Monday 4/3/17 service plays chatter/comps/requests & other stuff...

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Monday's six-pack

Prop bets for tonight’s national championship game:

— points scored by Luke Maye: over/under 6.5

— points scored by Joel Berry: over/under 14.5

— points scored by Jonathan Williams: over/under 9.5

— points scored by Zach Collins: over/under 9.5

— points scored in first half by Gonzaga: over/under 36

— points scored in first half by North Carolina: over/under 36.5
 
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NCAAB
Dunkel

Monday, April 3


North Carolina @ Gonzaga

Game 601-602
April 3, 2017 @ 9:20 pm

Dunkel Rating:
North Carolina
77.449
Gonzaga
79.329
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Gonzaga
by 2
158
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
North Carolina
by 2
153 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Gonzaga
(+2); Over
 
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Long Sheet

Monday, April 3

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N CAROLINA (32 - 7) vs. GONZAGA (37 - 1) - 4/3/2017, 9:20 PM
Top Trends for this game.
N CAROLINA is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons.
N CAROLINA is 7-16 ATS (-10.6 Units) in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
GONZAGA is 23-10 ATS (+12.0 Units) in all games this season.
GONZAGA is 23-10 ATS (+12.0 Units) in all lined games this season.
GONZAGA is 58-38 ATS (+16.2 Units) as an underdog since 1997.
GONZAGA is 145-104 ATS (+30.6 Units) when playing with one or less days rest since 1997.
GONZAGA is 16-6 ATS (+9.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
N CAROLINA is 293-241 ATS (+27.9 Units) as a favorite since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
 
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NCAAB

Monday, April 3

Trend Report

9:20 PM
GONZAGA vs. NORTH CAROLINA
No trends available
North Carolina is 2-3-1 ATS in its last 6 games
North Carolina is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
 
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NCAAB

Monday, April 3

Last three national title games had similar small spreads to tonight; underdogs won all three. North Carolina lost the national title game at the buzzer last year; they’ve waited a year for tonight, but PG Berry has a bum ankle and isn’t near 100% (2-14 from floor vs Oregon, 6-26 in last two games). Tar Heels are 17-2 outside the ACC, losing to Indiana-Kentucky in December. Gonzaga’s only loss was to BYU at home on Senior Night; Bulldogs are 7-0 vs top 20 teams, with wins over Florida/Iowa St/Arizona- they’re #134 experience team that plays pace #77. Carolina is #107 experience team that plays pace #42. UNC is #1 offensive rebounding team in country (41.7% of their misses) but Zags are #47 in country on defensive boards. My pick? North Carolina by 5 and the over.
 
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NCAAB

Monday, April 3

NCAA Tournament Championship Game betting preview and odds: Gonzaga vs North Carolina

"37 wins in a college season, I mean that's just unbelievable. And to be playing the last game of the season, we have a chance to play for it all and we're here to win it."

(1) Gonzaga Bulldogs vs (1) North Carolina Tar Heels (-1.5, 153.5)

Game to be played at University of Phoenix Stadium in Glendale, Arizona.

Gonzaga is in uncharted territory while North Carolina aims to make up for last season's NCAA championship game loss when the two No. 1 seeds collide on Monday in Glendale, Ariz. The Bulldogs are in the title game for the first time in school history while the Tar Heels, who lost to Villanova last season, are looking to win their sixth national crown.

North Carolina suffered a 77-74 loss last season when Villanova's Kris Jenkins drained a 3-pointer at the buzzer and the players have been constantly reminded of the fact during their NCAA Tournament run. "I think you're always going to have that in the back of your mind because it was a heartbreaking experience for us," said senior center Kennedy Meeks, who matched his career high of 25 points and collected 14 rebounds in Saturday's 77-76 victory over Oregon. Gonzaga regularly hears a different refrain that suggests they aren't a championship-caliber squad due to playing in the middling West Coast Conference. "I think the respect thing has to go out the window," junior point guard Nigel Williams-Goss said after scoring 23 points in Saturday's 77-73 win over South Carolina. "You have 37 wins in a college season, I mean that's just unbelievable. And to be playing the last game of the season, we have a chance to play for it all and we're here to win it."

TV: 9:20 p.m. ET, CBS

LINE HISTORY: North Carolina opened as two-point favorites but that line was quickly adjusted downward to 1.5 late Saturday night. The total hit the board at 153.5 and has yet to move.

WHAT BOOKS SAY: "Gonzaga defined the ‘Cinderella’ mantra of college basketball, and it will always be the first to wear the glass slipper,” Cooley said. “But that doesn’t change the fact that to the public, the Zags appear overmatched against the greatest program of all time. We anticipate action on the over, but hopefully the public action will be split on the spread." - Scott Cooley, odds consultant for offshore sportsbook Bookmaker.eu.

ABOUT GONZAGA (37-1 SU, 23-10-2 ATS, 17-18 O/U): Backup freshman center Zach Collins displayed why he is the program's top NBA prospect by contributing 14 points, 13 rebounds and a career-best six blocked shots versus South Carolina. The trio of Collins (averages of 10 points and 5.9 rebounds), senior center Przemek Karnowski (12.3 points, 5.8 rebounds) and junior power forward Johnathan Williams (10.2 points, team-best 6.5 boards) will be counted on to neutralize North Carolina's strong interior play. Williams-Goss (team-best 16.9 points), senior shooting guard Jordan Mathews (10.8 points, team-leading 83 3-pointers) and sophomore guard Josh Perkins (eight points per game) have combined for 130 of the Bulldogs' 263 steals.

ABOUT NORTH CAROLINA (32-7 SU, 18-16-3 ATS, 15-21-1 O/U): Meeks has been a beast on the boards with a 13.3 rebounding average over the past four games and he is averaging 12.7 points and a team-leading 9.4 rebounds and is a big reason why the Tar Heels boast the best rebounding margin (12.7) in the country. Junior forward Justin Jackson leads the Tar Heels in scoring (18.3) and 3-pointers (105) and he has recorded three 20-point outings in the tourney, including 22 points against Oregon. Junior point guard Joel Berry II (14.5 points) is playing through two sprained ankles - he was just 2-of-14 shooting against the Ducks - while senior forward Isaiah Hicks (11.8) also averages in double digits.

