Navy vs East Carolina 11/6/2010

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AccuScore is forecasting a close game with Navy winning 50% of simulations, and East Carolina 50% of simulations. In close games, turnover margin is especially important. Navy commits fewer turnovers in 43% of simulations and they go on to win 65% when they take care of the ball. East Carolina wins 69% of the simulations in which they commit fewer turnovers. Alexander Teich is averaging 102 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (20% chance) then he helps his team win 66%. Dominique Davis is averaging 281 passing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average passing yards and at least a 2 to 1 TD to INT ratio (36% chance) then he helps his team win 68%. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is ECAR -3

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