At the start the odds for Nadal were something like -270 but people are believing in Roger so I took Nadal also with -210. I am going to watch that game so waiting to see great and thight match but I am not seeing Roger having much chances. Their last meeting was surely emotional win for Roger and it is more easy to come to this match but Nadal playing right now incredible tennis and maby not giving yet 100% out and his gamestyle still is the most annoying for Roger, left handed, spin in his hits, fast fighter who is everywhere hitting the ball back. I think this is over in four sets and Rafa the winner. The total games limit is 41,5 so I was thinking to bet under but some tiebreak and this is very fastly over in four sets too. If somebody is thinking this is going to be thight match the over 41,5 bet looks good. I took with smaller stake Rafa to win the game 3-0 +270, thinking the value lies here Rafa giving nothing for free this time. I would really love to see Roger coming much to the net and playing aggressive tennis and short points, it might be his chance but right now seeing only one winner.
Good luck.