TRENDS:

* Bulldogs are 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 NCAA Tournament games.
* Tar Heels are 0-3-1 ATS in their last 4 games as a favorite of 0.5-6.5.
* Under is 10-1 in Bulldogs last 11 games as an underdog of 0.5-6.5.
* Over is 6-1 in Tar Heels last 7 NCAA Tournament games as a favorite of 0.5-6.5.

CONSENSUS: 58 percent of users are taking the points with the Gonzaga Bulldogs and the Over is picking up 69 percent of the totals wagers.
 
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Long Sheet

Monday, April 3

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MIAMI (79 - 82) at WASHINGTON (97 - 70) - 1:05 PM
EDINSON VOLQUEZ (R) vs. STEPHEN STRASBURG (R)
Top Trends for this game.
MIAMI is 57-70 (-20.2 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
VOLQUEZ is 42-30 (+12.2 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
VOLQUEZ is 41-26 (+15.2 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

EDINSON VOLQUEZ vs. WASHINGTON since 1997
VOLQUEZ is 2-3 when starting against WASHINGTON with an ERA of 4.24 and a WHIP of 1.265.
His team's record is 3-4 (-1.9 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 4-3. (+0.6 units)

STEPHEN STRASBURG vs. MIAMI since 1997
STRASBURG is 12-7 when starting against MIAMI with an ERA of 3.51 and a WHIP of 1.147.
His team's record is 16-9 (+0.2 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 12-12. (-2.3 units)

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ATLANTA (68 - 93) at NY METS (87 - 76) - 1:10 PM
JULIO TEHERAN (R) vs. NOAH SYNDERGAARD (R)
Top Trends for this game.
NY METS are 25-10 (+15.9 Units) against the money line when playing on Monday over the last 3 seasons.
ATLANTA is 37-43 (+17.7 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 19-18 (+12.4 Units) against the money line in road games against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 37-44 (+16.7 Units) against the money line in road games in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 29-26 (+20.3 Units) against the money line in road games against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
NY METS are 18-21 (-16.3 Units) against the money line in home games against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

JULIO TEHERAN vs. NY METS since 1997
TEHERAN is 7-3 when starting against NY METS with an ERA of 2.02 and a WHIP of 0.989.
His team's record is 8-6 (+1.6 units) in these starts. The OVER is 5-9. (-4.5 units)

NOAH SYNDERGAARD vs. ATLANTA since 1997
SYNDERGAARD is 0-1 when starting against ATLANTA with an ERA of 5.52 and a WHIP of 1.500.
His team's record is 1-2 (-2.8 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 0-3. (-3.4 units)

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COLORADO (75 - 87) at MILWAUKEE (73 - 89) - 2:10 PM
JON GRAY (R) vs. JUNIOR GUERRA (R)
Top Trends for this game.
COLORADO is 191-282 (-65.9 Units) against the money line as a road underdog of +100 to +125 since 1997.
COLORADO is 633-994 (-189.0 Units) against the money line in road games since 1997.
COLORADO is 577-914 (-172.0 Units) against the money line in road games in games played on a grass field since 1997.
GRAY is 3-16 (-13.3 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
GRAY is 3-16 (-13.3 Units) against the money line in road games in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
GUERRA is 14-6 (+11.4 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
GUERRA is 14-6 (+11.4 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
COLORADO is 58-50 (+17.1 Units) against the money line in day games over the last 3 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 13-32 (-18.9 Units) against the money line in April games over the last 3 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 92-144 (-40.2 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

JON GRAY vs. MILWAUKEE since 1997
GRAY is 0-0 when starting against MILWAUKEE with an ERA of 3.00 and a WHIP of 1.167.
His team's record is 0-1 (-1.2 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 0-1. (-1.2 units)

JUNIOR GUERRA vs. COLORADO since 1997
No recent starts.

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SAN DIEGO (68 - 94) at LA DODGERS (96 - 77) - 4:10 PM
JHOULYS CHACIN (R) vs. CLAYTON KERSHAW (L)
Top Trends for this game.
SAN DIEGO is 48-75 (-29.6 Units) against the money line when the total is 7 or less over the last 3 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 32-64 (-28.5 Units) against the money line in day games over the last 3 seasons.
KERSHAW is 59-22 (+27.3 Units) against the money line in day games since 1997. (Team's Record)
LA DODGERS are 190-150 (-21.0 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 3 seasons.
LA DODGERS are 187-148 (-22.7 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

JHOULYS CHACIN vs. LA DODGERS since 1997
CHACIN is 9-7 when starting against LA DODGERS with an ERA of 3.92 and a WHIP of 1.526.
His team's record is 12-7 (+4.9 units) in these starts. The OVER is 10-9. (+0.0 units)

CLAYTON KERSHAW vs. SAN DIEGO since 1997
KERSHAW is 14-6 when starting against SAN DIEGO with an ERA of 2.05 and a WHIP of 1.030.
His team's record is 21-8 (+5.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 16-13. (+2.6 units)

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PHILADELPHIA (71 - 91) at CINCINNATI (68 - 94) - 4:10 PM
JEREMY HELLICKSON (R) vs. SCOTT FELDMAN (R)
Top Trends for this game.
PHILADELPHIA is 198-189 (+33.4 Units) against the money line as a road underdog of +100 to +125 since 1997.
FELDMAN is 39-54 (-26.7 Units) against the money line in home games since 1997. (Team's Record)
FELDMAN is 12-20 (-15.8 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 9 to 9.5 since 1997. (Team's Record)
FELDMAN is 39-54 (-26.7 Units) against the money line in home games in games played on a grass field since 1997. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

JEREMY HELLICKSON vs. CINCINNATI since 1997
HELLICKSON is 1-1 when starting against CINCINNATI with an ERA of 1.42 and a WHIP of 0.895.
His team's record is 1-2 (-1.3 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 2-1. (+0.9 units)

SCOTT FELDMAN vs. PHILADELPHIA since 1997
No recent starts.

