Jason Kidd went off for 12 points, 18 assists, three steals, a block and two 3-pointers, as Bobcat D.J. Augustin didn't even know what hit him. Dirk Nowitzki had 28, Jason Terry looked great with 22 and Tyson Chandler made a surprise start over Brendan Haywood at center. We have no idea where that came from, especially because Chandler has stitches in his thumb. Maybe it was a one-game plan so TC could start against his old team, but we imagine Haywood is going to be pretty ticked off, as he was promised the starting job over the summer. This could get ugly. Oh, and Shawn Marion had six points, which is the reason he's not even owned in most leagues anymore.

D.J. Augustin hit just 2-of-10 shots for eight points and five assists, which will have some owners suffering from buyer's remorse and looking to abandon ship. Dude played more than 40 minutes last night! He's going to have some huge games, remains unchallenged at point guard and played 40 minutes in the opener. Do not cut D.J. Augustin! Stephen Jackson was slowed by a sore ankle, but played through it, while Gerald Wallace had a solid game in 43 minutes. Boris Diaw was quietly the fantasy star though, with 12 points, four rebounds, three assists, two steals, a block and two 3-pointers. Tyrus Thomas had 22 points and six boards off the bench, leading us to think, once again, that this might finally be the year.

All Follow Afflalo

Arron Afflalo hit 8-of-11 shots and three 3-pointers for 22 points in last night's win over the Jazz. You could see this one coming and he is going to hit a ton of threes this year. Pick him up. Shelden Williams started at power forward and exploded for eight points and 16 rebounds. Congrats if he was in your lineup, and look for him to keep at it until further notice, as Chris Andersen and Kenyon Martin are still not close.

The Jazz were a mess last night and most of their lines should just be ignored. Including pathetic outings by Andrei Kirilenko and Al Jefferson. In fact, their lines were so bad, you probably shouldn't even go look at them if you own them. And that's why the Jazz fell 110 to 88 in Denver.
 

hacheman@therx.com
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Move Carefully
As the headline of this column suggests, I am of the strong opinion that making moves at this time of year needs to be done with a certain degree of caution, and I'm not just referring to the fact that while moving furniture on Thursday, I put the corner of a very large table directly through the back windshield of a pickup truck.

The sort of moves I'm talking about are the kinds that we're all contemplating at this very early stage of the NBA season: whether or not to drop that last player or two on our roster for the various free agents who posted surprisingly good games this week.

In general, I'm all about being aggressive when it comes to attacking the waiver wire, but this early on, it's important to have some faith in the players you tabbed as your late-round picks. As a result, you won't find me running to drop the likes of Austin Daye after one bad game. Two or three bad games, and yes, it may be time to hit the eject button and panic button simultaneously. But for now, I would advise against overmanaging based on very early results.

[SIZE=+1]Trendspotting[/SIZE]

Three on the Rise:

(Note: With the don't panic mentality in mind, I'm going to try to focus here on trends that started in the preseason and have continued into the regular season so that we're not just overreacting to a game or two.)

Terrence Williams: It's not so much the 10-6-4 line from the opener that is notable, but you have to love the fact that he played 32 minutes off the bench on Wednesday. Given that type of run, we're going to see something resembling the player who averaged 14.3 points, 7.1 rebounds and 6.3 assists per game last April. And yes, I can live without a lot of threes and steals if he's producing near that level in rebounds and assists.

Tyrus Thomas: It almost feels like a jinx to say this, but I'm not superstitious so I'll go ahead and say it: Tyrus is showing signs of consistency. After a strong performance in the preseason, he came off the bench for 22 points and six rebounds in the opener. I still expect some Tyrus-ian bouts of inconsistency, but if he can regularly stay on the court for anywhere close to the 30 minutes he logged in the opener, he's going to be very fun to have on fantasy rosters this season.

Serge Ibaka: Let's not fool ourselves into thinking that he's going to do anything other than get some points, rebounds and blocks, but you have to like the fact that he, like Williams, got a full 32 minutes off the bench en route to eight points, nine rebounds and four blocks in Wednesday's opener. Expecting him to average eight, nine and two this season is probably greedy (I'd take the under on eight points and nine rebounds), but he's looking like a useful shot-blocking specialist at the very least.

Three on the Plummet:

Gilbert Arenas: After a sulky, partially bearded preseason, Arenas was in a walking boot this week due to an ankle injury. And honestly, it's not so much the nature of the injury that concerns me, but the fact that it seems like simply the latest sign that he's not particularly interested in playing basketball for any prolonged stretch. Remember, the man has played a total of 47 games the past three seasons and I could very easily see him playing less than 40 this year. I'm not normally a fan of selling low, but if you can deal Gilbert for a fifth- or sixth-round value right now, I absolutely would.

DeJuan Blair: Not to overreact too much to his line in the opener (nine points, three rebounds, three assists, two steals in 20 minutes), but I don't think the Spurs' starting center needs to be owned in standard-sized leagues. Yes, he will likely go off for some big games in scoring and rebounding from time-to-time, but he's not consistent enough in either category to make up for his lack of blocks.

Timofey Mozgov: Foul trouble was an issue for Mozgov in the preseason and it manifested itself in horribly pronounced ways in the season opener (four fouls in seven minutes). He has potential, but isn't worth a roster spot right now in standard leagues.

[SIZE=+1]Three Random but Hopefully Useful Observations[/SIZE]

1. Panicking on Jrue Holiday at this point is pure lunacy. Yes, I'm partially saying that because he's on 100 percent of my fantasy teams. But let's face it, a lot of opposing point guards are going to get spit-roasted by Dwyane Wade this season, and I'm more than willing to call Holiday's bad first game a case of opening night heebie-jeebies. With that in mind, I'm fully expecting a bounce-back game on Friday. And if it doesn't happen then, we can all officially begin to panic.

2. I am a believer in Nicolas Batum… to an extent. He won't stay this hot on threes (6-for-12 through two games), but the Blazers SF looks to be pondering membership in the coveted 1-1-1 society (one three, one steal, one block per game) for 2010-11. After averaging 1.5 threes, 0.7 steals and 0.7 blocks last season, he's at 3.0, 1.5 and 1.0 in two games thus far. The threes will likely drop back into the 1.5 range for the long run, but the 21-year-old looks like a very legitimate candidate for a solid breakout.

3. Wesley Johnson should be definitively on your radar. Still playing limited minutes due to lingering hamstring trouble, the rookie put up 13 points in 18 minutes in his NBA debut and should seize something close to 30 minutes a night once he's fully up to speed. If you're the reasonably patient type, don't hesitate to add him off waivers right now.

[SIZE=+1]10 Quick-Hitting Statements of Fact and/or Opinion)[/SIZE]

1) Blake Griffin's explosive 20-point, 14-rebound, four-assist opener is only the beginning of what he can do. Some positively enormous lines are coming.

2) Similarly, Amare Stoudemire's opener (19 points, 10 boards, two blocks, nine turnovers) was relatively quiet compared to the monstrous season he's going to put together.

3) Much as I hate to say it, Thabo Sefolosha (one point, four rebounds, four assists, two steals, four blocks on Wednesday) remains too valuable to the Thunder for James Harden to consistently get big minutes off the bench.

4) Your brief window to buy low on Al Horford from a panicky owner after a dismal opener is right now.

5) Ditto John Salmons, who was quiet after missing much of the preseason with knee trouble, but still played 32 minutes. He'll start scoring soon.

6) Have I mentioned that I'm not panicking about Jrue Holiday yet? Consider buying low and you could get great value in return.

7) Chuck Hayes' 16-8-6 line against Golden State was as colossal a fluke as you'll see.

8) Josh McRoberts definitely got my attention with his 11-point, six-rebound, one-three, one-steal, two-block opener, but he shot 5-for-6 to reach his 11 points and is going to need to get more looks to be consistently useful.

Editors note: For more fantasy hoops-related insight, including exclusive articles, chats, rankings and more, check out the Rotoworld NBA Season Pass.

