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Sharp Bettor

Sharp Bettor's Free Pick for Monday, June 20, 2016 10:10 PM

(909) WASHINGTON (STRASBRG) VS (910) DODGERS (KERSHAW)

Play Washington.
 
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Roz Wins

Roz's Monday, June 20, 2016, Free MLB Pick: 7:10 PM

(915) CHICAGO (GONZALEZ) VS (916) BOSTON (WRIGHT)

Play UNDER the total.
 
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Red Dog Sports

Slovakia vs England

Bonus Play England to win at -114 on Monday afternoon in Euro action taking place in France.

Look for Vardy, Wayne Rooney or Kane to score a goal or two.

England 2

Slovakia 1
 
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Brandon Shively

Diamondbacks vs Phillies

Bonus Play Arizona Diamondbacks

I like Arizona here on Monday Afternoon. The only thing that is preventing me from releasing them as a Premium pick is the unknown expectations of Shelby Miller. I say that because Miller is making his first start since coming off the DL. Inside team sources have said that Miller looked good in his AAA rehab starts and in his bullpen sessions. I honestly think that Miller will come back strong and turn his season around.

I watched Shelby Miller pitch in numerous games this season. He actually pitched decent the majority of the time in my opinion. His problem was not being able to escape the ‘big’ inning and pitch out of trouble. Facing a Phillies team that can also be called the ‘Bad News Bears’ right now should be just what the doctor ordered for Miller as the Phillies have lost 21 of their last 26 games overall.

The Phillies have now lost six straight games and haven’t scored more than 2 runs in their last five games. They are hitting .197 as a team over their last seven games. Clearly, this is a favorable spot for Miller and one to help regain his confidence. Miller has a career 2.54 ERA/ 1.11 WHIP in 7 starts vs the Phillies.

Jeremy Hellickson takes the mound for the Phillies. He is 0-2 career vs the DBacks having not made it past the 5th inning in either start. The Phillies have lost his last five starts overall . Hellickson has a 7.41 ERA for the month of June. He has only recorded 10 strikeouts while walking nine batters and allowing five home runs. The Phillies are only giving him 3 runs of support in his seven home starts.

Paul Goldschmidt is hitting .385 over the last week with 3 homeruns. Jake Lamb, who backs up Goldschmidt batting clean up, is on fire this series going 7-for-13 with a homerun and 3 RBI. Jean Segura didn’t start yesterday, but has reached base in eight of his last nine games he has started.

With the Phillies having lost 81% of their last 26 games overall and being able to fade them today while getting plus money is a no brainer to me as I feel this is a great value play and one that is definitely worth a wager. (1* Arizona Diamondbacks)
 
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Matt Josephs

ARI vs PHI

Bonus Play UNDER 9

I told myself that anytime the Phillies play in a game with a total above 8 that I'd have to consider the under. I understand the circumstances with two mediocre to poor starting pitchers, but the Phillies offense is epically bad. They have scored three runs or less in six straight and seven of their last nine. Shelby Miller threw 12 innings of rehab in class-A advanced ball and he picked up 19 strikeouts to just one walk. Miller has good stuff and may have needed the time off to realize it. It's a getaway game for both so we may see some starters take a seat. Jeremy Hellickson is 4-5 with a 4.46 ERA in 14 starts for Philly. He'll have the tougher assignment of the two although once again, I think we may see a starter or two sit as Arizona has the series in hand. Both bullpens are pretty meh, but their better arms should be available. I think this one should go under the total.
 
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Mike Lundin

Cardinals vs Cubs

5* MLB Free Pick Chicago Cubs

The Chicago Cubs will host NL Central rival St. Louis Cardinals for the opener of a three-game series Monday night. Look for the Cubs to take tonight's contest behind John Lackey.

Lackey (7-2, 2.66 ERA) will make his third career start against the team with which he spent the previous 1 1/2 seasons before joining Chicago during the offseason. He's held the Cardinals to three runs on eight hits with 20 Ks in 14 innings already this year. Lackey has been outstanding home at Wrigley all year, going 4-1 with an 1.66 ERA in six starts.

The Cardinals turn to Jaime Garcia (4-6, 3.93 ERA). The left-hander has been reached for nine runs (eight earned) on 21 hits with three homers while covering just 11 innings in his last two turns. He allowed two runs on four hits and four walks in five innings of a 2-1 home loss to the Cubs on April 19.

