Monday Service Play Thread 10/04/2021

[BuzzKill]

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[bribux]

greenpunter us

American Football NFL
Los Angeles Chargers – Las Vegas Raiders
Los Angeles Chargers -3.5

 

[bribux]

both-to-score com

CHILE: Primera Division
Huachipato – Curico Unido
Both to score : YES @ 1.85

 

[ryangenero]

FOOTBALL JESUS TEXT : OVER in MNF raiders/Chargers

 

[BuzzKill]

HITMAN | NFL Sides - Monday, Oct 4 2021 8:15PM
280 LAC -3.0 (-110)Bookmaker vs 279 LVR double-dime bet

Analysis: Another sharp group released this 3 minutes after we did and blew the market up. I’d wait to bet this if you missed the 3. I think there’s a decent chance the line goes back down to 3 -120 or so

 

[BuzzKill]

Doc Sports

D chargers -3

 

[BuzzKill]

SportsLine Projection Model

LAS VEGAS RAIDERS VS. LOS ANGELES CHARGERS | 10/4 | 8:15 P.M. ET

Against the Spread

Pick: Chargers -3
Los Angeles is covering in 53 percent of simulations.

Over-Under

Pick: Over 51.5
The over hits in 58 percent of simulations.

Money Line

Pick: Chargers -170
The Chargers are winning in 60 percent of simulations, bringing value at those odds.

Projected final score: Chargers 31, Raiders 26

 

[BuzzKill]

Allen East man

G* Vegas +3.5

 

[BuzzKill]

Vernon Croy

D* Las Vegas +3.5

 

[BuzzKill]

Vegas Sports Informer

F* Chargers -3

 

[BuzzKill]

Indian Cowboy

C-Unit Play. Chargers -3 Over Raiders

 

[BuzzKill]

Marc Lawrence

Preferred Picks MNF play is.......Las Vegas Raiders

 

[BuzzKill]

Scott Spreitzer

D Raiders +3.5

 

[RCJhawk]

Spartan
C
Over 51.5

 

[jackcurrency]

HITMAN | NFL Sides - Monday, Oct 4 2021 8:15PM
280 LAC -3.0 (-110)Bookmaker vs 279 LVR double-dime bet
__________________

SportsLine Projection Model

Chargers 30, Raiders 25
__________________

Vegas Sports Informer

6* Chargers -3
__________________

IC

3-Unit Play. Chargers -3 Over Raiders
__________________

Marc Lawrence Preferred Picks MNF play is.......Las Vegas Raiders
__________________

Randy Chambers - SportsChatPlace
NFL - Raiders +3.5
__________________

Pickswise Sports

NFL
2* Chargers -3
1* Over 51
__________________

greenpunter us

American Football NFL
Los Angeles Chargers – Las Vegas Raiders
Los Angeles Chargers -3.5

 

[jackcurrency]

MNF Sharp Action

8:15 p.m. ET: Las Vegas Raiders at Los Angeles Chargers

This Monday Night showdown features a pair of AFC West rivals who are fighting for the top spot in the division. The Raiders (3-0 SU, 2-1 ATS) are undefeated and just took down the Dolphins 31-28, although Vegas failed to cover as a 3.5-point home favorite. Meanwhile, the Chargers (2-1 SU, 2-1 ATS) just went into Arrowhead and shocked the mighty Chiefs 30-24, winning outright as 7-point road dogs. The Raiders are 18 in point differential. Los Angeles is 7.

This line opened with the Chargers listed a 3-point home favorite. Right off the bat, this line speaks volumes. Typically, teams get about 3-points (maybe a little less) for home field advantage. So with the Chargers -3 at home the books are pretty much saying these teams are dead even and the line would be a pick'em on a neutral field. Some early money leaned Chargers, driving Los Angeles up from -3 to -3.5. But once the hook was available, pros pounced on the Raiders 3.5, causing most books to fall back to 3.

Vegas matches several betting systems. Short road dogs 6 or less are 19-5 ATS (79 percent) this season. Primetime dogs are 7-4 ATS this season and 35-23 ATS (60 percent) the past two seasons. The Raiders also have value as a divisional dog (57 percent last two seasons). Divisional matchups benefit dogs as the built in familiarity levels the playing field and benefits the team getting points. Vegas is also a "dog who can score," averaging 30 PPG. Higher scoring dogs are more likely to keep up with the favorite or backdoor cover.

Pros have also leaned on the under, dropping the total from 52.5 to 51.5. Primetime overs are 8-3 this season. However, divisional unders that fall at least a half point are roughly 54% to the under the past decade. The lead referee, John Hussey, is 57-percent to the under historically. The Chargers are 3-0 to the under. The Raiders are 2-1 to the over.

Prop Bet to Consider

Derek Carr Over 282.5 passing yards

*Carr leads the NFL in passing yards with 1,203. Through three games he's finished with 435, 382 and 286.

 

[jackcurrency]

Tom Stryker

19-3 ATS NFL MONDAY NIGHT POWER SYSTEM PLAY

Las Vegas Raiders

 

[jackcurrency]

Drew Martin

3% Las Vegas Raiders +3

 

[sanducci]

anyone has ben burns goy total
or
any pregame cappers

 

[steelerfan]

DR BOB
[FONT=&quot]1-Star Best Bet – *Under (52.5) – LA CHARGERS (-3) vs Las Vegas
Strong Opinion 51.5[/FONT]