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DETROIT (86 - 75) at CHI WHITE SOX (78 - 84) - 4:10 PM
JUSTIN VERLANDER (R) vs. JOSE QUINTANA (L)
Top Trends for this game.
DETROIT is 86-75 (+11.1 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 18-9 (+12.9 Units) against the money line in road games in day games over the last 2 seasons.
CHI WHITE SOX are 64-88 (-30.0 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

JUSTIN VERLANDER vs. CHI WHITE SOX since 1997
VERLANDER is 19-13 when starting against CHI WHITE SOX with an ERA of 3.97 and a WHIP of 1.190.
His team's record is 23-16 (+0.3 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 20-17. (+0.5 units)

JOSE QUINTANA vs. DETROIT since 1997
QUINTANA is 5-4 when starting against DETROIT with an ERA of 4.08 and a WHIP of 1.396.
His team's record is 9-8 (+3.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 8-7. (+0.3 units)

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SEATTLE (86 - 76) at HOUSTON (84 - 78) - 8:10 PM
FELIX HERNANDEZ (R) vs. DALLAS KEUCHEL (L)
Top Trends for this game.
SEATTLE is 46-61 (-20.4 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 3 seasons.
SEATTLE is 46-67 (-25.7 Units) against the money line against left-handed starters over the last 3 seasons.
SEATTLE is 128-114 (+30.3 Units) against the money line in road games in April games since 1997.
HOUSTON is 7-17 (-13.5 Units) against the money line in April games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

FELIX HERNANDEZ vs. HOUSTON since 1997
HERNANDEZ is 3-5 when starting against HOUSTON with an ERA of 4.31 and a WHIP of 1.565.
His team's record is 4-6 (-5.3 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 3-6. (-3.6 units)

DALLAS KEUCHEL vs. SEATTLE since 1997
KEUCHEL is 5-5 when starting against SEATTLE with an ERA of 3.16 and a WHIP of 1.054.
His team's record is 5-6 (-1.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 6-5. (+1.0 units)

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TORONTO (94 - 77) at BALTIMORE (89 - 74) - 3:05 PM
MARCO ESTRADA (R) vs. KEVIN GAUSMAN (R)
Top Trends for this game.
BALTIMORE is 89-74 (+15.2 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 99-63 (+24.5 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 3 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 21-8 (+12.0 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 80-63 (+14.8 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 66-51 (+14.6 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

MARCO ESTRADA vs. BALTIMORE since 1997
ESTRADA is 4-1 when starting against BALTIMORE with an ERA of 3.17 and a WHIP of 1.097.
His team's record is 6-2 (+3.8 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 5-3. (+1.7 units)

KEVIN GAUSMAN vs. TORONTO since 1997
GAUSMAN is 2-3 when starting against TORONTO with an ERA of 4.58 and a WHIP of 1.398.
His team's record is 3-4 (-1.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 3-4. (-1.4 units)

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KANSAS CITY (81 - 81) at MINNESOTA (59 - 103) - 4:10 PM
DANNY DUFFY (L) vs. ERVIN SANTANA (R)
Top Trends for this game.
KANSAS CITY is 187-153 (+28.3 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 3 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 46-30 (+18.1 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 56-37 (+22.5 Units) against the money line in day games over the last 3 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 181-142 (+32.4 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 131-103 (+23.5 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 3 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 59-103 (-30.4 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 22-43 (-17.8 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 30-51 (-21.5 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 24-52 (-20.4 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 258-280 (-58.0 Units) against the money line in home games in day games since 1997.
MINNESOTA is 57-99 (-28.7 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
SANTANA is 8-22 (-14.5 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
SANTANA is 7-21 (-14.7 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

DANNY DUFFY vs. MINNESOTA since 1997
DUFFY is 5-1 when starting against MINNESOTA with an ERA of 2.81 and a WHIP of 1.336.
His team's record is 9-3 (+4.2 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 7-5. (+1.1 units)

ERVIN SANTANA vs. KANSAS CITY since 1997
SANTANA is 5-9 when starting against KANSAS CITY with an ERA of 4.68 and a WHIP of 1.357.
His team's record is 6-15 (-14.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 12-9. (+1.5 units)

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CLEVELAND (104 - 72) at TEXAS (95 - 70) - 7:05 PM
COREY KLUBER (R) vs. YU DARVISH (R)
Top Trends for this game.
KLUBER is 35-35 (-14.1 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
KLUBER is 1-9 (-11.3 Units) against the money line in April games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
KLUBER is 1-8 (-8.9 Units) against the money line when playing on Monday over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
TEXAS is 95-70 (+26.1 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
TEXAS is 64-47 (+27.1 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 3 seasons.
TEXAS is 53-30 (+16.2 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons.
TEXAS is 93-64 (+29.6 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
TEXAS is 71-45 (+28.5 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
TEXAS is 73-50 (+23.2 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 55-25 (+24.6 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 101-75 (+42.0 Units) against the money line in road games when playing on Monday since 1997.
CLEVELAND is 74-43 (+19.5 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

COREY KLUBER vs. TEXAS since 1997
KLUBER is 2-1 when starting against TEXAS with an ERA of 3.67 and a WHIP of 1.185.
His team's record is 3-1 (+1.5 units) in these starts. The OVER is 3-1. (+1.9 units)

YU DARVISH vs. CLEVELAND since 1997
DARVISH is 1-2 when starting against CLEVELAND with an ERA of 3.12 and a WHIP of 1.346.
His team's record is 1-3 (-3.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 2-1. (+1.0 units)

