Monday 9/1/14 service plays chatter/comps/requests & other stuff...

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Art Aronson

Minnesota Twins vs. Baltimore Orioles

1* Bonus Play on the Baltimore Orioles

I like the Orioles to earn a home sweep here over the Twins. Minnesota turns to Phil Hughes (14-9, 3.70 ERA), who allowed four runs to Kansas City in a 6-1 road loss that ended his four-start winning streak last week; note that the right-hander is only 2-2 with a pedestrian 5.88 ERA in seven career starts at Camden Yards. Baltimore counters with Kevin Gausman (7-6, 3.84 ERA) who will be looking to bounce back from his shortest outing of the year after giving up three runs over four innings in a 3-1 home loss to Tampa Bay; note though that the right-hander hasn't allowed more than three runs in nine of his last 10 starts, going 4-4 with a respectable 3.83 ERA in the process. Gausman has to be liking his chances here, note that the Orioles have averaged 7.3 runs while hitting .328 during a four-game winning streak to increase their division lead to nine games over the Yankees. Baltimore is also 6-2 versus the Twins in Camden Yards the last three seasons. Conversely, the Twins come in struggling having lost eight of nine overall. I think Gausman is worth the price of admission here, how about you?

AAA Sports

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Ben Burns

Washington Nationals vs. Los Angeles Dodgers

Bonus Play Los Angeles Dodgers

This is the marquee series of the week and a potential NLCS preview with the Dodgers hosting Washington. I like the home team to take Monday's series opener.

I played against the Nationals yesterday as they lost up in Seattle. They'd previously won 14 of 18 games, but there were several close calls in there and they have come back down to Earth since winning 10 in a row, which included seven one-run victories. They were actually swept in Philadelphia last week.

The Dodgers, meanwhile, avoided what would have been a sweep with a win in San Diego yesterday. Both of their losses in the series came by one run, each in extra innings. So it looks like maybe the "luck" is going to turn for both teams in the interim. I like that Los Angeles is coming off a solid offensive performance as well, scoring 7 runs in the win Sunday.

Also making the case against Washington tonight is the fact their starter Gio Gonzalez has not won in some time, July 5th in fact. He's 0-5 (3-6 TSR) with a 4.38 ERA in nine starts since.

Roberto Hernandez has been surprisingly solid for LA in four starts since being traded from Philadelphia. Also, in his final start as a member of the Phillies, he faced Washington and allowed just one unearned run in eight innings. He's made eight straight starts without giving up more than three runs. 1* Bonus Play.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Jonathan Jorcin

Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Braves

Bonus Play Under 6.5

The Philadelphia Phillies and Atlanta Braves send 2 hot pitchers to the hill in this day time matchup. The Atlanta Braves have been playing really good baseball behind a pitching staff that has tossed a 2.87 ERA in the past 16 games. Their bullpen has allowed just 4 runs in the last 38 innings played. Most pitchers in baseball are an anomaly, and pitch better on the road, but Julio Teheran has been phenomenal behind a 1.95 ERA and 5-2 record at Turner Field. Teheran is 3-0 with a 1.97 ERA in his last 3 starts. The Philadelphia offense is no offense to fear, and will score very few points, and considering Teheran’s 2-0 record and 0.75 ERA, expect the same.

While the Phillies will lack scoring, plating runs for the Braves will also be a challenge with Cole Hamels in for the Phillies. He has been very dominant against the Braves. Firstly, in his last 10 starts he is 5-1 with a 2.07 ERA and owns an even better 3-0 and 1.16 ERA in his last 3 games versus the Braves. He has allowed 1 run in 14 innings in his last 2 games versus the Braves, while allowing 2 walks and 15 strikeouts. The Phillies are 5-1-2 for the under in the last 8 games in which Hamels starts. The Braves are 3-0-2 for the under in the last 5 games in which Teheran starts. Take the under 6 ½.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Doc's Sports

Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Indians

Monday MLB Bonus Play Take #919 Detroit Tigers over Cleveland Indians (Monday, 4:05pm EST)

Two aces square off in Cleveland when Corey Kluber and the Indians host David Price and the Tigers. Kluber has been one of the biggest surprises of the 2014 season, ascending from mediocrity to one of the best pitchers in baseball all in one year. He still doesn’t get the full attention that he deserves, but at 13-8 with a 2.52 ERA and 1.10 WHIP he should garner more fanfare. Price certainly gets his share as he has established himself among the best in the sport over the last few seasons. He also got quite a bit of attention last week when he was bombed for eight runs on 12 hits in two innings of work against the Yankees. That included a record nine straight hits in the third inning. Price will certainly be looking to redeem himself after his worst outing of his career, and the Indians aren’t particularly good against southpaws. That sets up the Tigers nicely as they shouldn’t need much from their offense. Kluber will certainly be tough to crack, but he hasn’t been nearly as sharp over his last few outings. Maybe he is wearing down after the best season of his career. In any case, the Tigers as underdogs with a motivated Price on the hill certainly appear to have some value. Take Detroit as our Bonus Play selection.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Jesse Schule

Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals

Free MLB Play UNDER the Total

The Royals were the hottest team in baseball for most of August, but they sure cooled off in the final few days of the month. Kansas City is coming off four straight home losses, and the bats have gone quiet during that span. The host Texas tonight, and I wouldn't be surprised to see a low scoring affair here.

Colby Lewis will toe the rubber for the Rangers, and he's been surprisingly good on the road. Lewis (9-11, 5.44 ERA) went the distance in a win at Seattle his last time out, and he's 7-3 with a 3.69 ERA overall away from home.

The Royals hand the ball to Yordano Ventura, who missed his last start due to back stiffness. He's been very solid of late, and Kansas City has won eight of his last 10 starts. His most recent outing was a win at Texas, holding the Rangers to one run over six innings.

These two teams have pushed the total over just once in the last 12 head to head meetings.

Take UNDER.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Michael Alexander

Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Diego Padres

1 Unit MLB Free Pick San Diego Padres

Ross made his franchise-record 13th straight quality start last Tuesday, when he held Milwaukee to one run over 6 1/3 innings. The All-Star has a 2.57 ERA in seven career games (six starts) against Arizona. Cahill’s string of five consecutive quality starts came to an end last Tuesday as he allowed eight runs (six earned) over 3 1/3 innings against the Dodgers. Cahill, who is 2-3 in eight career games (seven starts) against the Padres.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Free Silver Key Pick for Monday ML Baseball


BALTIMORE GAUSMAN -R -130 over Minnesota (1:35 et)

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

MLB
Long Sheet

Monday, September 1

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PHILADELPHIA (62 - 74) at ATLANTA (72 - 65) - 1:10 PM
COLE HAMELS (L) vs. JULIO TEHERAN (R)
Top Trends for this game.
PHILADELPHIA is 59-80 (-26.5 Units) against the money line in day games over the last 3 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 96-127 (-30.6 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
HAMELS is 25-32 (-14.3 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
HAMELS is 64-62 (-27.4 Units) against the money line against division opponents since 1997. (Team's Record)
HAMELS is 25-32 (-14.3 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
ATLANTA is 30-13 (+13.1 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 7 or less this season.
ATLANTA is 127-79 (+29.3 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 182-170 (+34.0 Units) against the money line as a road underdog of +100 to +125 since 1997.
PHILADELPHIA is 18-16 (+10.9 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 391-366 (+46.6 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season since 1997.
HAMELS is 14-3 (+13.0 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
ATLANTA is 38-37 (-9.1 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
ATLANTA is 8-5 (+1.0 Units) against PHILADELPHIA this season
6 of 13 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=-1.0 Units, Under=-0.1 Units)