9) James Anderson (10 points, two threes) got 27 minutes of run with Richard Jefferson in foul trouble. Deep league owners should take notice. Everyone else can pretend Item #9 never happened.

10) I can't believe I'm saying it, but Shelden Williams (eight points, 16 rebounds) actually looks like he's going to be relevant for at least the foreseeable future with Kenyon Martin out.

Now if you'll excuse me, I have a pickup truck to go mend.
 

hacheman@therx.com
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Time to worry about Nash?
Talk about a quiet night in the NBA. Thursday featured just two games, neither one exactly a marquee matchup, where the Magic crushed the Wizards and the Suns easily handled the Jazz, who are off to a pretty miserable start.
www.Miamiheat.ws
More on those games in a minute. I was thinking of writing the first Waiver Wired column of the season today, but have decided to wait until Saturday. That will give us 12 more games to work with, which is fairly important. I know that my email in-box and my Twitter feed have been blowing up with questions about possible hot acquisitions like Marco Belinelli, Hakim Warrick, Landry Fields, Arron Afflalo, Wilson Chandler, Evan Turner, Jarrett Jack, Carlos Delfino, Daniel Gibson, Ramon Sessions, Serge Ibaka, Terrence Williams, Nicolas Batum, Francisco Garcia, George Hill, Linas Kleiza and Reggie Evans, as well as guys who are struggling. The "struggling list" includes Amir Johnson, Austin Daye, DeJuan Blair, Jeff Teague, James Harden, Jrue Holiday, Anthony Randolph, Tiago Splitter, D.J. Augustin, Marcus Thornton, Hedo Turkoglu and Jose Calderon. All of those guys are off to slow starts (or no start at all).

I've had trouble keeping up with emails, but have answered a lot of them. It's just kind of hit or miss, but the ones with creative or interesting subject lines usually win out. I plan on addressing all of the above player tomorrow, but for those of you asking if Belinelli is a better pickup than Afflalo? I know I'm paid to have opinions, but that's a pretty tough question for anyone. For the record, I think Afflalo's in a little bit safer position for long-term success, although it's really close. I think every player I mentioned in the "pickup pile" above is worth consideration, while many of them are even must-own players.

As for the guys who are struggling? There's no way I'd cut Holiday or Augustin at this point, but the others are fair game. I'd also not recommend dropping Blair. Anyway, more on that, in detail, Saturday when I break out the first WW of the year. And for what it's worth, I cut Toney Douglas to pick up Fields in one league yesterday.

Magic Crush Wizards

This game was pretty ugly. The Magic looked like world champs, while the Wizards looked like a mismatched and confused college team. Dwight Howard led the way with 23 points, 10 rebounds, a steal and three blocks, but also missed 10 of his 19 free throws and committed three TOs. Get used to that line. Vince Carter was fairly spectacular with 18 points, five boards and two 3-pointers. He looks healthy and motivated to win it all this year, and is going to end up being a fantasy steal in leagues where he was taken in Round 8 or later. Rashard Lewis picked up where he left off last year, which isn't great news. Thirteen points, seven boards, one 3-pointer. Quentin Richardson had seven points, seven boards, five assists and a 3-pointer of his own, making him worth a fantasy look as long as he continues to start. Just beware that he does this every year, and will probably burn if you if you take the bait.

The Magic bench made some noise because it was a blowout, with Marcin Gortat leading the way with eight points and seven boards in 18 minutes. Jason Williams returned from knee surgery and lasted eight minutes before being booted after receiving a pair of technicals. J.J. Redick offered just two points in 21 minutes and my guess is he has one nice line a week and three bad ones.

As for the Wizards, I'm not sure where to start, but I think the fact the Magic were opening a new arena had the crowd, which included Tiger Woods, in an early frenzy and the Wiz never had a chance. John Wall made his professional debut, missing eight of his first 11 shots and finishing with 14 points, nine assists, three steals, zero 3-pointers and three turnovers on 6-of-19 shooting. Not great and you can expect him to have some big games as well as some duds this season, with turnovers and field goal percentage being the biggest concerns. Kirk Hinrich started for Gilbert Arenas (and will do so again Saturday at Atlanta) and scored 12, and Cartier Martin blew up for 17 off the bench, but that's where all the good news ends, if you even want to call it that. Hinrich is an interesting grab-and-stash right now, as he could see a big role if Arenas continues to sit, or is traded.

JaVale McGee started at center, played just 19 minutes and finished with seven points, two rebounds and a block. He had a bad case of Howarditis. And so did Andray Blatche, who lasted 24 minutes, but hit just 2-of-9 shots for six points and two rebounds. These two lines were the most disappointing of the night, and while McGee is going to have plenty of ups and downs this season, this will hopefully be the lowest Blatche will feel all year. I'm not thinking of cutting either player right now, especially Blatche. As for Arenas, I know some of you are targeting him as a buy-low guy, while others are trying to get rid of him before it's too late. He is a complete man of mystery right now, but my gut says to stay away. But if I owned him, I would not be thinking about dropping him.

And while we're talking about dropping guys, let's remember how frustrating it was to own Stephen Curry last year. In 14 November games he averaged less than 10 points per game and shot it at a 38.5 clip. Regulars have heard me refer to my buddy Kelin in the past, who was guilty of panicking last year and cutting Curry loose much too early in the season. Try not to be that guy.

Wrapping up the Wiz, Yi Jianlian got 28 minutes but scored just six points. Yi and Martin are guys to keep an eye on off the Wizards bench, but I have a hard time believing Martin will lead the team in scoring more than one more time this season.

Keep reading for Suns-Jazz and News and Notes.
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Sun Kil Jazz

Steve Nash had 18 points, but just five assists and five more turnovers for the victorious Suns. It's only been two games, but owners have to be worried about the fact he's only averaging 5.5 assists along with 7 TOs. I think both numbers will improve, but he misses Amare Stoudemire, which has become clear. The great thing about Nash is that one of the few things bigger than his numbers is his name, meaning you can always move him easily, in any league. So if you don't like what you see, or think you're going to see, start making some offers and see what you can pull. Hedo Turkoglu wasn't great again, finishing with 13 points and three 3-pointers, but just one rebound on 3-of-8 shooting. It really felt like Hedo was going to get it turned around in Phoenix, but he stunk in the preseason and he has stunk in the first two games. Then we add in the fact that Hakim Warrick stepped up with 18 & 11 on 5-of-11 shooting last night, and Turkoglu looks like he belongs on the bench. Warrick will be worth a pickup if he takes over the starting duties, but will be very inconsistent off the bench. Especially if Turkoglu suddenly gets hot in the near future.

Robin Lopez was awful again, fouling out in just 20 minutes to finish with four points, six boards and two blocks. I'm not giving up on him yet, but we were obviously expecting much more out of Lopez than we've gotten early. Channing Frye was better with 14 points, four boards, a steal, block and two 3-pointers, but still doesn't look like last year's model. Practice patience with Frye, as he should at least become a reliable fantasy starter at some point. Just don't look for the stud that led your team in threes last year. Josh Childress was quiet in 19 minutes and it's clear his broken finger is an issue.

The Jazz got just 13 points out of Deron Williams on 3-of-12 shooting, but he did have a three, four boards, six dimes and two steals. He's off to a slow start, just like his team, and blasted them during and after the game. He said his teammates don't know the plays on offense and are struggling on defense. He also went after rookie Gordon Hayward during the game. Winning will fix his problems, but with Carmelo Anthony suddenly unhappy in Utah, as well as what happened in the Summer of LeBron, you have to wonder if Williams is secretly plotting to bolt. Al Jefferson (29 & 9, no blocks) and Paul Millsap (19 & 13, 2 blocks) bounced back nicely, while Andrei Kirilenko put some minds to rest with 19 points, four assists, two steals, a block and a three. The bench was pretty much invisible, while Raja Bell couldn't get it going against his former mates, hitting just 3-of-12 shots for seven points.

