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Frank Sawyer
NCAA-B | Feb 20, 2017
Texas vs. West Virginia
West Virginia -15 -110 at GTBETS

Lay the points with the West Virginia Mountaineers minus the points versus the Texas Longhorns. At first glance, it might look easy to take Texas (10-17) as big double-digit dog on the road when considering that they narrowly losses to the Mountaineers in their first encounter this season by a 74-72 score. But the Longhorns stayed competitive in that game by shooting 47.9% from the field. Don’t expect a similar performance tonight considering that Shaka Smart’s team shoots only 43.4% when on the road. And this Texas team wilted against “Press” Virginia by turning the ball over 19 times in 26.4% of their possessions in that contest. That is something that could very well repeat itself with the Longhorns playing in the hostile Morgantown environment tonight. Texas is 8th in the Big 12 by turning the ball over in 21.8% of their possessions. West Virginia leads the nation by forcing turnovers in 29.4% of their opponent’s possessions. The Longhorns have not played the underdog role well either having failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games when getting the points. West Virginia (21-6) has covered the point spread in three of their last four games with their 83-74 win over Texas Tech on Saturday as a 10-point favorite. The Mountaineers have covered point spread expectations after failing to cover the point spread in 15 of their last 22 games after a point spread loss. Lay the points with West Virginia. Best of luck — Frank.
 
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Black Widow
NCAA-B | Feb 20, 2017
Boston College vs. Florida State
Boston College +18½ -105 at 5DIMES

Widow's Free Pick: Boston College +18.5

Bets against favorites of 10 to 19.5 points after being beaten by the spread by more than 18 points in their previous game against opponent after going under the total by 24 or more points in their last three games are 29-7 ATS since 1997. The Seminoles have lost two straight by double-digits. They played on Saturday, while Boston College hasn't played since Tuesday. I like the spot here for the Eagles to stay within 18.5 points. Give me Boston College.
 
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John Ryan
NCAA-B | Feb 20, 2017
Miami (Fla) vs. Virginia
Virginia -7½ -105 at BETONLINE

SIM Algorithm High-Level Overview

3* graded play on Virginia (704) as they take on Miami (FLA) in ACC action set to start at 7:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a 70% probability that UVA will win this game by more than 8 points to their fourth straight Conference loss. You may notice that we are showing a more precise probability assigned to each of our plays. This is an information-based statement and in no way should it change the amount you wager on each game. The ‘star’ rating remains the investment foundation. However, it is helpful to know what the specific projections are that build into that final probability metric and we will be adding those details in the weeks ahead of the MLB season.

Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 75-11 mark good for 87% winners and has made 49 units/unit wagered since 1997. Play on favorites of -165 to -500 using the money line (VIRGINIA) that us an excellent defensive team allowing 63 or fewer PPG against a good defensive team allowing between 63 and 67 PPG and after 15+ games, and after scoring 50 points or less in their previous game. Truly a bounce-back type of system supporting a great defensive team. Even though the Cavaliers have been poor on the offensive end, they are significantly more talented than their recent shooting woes would indicate. We fully expect them to use their nation-best defense to generate scoring opportunities in transition.

Ryan has $1,000/game bettors having made $17,250.



Advanced and Predictive Analytics Discussion Points

The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game.

UVA is a solid 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) when they make 47% to 53% of their shots in a game over the last 2 seasons.

UVA is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in home games when they commit 3 to 7 fewer turnovers than their opponents over the last 3 seasons.

UVA is 46-28 ATS (+15.2 Units) in home games when they grab 34 to 39 rebounds in a game since 1997.

Fundamental Discussion Points If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board the Cavaliers.
 
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Teddy Davis
NCAA-B | Feb 20, 2017
Boston College vs. Florida State
Boston College +18½ -105 at 5DIMES

Odds makers are clearly believing that Florida St will bounce back in a big way after their back to back losses. While they may do so I just don't see the motivation for them to blow Boston College out. Florida St at this point in the season doesn't need to make a statement game by any means. This team is already in the tournament so they have nothing to worry about. I give BC a lot of credit here despite their record, they do show up and play hard. They lost by 1 @ Miami, by 6 @ Va Tech, 11 @ Duke. This is a ton of points for a team who doesn't have any motivation attached to this game what so ever.
 

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