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Sharp Bettor

Sharp Bettor's Free Pick for Monday, June 19, 2017

6/19 04:05 PM MLB (911) CLEVELAND INDIANS (C KLUBER - R) VS (912) BALTIMORE ORIOLES (D BUNDY). Play Baltimore.
 
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Roz Wins

Roz's Monday, June 19, 2017, Free Pick

06/19 04:10 PM MLB (901) WASHINGTON NATIONALS (T ROARK - R) VS (902) MIAMI MARLINS (J NICOLINO). Play UNDER the total.
 
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Monday's six-pack

— No left-handed golfer has ever won the US Open.

— One of the appeals of golf; Justin Thomas is 5-10, 145 pounds. He shot a 63 at US Open.

— NHL announced a salary cap of $75M next season, with salary floor set at $55.4M.

— Felix Hernandez will be back in Seattle’s rotation Friday after a strong rehab outing for AAA Tacoma Saturday night.

— Major leagues used baseballs with blue seams Sunday to promote cancer awareness.

— Dodgers 8, Reds 7— Kike Hernandez made a great catch to save the game, crashing into the leftfield fence. Cincinnati has now lost nine games in a row.
 
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MLB
Dunkel

Monday, June 19


Cincinnati @ Tampa Bay

Game 921-922
June 19, 2017 @ 7:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Cincinnati
(Feldman) 15.496
Tampa Bay
(Odorizzi) 14.321
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Cincinnati
by 1
11
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Tampa Bay
-140
8 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Cincinnati
(+120); Over

Detroit @ Seattle

Game 919-920
June 19, 2017 @ 10:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Detroit
(Sanchez) 14.352
Seattle
(Gaviglio) 15.872
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Seattle
by 1 1/2
11
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Seattle
-140
9 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Seattle
(-140); Over

Houston @ Oakland

Game 917-918
June 19, 2017 @ 10:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Houston
(Peacock) 16.422
Oakland
(Gossett) 14.951
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Houston
by 1 1/2
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Houston
No Line
N/A
Dunkel Pick:
Houston
N/A

Boston @ Kansas City

Game 915-916
June 19, 2017 @ 8:15 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Boston
(Velzquez) 14.884
Kansas City
(Hammel) 17.647
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Kansas City
by 3
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Kansas City
-110
9 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Kansas City
(-110); Under

Toronto @ Texas

Game 913-914
June 19, 2017 @ 8:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Toronto
(Estrada) 16.194
Texas
(Bbens-Drkx) 13.055
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Toronto
by 3
13
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Toronto
-125
10 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Toronto
(-125); Over

Cleveland @ Baltimore

Game 911-912
June 19, 2017 @ 7:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Cleveland
(Kluber) 16.984
Baltimore
(Bundy) 13.511
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Cleveland
by 3 1/2
13
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Cleveland
-150
9
Dunkel Pick:
Cleveland
(-150); Over

NY Mets @ LA Dodgers

Game 909-910
June 19, 2017 @ 10:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
NY Mets
(Wheeler) 13.910
LA Dodgers
(Kershaw) 15.441
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
LA Dodgers
by 1 1/2
5
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
LA Dodgers
-300
7
Dunkel Pick:
LA Dodgers
(-300); Under

San Diego @ Chicago Cubs

Game 907-908
June 19, 2017 @ 8:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
San Diego
(Richard) 16.152
Chicago Cubs
(Lester) 14.508
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
San Diego
by 1 1/2
9
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Chicago Cubs
-230
No Total
Dunkel Pick:
San Diego
(+200); N/A

Pittsburgh @ Milwaukee

Game 905-906
June 19, 2017 @ 7:40 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Pittsburgh
(Cole) 12.857
Milwaukee
(Garza) 16.211
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Milwaukee
by 3 1/2
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Pittsburgh
-115
9
Dunkel Pick:
Milwaukee
(-105); Under

San Francisco @ Atlanta

Game 903-904
June 19, 2017 @ 7:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
San Francisco
(Cueto) 14.351
Atlanta
(Dickey) 15.516
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Atlanta
by 1
11
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
San Francisco
-150
9 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Atlanta
(+130); Over

Washington @ Miami

Game 901-902
June 19, 2017 @ 7:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Washington
(Roark) 16.278
Miami
(Niclino) 13.974
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Washington
by 2 1/2
8
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Washington
-115
9 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Washington
(-115); Under
 
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MLB

Monday, June 19

National League
Nationals @ Marlins
Roark is 0-2, 9.82 in his last two starts; over is 7-3 in his last ten. Washington is 4-2 in his road starts- their 1st 5-inning record with him: 7-6-1

Volquez is 3-0, 2.08 in his last four starts; under is 7-2 in his last nine. Miami is 4-2 in his home starts- their 1st 5-inning record with him: 5-7-1

Washington is 11-3 in its last 14 road games, 9-3 in road series openers. Over is 6-1 in their last seven games. Miami won its last five home games, is 4-7 in home series openers. Over is 4-2-1 in their last seven home games.

Giants @ Braves
Cueto is 0-2, 5.94 in his last three starts; under is 3-1 in his last four road starts. Giants are 4-4 in his road starts- their 1st 5-inning record with him: 6-5-3

Dickey is 1-2, 8.10 in his last four starts; over is 7-2-1 in his last ten. Braves are 5-2 in his home starts- their 1st 5-inning record with him: 6-5-2

Giants lost eight of last nine games, are 6-6 in road series openers. Over is 6-1 in their last seven games. Atlanta won three of last four games, is 5-5 in home series openers. Under is 7-3 in their last ten games.

