Navy vs Cincinnati on 11/05 by Craig_Brown
10
FINAL
20
Game Cincinnati
-18½ -110
LOSS
Loss 1
Handicapper Analysis
0
Navy was on a two-game skid before they ended it last week with a fortunate 27-20 overtime win against Temple. The Midshipmen had broken in front and held a 13-0 lead after the opening quarter but the Owls refused to go quietly and wound up taking it to the extra frame.
As much as I would like to take advantage of the big head start, the choice is obvious. Navy is simply too one-dimensional offensively, relying almost solely on their ground game and that is ice cream to a team like Cincinnati that has an excellent passing defense (26th) to begin with but their run-stop unit is more than capable of slowing down the Middies attack.
And when the Bearcats get the ball, they will be able to score at will against Navy’s 115th-ranked pass defense. This one will get out of hand early which is the only thing that concerns me. The Cats could take their foot off the gas, possibly allowing a backdoor cover by Navy, but I’ll take my chances.
As much as I would like to take advantage of the big head start, the choice is obvious. Navy is simply too one-dimensional offensively, relying almost solely on their ground game and that is ice cream to a team like Cincinnati that has an excellent passing defense (26th) to begin with but their run-stop unit is more than capable of slowing down the Middies attack.
And when the Bearcats get the ball, they will be able to score at will against Navy’s 115th-ranked pass defense. This one will get out of hand early which is the only thing that concerns me. The Cats could take their foot off the gas, possibly allowing a backdoor cover by Navy, but I’ll take my chances.