News and Notes

Greg Monroe didn't play in Game 1 for the Pistons due to a lack of defense and energy, but it does sound like he should play going forward. He's in the starting lineup in my 30-league team, so it would be nice if he could at least see the floor at some point.

Mo Williams is not a lock to play tonight and will probably be a game-time decision with his groin injury. Anderson Varejao has been ruled out due to his father undergoing heart surgery today.

Stephen Curry (ankle) sounds like he's good to go tonight.

Samuel Dalembert is planning on trying to play tonight, but remains questionable. It's pretty amazing that he's already nearly back from his hip injury, which should create plenty of headaches for fantasy owners, as well as the Kings' coaching staff.

Zach Randolph (back) and Marc Gasol (ankle) are both out tonight for the Grizzlies, so Darrell Arthur and Hasheem Thabeet will start. Arthur had a big game on Wednesday, but isn't likely to hold value once Z-Bo and Gasol are back. Both of them are day-to-day for now.

Kevin Love was apparently held out of most of the fourth quarter Wednesday due to a lack of defense, sending Love's fantasy owners into a frenzy, as well as most Wolves fans. The feelings of optimism and hope in Minnesota were quickly crushed in a ridiculous home loss to the Tyreke Evans-less Kings. Inexcusable. And it might have been avoided had Love been on the court. I have no idea what's going on in the Target Center, or why the things that happen there are allowed to happen. But if Love gets jerked around again tonight (winnable game, at home against the Bucks), I give up.

Landry Fields, who started Game 1 at shooting guard for the Knicks, hitting three 3-pointers, will start again tonight, and potentially for the entire season. He's not a guy who needs to be owned in all leagues, but if you have someone to cut, picking him up until we see how this plays out makes a lot of sense.

Jason Terry says he wants to lead the league in steals and I believe that he will be among the leaders when it's over. I'm not a huge Jet fan, but the guy always produces.

Troy Murphy (back) is out tonight, meaning Joe Smith will start and Derrick Favors will get 20 minutes or so.

Check back on the NBA page on Saturday for the first Waiver Wired column, and have a great weekend!
 

hacheman@therx.com
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Week 1: Free Agent Frenzy
I don't know what the reason is, but this week has been a crazy one for emails and tweets regarding add/drops in fantasy hoops. Maybe it's that more people than ever are playing, or that more people than ever are emailing and following me. Or maybe there are truly more sleepers out there who are worthy of being picked up, as well as more talent across the board. Whatever the reason, many of the questions I'm getting almost feel like a cruel joke being played by the owner, but they're not. They're real, they mean it. Here's the latest one I received just this morning from a guy who might be Neil Peart's brother or cousin.

"Thinking of dropping Trevor Ariza, Elton Brand, Jrue Holiday, Andray Blatche or Nicolas Batum for one or more of Serge Ibaka, Arron Afflalo, D.J. Augustin, Anthony Randolph, JaVale McGee, Boris Diaw, Linas Kleiza, Al Harrington, Sammy D, Tyrus Thomas, DeMarcus Cousins or Francisco Garcia in a 8 cat roto league. I was thinking that at the very least, I can't afford to have Ariza's %s since he is sitting on my bench. Please help me make sense of a waiver wire that seems far to meaty!!! I just picked up Batum for Kleiza & Holiday for Cousins."

I told him that my top three off that list were Ibaka, Augustin and Garcia, but that I didn't really want to cut anyone on his team to do it. In other words, in leagues that small, I think you have to go with what you've got for a couple weeks and then re-evaluate. Although if he never plays Ariza and Jrue Holidays are a dime a dozen, I could see him dropping those two for Ibaka and DJA, but the whole thing just feels weird.

So here's what we're dealing with. Some obviously shallow leagues that will have owners pulling their hair out with so much talent on the wire, normal-sized leagues where Ibaka could turn a season around, and deep leagues where Charlie Villanueva or Glen Davis could be a savior.

I'm going to break potential free agents into tiers, attempting to rank them from best to worse. Hopefully the players in Tier 1, for the most part, are not available in your league. And I ranked these guys based on both how the week has gone, as well as their potential for the season. Am I way to down on Channing Frye and too high on Jrue Holiday? Maybe. Don't expect this type of depth every week. This is a "Special Week 1 Edition" of Waiver Wired.

And where was the first place you could have learned that LeBron James is really a vampire last night? By following me on Twitter, of course.

[SIZE=+1]Point Guards[/SIZE]

Tier 1

D.J. Augustin CHA
Jrue Holiday PHI
Jarrett Jack TOR
Luke Ridnour MIN
George Hill SAS

All of these guys should be owned this year, although I have a feeling Hill, who is the Spurs' sixth man, is available in many leagues. I'm sure owners of Jrue Holiday are not only mad at me, but tempted to cut him right now. We are only two games into the season and he played 30 minutes on Friday night. It will come. Ridnour takes a hit when Jonny Flynn comes back in a few weeks, but is well worth starting for now.

Tier 2

Ramon Sessions CLE
Jose Calderon TOR
Toney Douglas NYK
Jonny Flynn MIN
Mike Bibby ATL
Jeff Teague ATL
Ty Lawson DEN
Jordan Farmar NJN
Goran Dragic PHX

Do I think you should own Mike Bibby instead of Ty Lawson for the long haul? No, but for right now, Bibby's a better fantasy player both he and Teague. Sessions was awful on Friday but will be better, and could even benefit from the return of Mo Williams, who has been out with a groin injury. I have actually dropped Calderon in a couple leagues to pick up hot shooting guards, while Toney Douglas looks like he might score 12 ppg. I like Jeff Teague, but he's taking baby steps on his way into the rotation. But I bet he's a hot pick up in a month or so. Also keep a close eye on Jordan Farmar. He got nice run at SG on Friday and seems to be a great fit in the New Jersey system. He could have value even if Devin Harris stays healthy, and will be a must-own player if Harris goes down.

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Keep reading to see SGs and SFs
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Font size="+1">Shooting Guards

Tier 1

Gilbert Arenas WAS

Is he crazy? Probably. Could this season end just as poorly as his last few? Absolutely. Is the most talented player possibly floating around on waiver wires right now? Without a doubt. 2010-11 Arenas is the reason reserve spots are used in fantasy hoops.

Tier 2

Arron Afflalo DEN
Landry Fields NYK
Wilson Chandler NYK
Marco Belinelli NOH
Lou Williams PHI
Ben Gordon DET
Terrence Williams NJN
DeMar DeRozan TOR
John Salmons MIL
Evan Turner PHI
Kirk Hinrich WAS
Daniel Gibson CLE
Reggie Williams GSW
James Jones MIA
Wesley Johnson MIN
Anthony Morrow NJN
Wesley Matthews POR
Roddy Beaubois DAL
Marcus Thornton NOH

This is where things get tricky, and it clearly depends on who you're cutting to get these guys. But I think Afflalo is good to go for the year in Denver and Fields looks like a full-time starter in New York, although he could break down at some point. I was very leery of Fields at first, but after his two nice games, I'm diving in. Chandler, Belinelli and Lou are going to all put up solid numbers off the bench. Ben Gordon was on my 'bad' list but he finally caught fire last night and could actually return to form this season. I have said this before, but I'm not dropping T-Will, despite his 10 minutes last night. I'm going to ride the storm out for as long as I can, but he's no longer an auto-start in my mind. Salmons has been a mess for the Bucks and while he'll turn it around, he's still got a logjam in Milwaukee to deal with. Turner is going to be inconsistent, but the minutes are there, Hinrich could be big if Arenas falls into a hole, Gibson is a super-sleeper in Cleveland and Reggie Williams could end up starting at point guard for the Warriors with Stephen Curry hurting, and should have a nice year regardless. Jones is 3-pointers and 3-pointers only and Matthews will be inconsistent as Portland's sixth man. Roddy B is going to be back soon and should vault up this list when it happens, while Thornton actually showed signs of life on Friday with 10 points in 18 minutes.

