Monday 2/1/16 service plays chatter/comps/requests & other stuff...

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

'Tar Heels visit Cardinals'

It's top-ranked North Carolina against Louisville Monday night at KFC Yum! Center. Tar Heels improved their record to 19-2 (9-11 ATS) on the season, 8-0 (3-5 ATS) in the ACC with an easy 89-62 home win over Boston College as a -26.5-point favorite. In their last game the Cardinals lost 63-47 at home to Virgina as -5.5 point favorite dropping to 17-4 (8-9 ATS) on the campaign, 6-2 SU/ATS within the conference.

These two conference rivals met three times last year. Tar Heels won the first meeting in Chapel Hill 72-71 but lost the cash as -3.0 point chalk. Cardinals returned the favor in Louisville defeating UNC 78-68 in OT cashing as 5 point home underdogs. In the third matchup, Tar Heels prevailed 70-60 as -2.5 point conference tournament favorites.

Backing either team has it's challenges. UNC is ridding a 5-8 ATS skid and 6-11-2 ATS slump. Cardinals carry a 2-8 ATS rcord its last ten on the hardwood. However, were rolling the dice with UNC. The Tar Heels with five players in double digits netting a solid 85.8 points/game on 48.5% shooting, 30.8% from long range take advantage of Cardinals struggling to keeping the ball out of their own basket last three allowing opponents 72.3 PPG on 47.7 % from the field, 31.7% from outside.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Woodbine Harness: Monday 2/1 Analysis
By Garnet Barnsdale

DRF HARNESS

Race 4 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

20-CENT PICK 5: 6,7/5,6/3,6,9/2,5,7,8/2,6,9 = $28.80

EARLY PICK 4: 2,5,7,8/2,9/5,8,9/5,8 = $48

LATE PICK 4: 5,8/2,3,4/5,6/2,4,6 = $36

MEET STATS: 215 - 676 / $1145.80 BEST BETS: 35 - 62 / $121.40

SPOT PLAYS: 16 - 62 / $183.80

Best Bet: JUST HENRY (9th)

Spot Play: BLISSFULL YEARS (4th)


Race 1

(7) HLDONTGHTTOYURDRMS was expected to leave hard last time but didn't, instead going a long first-over journey which failed. Expect him to blast early here. (6) MUSCLE MATTERS has won two of his last three in lower classes after winning only one of his previous 16. He figures here, too. (2) CASH FOR GOLD faces easier and can share here if put into the race.

Race 2

(6) ONE WARRAWEE set a new life's mark last week and attracted a claim. The short field should enable him to get good position early; call to repeat. (5) CHEYENNE FORD is the best closer and the short field should also benefit him here. (2) WOGGY ROCKS has been in good form for a few weeks and should be in the mix here from close range.

Race 3

(3) UNE DUHARAS didn't race horribly last time from the 10-hole. This is as wide open a race as you'll see so we'll price shop with him on top. (6) PERFECT ROAD looked like he was in prime position to end his winless drought but self-destructed on the final turn. He's hard to love and hard to toss in this weak field. (9) ANOTHER KATIE makes her first start of the year off two qualifiers. She isn't impossible here if the intent is there.

Race 4

(2) BLISSFUL YEARS left hard last time but was shuffled out of contention. He gets to face even easier here and can take this with a reasonable trip. (8) HES A SENSATION and (7) SUNNY BEACH DAY both take bigger class drops than the choice but both are notorious deep closers that must be put into the race earlier to get it done here.

Race 5

(9) NOWUCIT NOWUDONT trotted to a powerful win in a new life's mark last week and when he's on his game he can win himself right into the top class. He should be tough again here. (2) WILD AND CRAZY GUY should get a better trip here starting from the inside and is a threat. (6) OUR MOJO keeps racing well from close range and will get lucky one of these weeks.

Race 6

(9) SHOCK N ROCK drops to the lowest level here and should get an aggressive steer. (5) MILLIONDOLLARCELL showed improvement in his last couple of starts and has upset possibilities here. (8) TIGHTEN UP closed powerfully last time and is another contender to consider for the early Pick 4.

Race 7

(5) STORMONT KATE drops and faces a field she can boss similar to the way she did on Jan. 9; top call. (8) SUMMIT CITY NATE had a rough trip last time and still didn't fade horribly. He could land in the choice's pocket early which would make him a threat. (4) POWER MOVE has been in the mix in most of his recent starts and can capitalize if any early battles develop.

Race 8

(4) ETRUSCAN HANOVER is as good as he's ever been and is worth a shot at a better price here than he has been in his past three. (3) LINDYS TRU GRIT debuts for trainer Wallace after being bought at the Meadowlands Mixed Sale for a sale-topping $125K. He obviously can take these if ready. (2) FEARLESS MAN continues to be the one to chase down but he may get tested earlier here.

