Monday Service Play Thread 07/31/2023

[BuzzKill]

Please remember, this forum is not here for regular posters who cap their own games to post their daily plays. Please use our individual sport forums to post your plays. Professional cappers (those that sell plays) must remain in the Site Promotion Forum.

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[thebigtebowski]

Good lick all

 

[pickmaster2000]

IntPicks

Full card for Monday:

2* Milwaukee ML (-195)
1* Atlanta Under 10 (-110)
1* Seattle Over 7.5 (-115)

1* Toronto ML (-140) Free

 

[bribux]

bet-my-ticket
GKS Katowice – Chrobry Glogow : Over 2 @ 1.40
Orebro – GAIS : Over 2 @ 1.40
Total Odds : 1.96

 

[bribux]

gpt4bets eu
ROMANIA: LIGA 1
Petrolul – FC Voluntari
Both to score : YES

 

[bribux]

polishtips pl
POLAND Division 1
GKS Katowice v Chrobry Glogow
GKS Katowice

 

[bribux]

over3goals biz
SWEDEN: ALLSVENSKAN
Malmo FF – Varnamo
Over 3

 

[kobebean]

Griffin warner
9- red Sox+120

 

[kobebean]

Nover
10- padres-1.5-135

 

[kobebean]

Nover football props



Amon-Ra St. Brown 22-1 to lead NFL in receiving yards:

Both St. Brown and Goff experienced huge seasons with the Lions last season. They should be even more comfortable in their second year together. St. Brown finished 11th in receiving yards last season despite missing a game and being limited in several others. The Lions have become a passing team and with their weak defense should be involved in a lot of shootouts.

Bryce Young 6-1 to win Offensive Rookie of the Year:

Young shouldn't face heavy competition here. He's going to be the Panthers' starting QB and will put up very good numbers. The Panthers scored the fourth-fewest points in the NFL at 20.4 last season and also passed for the fourth-fewest yards. So the bar is set low for Young to improve Carolina's scoring and offensive numbers.

Justin Herbert 7-1 to lead the NFL in passing yards:

The Chargers already had an explosive offense. But their offensive will be better utilized, especially oƒn the passing side, under highly-respected offensive coordinator Kellen Moore, who formerly had been the OC with the Cowboys. Moore should get the best out of Herbert, who had the second-most passing yards in 2022 despite playing with sore ribs and other injuries. The Chargers upgraded their already good receiving corps drafting Quentin Johnston with the 21st pick in the first round. Herbert now has Keenan Allen, Mike Williams and Johnston to go with Austin Ekeler out of the backfield to pass to.

Team Prop

Las Vegas Raiders 15-1 to have the worst record in the NFL:

I could see the bottom falling out for the Raiders especially if Jimmy Garoppolo isn't ready to start the season, or gets injured during the year as he frequently does. Even if he's healthy, Garoppolo is more game manager than dynamic passer. The Raiders are not well-coached, play in a very strong division and have a bottom-seven defense.

 

[kobebean]

Nover

SUN, 09/10/23 - 1:00 PM
459 JAC / 460 IND Jaguars wins (-110)	double-dime bet

Analysis:
Jaguars to win AFC South Division

Picking an NFL division winner can get tricky. But not in this instance. Jacksonville is way ahead of the other three AFC South Division teams.

The Jaguars' Over/Under win total is 10, according to current odds at the Westgate Sports book. The Titans' win total is 7 1/2. The Colts and Titans are each at 6 1/2.

Doug Pederson cleaned up the astroid size debris left by Urban Meyer, coaching Jacksonville to eight victories in its last 10 games before the Jaguars were eliminated in the playoffs by the eventual Super Bowl champion Chiefs.

The Jaguars could be even better this season with their key players back along with an improved offensive line and receiving corps with the addition of Calvin Ridley.

Unlike the Jaguars, the rest of the division team have serious flaws. The Texans and Colts could be starting rookie quarterbacks. The Titans might go into rebuild mode having drafted quarterbacks high the past two years.

NFL Player Props (o

 

[kobebean]

Nover

TEPHEN NOVER | NFL PROP	SUN, 09/10/23 - 4:25 PM
471 LVR / 472 DEN Broncos wins (-110)	double-dime bet

Analysis:
Broncos Over 8 1/2 wins

Given their top-10 defense, a monster upgrade in coaching and a healthy Russell Wilson it's not a leap of faith to believe the Broncos will win nine games this season.

Despite a large number of injuries and an ineffective offense that scored the fewest points, Denver's defense held up ranking seventh in total yards.

The Broncos go from having an ''F'' coach in Nathaniel Hackett to one of the elite, Sean Payton. I trust Payton to get the best out of Wilson, who is at his finest operating a run-first offense which sets up his play-action and bootlegs. Wilson isn't washed up at 34. He's back to 100 percent after dealing with injuries to his hamstring, shoulder, groin, head and knee last year.

Wilson has the deepest group of receivers I've ever seen Denver have. The Broncos also have their strongest offensive line in at least eight seasons. Wilson is set up for success. That wasn't the case last season.

The schedule lays out, too, for the Broncos. They don't have to play any international games and their NFC opponents are composed of the mediocre NFC North teams and the Commanders, the worst team in the NFC East.

 

[kobebean]

Nover

TEPHEN NOVER | NFL PROP	SUN, 09/10/23 - 1:00 PM
461 TAM / 462 MIN Bucs wins (-110)	double-dime bet

Analysis:
Buccaneers Under 6 1/2 Wins

Tampa Bay has a win total of 6 1/2. Yet they're favored in only one game. Go figure.