Tier 3

Raja Bell UTA
J.J. Redick ORL
C.J. Miles UTA
Quentin Richardson ORL
Mickael Pietrus ORL
J.R. Smith DEN
Leandro Barbosa TOR
Josh Childress PHX
James Harden OKC
Wayne Ellington MIN
Shannon Brown LAK
Keith Bogans/Ronnie Brewer CHI
Roger Mason NYK

Tier 3 actually looks like a list of guys you can safely cut, although Redick could get hot with Vince Carter hurt.

[SIZE=+1]Small Forwards[/SIZE]

Tier 1

Nicolas Batum POR
Trevor Ariza NOH
Danilo Gallinari NYK

Is Batum really better than Ariza? I don't know and the fact of the matter is these three can be arranged in any order. The point is, they should be owned in all leagues – even the one the brother of the drummer of Rush plays in. And the only reason I put Gallinari on there is because I bet someone lost it last night after his 0-for-6 and dropped him.

Tier 2

Linas Kleiza TOR
Dorell Wright GSW
Francisco Garcia SAC
Carlos Delfino MIL
Richard Jefferson SAS
Corey Maggette LAC
Grant Hill DET
Mike Dunleavy IND

Here's where the hottest pickups right now are sitting, for the most part. Kleiza has looked good enough to flirt with Tier 1, Wright absolutely blew up last night in Golden State, and should see more minutes with Stephen Curry injured, while Garcia has put up two amazing lines, despite not starting at small forward yet for the Kings. Now that Donte Greene and Omri Casspi have failed at the job, logic would dictate that Garcia should be the next one to get a shot. And if he can stay at the level he's played at in his first two games, this could finally be the year. Garcia is the guy I was able to pick up in several leagues last night, and is basically a must-own player until we see how this turns out. Delfino has timeshare issues, but that 19-point, five 3-pointer opener is fresh in our minds and he is the starter for the Bucks. Jefferson and Maggette both look like they're going to consistently contribute, Hill had 21 points last night and is picking up the slack for Channing Frye and Josh Childress, while Dunleavy continues to get nice run for the Pacers.

Tier 3

Travis Outlaw NJN
Andres Nocioni PHI
Omri Casspi SAC
Chase Budinger HOU
Jamario Moon CLE
Ryan Gomes LAC
Sam Young MEM

Outlaw finally played well last night, Nocioni might be ready to take over the small forward job in Philly, while Casspi, Budinger, Moon, Gomes and Young all have the potential for a big line at any time. But once again, this tier looks like a 'cut list' to me.

Keep reading for PFs and Cs
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[SIZE=+1]Power Forwards[/SIZE]

Tier 1

Andray Blatche WAS
Elton Brand PHI
J.J. Hickson CLE
Carl Landry SAC
Rashard Lewis ORL

Again, none of these dudes should be available in fantasy basketball leagues. If they are, fix the problem.

Tier 2

Shelden Williams DEN
Glen Davis BOS
Boris Diaw CHA
Taj Gibson CHI
Tyrus Thomas CHA
Antawn Jamison CLE
Charlie Villanueva DET
Hedo Turkoglu PHX
Josh McRoberts IND
Al Harrington DEN

I can't believe it either, but Shelden Williams looks to be for real and Kenyon Martin isn't coming back any time soon. I love picking up Glen Davis right now with Shaquille O'Neal and Jermaine O'Neal injured. If Shaq is going to miss a few games with a knee injury, Baby is your new starting center. And even if that doesn't happen, he's playing well enough to warrant being owned in most leagues. Diaw and Ty Thomas are splitting time in Charlotte, Gibson is money until Carlos Boozer returns, and Jamison showed he can still play on Friday. He should at least be stashed on a bench. Charlie V is heating up and, along with Garcia, is a guy I've been targeting today. Turkoglu looks awful, McRoberts has been solid, but Tyler Hansbrough's line from last night makes me nervous about him, and Al Harrington is just trying to remain relevant in the cluster known as Denver. But Tier 2 is full of players who should be owned in most leagues.
Tier 3

Reggie Evans TOR
Udonis Haslem MIA
Drew Gooden MIL
Hakim Warrick PHX
Austin Daye DET
Anthony Randolph GSW
Channing Frye PHX
Amir Johnson TOR
Darrell Arthur MEM
Tyler Hansbrough IND
Jason Thompson SAC

The PF Tier 3 is better than most of the other positions, as Evans, Haslem, Gooden, Warrick and Daye could all have immediate value, while the rest of this one is full of potential. Evans is rebounds, rebounds and rebounds, but nothing more. And once Amir Johnson pulls his head out of his you know what and gets going, Evans will take a hit. Haslem has been quietly solid off the Heat bench, but makes me nervous playing behind a suddenly mediocre Chris Bosh, while Gooden played just 18 minutes last night while Scott Skiles pulled every power forward he could find into the game at some point. Milwaukee's too deep at every position except center and point guard, and I think I even saw Jackie Moon's name in the box score. Warrick is just waiting for Turkoglu to fall down again so he can steal his job. However, Warrick fell into a hole of his own on Friday night, disappearing with just two points after a big line on Thursday. Anyone wanting to cut Daye, Randolph or the rest of this tier won't get much of an argument from me, although part of me wants to believe Randolph will end up coming back, winning over Mike D'Antoni and finally living up to the hype. But I think my spirit on him has finally been broken. And while I don't think Frye will be this bad all year, It's clear last year's big numbers are not in the cards this time around.

[SIZE=+1]Centers[/SIZE]

Tier 1

Serge Ibaka OKC
Robin Lopez PHX
Anderson Varejao CLE
Emeka Okafor NOH
Yao Ming HOU

All of these guys should be owned by now, but I have a feeling Ibaka may still be floating around on some wires. This is his year and he is going to be a monster in boards and blocks. And if he ever slips by Nenad Krstic for the starting gig, look out. Lopez may have been dropped in your league after two awful outings, but finally came to life on Friday with 18 points, 14 rebounds and a block. Do I fully trust him after one great line? Nope, but we thought he was going to have a nice season and this puts him back on the right track.

Tier 2

JaVale McGee WAS
Darko Milicic MIN
DeMarcus Cousins SAC
Andrew Bynum LAL
DeJuan Blair SAS
Spencer Hawes PHI

I have a feeling McGee, Cousins and Blair are going to start showing up on waivers, but it feels too early to give up on them. Darko is blocking shots, Bynum should play one day and Hawes is starting in Phillly.

Tier 3

Samuel Dalembert SAC
Tyson Chandler DAL
Brad Miller HOU
Tiago Splitter SAS
Nazr Mohammed CHA
Ronny Turiaf NYK
Brendan Haywood DAL
Nenad Krstic OKC
Mehmet Okur UTA
Timofey Mozgov NYK
Chuck Hayes HOU
Semih Erden BOS

Dalembert will be brought back from his hip injury slowly, but actually played six minutes in last night's game. He's not a must-own player, but someone you'll want to keep an eye on as he returns to health. Chandler is surprisingly starting in Dallas and had three blocks and nine boards Friday. Miller should get plenty of minutes behind Yao Ming this year, Splitter is working his way back from injury, and will dampen the spirits of DeJuan Blair when he returns, and Mohammed is starting for Charlotte, meaning you could use him in a deep league. Turiaf could be ready to take over the starting gig in New York with Timofey Mozgov really struggling, while Haywood has to be seething as Chandler's back up in Big D. Chuck Hayes has played well for Houston, but I'm not buying it. Miller should easily outplay him this year when Yao's not around, but it hasn't happened thus far. And just keep an ear out for Semih Erden, who is about to be called into action by Doc Rivers with both of his O'Neal's down and out.
 

hacheman@therx.com
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Messages
139,222
Tokens
Marcus Thornton: Boom or bust? Well, after writing that massive Waiver Wired on Saturday, a few interesting things happened that made it look dated within a few hours.

