Monday Labor Day 09/07/09 service plays chatter/comps/requests & gm strategy...

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Stephen Nover

Tommy Hunter is having an excellent season for Texas. He's 7-3 with a 3.14 ERA. He's been at his best on the road with a 2-1 mark and 2.20 ERA.

The Indians are averaging three runs per game in their last seven games. They have lost Grady Sizemore for the season.

I'm expecting Cleveland starter Carlos Carrasco to pitch much better in his second big league start than he did in his debut on Tuesday at Detroit when the Tigers smacked him around. Carrasco was a good prospect for the Phillies. He was dealt to the Indians as part of the Cliff Lee deal.

Carrasco should be more relaxed in his second outing, especially pitching at home. Carrasco was overpumped for his debut and wasn't locating his fastball well. But he did display potential with his slider and changeup. He has a hot closer to back him up. Kerry Wood has a 2.45 ERA and 24 strikeouts in 18 1/3 innings since the All-Star break.

The Rangers haven't scored in their last 15 innings. They are missing All-Stars Michael Young (hamstring) and Josh Hamilton (back).

Texas has been a big under team all season. The under has cashed 20 of the past 28 times the Rangers have been favored. The under also is 37-15-2 in Texas' last 54 road contests.

Carrasco is a right-hander. Texas is 42-19-4 to the under in its last 65 games versus a right-handed starter.

There are also strong under trends for Cleveland. The Indians are 21-7-1 to the under in their last 29 home games. The under has cashed seven of the past eight times Cleveland has been a home underdog.
1♦ UNDER RANGERS/INDIANS (HUNTER/CARRASCO)

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Jimmy the Moose

Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Arizona Diamondbacks
The Dodgers have a 38-28 road record. LA has won 4 of their last 5 road games. In their last 53 divisional games the Dodgers are 36-17. Padilla takes the mound this afternoon and the Dodgers have won his 2 starts this season. Padilla's ERA is 2.61. In his last 5 starts vs. the D'Backs his team's record is 4-1. Arizona has lost 5 of their last 6 overall. In their last 7 games to open a series they are 2-5 in the opener. The D'Backs are 2-5 in Scherzer's last 7 starts as a home favorite between -110 & -150. Arizona has lost 2 of his 3 starts vs. the Dodgers. LA is 14-6 in the last 20 meetings.
Play on the Los Angeles Dodgers

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

JIM FEIST

CINCINNATI REDS / COLORADO ROCKIES
TAKE: UNDER

The Colorado Rockies closed the gap in the NL West to just 3 1/2 games with their win on Sunday, coupled with a Dodgers loss. The Rockies are tops in the Wild Card race with a two game lead over San Francisco. The Rockies are just about average in pitching, but they can hit. The Rockies are second in the league in both runs per game and Home Runs. Todd Helton leads the club with a NL third best .325 batting average. The Reds have actually been very hot, winning seven straight games and eight of their last 10. Homer Bailey starts today for the Reds and he's been just as hot as the club, going 3-0 in his last three starts with a 1.69 ERA. Ubaldo Jimenez hasn't been a slouch for the Rockies with a 2-1 record his last three starts and a 2.35 ERA. Add to that a career 1.80 ERA against the Reds in 20 innings and we have the makings of a great pitcher duel here on Monday. Take the UNDER as both clubs will be looking to scratch across a few runs in this one.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Vernon Croy

MLB | Sep 07
Minnesota Twins vs. Toronto Blue Jays Minnesota Twins
+110 at 5dimes > 12h.
1* Take the Minnesota Twins on the Moneyline, This pick falls into one of my top MLB systems and the Twins are the better overall team here Monday night so we are getting great value. The Twins are a perfect 6-0 in their last 6 road games against a right hand starter and they are 10-2 overall in their last 12 games against a right hand starter. The Blue Jays are just 6-13 in their last 19 games in game 1 of a series and they are just 1-5 in their last 6 home games against at team that has a losing record on the road. The Jays are 0-6 in Scott Richmond's (6-8, 4.53) last 6 starts and Richmond has struggled over his last 3 starts with an ERA of 7.41. Jeff Manship (0-0, 3.75 ERA) pitched well in his only start for the Twins back on September.1 where he allowed just 4 hits over 5 innings against the White Sox. Take the Minnesota Twins as my MLB Bonus Play for Monday.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Dave Cokin

