Navy vs San Diego State 12/23/2010

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AccuScore is forecasting a close game with Navy winning 53% of simulations, and San Diego State 47% of simulations. In close games, turnover margin is especially important. Navy commits fewer turnovers in 56% of simulations and they go on to win 64% when they take care of the ball. San Diego State wins 64% of the simulations in which they commit fewer turnovers. Ricky Dobbs is averaging 100 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (41% chance) then he helps his team win 66%. Ryan Lindley is averaging 269 passing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average passing yards and at least a 2 to 1 TD to INT ratio (37% chance) then he helps his team win 65%. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is SDST -2.5

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