Race 9

(6) JUST HENRY flew down the lane last week after gapping his cover on the final turn when the pace started to accelerate. Expect a more aggressive steer here. (5) BROADIES SONG chased a sharp winner home after leaving hard for the lead early. He is in top shape and is a contender here. (3) HE IS RISEN debuts for a trainer that has been doing well with new acquisitions. Don't sell this one short.

Race 10

(6) KABLOOIE took a major overland route last week to get up late. He should get a better trip here and can repeat. (4) LOVES A CHALLENGE escaped late to finish 2nd to the choice. He took a lot of action in that race so he was obviously well-meant. (2) KOULTONS ROCKET can contend at a price here starting from the inside. (8) FIRST IMPRESSION stayed in last week and lacked room. He can better this placing. (3) SOS MACH XTREME rarely misses a check and is a good one to use in Supers and High-5s.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Yonkers: Monday 2/1 Analysis
By Matt Rose

DRF HARNESS

MEET STATS: 25 - 69 / $166.50

BEST BETS: 4 - 6 / $14.60

Best Bet: MADHATTER BLUECHIP (11th)

Spot Play: CHANTEPLEURE (7th)


Race 1

(5) BEAS IDEAL has looked very sharp in her first two career races and she can stay perfect tonight. (4) AMAZON IDEAL closed crisply upon her local return and she's clearly the main threat. (3) OH SUGAR keeps Brennan in the bike and she can be considered for a share.

Race 2

(6) ANGELS RANSOM returns locally now in the O'Sullivan barn, which has been hot in this new year. (2) DOUBLE BUNDY N was facing better when last seen at Yonkers and the veteran is capable with these. (3) POWERFUL VALOR jogged at Freehold last out and the well mannered trotter looks like a player here.

Race 3

(6) DAVITA didn't have the best of trips last out; the price should be better tonight and she can threaten with a smoother journey. (2) MOLLIE Z TAM closed with pace after lingering in last for Lachance; she'll take money tonight and be more involved. (1) JUXTA ANTZ PANTZ looks for two straight and draws best.

Race 4

(7) DOMINUS HANOVER was collared on the wire in his first seasonal start for new connections; Bartlett will be firing again and can take these the distance. (4) GLOBAL REVOLUTION has hit the board in his two local starts and seems logical underneath. (1) LUNCH WITH JACK seems to have ability but needs to behave himself.

Race 5

(4) RANGERS SURESHOT gets some post relief and does fit with this type; Allard trainee is capable with a live trip. (1) CHEYENNE JEFFREY and (2) GRAND MASTER both drop, get needed post relief and will be up close to the action.

Race 6

(1) INSOMNIAC went a torrid clip on the engine last week and walked home in his debut for DiDomenico; he should be tighter tonight and can take this with better rating. (7) GET TO DOIN IT is reunited with Bartlett, who steered this trotter to two wins late last season. (6) NOBLE POWER was good in his local debut but faces better now.

Race 7

(4) CHANTEPLEURE proved overmatched versus much better last out, his first start in over a month. Gelding fits much better with these. (4) ARI ALLSTAR is a proven commodity here for Banca; Bartlett is back driving. (8) UNIX HANOVER looks for five straight, but these are much tougher.

Race 8

(7) URBANA BAYAMA appeared overloaded with pace in that victory last out and he can repeat despite the poor post. (1) ROCK TO GLORY has some speed and the best draw. (8) RONNY BUGATTI has been much better of late but this is a tough task from this spot; consider underneath.

Race 9

(3) QUEEN OF DENIAL wasn't awful last week though she hung a bit late; Kakaley can be forwardly placed with her in this field full of question marks. (4) HEAVENLY BRIDE is the most accomplished and is probably the one to beat. (7) BIN N HEAVEN is reunited with Bartlett and they blasted out hard two back from a similar post.

Race 10

(3) RURAL ART gets some needed class and post relief and I would hope he's aggressively handled early by Sears. (2) CAVIART LUCA was a solid winner last week and can certainly repeat. (5) BJ'S BEQUIA drops from claimers and is capable on his best day.

Race 11

(1) MADHATTER BLUECHIP was a strong going-away winner last out and deservedly gets the call to repeat. (5) TAPIT was also very good in victory and she can be leaving the gate again. (6) HOME'N DRY pounced off live cover last week but he loses Dube to the top choice.

Race 12

(2) FREESPIN N gets Bartlett back in the bike, faces softer and should find a way to get the job done. (3) TERROR TIME A was a decent second last out with a two-move effort from the eight hole. (4) SIR ZIGGY'S Z TAM was second best recently for Lachance after an alert getaway; will we see the same tactics tonight?