Pirates @ Brewers
Cole is 2-2, 8.31 in his last five starts; under is 10-2 in his last 12. Pirates are 2-5 in his road starts- their 1st 5-inning record with him: 1-10-3

Garza is 1-2, 7.20 in his last four starts (over 3-1). Milwaukee is 3-2 in his home starts- their 1st 5-inning record with him: 5-2-2

Pirates lost three of last four games, are 3-8 in road series openers. Four of their last five games stayed under. Milwaukee won five of its last six games; they’re 6-6 in home series openers. Five of their last six games went over.

Padres @ Cubs
Richard is 2-0, 2.57 in his last two starts; over is 7-3 in his last ten. San Diego is 3-1 in his last four road starts- their 1st 5-inning record with him: 4-8-2

Lester is 1-2, 5.82 in his last four starts; over is 8-3 in his last 11. Cubs are 5-3 in his home starts- their 1st 5-inning record with him:

San Diego lost seven of last nine road games; they’re 2-9 in road series openers. Over is 5-1 in their last six road games. Cubs are 4-7 in their last 11 games, 4-7 in home series openers. Over is 7-4 in their last 11 games.

Mets @ Dodgers
Wheeler is 0-2, 6.00 in his last four starts; over is 6-3 in his last nine starts. Mets are 3-2 in his road starts- their 1st 5-inning record with him: 7-5

Kershaw is 5-0, 1.94 in his last eight starts; over is 4-3 in his home starts. LA is 6-1 in his home starts- their 1st 5-inning record with him: 9-2-3

Mets lost four of their last six games, are 1-4 in last five road series openers. Five of their last six games went over. Dodgers won nine of last ten games; they’re 8-3 in home series openers. Over is 8-1 in their last nine games.

——————————–

American League
Indians @ Orioles
Kluber is 2-0, 2.37 in his last three starts (over 2-0-1). Indians are 2-2 in his road starts; their 1st 5-inning record with him: 4-5

Bundy is 2-4, 5.00 in his last six starts; under is 5-2 in his home starts. Orioles are 5-2 in his home starts- their 1st 5-inning record with him: 8-5-1

Indians won their last five games, are 2-6 in last eight road series openers. Under is 4-1 in their last five road games. Baltimore is 3-2 in its last five games, 10-2 in home series openers. Last six Oriole home games went over.

Blue Jays @ Rangers
Estrada is 0-3, 12.08 in his last three starts; under is 3-1-1 in his last five. Toronto is 3-4 in his road starts- their 1st 5-inning record with him: 4-7-3

Dirkx is 1-0, 3.09 in two starts (11.2 IP) this year (over 1-1). Rangers’ 1st 5-inning record with him: 0-0-2

Toronto is 2-3 in its last five games, 1-4 in last five road series openers. Three of their last four games went over. Texas won seven of last nine games; they’re 7-5 in home series openers. Over is 11-1-1 in their last 13 home games.

Red Sox @ Royals
Velazquez allowed six runs in five IP (101 PT) in his first ’17 start, May 18 in Oakland. Boston’s 1st 5-inning record with him: 0-1

Hammel is 2-0, 2.21 in his last three starts; over is 5-2 in his last seven. Royals are 2-6 in his home starts- their 1st 5-inning record with him: 4-8-1

Red Sox is 7-3 in its last ten games; they’re 4-8 in road series openers. Three of their last four games stayed under. Kansas City won seven of last eight games; they’re 5-6 in home series openers. Over is 10-2-1 in their last 13 games.

Astros @ A’s
Peacock is 2-1, 4.37 in five starts this year (under 3-2); Astros’ 1st 5-inning record with him: 3-2

Gossett allowed seven runs in 3.1 IP (62 PT) in his first ’17 start, at Miami. Oakland’s 1st 5-inning record with him: 0-1

Astros played a 4-hour game at home last night; they’re 4-8 in last 12 games- they won their last nine road series openers. Over is 7-2-1 in their last ten road tilts. Oakland won its last four games; they’re 6-5 in home series openers. Over is 9-4-1 in their last 14 home games.

Tigers @ Mariners
33-year old Sanchez is making his first ’17 start; he allowed 26 runs in 21 IP in 11 relief stints this year. He’s started 245 big league games (87-87, 4.00).

Gaviglio is 4-0, 5.06 in his last four starts (under 2-1-3). Seattle’s 1st 5-inning record with him: 4-2

Tigers lost seven of last ten games, are 6-5 in road series openers. Over is 5-2 in their last seven road games. Mariners lost six of last nine games; they’re 9-2 in home series openers. Over is 4-1-2 in their last seven games.

__________________________

Interleague

Reds @ Rays
Feldman is 3-1, 4.72 in his last five starts; over is 3-2-1 in his road starts. Reds are 2-4 in his road outings- their first 5-inning record with him: 6-6-2

Odorizzi is 1-1, 10.80 in his last three starts (over 3-0); Rays are 3-3 in his home starts- their 1st 5-inning record with him: 4-4-4

Reds lost their last nine games; they’re 5-6 in road series openers. Over is 10-5 in their last 15 games. Tampa Bay won five of last six home games; they’re 4-7 in home series openers. Rays’ last five home games went over the total.