The Cubs are 8-2 in their last 10 home games vs. a left-handed starter. Cardinals are 0-4 in Garcia's last four starts vs. Cubs. Cardinals are 2-7 in the last nine meetings overall.
 
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Art Aronson

SEA vs DET

1* Bonus Play OVER Mariners/Tigers

The visitors turn to Nathan Karns (5-2, 4.06 ERA) who struck out eight while giving up two runs off four hits and two walks over five innings vs. the Rays on Wednesday. Karns lasted just five innings and longevity continues to be his biggest issue. Note that Karns owns a pedestrian 4.66 ERA on the road this year. The home side counters with Mike Pelfrey (1-7, 4.79) who was shelled for four runs off seven hits and a pair of walks in a loss to the White Sox on Wednesday, managing to strike out just a single batter. Unfortunately for Pelfrey, a date at home is not what the doctor ordered to get untracked as he’s just 1-2 with a 5.51 ERA in Detroit thus far. With these two volatile starters going head-to-head on Monday night, the OVER does indeed become a very legitimate investment opportunity.

AAA Sports
 
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Marc Lawrence

Rays vs Indians

Play - Cleveland Indians w/Tomlin (Game 914)

Edges - Indians: Josh Tomlin 2-0 home career team starts in this series, and 7-1 home team starts and 8-2 team starts at night this season. Rays: Drew Smyly 1-3 career team starts in this series, including 0-1 here, and 6.87 ERA with 1.61 WHIP last seven overall team starts. With Tomlin in sparkling current KW form with 27 K’s and 6 BB’s his last six starts, we recommend a 1* play on Cleveland. Thank you and good luck as always.
 
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MLB

Monday, June 20

Trend Report

1:05 PM
ARIZONA vs. PHILADELPHIA
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Arizona's last 6 games when playing Philadelphia
Arizona is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Philadelphia
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Philadelphia's last 7 games when playing at home against Arizona
Philadelphia is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games at home

7:05 PM
SAN FRANCISCO vs. PITTSBURGH
San Francisco is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Pittsburgh
San Francisco is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 10 of Pittsburgh's last 13 games at home
Pittsburgh is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games at home

7:10 PM
COLORADO vs. MIAMI
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Colorado's last 7 games when playing on the road against Miami
Colorado is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Miami's last 9 games at home
Miami is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home

7:10 PM
SEATTLE vs. DETROIT
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Seattle's last 8 games when playing Detroit
Seattle is 2-7 SU in its last 9 games on the road
Detroit is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Detroit's last 8 games when playing Seattle

7:10 PM
CHI WHITE SOX vs. BOSTON
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Chi White Sox's last 10 games when playing Boston
Chi White Sox are 2-5 SU in their last 7 games when playing Boston
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Boston's last 7 games at home
Boston is 5-2 SU in their last 7 games when playing Chi White Sox

7:10 PM
TAMPA BAY vs. CLEVELAND
Tampa Bay is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Tampa Bay's last 5 games on the road
Cleveland is 12-6 SU in its last 18 games
Cleveland is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing Tampa Bay

8:05 PM
BALTIMORE vs. TEXAS
Baltimore is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Baltimore's last 9 games when playing on the road against Texas
Texas is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games at home
Texas is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games

8:05 PM
ST. LOUIS vs. CHI CUBS
The total has gone OVER in 17 of St. Louis's last 25 games on the road
St. Louis is 2-7 SU in their last 9 games when playing Chi Cubs
The total has gone OVER in 13 of Chi Cubs's last 19 games when playing St. Louis
The total has gone UNDER in 12 of Chi Cubs's last 14 games at home

8:10 PM
LA ANGELS vs. HOUSTON
The total has gone OVER in 4 of LA Angels's last 6 games when playing Houston
LA Angels are 4-1 SU in their last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Houston's last 6 games when playing at home against LA Angels
Houston is 6-2 SU in their last 8 games when playing at home against LA Angels

10:10 PM
WASHINGTON vs. LA DODGERS
Washington is 7-18 SU in their last 25 games when playing on the road against LA Dodgers
Washington is 12-6 SU in its last 18 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of LA Dodgers's last 11 games at home
LA Dodgers are 18-7 SU in their last 25 games when playing at home against Washington
 
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MLB
Dunkel

Monday, June 20


Colorado @ Miami

Game 905-906
June 20, 2016 @ 7:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Colorado
(DeLaRosa) 15.757
Miami
(Clemens) 14.044
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Colorado
by 1 1/2
8
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Miami
-110
8 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Colorado
(-110); Under

