NBA Big Man Barometer

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hacheman@therx.com
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[h=1]Power forwards top Barometer[/h][h=3]Blake Griffin, Andray Blatche, LeBron James dominant bigs for the week[/h]
By Bradford Doolittle | Basketball Prospectus

We're far enough into the season where we can now start looking at performance trends, such as who are the most improved big men in the league.
To that end, we'll define "most improved" as big men who qualify for the Barometer's season standings in WARP and have most overachieved their projected winning percentages. Also, to keep our focus on players on the upswing, we'll limit the list to players who will be 25 years old or younger by the end of the regular season.
<!-- begin inline 1 -->[h=4]Most Improved Bigs[/h]
PlayerTeamEXPWin%Pro%DIF
Greg SmithHou1.656.460.196
Larry SandersMil2.597.485.112
Ed DavisTor2.600.492.108
J.J. HicksonPor4.570.467.104
Derrick FavorsUta2.607.520.087
Byron MullensCha3.470.403.067
DeAndre JordanLAC4.558.501.057
Marcus MorrisHou1.482.431.050
Serge IbakaOKC3.604.556.048
Pat. PattersonHou2.424.398.027

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<!-- end inline 1 -->
If you've been reading the Barometer each week, you won't be surprised to see Houston's Greg Smith heading up the list. Last week's champ was a little-known quantity entering the season and, let's face it, he still is. Nonetheless, his per-possession production has not only been outstanding, but it's nearly 20 percent better than what we projected it would be.

We're far enough into the season where we can now start looking at performance trends, such as who are the most improved big men in the league.
To that end, we'll define "most improved" as big men who qualify for the Barometer's season standings in WARP and have most overachieved their projected winning percentages. Also, to keep our focus on players on the upswing, we'll limit the list to players who will be 25 years old or younger by the end of the regular season.
<!-- begin inline 1 -->[h=4]Most Improved Bigs[/h]
PlayerTeamEXPWin%Pro%DIF
Greg SmithHou1.656.460.196
Larry SandersMil2.597.485.112
Ed DavisTor2.600.492.108
J.J. HicksonPor4.570.467.104
Derrick FavorsUta2.607.520.087
Byron MullensCha3.470.403.067
DeAndre JordanLAC4.558.501.057
Marcus MorrisHou1.482.431.050
Serge IbakaOKC3.604.556.048
Pat. PattersonHou2.424.398.027

<thead>
</thead><tbody>
</tbody>


<!-- end inline 1 -->
If you've been reading the Barometer each week, you won't be surprised to see Houston's Greg Smith heading up the list. Last week's champ was a little-known quantity entering the season and, let's face it, he still is. Nonetheless, his per-possession production has not only been outstanding, but it's nearly 20 percent better than what we projected it would be.
 

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