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

SPOT PLAYS

For Monday


TRACK (RACE) HORSE, MORNING LINE

Laurel Park (3rd) Humorous Chant, 9-2
(5th) Unbridled Ghost, 5-1


Mahoning Valley (2nd) Dorothy's Diamond, 5-1
(7th) Bayou St John, 3-1


Sam Houston (5th) Paradise Road, 4-1
(10th) Slew of Halos, 9-2


Turf Paradise (2nd) Hot Tub, 3-1
(5th) Jim's Decision, 9-2

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Monday's six-pack

Six of the best minor league prospects for the Arizona Diamondbacks........

3) Braden Shipley, P-- Arizona traded its best two prospects to Atlanta.

4) Archie Bradley, P-- Was 2-3, 5.80 in eight MLB starts last year.

5) Brandon Drury 2B/3B-- Hit .214 in 54 big league ABs last year.

10) Peter O'Brien C/OF-- Knocked in 107 runs in AAA last summer.

11) Gabby Guerrero, OF-- Vladimir Guerrero's nephew struggled in AA LY.

18) Zach Godley, P-- Went 5-1, 3-19, in six MLB starts last year.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Dave Cokin

Bonus Play Monday

521 OAKLAND @ 522 NORTHERN KENTUCKY 7:00 PM

Take: 521 OAKLAND -5.5

If you’re looking for consistency, avoid the Oakland Grizzlies at all costs. This team can be really good at times, as evidenced by a blowout win at Washington and a double OT just miss against Michigan State. The Grizzlies can also be horrible, as illustrated by home losses to Youngstown State and to this Northern Kentucky entry.

Oakland coach Greg Kampe was none too pleased about that loss to the Norse. He was very critical of his team’s poor perimeter defense in that game and suggested that it might be time for his team to alter its style of play. Message evidently received, as the Grizzlies have responded with three straight wins, and Oakland is off a very strong game in a wipeout win against Wright State.

Northern Kentucky has been a mild surprise in its Horizon League debut. The Norse figured to be one of the bottom three teams in the league, but they’re doing a bit better than that. But I’m thinking that some of the Northern Kentucky success has been due to them being overlooked as a first-year entry that didn’t exactly arrive with a tradition of success. In other words, they’ve been overlooked. I doubt that will be the case tonight with Oakland in revenge mode for what they’re perceiving as an embarrassing loss.

So this all boils down to which version of the Grizzlies shows up tonight. If it’s the Oakland team we’ve seen over the last few games, I don’t see the Norse being able to stay with them for 40 minutes. I’m betting the superior team with a serious revenge motive is the way to play this one, and I’m laying the points with Oakland.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Jim Feist

Jim Feist's Comp NBA Pick, Monday, Feb 1, 2016 8:05 PM ET

(507) MEMPHIS GRIZZLIES VS (508) NEW ORLEANS PELICANS

Take: (508) NEW ORLEANS PELICANS

Reason: Your Bonus Play for Monday, February 1, 2016 is in the NBA scheduled contest between the Memphis Grizzlies and New Orleans Pelicans. Two of the hotter teams in the NBA meet up here on Monday in New Orleans. The Grizzlies have won three straight and seven of their last 10. They have covered three straight and are 5-3 ATS their last eight. The Pelicans have won two straight, five of the last six and seven of the last nine. They have also been very good for bettors, going 5-2 ATS their last seven games. The one area that Memphis has struggled has been on the road, where the Grizzlies are just 1-6 ATS their last seven. New Orleans is 8-3 ATS the last 11 meetings between these teams. I look for the Pelicans to take tonight's contest.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Art Aronson

Pistons vs Nets

1* Bonus Play OVER Pistons/Nets

We don't subscribe to any one single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account a bunch of different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. The actual contestants on the field of play rarely enter into our equation when making selections, unless it's a Top 3 player like a LeBron James or Aaron Rodgers etc. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions, are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest.

This particular play is based on a few different factors:

Poor defensive play: Both teams are struggling to slow down anyone, Detroit comes in off a 114-106 loss to Cleveland, before falling 111-107 at Toronto on Saturday. Brooklyn has lost three straight and 13 of 15 after falling 105-103 at New Orleans. All signs would point to these two teams pushing the pace from the outset as they look to take advantage of these sloppy opposing defenses and a faster game = more shots and more shots = more points.

ATS statistics: Note that the total has gone OVER the number in four of the Pistons last six on the road, while the Nets have seen the total sail above the posted number in five of their last six in front of the home town crowd. And note that the total has eclipsed the posted number in 18 of these team's last 25 in the series.

The bottom line: The situation and the trends suggest that the OVER is indeed the savvy move in this contest.

AAA Sports

 

[AngeloCurry]

Anybody get Jaysons Sports Picks?