______________________________

Record with this pitcher starting:
National League
Wsh-Mia: Roark 9-5; Volquez 5-8 (4-0 last 4)
SF-Atl: Cueto 8-6; Dickey 7-6
Pitt-Mil: Cole 7-7; Garza 5-4
SD-Chi: Richard 6-8; Lester 7-7
NY-LA; Wheeler 5-7; Kershaw 12-2

American League
Clev-Balt: Kluber 6-3; Bundy 9-5
Tor-Tex: Estrada 6-8; Dirkx 1-1
Bos-KC: Velazquez 0-1; Hammel 3-10
Hst-A’s: Peacock 3-2; Gossett 0-1
Det-Sea: Sanchez 0-0; Gaviglio 5-1

Interleague
Cin-TB: Feldman 5-9; Odorizzi 5-7

Pitchers allowing a run in first inning:
National League
Wsh-Mia: Roark 6-14; Volquez 6-13
SF-Atl: Cueto 5-14; Dickey 5-13
Pitt-Mil: Cole 3-14; Garza 2-9
SD-Chi: Richard 3-14; Lester 5-14
NY-LA; Wheeler 5-12; Kershaw 4-14

American League
Clev-Balt: Kluber 1-9; Bundy 1-14
Tor-Tex: Estrada 6-14; Dirkx 1-2
Bos-KC: Velazquez 1-1; Hammel 1-13
Hst-A’s: Peacock 1-5; Gossett 0-1
Det-Sea: Sanchez 0-0; Gaviglio 2-6

Interleague
Cin-TB: Feldman 3-14; Odorizzi 5-12

_________________________

Umpires
National League

American League

Interleague

Interleague play
NL @ AL– 38-21 AL, favorites -$46
AL @ NL– 37-35 AL, favorites -$629
Total: 75-56 AL, favorites -$675

Totals in interleague games
NL @ AL: Over 37-26-1
AL @ NL: Over 41-26-2
Total: Over 78-52-3

Teams’ records in first five innings:
Team (road-home-total)- thru 6/18/17
Ariz 12-14-9……21-9–5…….32-23
Atl 15-16-4……10-19-4……..25-35
Cubs 13-18-1……16-14-5……..29-32
Reds 8-20-3……14-20–2………22-40
Colo 24-9-5…….18-14-2……….42-23
LA 15-16-4……22-11-2……….37-27
Miami 14-19-2…….18-10-4……..32-29
Milw 17-9-6…….18-15-6…….35-24
Mets 16-11-1……..17-21-2……33-32
Philly 9-21-6………9-17-5……18-38
Pitt 13-17-2…..13-17-7…….26-34
St. Louis 14-14-2……..20-10-6……..34-24
SD 8-22-5…….16-15–4………24-37
SF 8-24-7……..13-15-4……..24-39
Wash 25-10-2……17-12-3………..42-22

Orioles 11-19-4……..17-15-2………28-34
Boston 14-19-4………15-15-2…….29-34
White Sox 13-22-6……..14-11–2……..27-33
Cleveland 17-15-3……..15-14-3……..31-29
Detroit 14-16-4…….16-14-4……..30-30
Astros 15-10-6……..22-15-2…….37-25
KC 12-17-6………16-13-5…….28-30
Angels 12-18-6………17-13-6……29-31
Twins 17-8-3………13-19-6……..30-27
NYY 16-17-3……….20-9-1…..…36-26
A’s 10-19-4……..17-11-7……..27-30
Seattle 12-21-5……..17-12-4……..29-33
TB 16-12-8……..22-9-5……..38-21
Texas 17-10-5……..14-14-7………31-24
Toronto 12-18-2……..11-17-6……..23-34

%age of times teams score in first inning (road/home/total- 6/18/17)
Ariz 12-35……..15-35……….27
Atl 8-35……..8-33…………16
Cubs 9-33……..15-35………..24
Reds 12-31……..16-37………28
Colo 9-38……..9-34..……….18
LA 9-35……..14-34..…….23
Miami 13-35……..12-32………25
Milw 12-32……17-39…..…..29
Mets 11-28……..15-39……….26
Philly 12-37……..7-31…………19
Pitt 9-32……..12-37……….21
StL 9-31……..10-36………..19
SD 16-35……..10-35………..26
SF 8-42……..9-32………….17
Wash 14-37……..14-32………28

Orioles 4-34……..13-35……….17
Boston 12-37……..8-31……….20
White Sox 12-41…….9-27……….21
Clev 8-36……..11-32……….19
Detroit 7-34…….16-34………23
Astros 9-31……..17-39……….26
KC 5-35……..5-33…………10
Angels 15-37…….10-37………25
Twins 6-29……..10-39……..16
NYY 9-36……..12-31……….21
A’s 5-34……..11-36………16
Seattle 15-38…….13-33………28
TB 10-36……..18-36……..28
Texas 9-33……..15-35………24
Toronto 10-32……..7-36………..17
 
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MLB

Monday, June 19

Trend Report

7:05 PM
CLEVELAND vs. BALTIMORE
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Cleveland's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 12 of Cleveland's last 16 games when playing Baltimore
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Baltimore's last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Baltimore's last 5 games

7:10 PM
CINCINNATI vs. TAMPA BAY
Cincinnati is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
Cincinnati is 9-3 SU in its last 12 games when playing Tampa Bay
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Tampa Bay's last 11 games
Tampa Bay is 3-9 SU in its last 12 games when playing Cincinnati