I figure it this way. The Buccaneers are in rebuilt mode. Their win total is based on being in a weak division. But the other teams in the division - Saints, Falcons and Panthers - are all improved. Tampa Bay is not. The Buccaneers are much worse.

They go from Tom Brady to either Baker Mayfield, or Kyle Trask, at quarterback and lack a dependable running back with Leonard Fournette gone, too.

The Buccaneers managed to win the NFC South with an 8-9 mark last season. They had the worst point spread record in the NFL at 4-12-1 ATS.

Siƒnce they won their division, the Buccaneers draw a first-place schedule meaning games against Eagles, 49ers and Bills.

Todd Bowles has proven to be a far better defensive coordinator than head coach. The Buccaneers have uncertainties in the offensive line and secondary. They have good wideouts, but I don't trust their quarterbacking to take advantage of that. I rate Mayfield as a bottom-three starting quarterback.

 

[kobebean]

Nover

STEPHEN NOVER | NFL PROP	SUN, 09/10/23 - 4:25 PM
471 LVR / 472 DEN Raiders wins (-110)	double-dime bet

Analysis:

Raiders Under 6 1/2 Wins

How do the Raiders get to seven wins when they compete in the very-tough AƒFC West Division?

They don't.

Aside from a good pass rush, two excellent skill position players in Davante Adams and Josh Jacobs and an above average kicker in Daniel Carlson, there's nothing to like about the Raiders.

They are below average at linebacker and in the secondary - they ranked 29th in pass defense - had the fewest takeaways, have a suspect offensive line, are highly vulnerable at quarterback and have a terrible head coach, Josh McDaniels.

Las Vegas fans realized what Denver fans learned the hard way - McDaniels is a much better offensive coordinator than head man. His 18-31 head coaching record is proof of that. So is his blowing five of six halftime leads of a touchdown or more last season.

The Raiders have gone from mediocre Derek Carr to below par with Jimmy Garoppolo, who is nothing but a glorified game-manager. Garoppolo's won/lost record looks shiny. That's because he's been in great situations with the 49ers and Bill Belichick's Patriots where he had excellent support.

Garoppolo's health also is risky. He's recovering from March surgery on a broken foot. Injuries have dogged Garoppolo his entire career. The Raiders' backup quarterback is Brian Hoyer, who turns 38 in October. The last time Hoyer won a game as an NFL starter was 2016.

If Hoyer receives extensive playing time, the Raiders will be in contention for the No. 1 overall draft pick.

 

[kobebean]

Nover

STEPHEN NOVER | NFL PROP	SUN, 09/10/23 - 4:25 PM
469 GBP / 470 CHI Packers Wins (-110)	double-dime bet

Analysis:

Packers OVER 7 1/2 Wins

The quarterback change from Aaron Rodgers to Jordan Love gets all the attention. Considering how poorly Rodgers played last season, though, the bar isn't that high for Love to match - if not exceed - Rodgers' 2022 production. Rodgers ranked 17th in passer rating. He had a mediocre 26-to-12 touchdown-to-interception raƒtio. His 219 passing yards per game ranked 19th.

Aside from that position, the Packers are amazingly stable. They are solid everywhere except at center and strong safety. Green Bay has excellent depth at running back, offensive line, receiver, defensive line and secondary. Their pass rush should be good with the injury return of blossoming star Rauhan Gary and drafting of No. 1 pick Lucas Van Ness. The run defense should be improved with Devonte Wyatt, a first round pick two seasons ago, projected to step up to give support to star run-stuffer Kenny Clark.

Love isn't going to be asked to carry the offense. He has a pair of stud running backs - Aaron Jones and AJ Dillon - to go with a number of youthful speedy wide receivers and tight ends. Love also has an above average offensive line headed by one of the best left tackles in the NFL, David Bakhitari.

The big intangible here is morale. It should be better without Rodgers and the high expectations that came with him and his haughty attitude.

The division isn't strong either. The Bears aren't contenders yet. The Vikings aren't going 11-0 again in one-score games and the Lions can never be counted on. The Lions' history is littered with disappointment.

Green Bay's schedule is far from taxing. The Packers draw the NFC South Division along with the Raiders and Giants. If the Packers go 3-3 in their mediocre division, 3-1 against NFC South teams and beat the Raiders and Giants, they have their eight wins with five games to spare.

 

[pjoyce5893]

CleInsider

MLB
Marlins ML (-100)
Yankees ML (+120)
Guardians ML (+150)

 

[BuzzKill]

Insider Sports Report
4* Cincinnati (Abbott) +100 over Chicago Cubs (Stroman)

Elite Sports Picks
L.A. Angels (Canning)/Atlanta (Morton) OVER 10

National Sports Service
4* Milwaukee (Burnes) -1.5 runs -115 over Washington (Irvin)

Newsletters - https://www.therx.com/threads/newsletters.1254892/

 

[dough]

Goodfella

3* Red Sox

 

[XSPower]

XS Sports Picks

Yesterday 1-3 -4.40 Units
July Record 39-25 (61%)
Hot Documented Run 79-46 (63%)

---

2* Philadelphia -105
2* San Diego -1.5 -130

 

[TMTWSportsNetwork]

THE MONEY TEAM WINS SPORTS

Yesterday 1-3 -6.00 Units
MLB YTD 114-76 +98.44 Units

(2U) Brewers -1.5 -123
(3U) Philadelphia Under 8.5

Good Day & Good Luck