Trials and Tribulations

Francisco Garcia went nuts in his first two games off the bench and then did next to nothing on Saturday night while I was at a Band of Horses show. My phone told he hit just 1-of-4 shots for four points in 17 minutes. Of course he did, after I declared him a hoops superstar in a column a few hours earlier. But give him a week until we see if Sacramento continues to play musical small forwards.

Marcus Thornton played well for the Hornets on Saturday, finishing with 17 points in 30-plus minutes of action, while Marco Belinelli cooled off with two points in 23 minutes. Does this mean you should automatically drop Bello? Probably not, but adding MT now makes sense again as it looks like he's nearly out of the doghouse. This is not the end for Belinelli, but a true timeshare with Thornton is certainly going to hurt his potential for serious value.

Danilo Gallinari stinks. Well, he doesn't really stink, but he sure had a bad opening week. Many owners want to cut him, which is pretty ludicrous. David Lee failed to score on Sunday for the first time since 2007, which was probably devastating to those of you who own him – especially if you took him in Round 1. But are you going to cut him loose? Of course not. Gallinari's wrist is injured and he's obviously off to a poor start. He will get healthy and eventually stop struggling. You can cut him if you want, but don't expect to see him back on your team this year, and you may want to go ahead and schedule those counseling sessions you'll need when he's lighting it up in December. And if you don't own Gallinari you should feel like a shark in bloody waters. Feel free to steal him for next to nothing while you still can.

Nicolas Batum's line cooled off on Saturday, but he's still scored in double figures in all three games and is averaging 15 points, seven rebounds, 2.3 3-pointers and nearly a steal and block per game. He's a keeper.

Other inconsistent early performers include Arron Afflalo, J.J. Hickson, Carlos Delfino, John Salmons, Terrence Williams, Anthony Morrow, JaVale McGee and Andray Blatche, but I'd recommend holding onto most of these guys.

Jrue Holiday, Channing Frye and Hedo Turkoglu haven't met expectations, but should continue to get better, while guys like Austin Daye, James Harden and Greg Monroe can be safely dropped.

Five Alive

The Blazers play five times this week, making Brandon Roy, LaMarcus Aldridge, Marcus Camby, Andre Miller and Nicolas Batum studs, with Wesley Matthews worth a look as well.

Exclamation Point

In case you missed it, Rajon Rondo had a triple-double with 24 assists on Friday. The 24 dimes were a career high and just four short of Bob Cousy's team record of 28. Did you reach for Rondo this year? If so, congratulations. Derrick Rose dropped a 39-point bomb on the Pistons, adding six boards, seven assists, three 3-pointers, two steals and two blocks. Whoa. With Russell Westbrook also off to a hot start, blowing a high pick on a young PG looks like a great move in hindsight.

Don't Call Me Ronnie

Paul Millsap exploded for 30 points, 16 rebounds and six assists on Sunday. Remember when he stunk in the preseason? Well, he's got it going now and had 19 & 13 in his previous game.

The Wright Stuff?

Dorell Wright has looked great in the last two games and should be picked up in most leagues. Stephen Curry hopes to play on Wednesday, meaning he may not miss any games this week, but Wright has become a big part of the offense in Golden State. I thought Reggie Williams, who started in place of Curry on Sunday, would make a big dent, but he just hasn't found a rhythm yet. He will, but you may not have time to wait.

What You Talkin' About, Jerry?

Jerry Sloan is talking about replacing Andre Kirilenko with C.J. Miles in the Jazz' starting lineup, but I'll believe it when I see it happen. First of all, he'll quickly remember back to last year when he made the mistake of bringing AK-47 off the bench all season. Then we saw what happened on Sunday night, when the Jazz finally looked good and won a game. Kirilenko was great in the starting five and Miles dropped 21 points on the Thunder with three 3-pointers. Hopefully this is enough to end the discussion, but if you own Kirilenko, pray that Sloan doesn't go down the wrong path.

Boobie and quick hits

Daniel Gibson has scored 16, 9 and 20 points and hit six 3-pointers in three games for the Cavaliers, and I don't think it's a fluke. However, Mo Williams will be back soon, which could hurt.

Al Harrington scored just 10 and 11 points in his first two games, but dropped 28 on the Rockets Saturday with five 3-pointers. Shelden Williams has been great thus far, but struggled on Saturday with six points and eight boards, but did add two blocks. He still played well over 30 minutes and is the starter, so Williams should be should be OK, even with Harrington possibly coming on.

Luis Scola and Rodney Stuckey have easily outlived early expectations and my guess is they keep it up all year.

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See Page 2 for the Monday Morning Injury Report
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Monday Morning Injury Report

Maurice Evans – knee – Will miss several games for Hawks, no fantasy value.
Jermaine O'Neal – knee – Practiced Sunday, should play, but will struggle.
Shaquille O'Neal – knee – Missed Sunday's practice, bench him for now.
Delonte West – suspension – Still out for seven games, keep him benched.
Kendrick Perkins – knee – Targeting All-Star Break return.
Carlos Boozer – hand – Not likely to play at all in November.
Mo Williams – groin – On track to play Tuesday, start at your own risk.
Roddy Beaubois – foot – Not likely to play at all in November.
Kenyon Martin – knee – Return date unknown – gonna be awhile.
Chris Andersen – knee – Targeting Dec. 1, which hurts Shelden.
Chris Wilcox – hamstring – No value when healthy.
Will Bynum – hamstring – Iffy for the week after missing Fri/Sat.
Stephen Curry – ankle – Says he'll play Wednesday, but a little risky.
Brandon Rush – suspended – Two more games to go.
Jeff Foster – back – Won't make much noise this season.
Randy Foye – hamstring – Missed Clips game Sat., day-to-day.
Luke Walton – hamstring – Could play Tuesday, but no value.
Andrew Bynum – knee – Could play around Thanksgiving.
Xavier Henry – neck – Day-to-day, no fantasy value.
Zach Randolph – tailbone – Hoping it's not broke, more tests Monday.
Mike Miller – thumb – Not likely until January. Hello, James Jones.
Chris Douglas-Roberts – eye – May not play in November.
Michael Redd – knee – May not play this year.
Martell Webster – back – Won't play until December.
Jonny Flynn – hip – Could play in a couple weeks.
Troy Murphy – back – Still day-to-day, but very risky start.
Anthony Randolph – ankle – Could play Tuesday, but bench him.
Kelenna Azubuike – knee – Could be out until January.
Nick Collison – knee – Should miss another two weeks.
Vince Carter – back – Practiced Sunday, should be fine this week.
Joel Przybilla – knee – Could play sometime this week.
Greg Oden – knee – Still out indefinitely, maybe December.
Tiago Splitter – foot – Could play tonight, or Wednesday.
Mehmet Okur – achilles – Maybe December, could be January.
Gilbert Arenas – ankle – Maybe Tuesday, but look for update later.
Josh Howard – knee – Not likely until December.
 

hacheman@therx.com
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Messages
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Ring-Deng-Deng
It seems like every year the pace of events in the fantasy sports world goes up a notch, and this year is no different. I'm not sure if things are actually more hectic, but this is the time of year where player values change quickly and there is no shortage of owners jumping off cliffs. And in a game driven by statistics more so than say, football, we have just three or four games to get an idea of what those value changes are. The savvy owner can use this time to pillage or panic, and with that in mind let's get to the news of the day.

And you can follow me on Twitter here, where it's a bit faster to break news and post random thoughts.

Ring-a-Ding-Ding-Deng-Dong

Luol Deng had an image problem. We knew he would be good, but concerns about Carlos Boozer's impact, Derrick Rose's maturation, new additions in Kyle Korver and Ronnie Brewer, and the fear of more injuries left him sort of twisting in the wind in drafts. After averaging 10.5 points, 2.0 boards, 0.5 assists, 0.5 steals, and 1.0 blocks, and all the attention Derrick Rose has been getting, owners were already kicking the tires on guys like Linas Kleiza, Dorell Wright, and Richard Jefferson in disgust. That ended Monday night when Deng scored a career-high 40 points on 14-of-19 shooting with three treys, four rebounds, and two assists. He did his work efficiently and within the flow of the offense, against defensive-stopper Nicolas Batum for much of the game, and reminded us why you don't judge a season by its first two games.