7:10 PM
WASHINGTON vs. MIAMI
Washington is 11-3 SU in its last 14 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 14 of Washington's last 21 games when playing Miami
The total has gone UNDER in 14 of Miami's last 21 games when playing Washington
Miami is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

7:35 PM
SAN FRANCISCO vs. ATLANTA
The total has gone OVER in 6 of San Francisco's last 7 games
San Francisco is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Atlanta's last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Atlanta's last 8 games at home

7:40 PM
PITTSBURGH vs. MILWAUKEE
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Pittsburgh's last 5 games when playing Milwaukee
Pittsburgh is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing Milwaukee
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Milwaukee's last 5 games when playing Pittsburgh
Milwaukee is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games at home

8:05 PM
SAN DIEGO vs. CHI CUBS
The total has gone OVER in 6 of San Diego's last 8 games when playing on the road against Chi Cubs
San Diego is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
Chi Cubs are 2-6 SU in their last 8 games when playing at home against San Diego
The total has gone UNDER in 15 of Chi Cubs's last 23 games

8:05 PM
TORONTO vs. TEXAS
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Toronto's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Toronto's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Texas's last 10 games
Texas is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games

8:15 PM
BOSTON vs. KANSAS CITY
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Boston's last 8 games when playing on the road against Kansas City
Boston is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games when playing Kansas City
Kansas City is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games when playing Boston
The total has gone OVER in 10 of Kansas City's last 15 games when playing Boston

10:05 PM
HOUSTON vs. OAKLAND
Houston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Oakland
Houston is 15-8 SU in its last 23 games
Oakland is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Houston
Oakland is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games at home

10:10 PM
NY METS vs. LA DODGERS
NY Mets are 2-4 SU in their last 6 games when playing LA Dodgers
NY Mets are 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
LA Dodgers are 4-2 SU in their last 6 games when playing NY Mets
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of LA Dodgers's last 9 games when playing NY Mets

10:10 PM
DETROIT vs. SEATTLE
Detroit is 5-10 SU in its last 15 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Detroit's last 7 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Seattle's last 5 games at home
Seattle is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games at home
 
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MLB
Long Sheet

Monday, June 19

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

WASHINGTON (42 - 27) at MIAMI (30 - 37) - 7:10 PM
TANNER ROARK (R) vs. JUSTIN NICOLINO (L)
Top Trends for this game.
WASHINGTON is 8-13 (-13.0 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 this season.
WASHINGTON is 38-53 (-25.6 Units) against the money line in road games after a loss over the last 3 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 29-10 (+15.5 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
MIAMI is 35-44 (-18.8 Units) against the money line in home games in night games over the last 2 seasons.
MIAMI is 81-101 (-27.6 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
WASHINGTON is 2-1 (+0.4 Units) against MIAMI this season
2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+1.0 Units)

TANNER ROARK vs. MIAMI since 1997
ROARK is 5-7 when starting against MIAMI with an ERA of 4.01 and a WHIP of 1.297.
His team's record is 6-7 (-2.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 7-5. (+1.7 units)

JUSTIN NICOLINO vs. WASHINGTON since 1997
NICOLINO is 0-3 when starting against WASHINGTON with an ERA of 8.62 and a WHIP of 1.595.
His team's record is 0-3 (-3.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-2. (-1.4 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

SAN FRANCISCO (26 - 45) at ATLANTA (31 - 37) - 7:35 PM
JOHNNY CUETO (R) vs. R.A. DICKEY (R)
Top Trends for this game.
SAN FRANCISCO is 26-45 (-20.9 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 12-27 (-14.5 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 4-12 (-9.8 Units) against the money line in June games this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 74-83 (-22.4 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
SAN FRANCISCO is 16-30 (-17.1 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 6-14 (-10.9 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
ATLANTA is 16-9 (+10.3 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 215-193 (+36.3 Units) against the money line on the road when the total is 9 to 9.5 since 1997.
SAN FRANCISCO is 201-149 (+42.0 Units) against the money line when playing on Monday since 1997.
CUETO is 22-8 (+13.7 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
ATLANTA is 30-53 (-21.5 Units) against the money line in home games in night games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
SAN FRANCISCO is 2-1 (+0.9 Units) against ATLANTA this season
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+0.0 Units)

JOHNNY CUETO vs. ATLANTA since 1997
CUETO is 2-3 when starting against ATLANTA with an ERA of 3.58 and a WHIP of 1.232.
His team's record is 3-5 (-1.8 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-5. (-3.8 units)

R.A. DICKEY vs. SAN FRANCISCO since 1997
DICKEY is 2-2 when starting against SAN FRANCISCO with an ERA of 3.79 and a WHIP of 1.091.
His team's record is 3-3 (-0.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 3-2. (+1.0 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

PITTSBURGH (31 - 38) at MILWAUKEE (38 - 33) - 7:40 PM
GERRIT COLE (R) vs. MATT GARZA (R)
Top Trends for this game.
PITTSBURGH is 41-56 (-19.9 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 16-29 (-14.9 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
PITTSBURGH is 81-101 (-31.2 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 38-33 (+11.7 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
MILWAUKEE is 52-48 (+9.4 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 38-27 (+13.1 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 26-19 (+12.6 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
MILWAUKEE is 30-24 (+11.5 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
PITTSBURGH is 2-1 (+1.0 Units) against MILWAUKEE this season
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+2.0 Units)

