N.Y. Islanders vs Carolina on 04/19 by Jay_Robinson
3
FINAL
4
Game Carolina
-170
WIN
Won 0.59
Handicapper Analysis
0
Playoff hockey seems to be where the betting value is right now. The Hurricanes are the ones providing the value here; FiveThirtyEight projects them to beat the Islanders 69% of the time in Game 2, for a fair equivalent moneyline of –223.
It makes sense. Carolina is the small-market team in this equation, and while they won the Metropolitan Division despite finishing third at plus-0.66 on the Simple Rating System at Hockey Reference, the Islanders (plus-0.25 SRS) were considerably worse in fourth. They rely almost entirely on goaltender Ilya Sorokin (.924 save percentage) to bail them out, but his 35 saves weren’t enough in Game 1 as Carolina prevailed 2-1 as –175 favorites.
It makes sense. Carolina is the small-market team in this equation, and while they won the Metropolitan Division despite finishing third at plus-0.66 on the Simple Rating System at Hockey Reference, the Islanders (plus-0.25 SRS) were considerably worse in fourth. They rely almost entirely on goaltender Ilya Sorokin (.924 save percentage) to bail them out, but his 35 saves weren’t enough in Game 1 as Carolina prevailed 2-1 as –175 favorites.