COLE HAMELS vs. ATLANTA since 1997
HAMELS is 15-8 when starting against ATLANTA with an ERA of 3.30 and a WHIP of 1.131.
His team's record is 19-13 (+3.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 16-14. (-0.6 units)

JULIO TEHERAN vs. PHILADELPHIA since 1997
TEHERAN is 3-2 when starting against PHILADELPHIA with an ERA of 2.95 and a WHIP of 0.807.
His team's record is 3-3 (-0.9 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-4. (-2.1 units)

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NY METS (64 - 73) at MIAMI (66 - 69) - 1:10 PM
ZACK WHEELER (R) vs. HENDERSON ALVAREZ (R)
Top Trends for this game.
NY METS are 52-78 (-26.1 Units) against the money line when the total is 7 or less over the last 2 seasons.
MIAMI is 66-69 (+2.6 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
MIAMI is 38-24 (+19.3 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 7 or less over the last 2 seasons.
ALVAREZ is 17-8 (+10.2 Units) against the money line in all games this season. (Team's Record)
ALVAREZ is 10-2 (+8.3 Units) against the money line in home games this season. (Team's Record)
ALVAREZ is 17-8 (+10.2 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season. (Team's Record)
NY METS are 40-31 (+15.6 Units) against the money line as a road underdog of +100 to +125 over the last 3 seasons.
NY METS are 72-78 (+17.0 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons.
NY METS are 27-19 (+10.6 Units) against the money line in day games this season.
NY METS are 72-78 (+17.0 Units) against the money line in road games in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
NY METS are 32-22 (+10.2 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
NY METS are 39-24 (+18.9 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
NY METS is 8-5 (+3.0 Units) against MIAMI this season
6 of 11 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+0.5 Units)

ZACK WHEELER vs. MIAMI since 1997
WHEELER is 2-0 when starting against MIAMI with an ERA of 1.04 and a WHIP of 0.894.
His team's record is 4-1 (+3.4 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-3. (-2.0 units)

HENDERSON ALVAREZ vs. NY METS since 1997
ALVAREZ is 4-2 when starting against NY METS with an ERA of 3.15 and a WHIP of 1.139.
His team's record is 4-3 (+0.7 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 4-2. (+1.7 units)

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PITTSBURGH (71 - 65) at ST LOUIS (73 - 63) - 2:15 PM
GERRIT COLE (R) vs. LANCE LYNN (R)
Top Trends for this game.
PITTSBURGH is 22-33 (-18.0 Units) against the money line in September games over the last 3 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 18-27 (-11.8 Units) against the money line in day games this season.
PITTSBURGH is 246-477 (-101.3 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.
PITTSBURGH is 109-241 (-71.2 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season since 1997.
ST LOUIS is 141-92 (+26.2 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 406-279 (+57.9 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.
ST LOUIS is 27-12 (+13.4 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 168-136 (+23.9 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 166-135 (+22.3 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 135-111 (+20.3 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 75-60 (+13.2 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 2 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 33-38 (-12.2 Units) against the money line after a win this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
ST LOUIS is 8-8 (-0.7 Units) against PITTSBURGH this season
10 of 15 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+4.5 Units)

GERRIT COLE vs. ST LOUIS since 1997
COLE is 2-2 when starting against ST LOUIS with an ERA of 2.32 and a WHIP of 0.903.
His team's record is 3-2 (+1.1 units) in these starts. The OVER is 3-2. (+1.0 units)

LANCE LYNN vs. PITTSBURGH since 1997
LYNN is 5-4 when starting against PITTSBURGH with an ERA of 5.15 and a WHIP of 1.459.
His team's record is 7-6 (-0.3 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 5-8. (-4.1 units)