St. Louis @ Chicago Cubs

Game 907-908
June 20, 2016 @ 8:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
St. Louis
(Garcia) 14.598
Chicago Cubs
(Lackey) 16.662
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Chicago Cubs
by 2
9 1/2
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Chicago Cubs
-160
No Total
Dunkel Pick:
Chicago Cubs
(-160); N/A

Washington @ LA Dodgers

Game 909-910
June 20, 2016 @ 10:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Washington
(Strsburg) 16.792
LA Dodgers
(Kershaw) 15.610
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Washington
by 1
3
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
LA Dodgers
-180
5 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Washington
(+160); Under

Seattle @ Detroit

Game 911-912
June 20, 2016 @ 7:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Seattle
(Karns) 15.469
Detroit
(Pelfrey) 13.895
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Seattle
by 1 1/2
11
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Seattle
-125
10
Dunkel Pick:
Seattle
(-125); Over

Tampa Bay @ Cleveland

Game 913-914
June 20, 2016 @ 7:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Tampa Bay
(Smyly) 15.851
Cleveland
(Tomlin) 14.477
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Tampa Bay
by 1 1/2
9
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Cleveland
-130
8
Dunkel Pick:
Tampa Bay
(+110); Over

Chicago White Sox @ Boston

Game 915-916
June 20, 2016 @ 7:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Chicago White Sox
(Gnzalez) 13.615
Boston
(Wright) 17.618
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Boston
by 4
8
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Boston
-200
10
Dunkel Pick:
Boston
(-200); Under

LA Angels @ Houston

Game 917-918
June 20, 2016 @ 8:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
LA Angels
(Chacin) 14.538
Houston
(Fister) 16.083
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Houston
by 1 1/2
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Houston
-150
8 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Houston
(-150); Under

Baltimore @ Texas

Game 919-920
June 20, 2016 @ 8:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Baltimore
(Gausman) 13.895
Texas
(Holland) 16.701
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Texas
by 3
10
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Baltimore
-115
9 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Texas
(-105); Over

Arizona @ Philadelphia

Game 901-902
June 20, 2016 @ 1:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Arizona
(Miller) 17.877
Philadelphia
(Hllckson) 13.851
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Arizona
by 4
8
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Philadelphia
-115
9
Dunkel Pick:
Arizona
(-105); Under

San Francisco @ Pittsburgh

Game 903-904
June 20, 2016 @ 7:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
San Francisco
(Bmgrner) 18.704
Pittsburgh
(Locke) 14.211
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
San Francisco
by 4 1/2
8
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
San Francisco
-205
7
Dunkel Pick:
San Francisco
(-205); Over
 
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Larry Ness

Cleveland

The 38-30 Indians and 31-36 Rays are coming off contrasting weekend series. Cleveland swept a three-game home series from the White Sox over the weekend, while Tampa Bay got swept at home in a three-game series with the San Francisco Giants. The two teams open a three-game series Monday night in Cleveland and the pitching matchup of Drew Smyly (2-7, 4.75 ERA) facing Josh Tomlin (8-1, 3.27 ERA) features two players headed in opposite directions. Yes, Smyly showed some improvement his last time out after skipping a start to rest, when he allowed two runs on four hits with 12 strikeouts over 6.2 innings in a no-decision. However, one CAN’T ignore that in his previous four starts starts Smyly was 0-3 (team was 1-3) with a 8.44 ERA. Opposing teams have hit .308 against him over his last five starts!

In stark contrast, Cleveland’s Tomlin is serving up (at least so far) the best year of his career. Tomlin has walked one or zero batters in 11 of his 12 starts and his average of 0.85 walks per nine innings is the best in the American League by a wide margin. He makes his 13th start tonight with the Indians having gone 10-2 (plus-$805) though his first 12 (moneyline ranks 7th among all MLB starters). Tomlin has permitted two or fewer runs in EIGHT of those 12 starts this season, including last time out as he gave up one in seven innings of a no decision against Kansas City.

Smyly is 2-2 with a 3.93 ERA in 14 career appearances vs Cleveland and in six career starts at Progressive Field he owns a 5.73 ERA. Meanwhile, not only have the Indians been victorious in 10 of 12 games started by Josh Tomlin in 2016 but Cleveland also boasts 14 come-from-behind wins overall. Cleveland has posted a 20-12 home record while averaging a healthy 5.50 RPG. Stick with the home team.
 

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