Navy vs Troy 11/10/2012

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AccuScore is forecasting a close game with Navy winning 57% of simulations, and Troy 43% of simulations. In close games, turnover margin is especially important. Navy commits fewer turnovers in 51% of simulations and they go on to win 66% when they take care of the ball. Troy wins 57% of the simulations in which they commit fewer turnovers. Gee Gee Greene is averaging 91 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (23% chance) then he helps his team win 69%. Corey Robinson is averaging 351 passing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average passing yards and at least a 2 to 1 TD to INT ratio (37% chance) then he helps his team win 58%. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is TROY +0
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