Deng's 40 points helped pace the Bulls' 110-98 win over the Blazers, who looked lethargic and disinterested outside of LaMarcus Aldridge who had a season-high 33 points with nine boards. He is averaging 24 points and 10 boards in his last three games. Rose followed up his 36-point career night with another pearl, tying his career-high with 13 assists while adding 16 points and five boards. He went 0-for-3 from deep (bringing his 3PT% down to 21 percent) and had six turnovers (and now averages five TOs per game), but he's still averaging a steal, block, and three per game so far. He's a monster.

Taj Gibson isn't playing like he should be owned, and has just 23 points and three rebounds in his last two games. You can do better. Joakim Noah has quietly been a beast, and had another 10 points, 10 boards, and four assists to go with a block. He's might be a sell-high candidate before Boozer gets back.

Brandon Roy (17 points, 4-of-12 shooting, two boards, three assists), Andre Miller (seven points, six assists), and Marcus Camby (nine points, 11 rebounds, one block) didn't kill owners, but they're not winning any weeks for you, either. Nicolas Batum was taken out of his game by Deng's performance, and had just three points and one rebound in 18 minutes. Ouch. He's young and is going to have nights like these, so be patient.

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The Biggest Loser

Baron Davis has been a chronic underachiever. He knows it, you know it, and now everybody knows it. After he couldn't play in Monday's game because of his sore left knee, coach Vinny Del Negro pretty much teed off on him and said everything everybody's been saying all along about his unwillingness to condition during the offseason. I hate to say it but I don't feel bad for his owners. This was the risk part of the risk-reward he presented on draft day, and if he gets the wakeup call it won't be the end of the world. Del Negro said he hopes he can play Wednesday against the Thunder, and if he doesn't then Eric Bledsoe will get another start with Randy Foye (hamstring) apparently out the next 1-2 weeks. Bledsoe is an intriguing short-term pickup, and if you have dead weight on your roster he'd be a nice add for the off-chance that Davis totally implodes, which isn't likely but isn't out of the question, either.

As for Bledsoe, he had a ho-hum outing Monday, scoring nine points with five rebounds, three assists, four steals, two blocks, and a three in 39 minutes, while Eric Gordon was equally in charge of handling the ball and posted a career-high 11 assists to go with 23 points and four rebounds. After averaging 3.0 assists all of last year, this isn't a new wrinkle in his game unless something were to happen to Davis. Oh, and then there was this.

As for Baron? He's going to have to first get in shape, and then stay in Del Negro's good graces, and you can bet that once the season goes down the toilet for the Clips (they're already 0-4) that they'll be finding new and creative ways to get him off the court so they can see what they have in Bledsoe and/or Foye. Heck, there are already folks saying the offense is 'faster' with Bledsoe at the point. The next time B-Diddy gets on the court and posts a good game, I'd be selling for 75 cents on the dollar, but that's just me.

As for the rest of the Clips, there were some decent lines despite taking a 97-88 loss to the Spurs. Chris Kaman scored 18 points with eight rebounds, five assists, a steal, and a block, and Blake Griffin continued his decent into Earth's atmosphere with 17 points and eight boards and his first block of the year. Griffin had some monster preseason games and a huge opener, but has probably settled into a more realistic production level.

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The Spurs were as boring as they usually are, with the exception of Tiago Splitter's return from a foot injury that stole all of his preseason and all of his hype. He played just 10 minutes, as expected, finishing with two points and two boards. He said his foot felt good afterwards and with DeJuan Blair struggling, he is somebody to think about adding if you need a center.

Blair, on the other hand, can probably be dropped. For a guy who posted awesome per-minute numbers last year, has just 13 points and 19 rebounds in three games and his zero-point, five-rebound outing was the last straw for me. Yes, it's early, but with Splitter back the upside just isn't there anymore. Richard Jefferson scored 18 points and hit a couple of threes but not much else, which is just about what he is averaging to start the year. He's better than last year's model, and while he should be owned I'm still gun-shy to start him.

Tony Parker added 19 points with nine assists, Manu Ginobili had 14 points and seven assists, and Tim Duncan scored 14 points with seven rebounds. George Hill (trapezius) left the game after getting clothes-lined by Craig Smith, who was ejected with a flagrant-2 foul and may face further penalty. Smith, in a display of true class and professionalism, high-fived fans as he left the arena. Hill was a borderline option in most leagues, and though the injury doesn't sound serious you may use the injury as an excuse to grab someone off the wire.

Kings of the Castle

The Kings opened up Arco on Sunday with news of the San Francisco Giants' World Series victory sending fans into a frenzy, and then quickly found the arena silenced when Reggie Evans proceeded to rebound every ball there ever was. He had 19 for the game and 10 in one quarter, with the latter achievement tying a franchise record. He has rendered Andrea Bargnani's rebounding non-existent (3.0 average) and dropped Amir Johnson into irrelevant status. Johnson has shown he's more of a project than anybody thought, especially the Raptors.

The other Raps project, DeMar DeRozan, was on the shortlist to headline this column after scoring 24 points with this silky smooth dunk with under a minute to play. Those in the know around the Raptors say that he's going to break out, and this may be the first sign of it. Meanwhile, Leandro Barbosa's arrow is pointing down as his wrist injury limited him to just two points in 12 minutes. I have no news, but I wouldn't be surprised if he gets nudged towards rest or surgery if DeRozan can keep it up.

Aside from running away from rebounds, Bargnani did score 28 points with three treys and two blocks, and the rebounds have to be coming, right? He can probably still be bought low. Linas Kleiza scored 18 points with a trio of treys, and he's looking like the second or third scoring option in Toronto. Jarrett Jack had his second straight clunker with two points and five assists, but unlike on Friday, in Monday's game Jose Calderon wasn't garbage and had 13 points and five assists. Maybe the Jack-to-Miami trade rumors are getting to him, and with or without a potential trade it's a fluid situation.

The Kings, for their part, won Monday's game in stirring fashion with a 111-108 come from behind victory that included solid performances from Tyreke Evans (23 points, seven boards, five assists) and Beno Udrih (17 points on 7-of-12 shooting), and Omri Casspi (14 points and three triples, including a key three late). Evans did not start the second half due to a stomach illness, but returned to have what beat writer Jason Jones called one of his best performances ever.

Casspi was the man of the hour though, and while his stat line doesn't suggest it (he had just two assists, one block, and zero rebounds) his overall play further cemented his status as the Kings' starting SF. He's only owned in about 30% of CBS leagues right now and 14 points, six boards, a three, and a steal sound like a good baseline if he starts. If that helps you pick him up.

DeMarcus Cousins dealt with early foul trouble and was replaced for the second straight game to get Samuel Dalembert's defense on the floor, and for the second straight night the move paid dividends for Paul Westphal. Cousins was still a force, however, in the fourth quarter and finished with 16 points, four rebounds, and a block in just 17 minutes. Dalembert (hip) logged 22 minutes and had 14 rebounds, and the two look like they are headed for a time-share. Look for Sammy D to have low-end value for boards and blocks, while Cousins is the player to own for his versatility and upside.

Carl Landry had a stinker, with nine points and four rebounds. Averaging 15 points and five boards so far, he may have more name value from last year than real value in this year.

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Why Have Three When You Can Have Four?

Coach Byron Scott said Monday that he is going to use a four-guard rotation when Mo Williams returns Tuesday, citing that he wants to play all of them less minutes to keep them fresh. The backcourt in his Princeton offense has been productive regardless of who has been at the reigns, but this is going to hurt all of their value. I wouldn't be surprised to see the starters play 26-28 minutes and the backups play 20-22 minutes. Scott is undecided at the time of this writing as to whether he'll start Williams or Ramon Sessions on Tuesday, but if I had to guess Williams and Anthony Parker will start, and Daniel Gibson will hook up with Sessions in the second unit. I'd knock all of these guys down a peg, and if you spent a high-draft pick on Williams you may want to get him on the trading block before folks realize he's not a 35-minute type of guy.