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MILWAUKEE (73 - 63) at CHICAGO CUBS (61 - 76) - 2:20 PM
JIMMY NELSON (R) vs. JACOB TURNER (R)
Top Trends for this game.
MILWAUKEE is 70-93 (-33.6 Units) against the money line in day games over the last 3 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 6-13 (-11.3 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season this season.
MILWAUKEE is 73-63 (+4.7 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
MILWAUKEE is 37-32 (+9.9 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
MILWAUKEE is 72-59 (+7.2 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
MILWAUKEE is 43-34 (+11.5 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO CUBS are 1375-1540 (-282.0 Units) against the money line in all games since 1997.
CHICAGO CUBS are 63-84 (-21.3 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO CUBS are 47-88 (-27.2 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO CUBS are 36-52 (-15.6 Units) against the money line in home games in day games over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO CUBS are 63-84 (-21.3 Units) against the money line in home games in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO CUBS are 90-136 (-32.0 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO CUBS are 148-196 (-63.6 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
CHICAGO CUBS is 6-7 (-0.3 Units) against MILWAUKEE this season
7 of 13 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+0.6 Units)

JIMMY NELSON vs. CHICAGO CUBS since 1997
No recent starts.

JACOB TURNER vs. MILWAUKEE since 1997
TURNER is 1-1 when starting against MILWAUKEE with an ERA of 2.45 and a WHIP of 1.364.
His team's record is 2-1 (+1.1 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-2. (-1.2 units)

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ARIZONA (57 - 79) at SAN DIEGO (64 - 71) - 4:10 PM
TREVOR CAHILL (R) vs. TYSON ROSS (R)
Top Trends for this game.
ARIZONA is 57-79 (-20.4 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
ARIZONA is 12-23 (-14.3 Units) against the money line when playing on Monday over the last 2 seasons.
ARIZONA is 57-79 (-20.4 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
ARIZONA is 42-59 (-17.1 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
ARIZONA is 20-36 (-17.5 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
SAN DIEGO is 83-65 (+15.5 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 45-31 (+15.6 Units) against the money line in home games in day games over the last 3 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 83-65 (+15.5 Units) against the money line in home games in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
ARIZONA is 8-4 (+4.5 Units) against SAN DIEGO this season
7 of 11 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+2.4 Units)

TREVOR CAHILL vs. SAN DIEGO since 1997
CAHILL is 2-3 when starting against SAN DIEGO with an ERA of 2.79 and a WHIP of 1.523.
His team's record is 3-4 (-2.2 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-6. (-6.3 units)

TYSON ROSS vs. ARIZONA since 1997
ROSS is 1-2 when starting against ARIZONA with an ERA of 2.63 and a WHIP of 1.024.
His team's record is 2-4 (-1.7 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 4-1. (+2.8 units)

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SAN FRANCISCO (74 - 62) at COLORADO (54 - 82) - 5:20 PM
TIM HUDSON (R) vs. FRANKLIN MORALES (L)
Top Trends for this game.
SAN FRANCISCO is 69-71 (-19.6 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
SAN FRANCISCO is 74-62 (+6.8 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 36-29 (+10.7 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 201-180 (+36.5 Units) against the money line on the road when the total is 9 to 9.5 since 1997.
SAN FRANCISCO is 180-122 (+51.6 Units) against the money line when playing on Monday since 1997.
SAN FRANCISCO is 117-84 (+24.5 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
SAN FRANCISCO is 74-62 (+6.8 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 42-31 (+10.3 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 42-21 (+19.2 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
HUDSON is 49-25 (+22.6 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
HUDSON is 15-2 (+13.4 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
HUDSON is 103-56 (+31.9 Units) against the money line in day games since 1997. (Team's Record)
HUDSON is 48-24 (+22.3 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
HUDSON is 162-89 (+39.6 Units) against the money line after a win since 1997. (Team's Record)
COLORADO is 54-82 (-26.9 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
COLORADO is 54-82 (-26.9 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
COLORADO is 35-62 (-27.3 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
COLORADO is 8-7 (+3.2 Units) against SAN FRANCISCO this season
9 of 15 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+1.9 Units)