(967) MINNESOTA TWINS
(968) TORONTO BLUE JAYS
Take "(967) MINNESOTA TWINS

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Marc Lawrence MLB - Monday 9/7

Play On: Boston Red Sox w/Beckett vs. Buerhle
Note: The Red Sox meet the White Sox on Labor Day when Josh Beckett takes the hill against Mark Buerhle in the Windy City. Becket enters today's contest with wins in 13 of his last 18 team starts knowing he is 5-0 with a 3.68 ERA in his career team starts against the Pale Hose. On the flip side, Buerhle is just 2-6 with a 5.49 ERA in his eight starts since pitching his perfect game two months ago. He's also 2-6 with a 6.56 ERA in his last eight team starts against the Bosox. With that we'll look for more of the same here today.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Sports Gambling Hotline
On a 30-14-3 comp play run the last 47 days!

For Labor Day Monday, we will grab the points in New Jersey, as we feel Cincinnati is a "live dog" in their opening game at Rutgers.

The Scarlet Knights will be hard-pressed to find a replacement for departed QB Mike Teel, and we just don't see them stretching the margin in this game against a capable Cincy team.

The Bearcats have lost a ton on defense to graduation and the NFL, but leave it to coach Brian Kelly to find a way to compete in this game. Afterall, the 'Cats do have the services of QB Pike back for his senior season, and Cincinnati is 6-1 against the spread their last 7 as an underdog.

Cincy has also won the last 3 series meetings versus the Knights, while Rutgers is no better than 5-6 against the spread their last 11 as a home favorite.

Look for the points to work in this game.

Play on Cincinnati plus the points.
2♦ CINCINNATI

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Karl Garrett

Sunday comp play winner on New York-Toronto OVER the total.

For Monday, the Phillies have struggled over this holiday weekend set in Houston, but the G-Man has a feeling this is going to be the game they hammer the Astros.

First off, Philadelphia will send J.A. Happ to the hill, and all the southpaw has done is go a blistering 5-2 with a 2.01 ERA in his 10 road starts this season. This will be Houston's first look at Happ, and I don't think it is going be be a successful one that is for sure.

The Astros will send Brian Moehler to the hill, and Moehler's numbers do not instill confidence, as the righty is just 8-10 this season with an ERA of 5.04. At home the numbers are a bit worse, at 3-6 with an ERA of 6.00.

G-Man not only expects the Phillies to win this game, I expect them to win big.

Take Philly on the RUN LINE.
3♦ PHILADELPHIA -1 1/2 RUNS

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Jeff Benton

For Labor Day, we’ll go back to the baseball diamond and lay the reasonable price with the Rangers at Cleveland.

This one’s all about rookie right-hander Tommy Hunter. The kid from Alabama has been a big-time surprise for Texas this season, going 7-3 with a 3.14 ERA in 13 starts. He’s pitched at least six innings in seven of his last 10 starts and has made it through at least five innings in every game – trust me, that’s NOT easy for rookie pitchers to accomplish.

Hunter’s most impressive performance so far probably came -- coincidentally -- in Cleveland a month ago. In that contest, he shutout the Tribe over a career-high 7 2/3 innings, allowing just six hits and no walks in a 5-0 victory. The Rangers are 8-5 behind Hunter, including 6-3 in his last nine starts. Also, the right-hander has given up three earned runs or fewer in all five of his road outings, posting a stellar 2.20 ERA.

Another reason to love the Rangers is the state of these two franchises. Texas is obviously challenging Boston for the A.L. wild card, while the Indians not only are playing out the string, but every key player they had to start the season is gone: The Indians traded Victor Martinez, Mark DeRosa and Cliff Lee, while Grady Sizemore has been injured all year and was just shut down earlier this week.

The Rangers have won five of six against Cleveland this season, outscoring the Indians 38-15 in those five victories. Throw in the fact that Cleveland is going with rookie Carlos Carrasco on the mound – Carrasco gave up six runs in three innings in his major-league debut Tuesday at Detroit, losing 8-5 – and this one’s a no-brainer. Back Hunter and the Rangers, who are 20-8 in their last 29 games when favored.
4♦ TEXAS (BASED ON A 1♦ TO 10♦ SCALE)

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

SUNSHINE FORECAST

Monday, September 7, 2009

Cincinnati(+6½) at Rutgers
Power Rating Projection: Statistical Projections
Rutgers 27 Cincinnati 20 Too early for statistical projections
SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:
Rutgers 25 Cincinnati 18

Miami-Florida(+4½) at Florida State
Power Rating Projection: Statistical Projections
Florida State 33 Miami-Florida 25 Too early for statistical projections
SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:
Florida State 36 Miami-Florida 28
Historical trend: Take Miami-Florida ( Domination by underdog, 6-2, 75.0% )
Historical trend: Take Miami-Florida ( Domination by visiting team, 6-2, 75.0% )

 

[tjr4377]

any ben burns

 

[khouston66]

any seebass with his cfl game??? sorry for the clutter cpaw.