What to Watch for Tuesday

Tuesday's seven-game slate has plenty of storylines. Here they are:

Sixers @ Wizards

Jitterbug PGs Jrue Holiday and John Wall go at it, and No. 2 overall pick Evan Turner will face comparisons all night long. Here is mine: They don't compare. Holiday's owners are hanging from a tree branch sticking out of the side of the cliff they jumped from, so we'll be watching to see if he can improve. Wall has a sprained right ankle, but is almost certain to play. Gilbert Arenas (ankle), on the other hand, is not likely to play and is straddling the fine line between redemption and finding a shack in Montana to write poetry from. If owned him (I don't), I'd probably sell him for 75 cents on the dollar like Baron -- but only at the last possible moment before I think he's going nuts.

Hawks @ Cavs

Antawn Jamison's knee is swelling up, and some think he's not happy with coming off the bench. Byron Scott says he's more worried about him physically than mentally, but that could just be coachspeak. You know who's not happy? Anybody that owns him. As a wise man said said Monday, that's why you don't draft declining veterans hoping that they can reach previous numbers. That said, he's going to improve, and is an excellent buy low target right now, but watching him toil behind the ugly brand of basketball that J.J. Hickson plays at times is going to be frustrating. Hickson, on the other hand, should continue to improve as he (slowly) learns what Scott expects of him, and should put up some nice lines. If he doesn't while Jamison is less than 100 percent, we know where he stands.

The Hawks extended Al Horford on Monday, setting off speculation that Josh Smith would be put on the trading block. It's a money thing. We've even heard of a Smith for Kevin Love potential trade, but there's nothing remotely close to actionable in terms of news out there.

Celtics @ Pistons

The Celtics have interchangeable O'Neals, and the one with the bad acting career is probably out for this one. So Jermaine O'Neal will likely start and play as much as his body will allow him. There's a lot of buzz about Semih Erden, but truth be told Luke Harangody has just as good of a chance to get minutes Tuesday. None of them should be in lineups in most formats.

For the Pistons, Richard Hamilton (foot) and Charlie Villanueva (ankle) are iffy to play, making Ben Gordon and Austin Daye better plays if they don't. Daye, a preseason stud, has been anything but that so far shooting just 24 percent from the field. His shot will start to fall and his numbers will improve, but we wouldn't blame you for moving on. Just don't be surprised if he starts to pick it up. Charlie V looks like a great pickup right now with Daye struggling, but on the whole owners are going to 'chase' statistics a whole lot in Detroit. I want no part of it.

Wolves @ Heat

Michael Beasley gets to play his old team and LeBron may shadow Anthony Tolliver all over the court in an effort to punk him for his Decision. Jonny Flynn is taking part in full contact practice, so if you haven't already been trying to sell Luke Ridnour you better get started.

With the way Kurt Rambis is handling Kevin Love, he may need to ask LeBron for some of his security detail to protect against crazed fantasy owners. He says he isn't benching him in the fourth quarter anymore, and while that's great news I'll believe it when I see it. Look for one of the Super Friends to go off, another to post numbers most guys would kill for, and the last one to carry on with his 13-point, 6.5 rebound average. Can you guess who the last one is? One of these days LeBron and Dwyane will let him ride shotgun, but he'll probably have to call it way before he sees the car.

Magic @ Knicks

Orlando is a fairly straight-forward fantasy outfit, and we'll be watching to see if Vince Carter's improved athleticism is still on display. He's likely to play despite the back injury he suffered Friday. Surprising as it sounds, he's a great buy low candidate for the owner that looks at his 11-point, three-rebound average and doesn't realize that in one of his two games he left with that injury.

In New York, all eyes are on Danilo Gallinari and Anthony Randolph. Gallo may be the best buy low target in the league right now, as once his wrist is healed up he should be primed to breakout. Ant-Rand is more of a mess, and some of the folks here at Rotoworld don't think he should be held in 12-team leagues unless you have four or five roster spots (Adam). I've decided to hold him in the one league I have him in, simply because I like to gamble, and frankly I could go either way on it. He has beaten his recovery time for his sprained ankle by a week, and I'll be looking to see whether or not he understands what is going on around him, and not necessarily the stats. If he is still a deer in headlights after a week in the rotation, I'm cutting bait.

Blazers @ Bucks

The Blazers fly from their underwhelming loss to the Bulls on Monday to Milwaukee to face a tough and deep Bucks squad. If they bounce back, it will say a lot about their makeup. The Bucks' John Salmons is essentially getting back into shape on the court. Keep your expectations in check because of the crowded rotation, but he's another great buy low target right now.

We'll also see if Luc Richard Mbah a Moute is going to render Drew Gooden worthless after he hogged all the minutes on Saturday. Carlos Delfino has had the touch recently, but I'm selling him if I own him. It's doubtful to last. Brandon Jennings can get the edge pretty easily against Andre Miller or Brandon Roy, so expect him to get a lot of space. I smell a 6-for-20 shooting game.

Grizzlies @ Lakers

The Battle of the Gasols may get the headlines, but Zach Randolph's (tailbone) status is the biggest fantasy news of the day. He'll be a game-time decision and Darrell Arthur will start if he can't go, and is worth using if that happens.

Kobe used some colorful language to talk about Phil's comments that his knee isn't 100%, and might decide to open it up just to piss him off. The Grizzlies extended PG Mike Conley on Monday to the tune of five years and $45 million, and while he's having a fine year so far, he'll be the butt of Michael Heisley jokes for the rest of his career.
 

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Rondo: Man On A Mission
Where to begin? Rajon Rondo is clearly on a mission, John Wall had a coming out party on Tuessday and the Knicks had their home game against the Magic canceled due to an asbestos concern in the Garden.

I'm live chatting at Season Pass at 4 p.m. I'm not looking forward to all the questions about Marco Belinelli, Arron Afflalo, Marcus Thornton, Austin Daye, Darko Milicic, Wesley Johnson, Antawn Jamison and the Pistons and Bucks, but know they are coming. See you there.

Follow me on Twitter!

Man On a Mission

While Wall's night was amazing, I'm going with Rondo as the lead story. My buddy Jeff Snyder told me after our auction draft that his entire goal was to land Rondo and then fill in a team around him. I'm not sure if Snyder saw this coming from Rondo, but the numbers are staggering. He's handed out 67 assists already - more than any player in history through four games. The overall numbers come in at 10 points, 17 assists, 5.5 rebounds and 2.5 steals. His shooting is not great from the floor or line, the turnovers (3.5) are high and the 3-pointers are lacking. But you knew the negatives on Rondo coming in. The assists will come down, the scoring will go up, but even with the things Rondo doesn't do well, he's still one of the most fun players to own in fantasy hoops. But those turnovers, poor free throw shooting and lack of threes are going to catch up with your team eventually. And if you want to sell high on him, there's a pretty good chance his value won't be higher all year than it is right now.

Off the Wall

John Wall racked up a ridiculous line of 29 points, 13 assists, nine steals and eight turnovers in Tuesday's overtime win against the Sixers in Washington's thrilling home-opener. Surprisingly, he didn't hit a 3-pointer, but did hit 9-of-16 shots and 11-of-14 free throws. He said in his interview after the game that he needs to fix his turnover problem and it was nice to see him acknowledge it so quickly. Wall became the first player in NBA history to have at least 29 points, 13 assists and nine steals in a single game. He also tweaked his ankle again last night and received treatment after the game. But at this point, it doesn't sound like anything to worry about. Oh, and he was facing off against No. 2 pick Evan Turner, who quietly amassed nine points and six boards.