TIM HUDSON vs. COLORADO since 1997
HUDSON is 5-2 when starting against COLORADO with an ERA of 4.10 and a WHIP of 1.167.
His team's record is 8-5 (+2.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 4-8. (-5.6 units)

FRANKLIN MORALES vs. SAN FRANCISCO since 1997
MORALES is 1-2 when starting against SAN FRANCISCO with an ERA of 4.60 and a WHIP of 1.468.
His team's record is 3-3 (+0.1 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 5-1. (+3.9 units)

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WASHINGTON (77 - 58) at LA DODGERS (77 - 60) - 8:10 PM
GIO GONZALEZ (L) vs. ROBERTO HERNANDEZ (R)
Top Trends for this game.
WASHINGTON is 113-100 (-14.6 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
LA DODGERS are 34-32 (-11.8 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
LA DODGERS are 34-32 (-11.8 Units) against the money line in home games in games played on a grass field this season.
LA DODGERS are 37-39 (-11.6 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
HERNANDEZ is 1-8 (-7.5 Units) against the money line in home games in night games this season. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
WASHINGTON is 2-1 (+1.0 Units) against LA DODGERS this season
2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+0.7 Units)

GIO GONZALEZ vs. LA DODGERS since 1997
GONZALEZ is 0-1 when starting against LA DODGERS with an ERA of 1.50 and a WHIP of 1.167.
His team's record is 0-2 (-2.6 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 2-0. (+2.0 units)

ROBERTO HERNANDEZ vs. WASHINGTON since 1997
HERNANDEZ is 3-1 when starting against WASHINGTON with an ERA of 1.19 and a WHIP of 0.923.
His team's record is 3-1 (+2.5 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-4. (-4.3 units)

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BOSTON (60 - 76) at TAMPA BAY (66 - 71) - 1:10 PM
RUBBY DE LA ROSA (R) vs. DREW SMYLY (L)
Top Trends for this game.
BOSTON is 60-77 (-27.2 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
BOSTON is 236-222 (-50.6 Units) against the money line in September games since 1997.
BOSTON is 23-35 (-15.0 Units) against the money line against division opponents this season.
BOSTON is 27-34 (-12.6 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
BOSTON is 21-29 (-14.7 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
TAMPA BAY is 547-628 (+17.4 Units) against the money line against division opponents since 1997.
TAMPA BAY is 66-71 (-21.4 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
TAMPA BAY is 30-38 (-23.0 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
TAMPA BAY is 10-16 (-12.7 Units) against the money line in home games in day games this season.
TAMPA BAY is 30-38 (-23.0 Units) against the money line in games played in a dome this season.
TAMPA BAY is 32-42 (-25.1 Units) against the money line in games played on artificial turf this season.
TAMPA BAY is 50-51 (-13.2 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
TAMPA BAY is 7-16 (-12.7 Units) against the money line after getting shut out over the last 2 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 31-39 (-16.4 Units) against the money line after a loss this season.
SMYLY is 2-8 (-10.2 Units) against the money line in home games this season. (Team's Record)
SMYLY is 3-9 (-10.2 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record this season. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
TAMPA BAY is 8-7 (-0.7 Units) against BOSTON this season
9 of 15 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+1.6 Units)

RUBBY DE LA ROSA vs. TAMPA BAY since 1997
DE LA ROSA is 1-0 when starting against TAMPA BAY with an ERA of 0.00 and a WHIP of 0.571.
His team's record is 1-0 (+1.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-1. (-1.1 units)

DREW SMYLY vs. BOSTON since 1997
SMYLY is 1-0 when starting against BOSTON with an ERA of 3.75 and a WHIP of 1.167.
His team's record is 1-1 (+0.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-0. (+1.0 units)