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LA ANGELS (74 - 88) at OAKLAND (69 - 93) - 10:05 PM
RICKY NOLASCO (R) vs. KENDALL GRAVEMAN (R)
Top Trends for this game.
LA ANGELS are 820-820 (+57.1 Units) against the money line in road games since 1997.
LA ANGELS are 690-699 (+44.0 Units) against the money line in road games in games played on a grass field since 1997.
NOLASCO is 77-69 (+27.3 Units) against the money line in road games since 1997. (Team's Record)
NOLASCO is 73-67 (+23.5 Units) against the money line in road games in games played on a grass field since 1997. (Team's Record)
NOLASCO is 59-42 (+31.8 Units) against the money line in road games in night games since 1997. (Team's Record)
OAKLAND is 137-187 (-44.3 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 3 seasons.
OAKLAND is 68-94 (-36.8 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 3 seasons.
OAKLAND is 13-24 (-12.3 Units) against the money line in home games against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
OAKLAND is 132-179 (-42.3 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.
OAKLAND is 45-62 (-24.6 Units) against the money line in home games against right-handed starters over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

RICKY NOLASCO vs. OAKLAND since 1997
NOLASCO is 3-2 when starting against OAKLAND with an ERA of 3.38 and a WHIP of 0.958.
His team's record is 4-3 (+0.8 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 3-4. (-1.6 units)

KENDALL GRAVEMAN vs. LA ANGELS since 1997
GRAVEMAN is 1-1 when starting against LA ANGELS with an ERA of 3.37 and a WHIP of 1.240.
His team's record is 3-3 (+1.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 4-2. (+2.0 units)

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PITTSBURGH (78 - 83) at BOSTON (93 - 72) - 2:05 PM
GERRIT COLE (R) vs. RICK PORCELLO (R)
Top Trends for this game.
PITTSBURGH is 58-74 (-28.1 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
COLE is 8-13 (-11.0 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
COLE is 8-13 (-11.0 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
PORCELLO is 25-9 (+13.4 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
PORCELLO is 15-1 (+13.5 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
PORCELLO is 15-1 (+13.5 Units) against the money line in home games in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
BOSTON is 654-590 (-83.9 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 since 1997.
BOSTON is 15-18 (-11.3 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

GERRIT COLE vs. BOSTON since 1997
COLE is 1-0 when starting against BOSTON with an ERA of 2.57 and a WHIP of 0.857.
His team's record is 1-0 (+1.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-0. (+1.0 units)

RICK PORCELLO vs. PITTSBURGH since 1997
PORCELLO is 2-0 when starting against PITTSBURGH with an ERA of 0.39 and a WHIP of 0.609.
His team's record is 2-1 (+0.5 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-3. (-3.2 units)
 
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MLB

Monday, April 3

Trend Report

1:05 PM
MIAMI vs. WASHINGTON
Miami is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Miami's last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 12 of Washington's last 18 games when playing Miami
Washington is 8-4 SU in its last 12 games when playing at home against Miami

1:10 PM
ATLANTA vs. NY METS
Atlanta is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Atlanta's last 5 games
NY Mets are 15-8 SU in its last 23 games at home
NY Mets are 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Atlanta

2:05 PM
PITTSBURGH vs. BOSTON
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Pittsburgh's last 5 games on the road
Pittsburgh is 1-7-1 SU in its last 9 games ,
Boston is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing Pittsburgh
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Boston's last 8 games when playing Pittsburgh

2:10 PM
COLORADO vs. MILWAUKEE
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Colorado's last 13 games when playing on the road against Milwaukee
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Colorado's last 10 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Milwaukee's last 13 games when playing at home against Colorado
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Milwaukee's last 6 games when playing Colorado

3:05 PM
TORONTO vs. BALTIMORE
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Toronto's last 5 games when playing on the road against Baltimore
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Toronto's last 13 games on the road
Baltimore is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games
The total has gone UNDER in 14 of Baltimore's last 16 games

4:10 PM
PHILADELPHIA vs. CINCINNATI
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Philadelphia's last 12 games
Philadelphia is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Cincinnati's last 5 games at home
Cincinnati is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games at home

4:10 PM
SAN DIEGO vs. LA DODGERS
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of San Diego's last 5 games when playing on the road against LA Dodgers
San Diego is 1-5 SU in their last 6 games when playing on the road against LA Dodgers
LA Dodgers are 2-4 SU in their last 6 games
LA Dodgers are 17-8 SU in their last 25 games when playing San Diego

4:10 PM
DETROIT vs. CHI WHITE SOX
Detroit is 4-2 SU in their last 6 games when playing Chi White Sox
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Detroit's last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 10 of Chi White Sox's last 14 games
Chi White Sox are 4-1 SU in their last 5 games when playing at home against Detroit

4:10 PM
KANSAS CITY vs. MINNESOTA
The total has gone OVER in 10 of Kansas City's last 14 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Kansas City's last 6 games when playing Minnesota
Minnesota is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Minnesota's last 8 games at home

7:05 PM
CLEVELAND vs. TEXAS
Cleveland is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Texas
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Cleveland's last 8 games on the road
Texas is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Cleveland
Texas is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games at home

8:10 PM
SEATTLE vs. HOUSTON
Seattle is 4-9 SU in its last 13 games when playing Houston
Seattle is 16-8 SU in its last 24 games
Houston is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Seattle
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Houston's last 6 games at home

10:05 PM
LA ANGELS vs. OAKLAND
The total has gone OVER in 10 of LA Angels's last 13 games when playing Oakland
LA Angels are 7-3 SU in their last 10 games when playing Oakland
Oakland is 3-10 SU in its last 13 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Oakland's last 7 games at home
 
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MLB

Monday, April 3

National League
Braves @ Mets
Teheran is 2-0, 3.50 in his last three starts; over is 8-2 in his last ten starts.

Syndegaard is 5-2, 2.55 in his last eight starts; six of his last nine starts went over.

Marlins @ Nationals
Volquez was 0-1, 7.99 in his last seven starts for the Royals LY (over 5-1-1).

Strasburg was 0-3, 12.86 in his last four starts LY, after Washington won 19 of his first 21 starts. Over is 4-0-1 in his last five starts.