GERRIT COLE vs. MILWAUKEE since 1997
COLE is 2-3 when starting against MILWAUKEE with an ERA of 3.60 and a WHIP of 1.280.
His team's record is 4-4 (-1.5 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 4-2. (+2.0 units)

MATT GARZA vs. PITTSBURGH since 1997
GARZA is 3-6 when starting against PITTSBURGH with an ERA of 4.14 and a WHIP of 1.539.
His team's record is 5-9 (-4.5 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 7-5. (+1.4 units)

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SAN DIEGO (28 - 42) at CHICAGO CUBS (34 - 34) - 8:05 PM
CLAYTON RICHARD (L) vs. JON LESTER (L)
Top Trends for this game.
LESTER is 91-37 (+33.9 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record since 1997. (Team's Record)
SAN DIEGO is 72-85 (+10.5 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO CUBS are 34-34 (-15.2 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
CHICAGO CUBS are 876-802 (-154.0 Units) against the money line in home games since 1997.
CHICAGO CUBS are 787-841 (-186.1 Units) against the money line after a win since 1997.
CHICAGO CUBS are 792-755 (-160.6 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
SAN DIEGO is 3-0 (+5.1 Units) against CHICAGO CUBS this season
3 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+3.0 Units)

CLAYTON RICHARD vs. CHICAGO CUBS since 1997
RICHARD is 2-1 when starting against CHICAGO CUBS with an ERA of 2.53 and a WHIP of 1.172.
His team's record is 2-1 (+1.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-3. (-3.1 units)

JON LESTER vs. SAN DIEGO since 1997
LESTER is 2-1 when starting against SAN DIEGO with an ERA of 2.96 and a WHIP of 1.110.
His team's record is 3-1 (+1.8 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 2-2. (-0.4 units)

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NY METS (31 - 37) at LA DODGERS (44 - 26) - 10:10 PM
ZACK WHEELER (R) vs. CLAYTON KERSHAW (L)
Top Trends for this game.
NY METS are 31-37 (-13.9 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
NY METS are 7-16 (-10.1 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
KERSHAW is 32-7 (+17.8 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
NY METS are 31-11 (+20.9 Units) against the money line when playing on Monday over the last 3 seasons.
LA DODGERS are 95-78 (-14.0 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

ZACK WHEELER vs. LA DODGERS since 1997
No recent starts.

CLAYTON KERSHAW vs. NY METS since 1997
KERSHAW is 8-1 when starting against NY METS with an ERA of 1.49 and a WHIP of 0.915.
His team's record is 11-2 (+6.9 units) in these starts. The OVER is 3-10. (-7.1 units)

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CLEVELAND (36 - 31) at BALTIMORE (34 - 34) - 7:05 PM
COREY KLUBER (R) vs. DYLAN BUNDY (R)
Top Trends for this game.
CLEVELAND is 23-32 (-19.8 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 18-23 (-15.8 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
BALTIMORE is 123-108 (+13.7 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 23-11 (+11.0 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
BALTIMORE is 20-6 (+13.4 Units) against the money line in home games in June games over the last 2 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 17-6 (+10.4 Units) against the money line in home games in night games this season.
BALTIMORE is 17-7 (+9.1 Units) against the money line in home games against right-handed starters this season.
BALTIMORE is 15-6 (+8.8 Units) against the money line in home games after a win this season.
CLEVELAND is 31-13 (+14.9 Units) against the money line in June games over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 103-78 (+40.3 Units) against the money line in road games when playing on Monday since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

COREY KLUBER vs. BALTIMORE since 1997
KLUBER is 1-1 when starting against BALTIMORE with an ERA of 3.51 and a WHIP of 1.230.
His team's record is 2-3 (-1.6 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 3-2. (+0.4 units)

DYLAN BUNDY vs. CLEVELAND since 1997
BUNDY is 1-0 when starting against CLEVELAND with an ERA of 0.00 and a WHIP of 1.000.
His team's record is 1-0 (+1.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-1. (-1.0 units)

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TORONTO (33 - 35) at TEXAS (34 - 34) - 8:05 PM
MARCO ESTRADA (R) vs. AUSTIN BIBENS-DIRKX (R)
Top Trends for this game.
TORONTO is 18-25 (-11.5 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
TEXAS is 129-104 (+28.3 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
TEXAS is 35-19 (+16.7 Units) against the money line at home when the money line is +125 to -125 over the last 2 seasons.
TEXAS is 73-45 (+18.8 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons.
TEXAS is 28-14 (+17.4 Units) against the money line in June games over the last 2 seasons.
TEXAS is 94-72 (+24.6 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
TEXAS is 99-77 (+23.3 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
TEXAS is 93-85 (+17.6 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
TORONTO is 2-1 (+0.3 Units) against TEXAS this season
2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+0.8 Units)

MARCO ESTRADA vs. TEXAS since 1997
ESTRADA is 4-1 when starting against TEXAS with an ERA of 2.02 and a WHIP of 0.828.
His team's record is 5-2 (+3.3 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-5. (-3.3 units)

AUSTIN BIBENS-DIRKX vs. TORONTO since 1997
No recent starts.