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MINNESOTA (59 - 77) at BALTIMORE (79 - 56) - 1:35 PM
PHIL HUGHES (R) vs. KEVIN GAUSMAN (R)
Top Trends for this game.
BALTIMORE is 80-56 (+29.6 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
BALTIMORE is 39-30 (+7.8 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 this season.
BALTIMORE is 40-27 (+9.7 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
BALTIMORE is 70-43 (+20.7 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 3 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 13-3 (+12.7 Units) against the money line when playing on Monday this season.
BALTIMORE is 71-53 (+22.0 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
BALTIMORE is 59-39 (+24.9 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
BALTIMORE is 42-36 (+9.4 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
BALTIMORE is 38-25 (+13.6 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
BALTIMORE is 15-5 (+11.0 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season this season.
MINNESOTA is 43-40 (+18.9 Units) against the money line as a road underdog of +125 to +150 over the last 3 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 29-29 (+6.7 Units) against the money line in day games this season.
MINNESOTA is 93-120 (+18.9 Units) against the money line in road games in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 63-72 (+25.0 Units) against the money line in road games after a loss over the last 3 seasons.
HUGHES is 17-10 (+10.7 Units) against the money line in all games this season. (Team's Record)
HUGHES is 9-4 (+8.8 Units) against the money line in road games this season. (Team's Record)
HUGHES is 11-2 (+12.1 Units) against the money line in day games this season. (Team's Record)
HUGHES is 16-10 (+9.3 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season. (Team's Record)
HUGHES is 12-4 (+11.7 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season. (Team's Record)
BALTIMORE is 16-26 (-16.6 Units) against the money line in home games in day games over the last 2 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 11-22 (-14.5 Units) against the money line after 3 or more consecutive wins over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
BALTIMORE is 4-2 (+1.8 Units) against MINNESOTA this season
4 of 6 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+1.7 Units)

PHIL HUGHES vs. BALTIMORE since 1997
HUGHES is 7-5 when starting against BALTIMORE with an ERA of 4.98 and a WHIP of 1.450.
His team's record is 10-9 (-2.5 units) in these starts. The OVER is 10-7. (+2.7 units)

KEVIN GAUSMAN vs. MINNESOTA since 1997
No recent starts.

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DETROIT (74 - 62) at CLEVELAND (70 - 64) - 4:05 PM
DAVID PRICE (L) vs. COREY KLUBER (R)
Top Trends for this game.
DETROIT is 172-137 (-19.4 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 137-210 (-57.3 Units) against the money line as a road underdog of +100 to +125 since 1997.
DETROIT is 18-27 (-15.6 Units) against the money line on the road when the total is 7 or less over the last 3 seasons.
DETROIT is 8-14 (-8.8 Units) against the money line in road games in day games this season.
DETROIT is 165-131 (-19.5 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 30-31 (-9.8 Units) against the money line after a loss this season.
PRICE is 21-27 (-22.3 Units) against the money line when the total is 7 or less since 1997. (Team's Record)
CLEVELAND is 162-135 (+24.7 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 90-56 (+22.5 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 60-42 (+15.4 Units) against the money line in day games over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 156-129 (+22.4 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 56-41 (+17.3 Units) against the money line against left-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 93-68 (+18.5 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 30-19 (+9.5 Units) against the money line in road games against right-handed starters this season.
PRICE is 56-27 (+20.1 Units) against the money line against division opponents since 1997. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
CLEVELAND is 7-5 (+3.6 Units) against DETROIT this season
7 of 11 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+2.8 Units)

DAVID PRICE vs. CLEVELAND since 1997
PRICE is 5-1 when starting against CLEVELAND with an ERA of 3.12 and a WHIP of 1.200.
His team's record is 5-2 (+1.9 units) in these starts. The OVER is 3-3. (+0.0 units)

COREY KLUBER vs. DETROIT since 1997
KLUBER is 2-4 when starting against DETROIT with an ERA of 4.01 and a WHIP of 1.372.
His team's record is 4-5 (-0.3 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 5-4. (+0.5 units)