Rockies @ Brewers
Gray was 1-4, 6.14 in his last five starts LY. Seven of his last ten starts went over.

Guerra was 3-1, 2.45 in his last six starts LY; under was 8-3 in his last 11 starts.

Padres @ Dodgers
Chacin was 1-0, 1.61 in his last four starts LY (under 3-1).

Kershaw was 1-1, 1.44 in his last four regular season starts LY. Under is 8-1-1 in his last ten starts.

Phillies @ Reds
Hellickson was 2-1, 2.74 in his last four starts LY; under is 3-1-1 in his last five starts.

Feldman was 1-2, 5.44 in five starts LY, only one of which was after April 24. Over was 3-1-1 in his starts LY.
——————————–

American League games
Blue Jays @ Orioles
Estrada is 1-0, 0.95 in his last three starts, all of which stayed under.

Gausman is 1-2, 5.49 in his last three starts; his last eight starts stayed under total.

Tigers @ White Sox
Verlander is 2-1, 0.98 in his last four starts; under is 15-3 in his last 18 starts.

Quintana is 2-2, 3.75 in his last four starts; his last seven starts all went over.

Royals @ Twins
Duffy is 1-2, 6.59 in his last seven starts, all of which went over the total.

Santana is 0-2, 3.10 in his last five starts; his last four starts stayed under the total.

Indians @ Rangers
Kluber is 3-0, 3.33 in his last four starts; under is 7-5-1 in his last thirteen starts.

Darvish was 2-1, 3.33 in his last four starts LY (under 3-1).

Mariners @ Astros
Hernandez was 0-3, 7.65 in his last four starts LY (under 3-1).

Keuchel is 2-0, 2.40 in his last two regular season starts; under is 6-2-1 in his last nine starts.

Angels @ A’s
Nolasco was 3-0, 0.43 in his last three starts LY; under was 8-1-1 in his last ten starts.

Graveman was 0-3, 4.71 in his last six starts LY. Under was 8-2 in his last ten starts.

__________________________

Interleague games
Pirates @ Red Sox
Cole was 0-4, 8.75 in his last five starts LY; over is 6-0-1 in his last seven starts.

Porcello was 8-1, 2.70 in his last 11 starts LY. Three of his last four starts stayed under.

______________________________

Record with this pitcher starting in 2016:
National League
Atl-NY— Teheran 10-20; Syndergaard 19-11
Mia-Wsh— Volquez (KC )17-17; Strasburg 19-5
Colo-Mil— Gray 12-17; Guerra 14-6
SD-LA— Chacin (Atl/LAA) 9-12; Kershaw 17-4
Phil-Cin— Hellickson 17-15; Feldman (Hst) 1-4

American League
Tor-Balt— Estrada 15-14; Gausman 14-16
Det-CWS— Verlander 20-14; Quintana 17-15
KC-Minn— Duffy 17-9; Santana 8-22
Clev-Tex— Kluber 20-12; Darvish 10-7
Sea-Hst— Hernandez 15-10; Keuchel 12-14
LAA-A’s— Nolasco 4-7; Graveman 14-17

Interleague
Pitt-Bos— Cole 8-13; Porcello 25-8

Teams’ records in first five innings:
Team (road-home-total)- thru 10/1/16
Arizona 28-41-11…..35-39-8…….63-79
Atlanta 29-40-11…..28-38-13……57-78
Cubs 42-27-11……48-24-10…..90-51
Reds 26-46-9……36-39-5…….62-85
Colo 30-37-14…..37-37-4……..67-74
LA 31-37-12……49-25-8…….79-62
Miami 32-35-11…..35-29-17…….67-64
Milw 29-43-10……41-29-10…..70-72
Mets 35-45-11……39-29-12……74-64
Philly 27-35-19…..30-35-15……57-70
Pitt 26-42-13…..43-29-9……69-70
St. Louis 37-37-7……31-36-13…….68-73
SD 24-51-7…..38-35-8……..62-86
SF 36-37-9…….40-23-16……76-60
Wash 40-24-17….32-25-23……71-49
Orioles 33-39-9…….40-34-8…….73-73
Boston 35-34-12……45-24-10…….80-58
White Sox 33-37-10…….42-33-7……..75-70
Cleveland 41-29-10……39-32-8……..80-61
Detroit 33-34-12…….35-38-5……..68-72
Astros 31-36-14…..36-34-8……..67-70
KC 29-40-13……34-30-15……63-70
Angels 33-41-7…….31-36-13…….64-77
Twins 30-40-14…….26-41-15…..56-81
NYY 27-44-9……36-33-14……..62-76
A’s 28-45-8……28-36-17……56-80
Seattle 40-30-11……37-29-13……77-59
Tampa Bay 30-35-14……35-36-12……65-71
Texas 29-40-12…….39-31-9……68-71
Toronto 47-27-6……..45-31-6……92-58

%age of times teams score in first inning (road/home/total)
Arizona 30-81……32-80…….62
Atlanta 26-80……18-80……..44
Cubs 29-80……28-81…….57
Reds 29-81……28-80……..57
Colo 16-81…….31-80……..47
LA 24-80…….30-81……54
Miami 25-80……25-80……50
Milw 17-80……30-81……47
Mets 21-80……28-81…….49
Philly 13-81……23-80…….36
Pitt 22-80…….28-81……50
StL 19-81…….18-80……37
SD 18-80…….29-81……47
SF 16-81……..21-80……37
Wash 34-81……30-80……64
Orioles 17-80…….21-81…….38
Boston 23-81……36-80……..59
White Sox 28-81…..29-80…….57
Cleveland 16-79……27-81……..43
Detroit 17-80……27-80………44
Astros 26-80…….26-81……..52
KC 25-81…… 22-80………47
Angels 29-81…….26-80……..55
Twins 20-80……32-81…….52
NYY 12-81…….30-80……..42
A’s 21-80…….16-81……..37
Seattle 23-81…….27-80…….49
Tampa Bay 24-80…..28-81…….52
Texas 23-81……23-80……46

Toronto 25-80……34-81…….59

Interleague play
NL @ AL– 81-67 AL, favorites -$1,460
AL @ NL– 82-76 AL, favorites -$872
Total: 163-142 AL, favorites -$2,332
Totals in interleague games
NL @ AL– Over 79-70-4
AL @ NL– Over 75-73-5
Total– Over 154-143-9
 
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Thirty need-to-know betting notes for 30 MLB teams

Mike Trout is great no doubt, but is he capable of carrying the Angels offense? We tell you that and 29 other need to know betting stats for the 2017 MLB season.

