Gore was the underdog in 2000. I remember, I had +250 odds. The last polls had him, on average, behind around 3-4 points nationally. But a race without an incumbent is a different animal. Take a look at all incumbent races in recent history. All kept or booted the incumbent based on how he did, even as the challenger's credentials were questioned:
96: Clint was popular and won re-election. It was nothing against Dole, who was viewed positively.
92: Bush I lost because of the economy, stupid. There were huge questions about Clinton's readiness. But the voters rejected Bush.
84: Reagan was extremely popular, nuff said.
80: Carter was viewed as a failure. Again, big questions about whether the former actor was qualified and ready. But bottomline, Carter was rejected.
76: Ford was punished for pardoning Nixon. It wasn't that the people fell in love with Carter.
It's all about the incumbent. Bush's approval ratings just aren't high enough.
96: Clint was popular and won re-election. It was nothing against Dole, who was viewed positively.
92: Bush I lost because of the economy, stupid. There were huge questions about Clinton's readiness. But the voters rejected Bush.
84: Reagan was extremely popular, nuff said.
80: Carter was viewed as a failure. Again, big questions about whether the former actor was qualified and ready. But bottomline, Carter was rejected.
76: Ford was punished for pardoning Nixon. It wasn't that the people fell in love with Carter.
It's all about the incumbent. Bush's approval ratings just aren't high enough.
saw on the today show kerry already hired the nations #1 attourney specificly in case aything shady happens in florida. he talked about the fact florida uses 4 different voting machines/methods split in different countys.
he said he wouldnt be suprised if anything shady happened, katie couric asked him if sees this thing going to the supreme court he said anything is possible.
kerry is sharp for hiring this guy prior to the election, but this lawyer forget his name just wrote a book has the hot hand right now he even represented the goverment and went on to win the huge microsoft suit a while back.
in other words kerry won florida already
he said he wouldnt be suprised if anything shady happened, katie couric asked him if sees this thing going to the supreme court he said anything is possible.
kerry is sharp for hiring this guy prior to the election, but this lawyer forget his name just wrote a book has the hot hand right now he even represented the goverment and went on to win the huge microsoft suit a while back.
in other words kerry won florida already
Must have been a transient lack of liquidity in the market (and a good buying opportunity). Now its 52.5 bid, 54 (-117) ask.
I bought back at 54.6 immediately following the final debate so its been fairly stable.
Will it be graded November 3 or will we have to wait well into December again?
I bought back at 54.6 immediately following the final debate so its been fairly stable.
Will it be graded November 3 or will we have to wait well into December again?
this is the latest news that affected the price:
Bush has admitted he doesnt know what he is doing in Iraq and that he seeks his dads advice daily.
He also went on to say he really doesnt know how to say no to big business (134 billion dollar giveaway last week while we are at are largest deficit ever)
The clincher was when he said he hated blacks, latinos, and " f a g s "
Bush has admitted he doesnt know what he is doing in Iraq and that he seeks his dads advice daily.
He also went on to say he really doesnt know how to say no to big business (134 billion dollar giveaway last week while we are at are largest deficit ever)
The clincher was when he said he hated blacks, latinos, and " f a g s "
This race will be decided by the electoral votes from the swing states. As currently projected with 270 votes need to win out of 538:
Bush: States heavily leaning or projected strong support: 202 votes
Kerry: States heavily leaning or projected strong support: 179 votes
States Undecided: 157 votes
In the remaining days, the candidates will spend all their time trying to win these states. Interesting though that support for Kerry is mainly heavy in the Far West and North East although other states as well, while support for Bush is in the North and South West, Midwest, South and East. Of course this is a general statement. No intention to leave out any particular area. Just an observation.
Bush: States heavily leaning or projected strong support: 202 votes
Kerry: States heavily leaning or projected strong support: 179 votes
States Undecided: 157 votes
In the remaining days, the candidates will spend all their time trying to win these states. Interesting though that support for Kerry is mainly heavy in the Far West and North East although other states as well, while support for Bush is in the North and South West, Midwest, South and East. Of course this is a general statement. No intention to leave out any particular area. Just an observation.