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BOSTON (39 - 30) at KANSAS CITY (33 - 35) - 8:15 PM
HECTOR VELAZQUEZ (R) vs. JASON HAMMEL (R)
Top Trends for this game.
BOSTON is 668-601 (-81.0 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 since 1997.
KANSAS CITY is 220-188 (+30.9 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 3 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 67-47 (+19.3 Units) against the money line at home when the money line is +125 to -125 over the last 3 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 122-81 (+30.5 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 3 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 11-5 (+8.1 Units) against the money line in June games this season.
KANSAS CITY is 90-61 (+19.2 Units) against the money line in home games in night games over the last 3 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 50-31 (+18.5 Units) against the money line in home games against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 61-53 (+12.1 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 21-15 (+10.6 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
HAMMEL is 74-65 (+17.2 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997. (Team's Record)
KANSAS CITY is 268-388 (-111.4 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 9 to 9.5 since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

HECTOR VELAZQUEZ vs. KANSAS CITY since 1997
No recent starts.

JASON HAMMEL vs. BOSTON since 1997
HAMMEL is 1-3 when starting against BOSTON with an ERA of 5.04 and a WHIP of 1.517.
His team's record is 2-4 (-1.5 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 3-3. (-0.5 units)

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HOUSTON (46 - 24) at OAKLAND (31 - 38) - 10:05 PM
BRAD PEACOCK (R) vs. DANIEL GOSSETT (R)
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
HOUSTON is 4-1 (+2.5 Units) against OAKLAND this season
4 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+2.9 Units)

BRAD PEACOCK vs. OAKLAND since 1997
PEACOCK is 1-4 when starting against OAKLAND with an ERA of 5.00 and a WHIP of 1.578.
His team's record is 2-7 (-3.7 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 5-4. (+1.0 units)

DANIEL GOSSETT vs. HOUSTON since 1997
No recent starts.

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DETROIT (32 - 36) at SEATTLE (34 - 37) - 10:10 PM
ANIBAL SANCHEZ (R) vs. SAM GAVIGLIO (R)
Top Trends for this game.
DETROIT is 324-410 (-90.6 Units) against the money line on the road when the money line is +125 to -125 since 1997.
SANCHEZ is 2-12 (-10.6 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
SEATTLE is 40-44 (-23.3 Units) against the money line as a home favorite of -125 to -175 over the last 3 seasons.
SEATTLE is 611-562 (-94.6 Units) against the money line in home games in night games since 1997.
SEATTLE is 90-104 (-28.4 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 3 seasons.
SEATTLE is 790-714 (-105.6 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
SEATTLE is 2-1 (+1.0 Units) against DETROIT this season
2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+1.0 Units)

ANIBAL SANCHEZ vs. SEATTLE since 1997
SANCHEZ is 2-0 when starting against SEATTLE with an ERA of 3.55 and a WHIP of 1.421.
His team's record is 3-1 (+1.9 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-1. (+1.0 units)

SAM GAVIGLIO vs. DETROIT since 1997
No recent starts.

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CINCINNATI (29 - 39) at TAMPA BAY (37 - 35) - 7:10 PM
SCOTT FELDMAN (R) vs. JAKE ODORIZZI (R)
Top Trends for this game.
FELDMAN is 84-113 (-36.6 Units) against the money line in all games since 1997. (Team's Record)
FELDMAN is 2-11 (-9.9 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
FELDMAN is 27-60 (-32.7 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997. (Team's Record)
TAMPA BAY is 29-19 (+10.5 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
TAMPA BAY is 105-129 (-28.7 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 15-30 (-16.4 Units) against the money line when playing on Monday over the last 3 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 65-84 (-22.9 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

SCOTT FELDMAN vs. TAMPA BAY since 1997
FELDMAN is 3-2 when starting against TAMPA BAY with an ERA of 2.44 and a WHIP of 1.128.
His team's record is 4-3 (+1.4 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 7-0. (+7.0 units)

JAKE ODORIZZI vs. CINCINNATI since 1997
No recent starts.
 
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MLB Daily Line Drive: Monday's picks, betting odds and analysis


Double-Play Picks

New York Mets at Los Angeles Dodgers (-300, 7)

The New York Mets are headed west and will open a tough four-game series in Los Angeles against the Dodgers on Monday night. The Mets are coming off losing three-of-four to the Washington Nationals while the Dodgers are fresh off a three-game sweep of the Cincinnati Reds and have won nine of their last 10 games overall.

The Mets will send Zack Wheeler to the mound and he hasn't been great this season. In his last start, at home against the Chicago Cubs, Wheeler was lit up by a struggling Cubs' offense to the tune of eight earned runs over 1.2 innings of work. I'm sure the Dodgers have seen the tape of that start and will be looking to do similar things at the plate tonight.

The Dodgers will counter with Clayton Kershaw...he's pretty good. Kershaw is doing his usual dominant things in 2017 with a team win/loss record of 12-2, ERA of 2.23, and a WHIP of 0.92.

Kershaw gets the ball tonight against the National League team that he has dominated more than any other in his career. He has made 11 career starts against the Mets and he has held them to a team batting average of .181 and a team OPS of a ridiculous .477 - both numbers are Kershaw's lowest career stats against any other National League opponent.

The team win/loss results are the numbers that we are most interested in for the purpose of picking this game. In Kershaw's 11 career starts against the Mets he is 7-0 and the Dodgers own a team win/loss of 9-2 in those games. In those nine wins by the Dodgers they covered -1.5 each and every time.