 

[Spencer]

Teddy Covers NCAA Football? I'll post his MLB when available. Thanks

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Tom Freese

Game: Texas Rangers at Cleveland Indians

Prediction: Texas Rangers

Reason: Texas is 26-11 their last 37 games vs. a starter with a WHIP of over 1.30 and they are 9-4 off a loss. The Rangers are 18-8 their last 26 games as favorites and they are 5-1 their last 6 meetings with the Indians. Cleveland is 20-41 off a win and they are 5-12 after allowing 2 or less runs in their last game. The Indians are 0-6 vs. an opponent who allowed 5 or more runs in their last game and they are 2-5 their last 7 games overall. PLAY ON TEXAS - (Hunter vs. Carrasco)

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

John Ryan

Game: Philadelphia Phillies at Houston Astros

Prediction: Philadelphia Phillies

Reason: Ai Simulator 3* graded play on the Phillies as they look to salvage one game against Houston set to start at 2:05 EST. Supporting this graded play is a strong system that has produced a record of 40-18 making 20.7 units since 2003. Play on road teams revenging a one run loss to opponent and is a good team posting a win percentage of 54% to 62% playing a marginal losing team posting a win percentage of 46% to 49%. Philadelphia is 19-9 (+9.4 Units) against the money line in road games after 2 straight games where they committed no errors this season. Happ has been hit around in his last 2 starts, but will get things right in this game. AiS shows an 85% probability that he will complete more than 6 innings and should that occur the Phillies have a 90% probability of winning the game. Happ is giving up more runs per game than his season stats, but only marginally and in a few situations there were just ?luck seeing eye? hits. Manuel is a solid 27-13 (+13.6 Units) against the money line after 2 straight losses by 2 runs or less and 17-7 (+12.7 Units) against the money line in road games after 3 or more consecutive losses as the manager of the Phillies. Take the Phillies.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Big Al McMordie

Our complimentary selection for Monday, September 7 is:

St Louis Cardinals (Carpenter) and Milwaukee Brewers (Bush) 'under' the total.


Under LA Dodger/Arizona Diamondbacks

 

[dfresh1239]

Stu feiner 10,000 dime guarantee on miami at fla st game or next weeks high rollers are free.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

The Vegas Steam Line

Free Winner for Monday:

Take TORONTO (Richmond) -115 over Minnesota

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Craig Trapp

Cincinnati U vs. Rutgers

Cincinnati U +5-110

No respect being shown to the Big East Champs from 2008. The Bearcats lost all but one defensive starters but the cabinets are not bear. This is a very athletic defense that should be able to do enough to keep them in this one. The stars of this Bearcats team are on the offensive side where they have great skilled players. Tony Pike will be slinging the ball around and he loves his big playmaker Gillyard.

On the other side Rutgers loses a ton on offense and will have a new QB this year with zero experience. They do have there O line back but other than that an all new offense. The Scarlet Knights will struggle to score. Defense is the much better side of the ball for Rutgers. They really will have to carry this team as the offense looks like they might struggle early.

Both teams have a ton of missing players from last year. In this case I will take the team that will put up points. Defense wins championships but Rutgers defense is not good enough to shut out the Cats.

Craig is making small M/L wager here and a big play on Cincy +4.5

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

EZWINNERS

EZ'S FREE SELECTION

Game: Minnesota Twins @ Toronto Blue Jays


(967) Minnesota Twins +$106


(Listing Manship and Richmond)

Minnesota's starting pitcher Jeff Manship made his first major league start on Tuesday against Chicago after five games out of the bullpen this season for the Twins. Manship was very solid in that start giving up just one run on four hits in five innings. Toronto's starting pitcher Scott Richmond has really struggled. Richmond has lost his last four decisions and has allowed at least three earned runs in six straight outings. The Blue Jays are 0-6 in Richmond's last six starts. Play on Minnesota.

2009 Free Selections Record 128-110 (53.8)