Shut 'Em Down

The temporary cancellation of the Knicks – Magic game was potentially devastating for the owners of Dwight Howard, Amare Stoudemire and any other players from those teams. Their four-game week has been turned into a 3-gamer, but that's better than two. Yes, the game will be rescheduled, which will be a nice bump down the line, but owners of Amare or Dwight could end up taking a loss this week they shouldn't have.

Game Notes

Wiz Best Sixers In OT

Andray Blatche appears to be breaking out of the funk. He hit just 5-of-17 shots last night, but finished with 23 points and six rebounds thanks to strong free throw shooting. He's still working his way back into shape from a broken foot and is probably still a nice buy-low target. JaVale McGee has been struggling with early foul trouble, but I still think he's worth stashing on benches.

For the Sixers, Jrue Holiday hit 6-of-11 shots on his way to 14 points, 13 assists and six turnovers. A great line? Not really, but he's making progress. I still think he should be owned in all leagues. Lou Williams hit just 6-of-16 shots, but nailed three 3-pointers and 15-of-17 free throws on his way to 30 points. He didn't do much else, but he's going to score points this season. Doug Collins has asked him for instant offense from the bench, and Williams is delivering at a clip of 20 ppg through four games. And don't forget about Elton Brand, who is finally healthy for the first time in years. He's averaging 16 points, nine boards, three steals and two blocks thus far, and while he feels sell-highish right now, he will keep this up (minus the steals) for as long as he's healthy.

Hawks Improve to 4-0

The Hawks beat the Cavaliers to go to 4-0 and are the only undefeated team in the East. They should make it 5-0 with the self-destructing Pistons up next. Josh Smith had five more blocks, and while his scoring is down the nine boards, 4.5 blocks and steal per game are fantasy gold. If you're still holding Jeff Teague, it's probably time to grab a productive player. Teague will emerge at some point, but it doesn't make sense to wait on him except in very deep leagues. Marvin Williams had 22 points on 8-of-12 shooting and can be added to a list of guys like Marco Belinelli, Arron Afflalo, DeMar DeRozan, Landry Fields, Toney Douglas and Marcus Thornton, who may or may not be worth adding to your team right now.

The Cavs welcomed back Mo Williams from a groin injury. He came off the bench for 12 points and two dimes, and should start in his next one. Ramon Sessions is a guy you're going to see on waivers soon, but at some point this season he's going to catch fire. J.J. Hickson hit 11-of-17 shots for a career-high 31 points, but added just five boards, zero blocks and five turnovers. He should become a more productive player as the season progresses and his free throw shooting is a plus. Antawn Jamison sat this one out with a knee injury as his disastrous season continues. Can you cut him? It's probably not a great idea, but then again, the vibe is so bad on Jamison right now, it would be tough to blame you if you dropped him. The best thing to do is put him on your bench and pray, but I don't think he's a guy we should be targeting in a trade right now. And his knee injury may not be going away anytime soon.

Keep reading for more game recaps, news and notes, and Wednesday night preview.
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Pistons Imploding

Austin Daye had 16 points, five boards and a 3-pointer Tuesday, Charlie Villanueva had 17 points and seven boards, Greg Monroe finally played and had 10 rebounds (missing all six of his shots), and Ben Gordon started for injured Richard Hamilton, finishing with 14 points before fouling out. The Celtics wiped the floor with the Pistons last night, John Kuester called out his team for a lack of vocalization and leadership, and the team struck back with comments about the pot calling the kettle black, etc. Additionally, Charlie V. is ticked off because Kevin Garnett said he looked like a cancer patient, although KG may have been unaware that Villanueva suffers from alopecia universalis - a skin disease that results in hair loss. Then CV challenged KG to a fistfight on Twitter. Good times in Detroit, where the Pistons are 0-4. Funny tweet from John Hollinger today, too. "Liked the Detroit story saying Pistons "would consider" dealing Rip for Josh Smith. In other news, Hawks "would consider" Teague for Kobe." Rip will also miss tonight's game at Atlanta.

Heat Thump Wolves

Michael Beasley went down with a hip injury last night, but X-rays were negative and he's day-to-day. The injury doesn't sound serious and it's possible he could have returned last night. Kevin Love was solid and Wesley Johnson scored 13, but there's not much to love about the Wolves, as usual. Darko Milicic appears to have fallen off a cliff and rumors of a lineup change are gaining steam. I picked up Anthony Tolliver in a league or two and stashed him, while Wesley J deserves the same treatment. If you have plenty of centers and want to cut Manna from Heaven, go for it.

The Heat got 20 points, 12 assists and zero rebounds from LeBron, and I have no clue how he made it through an NBA game without a single rebound. This was a blowout all the way, hurting everyone's minutes, while James Jones is still raking with five more 3-pointers. He's already hit 18 of them after connecting on 37 last year, and 33 the year before. Chris Bosh had 13 points and six boards last night as the nightmare continues. I was offered Bosh for Roy Hibbert in one league and respectfully declined.

Blazers Roll Bucks

LaMarcus Aldridge is playing well and racked up five blocks and four steals in an easy win over the Bucks. Nicolas Batum has quieted down after a hot start and should be benched until he gets it going. I'm not sure why, but Wesley Matthews has been racking up time and stats, while Batum got just 14 minutes last night. Nate McMillan has never been one of my favorite coaches and this is why. If you took a flier on Matthews with five games this week, congratulations are in order. Armon Johnson is the talk of the town in Portland after his 10 points, five assists and perfect shooting in 22 minutes. He limited Andre Miller, but the game was a blowout and it's not likely to happen often.

The Bucks and their ridiculous 12-man rotation stunk last night, although so far Carlos Delfino has somehow managed to be somewhat consistent. Milwaukee is a fantasy time bomb, and I really don't trust anyone on the team.

Lakers Destroy Grizzlies

Zach Randolph missed another game with his tailbone injury but should be close to returning. The Grizz shockingly gave Mike Conley a five-year, $45 million extension on Monday. While he may be worth it, no one saw this coming, as Michael Heisley continues to march to the beat of his own drummer. As for the game, Conley and Rudy Gay were great, while O.J. Mayo had another eight-point dud. Not sure where those are coming from, but he's officially a buy-low guy until further notice.

Kobe Bryant, Pau Gasol and Lamar Odom were all awesome, while Matt Barnes had a big night off the bench. He got hot early, racked up nine offensive rebounds and had his best game of the young season. I'd recommend letting someone else pick him up, as he should only be truly effective in blowouts (although there are plenty of them coming for the Lakers).

News and Notes

Tyler Hansbrough is working his way back into shape and appears to be ready to give Josh McRoberts a run for the starting job in Indy. Neither player is a must-own, but McRoberts has been a serviceable role player in deep leagues. That may be coming to an end shortly.

It sounds like Monta Ellis will start at point guard tonight if Stephen Curry can't go on his bum ankle. He's doubtful, but we probably won't know his true status until game time. Reggie Williams will return to the bench in his role of sixth man, as Rodney Carney now looks like the starting SG if Curry can't go. As usual, just monitor things in Golden State as they develop. Dorell Wright is a strong pickup right now, but is likely already owned in your league.

Wednesday Night Lights

Pistons @ Hawks - Trap game for Hawks? I hope not.
Bobcats @ Nets - Will T-Will show up tonight?
Pacers @ 76ers - I'll be watching Collison vs. Holiday.
T-Wovles @ Magic - This is gonna get ugly quickly.
Bucks @ Celtics - Will Rondo drop 20 dimes?
Hornets @ Rockets - If Marcus Thornton does well, grab him.
Mavs @ Nuggets - Will Nuggets let Afflalo take some shots?
Raptors @ Jazz - Reggie Evans could have 20 boards tonight.
Spurs @ Suns - Which Robin Lopez will show up?
Lakers @ Kings - Kings are 3-1. Will Francisco Garcia get back on track?
Grizz @ Warriors - Curry, Zach Randolph both very iffy.
Thunder @ Clips - Should be huge night for Durant, Westbrook.
 

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