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SEATTLE (73 - 62) at OAKLAND (78 - 58) - 4:05 PM
CHRIS YOUNG (R) vs. JASON HAMMEL (R)
Top Trends for this game.
OAKLAND is 272-198 (+56.0 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 3 seasons.
OAKLAND is 17-4 (+11.7 Units) against the money line as a home favorite of -125 to -150 this season.
OAKLAND is 147-85 (+35.6 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 3 seasons.
OAKLAND is 171-119 (+23.0 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
OAKLAND is 182-130 (+41.2 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 3 seasons.
OAKLAND is 51-25 (+18.0 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
OAKLAND is 38-20 (+15.8 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
SEATTLE is 73-62 (+6.4 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
SEATTLE is 37-26 (+16.1 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
SEATTLE is 13-3 (+9.5 Units) against the money line when playing on Monday this season.
SEATTLE is 34-29 (+11.6 Units) against the money line in road games against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
SEATTLE is 27-17 (+11.3 Units) against the money line in day games this season.
SEATTLE is 34-25 (+12.9 Units) against the money line in road games in games played on a grass field this season.
SEATTLE is 27-18 (+10.0 Units) against the money line in road games against right-handed starters this season.
SEATTLE is 22-17 (+8.9 Units) against the money line in road games after a win this season.
SEATTLE is 32-21 (+13.8 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
YOUNG is 16-9 (+10.9 Units) against the money line in all games this season. (Team's Record)
YOUNG is 16-8 (+11.9 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season. (Team's Record)
YOUNG is 9-4 (+8.0 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
SEATTLE is 7-6 (+2.5 Units) against OAKLAND this season
8 of 13 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+2.2 Units)

CHRIS YOUNG vs. OAKLAND since 1997
YOUNG is 3-2 when starting against OAKLAND with an ERA of 2.95 and a WHIP of 1.235.
His team's record is 3-4 (-0.2 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-5. (-4.6 units)

JASON HAMMEL vs. SEATTLE since 1997
HAMMEL is 2-1 when starting against SEATTLE with an ERA of 3.13 and a WHIP of 1.261.
His team's record is 2-2 (-0.4 units) in these starts. The OVER is 3-1. (+2.0 units)

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TEXAS (53 - 83) at KANSAS CITY (74 - 61) - 8:10 PM
COLBY LEWIS (R) vs. YORDANO VENTURA (R)
Top Trends for this game.
TEXAS is 53-83 (-28.7 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
TEXAS is 12-24 (-11.8 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 this season.
TEXAS is 5-18 (-11.8 Units) against the money line on the road when the total is 8 to 8.5 this season.
TEXAS is 51-79 (-26.7 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
TEXAS is 33-65 (-34.2 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
TEXAS is 34-58 (-24.8 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
TEXAS is 35-47 (-12.8 Units) against the money line after a loss this season.
TEXAS is 99-117 (-26.3 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
TEXAS is 23-47 (-24.8 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 74-61 (+4.1 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
KANSAS CITY is 70-58 (+2.6 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
KANSAS CITY is 115-94 (+11.8 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
LEWIS is 8-3 (+7.5 Units) against the money line in road games this season. (Team's Record)
LEWIS is 8-2 (+8.5 Units) against the money line in road games in games played on a grass field this season. (Team's Record)
LEWIS is 7-1 (+8.0 Units) against the money line in road games after a loss this season. (Team's Record)
KANSAS CITY is 0-6 (-11.1 Units) against the money line as a home favorite of -175 to -200 this season.
KANSAS CITY is 32-37 (-17.6 Units) against the money line in home games after a loss over the last 2 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 27-31 (-18.1 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
KANSAS CITY is 2-1 (+0.5 Units) against TEXAS this season
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+1.0 Units)

COLBY LEWIS vs. KANSAS CITY since 1997
LEWIS is 1-3 when starting against KANSAS CITY with an ERA of 6.92 and a WHIP of 1.423.
His team's record is 1-4 (-5.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 2-2. (-0.3 units)