Obviously, -300 is a ridiculous moneyline and we would never suggest you lay that sort of chalk - but if ever a game screams runline, this is the one.

Pick: Dodgers -1.5 (-140)

Detroit Tigers at Seattle Mariners (-140, 9.5)

Just like the Mets, the Detroit Tigers are headed west for a four-game series against a tough opponent. The Tigers' west coast trip will start a little further north in Seattle against the Mariners. Detroit is struggling as losers of the final two games at home against the Tampa Bay Rays and losers of seven of their last 10 games overall. The Mariners return home to Safeco Field after a tough seven-game road trip and it must be nice to be back in Seattle where they own a tidy 20-13 record this season.

Rookie starter Sam Gaviglio gets the ball for the Mariners and he's off to a great start to his career. The M's own a team win/loss of 5-1 in his six career starts, including 3-0 at home with a very impressive 1.12 ERA.

The real factor in this game that left us giddy with excitement is the return to the starting pitcher ranks of the Tigers' Anibal Sanchez. One of our favorite fades from last season has lost 18 of his last 24 starting assignments (most as favorites or slim underdogs) and will be making his 2017 starting pitching debut tonight in Seattle.

To be given this opportunity, Sanchez must be throwing really well out of the bullpen for the Tigers...wrong! In 11 relief appearances this season, Sanchez owns an ERA of 10.71, an opponent's on base percentage of .415, and a WHIP of 2.10. And his splits on the road are even worse at 13.94 ERA, .474 OBP, 2.61 WHIP.

We can't believe Sanchez is back!

Pick: Mariners -140

Yesterday's Picks: 1-1
Season To Date: 66-56-7

Streaking and Slumping Starting Pitchers

Streaking: Jason Hammel, Kansas City Royals (3-6, 5.05 ERA, $-584)

It's difficult to believe that Jason Hammel would make it into our Streaking Starter section of the article, but here we are. The pickings are slim today and we don't like to use starting pitchers who are involved in our picks (above).

Over his last three starts, Hammel is 2-0 with a very tidy 2.21 ERA and he has only surrendered one walk to go along with 15 strikeouts. This is the pitcher the Royals were expecting to get when they signed him in the offseason.

Hammel and the Royals are -110 at home against the Boston Red Sox.

Slumping: Marco Estrada, Toronto Blue Jays (4-5, 4.54, $-258)

Blue Jays' starter Marco Estrada throws more change-ups than any other pitcher in Major League Baseball and opposing hitters have finally started to notice. Hitters are sitting on his change-up and if he misses his spot it is being clubbed a very long way.

It's been a problem for most of this season, but over his last three outings Estrada has been particularly bad at 0-3 with an ERA of 12.08. Over those three starts he's only lasted a total of 12.2 innings but has allowed 28 hits, including four home runs.

Estrada and the Jays are -125 favorites on the road against the Texas Rangers today.

Monday's Top Trends

* Over is 12-2 in the Baltimore Orioles' last 14 games vs. a right-handed starter. Indians/Orioles Total: 9.
* The Miami Marlins are 1-11 in Justin Nicolino's last 12 starts vs. a team with a winning record. +100 today vs. Nationals.
* The San Francisco Giants are 18-5 in Johnny Cueto's last 23 starts vs. a team with a losing record. -135 today @ Braves.
* The Chicago Cubs are 21-5 in Jon Lester's last 26 home starts. -230 today vs. Padres.

Weather To Keep An Eye On

Rain and thunderstorms will likely be an issue today in Baltimore where the Orioles will welcome the Cleveland Indians. There is a 90-100 percent chance of rain this evening but will taper off after the t-storms move out late in the evening. Officials may just decide to push this one until Tuesday.

There is also a chance of thunderstorms developing in Atlanta for tonight's game between the Braves and the San Francisco Giants. It's looking like only a 45-50 percent chance of rain at SunTrust Park but the threat will remain all evening.

There isn't much in the way of wind across Major League Baseball on Monday, so we'll just take our daily look at Wrigley Field on the North Side of Chicago. Good news for the Rizzos and Schwarbers of the world as there will be a 7-10 mile per hour wind blowing out to right field tonight. The total for this evening's game against the visiting Padres has been set at 8.5.
 
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Scott Rickenbach
Jun 19 '17, 10:05 PM
MLB | HOU vs OAK
Play on: UNDER 9½ -120

Scott "The Bulldog" Rickenbach Monday MLB Free Pick UNDER the total in Oakland Athletics vs Houston Astros @ 10:05 ET - The Astros Brad Peacock has been a strikeout machine with 36 K's in the less than 23 innings spanning his 5 starts this season. That is significant here because only one team in the American League has more strikeouts than Oakland this season. Also, the A's are hitting just .242 against right-handed pitching this season and only 1 team in the AL has a lower batting average versus righties. Look for a stellar outing from Peacock here as the match-up is perfect. As for the Astros sticks, they could be a little worn out after they had the night game last night (and it went late) and then having to travel for this match-up the very next night at Oakland. I know the A's Daniel Gossett had a rough MLB debut but that was on the road at Miami. He now is at home at pitcher-friendly Oakland and he does has produced solid numbers throughout his minor league career and this includes at the highest level (AAA). I expect him to bounce back big after that rough debut versus the Marlins. The under is 5-1 in the Athletics Monday games this season. The under is 6-2 in Houston's Monday games this season. Look for more of the same here! Free Pick UNDER the total in Oakland Monday night. Best of luck, Scott "The Bulldog" Rickenbach
 