Anxious for the 2017 MLB regular season to finally arrive? So are we. As you shift your handicapping focus to the diamond, we provide 30 quick betting notes for each team in the big leagues.

American League East

Baltimore Orioles

Baltimore continues to play above average baseball despite having, what many say, is a below average pitching rotation on paper. That is why having a great manager is essential. Buck Showalter pushes the right buttons and certainly having one of the best bullpens in the game does not hurt either. Offensively, the team is stacked again as last season, the Orioles led the majors with 253 homers in 2016 and were third with a .443 slugging percentage.

Boston Red Sox

David Price's elbow issue is a concern. It is unknown if surgery will be required on his elbow, but this could be a lingering issue going forward. This has to be a concern although leaning on Chris Sale is a huge asset to have. The loss of David Ortiz cannot be overstated - his numbers were once again outstanding but his presence in the clubhouse will be equally missed. The weak spot of the team is in the bullpen despite having a big name in Craig Kimbrel as the closer.

New York Yankees

Matt Holliday is on the decline so he may not be the answer to fully fix the offense that is going to rely on a lot of youngsters - Brett Gardner and Jacoby Ellsbury are coming off very poor seasons. If the offense does not show much improvement, it could be a very long season based on a very average starting rotation. Masahiro Tanaka is a stud at the top but C.C. Sabathia, Michael Pineda and Luis Severino are tough to depend on after that.

Tampa Bay Rays

The Rays won just 68 games last season, their fewest since 2007 when they won 66. They made no big improvements so it is hard to envision any sort of major move to try and contend in the division. While they were near the top in home runs, they were near the bottom in runs scored while finished No. 27 in strikeouts. While the bullpen is getting the benefit of the doubt, the Rays ERA of 4.09 from the relievers was fifth worst in the American League.

Toronto Blue Jays

Toronto has made the playoffs each of the last two seasons, after an over two-decade drought, and should contend in the American League East once again. The offense remains potent with Josh Donaldson, Troy Tulowitzki and Jose Bautista leading the charge and the defense is pretty solid as well. The starting rotation is young and talented and the departure of R.A. Dickey is a big positive as his four years in Toronto were a major bust.


National League East

Atlanta Braves

The Braves will have one of the best prospects in Dansby Swanson for 162 games. Bartolo Colon, Jaime Garcia and R.A. Dickey come over to make this rotation tougher especially if Julio Teheran takes the next step. Freddie Freeman hit over .300 last season and has decent protection in Matt Kemp and Brandon Phillips who came over from Cincinnati.

Miami Marlins

Who is the Marlins ace? They have a bunch of 2's and 3's in Wei-Yin Chen, Edinson Volquez, Adam Conley and Jeff Locke. The unfortunate passing of Jose Fernandez means this rotation just doesn't have a lockdown starter. Giancarlo Stanton missed a chunk of the season last year so his lack of durability comes into play again.

New York Mets

Matt Harvey regressed last season and posted a weak 4.86 ERA. Injuries can also derail this rotation with several starters missing time last season. David Wright is already banged up, while Jay Bruce and Michael Conforto aren't exactly entering 2017 with a ton of momentum after struggling in 2016.

Philadelphia Phillies

The additions are not enough to fix an offense that scored only 610 runs last year which was by far the fewest in the entire league. They hit .230 at home which was the worst in the team's history. Vincent Velasquez is coming off an injury and new addition Clay Buchholz had a 4.78 ERA for Boston in 21 starts last season. This team may sell a few more veterans around the trading deadline if they aren't contending.

Washington Nationals

You know you have an extremely deep starting rotation when, the very talented Gio Gonzalez is your fourth starter. Max Scherzer and Stephen Strasburg went 35-11 in 2016 and Joe Ross was a very pleasant surprise. The lineup scored almost 800 runs last year and may get close to that again in 2017 with Adam Eaton setting the table for the likes of Bryce Harper, Daniel Murphy and Anthony Rendon.


American League Central

Chicago White Sox

Chicago looks to be in full rebuilding mode as it traded Chris Sale as well as Adam Eaton for prospects. The future looks bright with some of the young stars it gained but that could be a couple years off. Even if the starting rotation is doing well, the bullpen will not be much of a help as shipping some of those veteran started by the deadline is likely no matter how good or bad it is looking.

Cleveland Indians

The meltdown in the Fall Classic was tough to see and the Indians hope there is no lingering effects from that. As a whole, the league is better but the division is weaker so they are a big favorite to win and their numbers are overinflated because of it. Cleveland got some key acquisitions but it also lost some important role players and right now the rotation is not close to 100 percent.

Detroit Tigers

The Tigers made a recovery last season after winning just 74 games in 2015. They made no big offseason acquisitions but they also did not lose much so there should be no drastic fall. This team is loaded with veterans that know how to win and they will be hungry after missing the playoffs the last two seasons. Detroit also benefits from the three teams below them likely not improving.

Kansas City Royals

Kansas City won 14 fewer games than it did in its 2015 World Series season and based on the win total, people are expected more of a dropoff. There is plenty of motivation for the Royals to get back to the top and while the death of Yordano Ventura was a horrible tragedy, they will use that as a bonding tool. Kansas City added some talent in needed positions.

Minnesota Twins

Minnesota went from 83 wins to 59 wins and it was the only 100-loss team in baseball so things cannot get much worse. The win total seems high but this team is much better than what transpired last season. The Twins are young but those youngsters are talented and if they can get some consistency with the starting rotation, they could be a pleasant surprise but contending in the division will not happen.


