7:30 p.m. ET: TCU vs Georgia (-12.5, 63)
TCU (13-1) is ranked 3rd and just upset Michigan 51-45 in the CFP semifinals, winning outright as 8-point dogs. Meanwhile, Georgia (14-0) is ranked 1st and just edged Ohio State 42-41 in the semifinals but failed to cover as 4.5-point favorites.
This line opened with Georgia listed as a 13.5-point neutral site favorite. Respected money has jumped on TCU plus the points, dropping the line down to Georgia -12.5. Currently 76% of bets and 70% of moneyare also backing TCU, signaling both Pro and Joe support.
Dogs have been a smart bet this Bowl Season, going 23-18 ATS (56%). Dogs with line movement in their favor are 8-3 ATS (73%). Both of Saturday's CFP semifinal matchups featured dogs with line moves in their favor (TCU and Ohio State) and both covered. Line movement has been especially important in Championship games, with the team receiving the line move in their favor 6-2 ATS in the last eight title games.
According to Steve Makinen, double-digit Bowl favorites are 6-1 straight up this postseason but just 2-5 ATS. Over the past five Bowl seasons, double-digit favorites are 28-7 straight up but just 14-21 ATS. Also, TCU is 8-1-1 ATS in their last ten matchups against elite defenses allowing 17.5-points or less. Georgia off a close win of 3-points or less is just 1-9 ATS in their last ten games. In the National Championship game, favorites of 5-points or more are just 4-11 ATS since 1999.
Pros have also hit the over, raising the total from 61.5 to 63. The over is receiving 84% of bets and 72% of money. The over is 12-6-1 in the National Championship game since 2005. Georgia is 4-1 to the over in their last five games. This game will be played at SoFi Stadium, home of the Rams and Chargers.
TCU (13-1) is ranked 3rd and just upset Michigan 51-45 in the CFP semifinals, winning outright as 8-point dogs. Meanwhile, Georgia (14-0) is ranked 1st and just edged Ohio State 42-41 in the semifinals but failed to cover as 4.5-point favorites.
This line opened with Georgia listed as a 13.5-point neutral site favorite. Respected money has jumped on TCU plus the points, dropping the line down to Georgia -12.5. Currently 76% of bets and 70% of moneyare also backing TCU, signaling both Pro and Joe support.
Dogs have been a smart bet this Bowl Season, going 23-18 ATS (56%). Dogs with line movement in their favor are 8-3 ATS (73%). Both of Saturday's CFP semifinal matchups featured dogs with line moves in their favor (TCU and Ohio State) and both covered. Line movement has been especially important in Championship games, with the team receiving the line move in their favor 6-2 ATS in the last eight title games.
According to Steve Makinen, double-digit Bowl favorites are 6-1 straight up this postseason but just 2-5 ATS. Over the past five Bowl seasons, double-digit favorites are 28-7 straight up but just 14-21 ATS. Also, TCU is 8-1-1 ATS in their last ten matchups against elite defenses allowing 17.5-points or less. Georgia off a close win of 3-points or less is just 1-9 ATS in their last ten games. In the National Championship game, favorites of 5-points or more are just 4-11 ATS since 1999.
Pros have also hit the over, raising the total from 61.5 to 63. The over is receiving 84% of bets and 72% of money. The over is 12-6-1 in the National Championship game since 2005. Georgia is 4-1 to the over in their last five games. This game will be played at SoFi Stadium, home of the Rams and Chargers.
