8-5 on Saturday
Small card on Sunday, but I like two games to go over. In both cases, I think the home team has enough talent to force the tempo/pace, leading to an over.
Michigan Over 124.5
8 of the last 9 Michigan games have gone over this number. Their game @ Illinois (119 points) was the only game under 124'. All of their home conference games have gone over 124'.
The loss of Boo Wade has definitely forced Wisconsin to slow down the pace. Their last 4 games have hit 120, 106, 126, 122.
I'm willing to throw out the 106 (@ Iowa). Combined, the teams were 6-10 on FTs. Yes, they only shot 10 FTs!
As for the 120/122/126, that puts you close to the 124'. Combined with Michigan's recent history of overs, I don't think 130 will be a problem.
Duke Over 149
When these teams played @ Maryland, Duke won 68-60. Since then, Duke has passed 149 in 6 of 8 games.
Given that Duke has the talent advantage, I'm sure Maryland would like to slow down the game a bit. However, Maryland has been willing to run with most of the high-scoring ACC teams:
Jan 14 North Carolina W 90-84
Jan 17 @ Georgia Tech L 71-81
Jan 21 Duke L 60-68
Jan 29 @ Wake Forest L 85-93
Feb 1 North Carolina St L 69-81
Feb 15 @ North Carolina L 86-97
Feb 19 Georgia Tech L 64-75
You'll notice the only games to go under 149 were Maryland's *home* games with Duke and Ga Tech.
On the road, I doubt Maryland will be able to slow Duke down. Come on, how many teams are able to enter Cameron Indoor Stadium and dictate the tempo?
Coming off two losses, Duke will be ready to run, run, run. Maryland will be forced to follow suit.
By the way, Duke shot 33.8% @ Maryland. Think they're gonna shoot 33.8% @ home?
I'm confident that Duke will get their share of the points, not 100% sure about Maryland. However, even though Maryland is having a down year, they usually manage to keep their ACC games relatively close, thereby giving you the freebie FTs @ the end.
Small card on Sunday, but I like two games to go over. In both cases, I think the home team has enough talent to force the tempo/pace, leading to an over.
Michigan Over 124.5
8 of the last 9 Michigan games have gone over this number. Their game @ Illinois (119 points) was the only game under 124'. All of their home conference games have gone over 124'.
The loss of Boo Wade has definitely forced Wisconsin to slow down the pace. Their last 4 games have hit 120, 106, 126, 122.
I'm willing to throw out the 106 (@ Iowa). Combined, the teams were 6-10 on FTs. Yes, they only shot 10 FTs!
As for the 120/122/126, that puts you close to the 124'. Combined with Michigan's recent history of overs, I don't think 130 will be a problem.
Duke Over 149
When these teams played @ Maryland, Duke won 68-60. Since then, Duke has passed 149 in 6 of 8 games.
Given that Duke has the talent advantage, I'm sure Maryland would like to slow down the game a bit. However, Maryland has been willing to run with most of the high-scoring ACC teams:
Jan 14 North Carolina W 90-84
Jan 17 @ Georgia Tech L 71-81
Jan 21 Duke L 60-68
Jan 29 @ Wake Forest L 85-93
Feb 1 North Carolina St L 69-81
Feb 15 @ North Carolina L 86-97
Feb 19 Georgia Tech L 64-75
You'll notice the only games to go under 149 were Maryland's *home* games with Duke and Ga Tech.
On the road, I doubt Maryland will be able to slow Duke down. Come on, how many teams are able to enter Cameron Indoor Stadium and dictate the tempo?
Coming off two losses, Duke will be ready to run, run, run. Maryland will be forced to follow suit.
By the way, Duke shot 33.8% @ Maryland. Think they're gonna shoot 33.8% @ home?
I'm confident that Duke will get their share of the points, not 100% sure about Maryland. However, even though Maryland is having a down year, they usually manage to keep their ACC games relatively close, thereby giving you the freebie FTs @ the end.