National League Central

Chicago Cubs

Kyle Schwarber is healthy and that means more hits and runs for an already powerful Cubs' offensive lineup. He has an on-base percentage of .408 for his career. Wade Davis is a solid closer to replace Aroldis Chapman in the bullpen. Davis had a 1.87 ERA last year for Kansas City. Jon Lester, Kyle Hendricks and Jake Arrieta provide a potent top-3 in the starting rotation. Joe Maddon is an excellent manager that will keep this team humble and motivated.

Cincinnati Reds

The Reds' rotation is going to be awful as Dan Straily was traded, plus both Homer Bailey and Anthony DeSclafani are currently injured. The bullpen was terrible last year as they led the majors in home runs, walks and runs allowed. Cincinnati will likely be a seller once the trade deadline approaches.

Milwaukee Brewers

Ryan Braun is a star and his surgically repaired back allowed him to play 135 games last year. Jonathan Villar led the league in stolen bases with 62. The Brewers became the fourth team in MLB history to hit 180 home runs and steal 180 bases last season. Craig Counsell is a solid manager that will keep his team competing hard all year.

Pittsburgh Pirates

Behind Gerrit Cole in the rotation is Ivan Nova and some youngsters who are very unproven. Steven Brault, Chad Kuhl and Jameson Taillon are highly touted prospects, but they went just 10-11 combined last season. Daniel Hudson was acquired for the bullpen, but he had a poor 5.22 ERA last year. Pittsburgh might become sellers at the trade deadline if they are not in the playoff race.

St. Louis Cardinals

Alex Reyes undergoing Tommy John surgery weakens the rotation as he will not be available this year. Michael Wacha and Adam Wainwright are coming off poor performances last season. The Cardinals are also an aging team at some key positions. Matt Holliday and Brandon Moss combined for 48 home runs last season, but they have both departed.


American League West

Houston Astros

While the Astros' rotation is prime for a resurgence, last season has to be a concern. Dallas Keuchel went from Cy Young to a 4.55 ERA and just nine wins while Colin McHugh has seen his ERA go from 2.73 to 3.89 to 4.34 the last three years. The bullpen ERA of 3.56 was pretty solid but it was a closer-by-committee with Ken Giles coming into the season as the opening day closer. Holding off both Texas and Seattle will be tough.

Los Angeles Angels

While Mike Trout is awesome, he can't carry the Angels' offense, so there needs to be production elsewhere. The Angels win total has gone from 98 to 85 to 77 the last three years and most of that is due to the offense going backwards. Garret Richards elected for rehab instead of Tommy John surgery so he could be vulnerable to injury again. The farm system is pretty bare giving them little trade opportunities.

Oakland Athletics

The A’s have had very poor back-to-back seasons but there is some hope going forward. Starting ace Sonny Gray had a down season but he had a few nagging injuries so he is ready to get back his normal form. The rotation as a whole is pretty solid while the bullpen should be much improved. The offense lacks firepower but the signings of Trevor Plouffe and Matt Joyce definitely help.

Seattle Mariners

The window is closing on Seattle as their main core is getting old. Felix Hernandez finished with a 3.82 ERA which was his highest since 2007 while Nelson Cruz and Robinson Cano are 36 and 34 respectively. Behind Hernandez is Hisashi Iwakuma who is very solid but is 36. After those two, the remainder of the rotation is weak. They overhauled a lot of their roster in the offseason so coming together as a team is a concern.

Texas Rangers

Since August 13th, 2015 the Rangers have gone 127-84 which is one of the best marks in baseball. They have their sights set on a third straight division title buoyed by a potent offense and two great starters in Cole Hamels and Yu Darvish. The offense is balanced and possesses power as Texas finished fourth in the American League in runs scored. Finding arms at the bottom of the rotation could put them on top again.


National League West

Arizona Diamondbacks

The D-backs have a lot of question marks in the rotation with Shelby Miller, Archie Bradley and Taijuan Walker. The closer is Fernando Rodney who is not a long-term answer at 40-years old. The D-Backs ranked 30th in team ERA in 2016 and did not fix their pitching issues in the offseason. Injuries will also be an issue for a team that lacks depth.

Colorado Rockies

The Rockies offense ranked near the top in several categories last year and they have added Ian Desmond who should be big when he returns from injury. Nolan Arenado and Carlos Gonzalez are two of the most underrated young talents in the league. Jon Gray threw 185 strikeouts in just 168 innings last year and should improve with Bud Black as the manager. Greg Holland comes over from Kansas City and will be a boost to this bullpen.

Los Angeles Dodgers

Age is an issue for this Dodgres squad, with just three members of the lineup younger than 29-years old which means injuries could become an issue. Rich Hill is 37-years old, while Brandon McCarthy is 34-years old and he had a weak 4.95 ERA in just 10 appearances last year. The top of the bullpen is strong, but there are several arms vying for the opportunity to be the bridge to Pedro Baez and Jansen.

San Francisco Giants

The Giants' rotation depth is very good when you have Madison Bumgarner and Johnny Cueto on top of Matt Moore and Jeff Samardzija. San Francisco also filled their closer role with Mark Melancon after he pitched for Pittsburgh and Washington in 2016. Melancon had a 1.64 ERA combined for those two teams. The offensive lineup is deep with Buster Posey and Brandon Crawford leading the way.

San Diego Padres

This team is openly in sell mode and will probably get rid of their veterans by the trade deadline. Their perceived rotation is filled with washed up veterans and unproven youth. Christian Friedrich is the "ace" and he went 5-12 with a 4.80 ERA in 2016. There is talk of piggybacking starters and having pitchers go just four or five innings instead of deeper into ballgames this year.
 