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Brad Diamond
Jun 19 '17, 7:05 PM
MLB | Indians vs Orioles
Play on: Indians -172 at 5Dimes

Cleveland (Kluber) over Baltimore (Bundy)

Cleveland travels to Baltimore on Monday after sweeping Minnesota (28-8) in a four-game road set, now winners of 5 straight overall. The Orioles have now won back-to-back games after smashing St. Louis again in Camden Yards. On the mound, the Indians bring RHP Kluber (5-2, 4.15), while Baltimore uses RHP Bundy (7-5, 3.29). Behind Kluber, Cleveland is 21-5 on grass and 7-0 in game #1 of a series. With the Indians having a more consistent road bullpen we'll back the visitor here. Good Luck.
 
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Rocky Atkinson
Jun 19 '17, 8:05 PM in 5h
MLB | Blue Jays vs Rangers
Play on: Rangers +114 at BMaker

Rocketman Sports FREE MLB play Monday 6-19-17 Toronto @ Texas 8:05 PM EST
Play On: Texas +114 (Estrada/Bibens-Dirkx) Listed The Toronto Blue Jays travel to Texas to take on the Rangers on Monday night. Toronto is 33-35 SU overall this year while Texas comes in with a 34-34 SU overall record on the season. Marco Estrada is 4-5 with a 4.54 ERA overall this year, 2-3 with a 4.15 ERA on the road this season and 0-3 with a 12.08 ERA his last 3 starts. Austin Bibens-Dirkx is 1-0 with a 3.08 ERA in his 2 starts this season. Toronto is scoring only 4.1 runs per game their past 7 games overall. Texas is scoring 5.7 runs per game their past 7 games overall. We'll recommend a small play on Texas tonight!
 
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Brandon Lee
Jun 19 '17, 7:10 PM
MLB | Nationals vs Marlins
Play on: Nationals -109 at BMaker

10* FREE MLB PICK (Nationals -109)

This is a great price to back Washington on the road against division rival Miami. The Nationals come in off a loss, but took 3 of 4 on the road against the Mets in the series. Washington is now an impressive 21-13 against division opponents this season and are also a solid 24-13 on the road. I believe we are getting some value here with the Nats because of the poor overall numbers for starter Tanner Roark, but he's a solid 3-1 with a 3.86 ERA in 6 road starts and has not allowed more than 2 earned runs in each of his last 4 starts against the Marlins. Miami will give the ball to Justin Nicolino, who is 0-3 with an 8.62 ERA in 3 career starts against the Nationals. Give me Washington -109!
 
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Ray Monohan
Jun 19 '17, 7:35 PM
MLB | SFO vs ATL
Play on: OVER 9½ +105

Giants vs. Braves Over 9.5

This play just missed out on our premium card. The San Francisco Giants and the Atlanta Braves face off on Monday night and with the two pitchers on the mound, the over has a ton of value. On the mound for the Giants is Johnny Cueto who's age seems to be catching up to him. He has a 5-6 record and an ERA of 4.57. In his last start he got rocked for ten hits and five runs including three home runs.

On the mound for the Braves is R.A. Dickey who's knuckleball just doesn't seem to work anymore. He has struggled all season and really struggles coming into this game. In his last start he went five innings and gave up eight hits and eight runs. Some trends to note. Over is 5-1 in Giants last 6 overall. Over is 4-1 in Braves last 5 overall.

Back the Over. Good Luck, Razor Ray.
 
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John Martin
Jun 19 '17, 8:05 PM
MLB | Blue Jays vs Rangers
Play on: Blue Jays -114 at BMaker

1 Unit Bonus Play on Toronto Blue Jays -114

Marco Estrada has been at his best on the road this season with a 4.15 ERA and 1.20 WHIP in seven starts. He has struck out 92 batters in 81 1/3 innings this season. Estrada is up against a team in the Rangers that he has owned throughout his career. He is 4-1 with a 2.02 ERA and 0.83 WHIP in seven starts against Texas. Austin Bibens-Dirkx is making just his third start of the season for the Rangers. He has struck out only 4 batters in 11 2/3 innings this year. Toronto is 11-2 when revenging a loss where they scored one or fewer runs this season. The Rangers are 6-20 in their last 26 vs. AL East teams. The Blue Jays are 13-4 in their last 17 meetings in Texas. Toronto is 5-1 in the last six meetings overall.
 
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Dave Price
Jun 19 '17, 8:05 PM
MLB | Padres vs Cubs
Play on: Cubs -1½ -105 at 5Dimes

Dave's Monday Bonus Play:

1* on Chicago Cubs -1.5 (-105)

The Key: The Chicago Cubs should have not problem winning by 2 runs or more against the San Diego Padres, who are just 11-24 on the road this season, hitting .225 and scoring 3.7 runs per game. The Padres are only hitting .224 and scoring 3.2 runs per game against left-handed starters. Lefty Jon Lester is 3-1 with a 2.65 ERA and 1.00 WHIP in 8 home starts this year. Lester is also 2-1 with a 2.96 ERA and 1.11 WHIP in 4 lifetime starts vs. San Diego. Lester's teams are 42-6 as a home favorite of -200 or more in his career, and his teams are winning by 3.2 runs per game on average in this situation. Take Chicago on the Run Line.
 

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