YORDANO VENTURA vs. TEXAS since 1997
VENTURA is 1-0 when starting against TEXAS with an ERA of 1.50 and a WHIP of 1.167.
His team's record is 1-0 (+1.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-0. (+0.0 units)

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

WNBA
Long Sheet

Monday, September 1

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INDIANA (19 - 18) at CHICAGO (17 - 21) - 9/1/2014, 4:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
INDIANA is 10-23 ATS (-15.3 Units) in road games after 3 or more consecutive wins since 1997.
CHICAGO is 30-19 ATS (+9.1 Units) vs. division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
INDIANA is 23-13 ATS (+8.7 Units) in all games this season.
INDIANA is 14-7 ATS (+6.3 Units) as an underdog this season.
INDIANA is 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) in road games this season.
INDIANA is 16-7 ATS (+8.3 Units) after a division game this season.
CHICAGO is 7-15 ATS (-9.5 Units) after allowing 75 points or more this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
INDIANA is 13-4 against the spread versus CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
INDIANA is 14-3 straight up against CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
9 of 17 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Sam Martin

Milwaukee Brewers at Chicago Cubs 2:20PM

5* Milwaukee Brewers

Reason: 5* Play on Milwaukee. Brewers starter Jimmy Nelson might not have a good win/loss record, but he's been pitching far better than that record shows and we'll back him in a huge pitching mismatch this afternoon on the road in Wrigley Field against the Cubs.

Nelson has been superb on the road with a 2.16 ERA through three road starts, and those numbers matchup up beautifully against Jacob Turner who owns an ERA north of six on the season (in starts) and a 7.11 ERA in five home starts (also a WHIP over 2.000). Brewers didn't do much in San Francisco this past weekend, but get a new opponent today and a pitcher they know they can hit. 5* Play on Milwaukee.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

MLB
Short Sheet

Monday, September 1

Philadelphia at Atlanta, 1:10 ET
Hamels: Philadelphia 7-23 SU off 6+ division games
Teheran: Atlanta 30-13 SU at home with a total of 7 runs or less

NY Mets at Miami, 1:10 ET
Wheeler: NY Mets 19-10 Over off 3+ division games
Alvarez: 10-2 TSR in home games

Pittsburgh at St Louis, 2:15 ET
Cole: Pittsburgh 4-15 SU off 9+ division games
Lynn: 14-4 TSR as a favorite of -150 or less

Milwaukee at Chicago Cubs, 2:20 ET
Nelson: Milwaukee 9-2 SU away after bullpen allowed 4+ runs
Turner: Cubs 16-33 SU vs. Milwaukee

Arizona at San Diego, 4:10 ET
Cahill: Arizona 3-15 SU off 4+ games allowing 3 runs or less
Ross: San Diego 11-3 SU off 3+ games hitting 0 home runs

San Francisco at Colorado, 5:20 ET
Hudson: 15-2 TSR vs. division opponents
Morales: Colorado 6-19 SU off 5+ road games

Washington at LA Dodgers, 8:10 ET
Gonzalez: Washington 22-8 SU vs. AL West opponents
Hernandez: 1-8 TSR at home in night games

Boston at Tampa Bay, 1:10 ET
De La Rosa: Boston 17-5 Under away off 6+ road games
Smyly: 2-7 TSR as a favorite of -150 or higher

Minnesota at Baltimore, 1:35 ET
Hughes: 11-2 TSR in day games
Gausman: Baltimore 11-22 SU off 3+ wins

Detroit at Cleveland, 4:05 ET
Price: Detroit 8-14 SU away in day games
Kluber: 10-3 TSR in home games

Seattle at Oakland, 4:05 ET
Young: 14-7 TSR with a total of 7 to 8.5 runs
Hammel: 4-12 TSR in the second half of the season

Texas at Kansas City, 8:10 ET
Lewis: 7-1 TSR away off a team loss
Ventura: Kansas City 0-6 SU as a home favorite of -175 to -200

TSR = Team Start Record