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NBA

Monday, April 3

Portland won six of last seven games with Minnesota; they won last three visits to Twin Cities, by 5-6-6 points. Last four series games stayed under total. Trailblazers won/covered its last six games; five of their last seven games stayed under total. Portland is 6-1 vs spread in las seven road games. Minnesota lost seven of last nine games, is 5-2 vs spread in last seven home tilts. Over is 8-2 in their last ten games.
 
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Monday, April 3

Trend Report

7:00 PM
PORTLAND vs. MINNESOTA
Portland is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Minnesota
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Portland's last 6 games on the road
Minnesota is 4-15 ATS in its last 19 games when playing at home against Portland
Minnesota is 4-14 SU in its last 18 games when playing at home against Portland
 
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DAVE COKIN

NORTH CAROLINA VS GONZAGA
PLAY: NORTH CAROLINA -1.5

With a handful of minutes remaining in the North Carolina-Oregon game, I went on Twitter and Facebook and noted that if UNC held on to win the game, my line for the Monday title game would be North Carolina -1.5. That’s where the line is at most outlets as I’m writing this. Suffice to say I think the line is precisely where I think it should be, and that pretty much leaves me with little more than a guess for this game.

I will side with the chalk side, and I’m really doing so for only one reason. That’s title game experience. All the key Tar Heels are familiar with the unique pressure of this game, and they also have the opportunity to erase the painful memory of last year’s heartbreaker of a loss to Villanova.

That’s not enough for me to go full bore with a strong play, but it’s enough for me to risk a half unit on North Carolina.
 
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Rob Vinciletti

Pirates vs. Red Sox
Play: Red Sox -158

The MLB Com play for Monday is on Boston at 2:05 eastern. Boston has won 10 of the last 12 openers and has Cy Young winner Rick Porcello making the start. The Sox were 15-1 here last season in his starts and he has won 8 of his last 9 home starts in April. G. Cole for the Pirates was limited in Spring training and may not be in here for long. Game 1 American League home favorites are 25-6 in this line range since 2004. The Pirates lost 3 times to Boston in spring training. With the Redsox 14-2 the last 16 at home vs National League teams we will back them today.
 
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Brad Wilton

Comp play for Monday is the Phillies and Reds to do what they usually do when they meet, and that is to play Over the total in the opener at Great American Ball Park.

These teams are 12-5 Over the total the last 17 times they have faced one another, and with Jeremy Hellickson and Scott Feldman listed as your Opening Day starters, I expect the bats on both teams to be making some noise this afternoon.

Hellickson sported a 3.71 ERA for the season last year, while Feldman's ERA was a little closer to 4 at 3.97 for the season.

The weather will be surprisingly nice in the Queen City today, and everyone knows this park is a hitters park, so look for the hitters to do their thing and put up plenty of crooked-digit innings today.

Phils-Reds Over the total.

3* PHILADELPHIA-CINCINNATI OVER
 
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Big Al

Colorado vs. Milwaukee
Pick: Milwaukee +105

Some MLB teams had some rough times in the off-season (KC comes to mine), but none more so than the Colorado Rockies. Their one big free-agent signing - 1B/OF Ian Desmond - had his hand broken by a Spring training pitch and will likely miss at least the first month of the season. And one of their brightest young players - OF David Dahl - has been nursing a stress reaction in his ribs that has been slow to heal and will take him out of consideration for an Opening Day start. And finally, RHP Chad Bettis - who has been one of the Rockies most consistent starters over the past two seasons - has been diagnosed with testicular cancer and does not have a timetable for a return to baseball. With the exception of a few marquee players - Nolan Arenado, Carlos Gonzales, Charlie Blackmon, Trevor Story - this was not a good team before these problems occurred and they're certainly not looking good right now. Of course, nobody is predicting a Pennant for the Brewers either, but at least this team is healthy and could do some damage with a roster of mostly young talent. RHP Junior Guerra came on the scene last year as a 32-year-old rookie, and if that doesn't sound promising, consider the fact that Guerra went 9-3 with a 2.81 ERA in 20 starts, earning him this opening day start. Milwaukee won all three home meetings with the Rox last season.
 
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Jimmy Boyd
Apr 03 '17, 2:10 PM in 3h
MLB | Rockies vs Brewers
Play on: Brewers +112 at BMaker

Free Pick on Brewers +

I really like the value here with Milwaukee as an underdog at home in their season opener. The Brewers aren't getting any respect going into 2017 and that's a direct result of being in the same division as the Cubs, Cardinals and Pirates. I don't think Milwaukee is a playoff team, but they are better than people think and shouldn't be a dog at home to another equally poor team in the Rockies. I also don't think people are familiar enough with Brewers starter Junior Guerra, who didn't even make the majors until late last season. He posted a 2.81 ERA in 20 starts with a 2.23 ERA at home.

Colorado counters with Jon Gray, who is a special young talent, but he's still a work in progress. He had to leave his last spring training start with a toe injury and while he says he's healthy it's definitely something that can throw him off his game. The Rockies are also minus three starters in Ian Desmond, David Dahl and Tom Murphy. Take Milwaukee!
 
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Marc Lawrence

Cleveland vs. Texas
Pick: Texas -107

Edges - Rangers: Yu Darvish 14-2 career tem starts during April… Indians: Corey Kluber 4-13 career team starts during April, including 2-8 away. With Darvish having posted a splendid 2.84 ERA this spring, we recommend a 1* play on Texas.
 
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Mike Anthony

Colorado vs. Milwaukee
Play: Milwaukee -102

The Rockies struggled on the road last year, posting a 33-48 record away from Coors. They won just one of six games against the Brewers, a team that finished 73-89 in the standings. Jon Gray, Monday's starter for Colorado, pitched much worse away from home last year, if you can believe it. Junior Guerra was fantastic in Milwaukee last season, posting a .598 OPS against. The odds have this as an even matchup, but we should give the edge to the Brewers.
 
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StatFox Situational Power Trends

CLEVELAND at TEXAS
TEXAS is 91-67 (+45.1 Units) against the money line in the first half of the season over the last 3 seasons. The average score was: TEXAS (4.7) , OPPONENT (4.3)
 

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