Monday Night Football Analysis

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Tennessee Titans pk

Last week, the Chiefs traveled out to Oakland against a DIVISIONAL rival and defeated the Raiders. The fact of the matter is that Kansas City is a dreadful 3-15 SU/5-13 ATS when coming off an outright victory on the ROAD. If that triumph was against a fellow AFC West opponent, that statistic falls to 1-7 SU/ATS!! In addition, the Chiefs are 1-5 both SU and ATS the last 6 times they have had to played in the second of CONSECUTIVE road affairs matched up against a NON-Divisional opponent!! If you take a moment to think about it, those three statistical angles that I just gave you really make sense as the Chiefs always suffer an EMOTIONAL letdown after beating a Divisional Rival on the highway. The bottom line regarding tonight's game is that BOTH dissapointing teams check in with serious INJURY issues. On the defensive side of the football, Tennessee has lost 3 linebackers and 3 starting defensive backs. Kansas City is forced to start a pair of ROOKIE safeties in the secondary while they have had to replace a pair of starters at the linebacker position. On offense, Kansas City's personal "touchdown maker" Priest Holmes is officially OUT for the remainder of the season after failing to fully recover from a major knee injury. Tennessee stud QB Steve McNair has NOT started FOUR different times already this campaign after suffering an early-season sternum injury, which has caused him to lose his breath when hit in that area. Going into this season, McNair was actually was the "iron man" of the NFL, but his repeated injuries have now forced him into talking about a possible retirement. With all the injuries, it is easy to see why tonight's game is a virtual pick-em affair. There will be many people that are "scared" to place a wager on Tennessee after they have lost a pair of ugly road games the last couple of weeks. Two weeks ago, they blew an 18-point second half lead at Houston. Last Sunday, they got blown out against mighty Peyton Manning 51-24 at Indianapolis. However, the Titans are playing in front of their HOME fans tonight. Tennessee just happens to be an outstanding 11-2 SU/HOME when coming off consecutive outright losses on the road!!! Since this is a virtual pick-em affair tonight, the KICKING game most likely will come into play, and that is where the Titans have a huge edge. Veteran Gary Anderson has connected on 13 of 15 field goal opportunities so far (7-for-7 inside the 40 yard line), while punter Craig Hentrich has averaged a hefty 45.3 yards per boot and has been one of the most consistent veterans in the business for many a season. Kansas City has a pair of unproven ROOKIES in Steve Cheek and Lawrence Tynes at both the punting and kicking positions. The main reason why I am on Tennessee tonight is that they are playing at HOME where they have a tremendous fan base that attracts a "college type" atmosphere and creates a ton of NOISE and excitement. I also have tremendous respect for Tennessee head coach Jeff Fisher who always has his teams' prepared to play and MENTALLY tough. Last week, Fisher showed he would do anything to win as he used 3 different onside kicks, went for it on fourth-down and threw a "center eligible" pass. One thing is for sure tonight which is that no matter what their record, Tennessee NEVER backs down. Even if the ailing Steve McNair cannot go tonight, the Titans have a QUALITY reserve in Billy Volek who has already started FOUR games this season. Even though he is a bit banged up, RB Chris Brown (976 YR) is closing in on the magical 1,000 total yards barrier, and has proved to be an excellent replacement for the aging Eddie George who has been a complete bust in Dallas. In what one may want to call either the injury or "Pride Bowl", I am siding with the HOME team.

GOOD LUCK
 

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did you two vote in my poll

must have been the only two


Does the samari rolle injury have any impact on your choice?


I am trying to make the case for the home dog but running up against a lot of good points on the opposition.

Thanks
 

mhk

"I can't be faded", Dr. Dre
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Didn't vote, but will.. I always like home dogs of less than three su, have been preaching that here for years..
 

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I like your assessment and will

go with the Titans at home myself.

I think they are a 1.5 pt Dog now with all of the square money going on KC.

Maybe McNair sucks it up and has a great game tonight. Temps are going to be in the 20's tonight so if he gets hit real hard he may have a hard time catching his breath in the cold air.

Should be fun game to watch with plenty of offense. The over is high at 52, but tempting.
 

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