Monday 09/28/09 service plays chatter/comps/requests & gm strategy...

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Monday 09/28/09 service plays chatter/comps/requests & gm strategy...
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Hot Lines: Today's best MLB bets

Minnesota Twins at Detroit Tigers (-130, 9)

This is the race no one thought would happen, not after the Twins lost their 2006 American League MVP for the season. But Minnesota isn’t backing down even without Justin Morneau’s services. The Twinkies are 11-1 (entering Sunday’s game against Kansas City since Morneau’s season came to an end.

If the Tigers hope to extinguish the Twins’ flame, they’ll need lefty help out of the bullpen. Veteran southpaw Bobby Seay has a strained pectoral muscle and his availability against Minny is in question.

That spells trouble for Detroit fans. The Twins best bat, Joe Mauer, eats up righties and leadoff lefty hitter Denard Span has been a Tiger killer.

Pick: Twins


Texas Rangers at Los Angeles Angels (-165, 9.5)

Halo backers would feel a lot better if their team starting playing like a division champ rather than an AL West chump.

Los Angeles has dropped four straight including a demoralizing one on Saturday night. The Angels blew a seven-run lead in the fourth inning and fell to the A’s 15-10.

“Sometimes a team with nothing to lose is pretty dangerous,” starter John Lackey told the Los Angeles Times after the game. “[The A’s] are playing good baseball. But we’ve got to play better baseball.”

LA shouldn’t have the same problem on Monday. The Rangers suddenly have everything to play for. The club should have been eliminated from the playoffs a long time ago but the Halos’ skid has breathed life back into Texas.

Look for the Angels to snap out of their funk with a big win on Monday.

Pick: Angels
 
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Streaking and Slumping Pitchers

Streaking

Jair Jurrjens (13-10, 2.70 ERA), Atlanta Braves

The Braves pitching staff is set for years as long as Tommy Hanson and this 23-year-old Dutchman stay put. Atlanta backers got another beauty performance from Jurrjens last week against the Mets.

He allowed one run over seven innings in the 3-1 win over New York dropping his September ERA to a miniscule 1.55.

“It’s really a shame [Jurrjens’] had some bad luck this year and suffered from a lack of run support,” Braves third baseman Chipper Jones told reporters after the game. “Or else he could definitely be in the running for a Cy Young Award. It’s not a stretch to say that with a little luck this year he could have 18 wins right now.”

Atlanta has won all of his last three starts and the under is 6-1 in his last seven trips to the mound.

Hiroki Kuroda (8-6, 3.65), Los Angeles Dodgers

This righty has quality starts in seven of his last nine appearances and the Dodgers are 8-2 in his last 10 outings. He was the winning pitcher in the Dodgers 14-2 win over the Nats last week, pitching six innings without allowing an earned run.

He’s 3-1 with a 2.16 ERA and a 0.88 WHIP (walks + hits per inning) in September and the under is 7-3 in his last 10 trips to the bump.


Slumping

Luke Hochevar (7-11, 5.98), Kansas City Royals

This guy has one stunning performance smack in the middle of a terrible six-start stretch. Ten days ago Hochevar pitched a complete game shutout against the White Sox a nice payout for the Royals who were +202 road dogs.

But outside of that one day, Hochevar has been predictably awful. The 6-foot-5 righty has allowed five or more runs in each of those other five starts.

He owns a 7.71 ERA over his last six starts and the Royals have won just one of his last 11 games pitched. The over is also 8-3 over that same stretch.


Debuting

Wilton Lopez (0-0, 8.44), Houston Astros

This unimpressive rookie reliever will make his first Major League start on Monday. He takes the rotation spot of rookie right-hander Bud Morris.

Astros interim manager Dave Clark shut Morris down for the remainder of the season because he’s worried about over working the kid. Morris owns a 6-3 record and has just 55 2-3 innings under his belt this season.

Lopez has made six relief appearances and has given up a run in all but one. His longest outing was his first, way back on Aug. 28. He pitched four innings and was tagged for six runs.
 
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Rob Vinciletti

MLB | Sep 28
Texas Rangers vs. LAA Angels Texas Rangers
+152 at 5DIMES > 22h.
On Monday night the Bonus Play is on the Texas Rangers. Game 919 at 10:05 eastern. The Rangers chances at the playoffs are coming to an end rather quickly these days. Sundays loss to Tampa Bay did not help the cause as the Rangers blew the game in the ninth inning. Tonight the Rangers go to LA. to face the Angels. They have beaten LA 10 of 15 times this year. Despite the bad loss the Rangers have been tearing it up at the plate scoring over 7 runs per game over the past week. Tonight they have T.Hunter taking the mound and he has been decent with a 4.12 road era. The Angels counter with E.Santana. In his home starts this year Santans has been sub par with a 7.10 era. The Angels are 3-7 in his home starts and Santana has allowed 13 runs and 17 hits including, 5 home runs in just short of 10 innings at home vs Texas. The Angels also qualify in a 70% system that plays against certain home teams off a home win scoring 5 or more runs vs an opponent off a home loss also scoring 5+ runs. On Monday nights unit rated card I have a big 5 UNIT MLB side from a 24-4 system with a 13-0 pitching angle. I also have a rare system in Monday night football that has cashed 8 of 9 times since 1989. On Monday night I will be in studio for the radio show shortly after 8pm eastern and will have a nice Bonus Play on the Monday night football total from a week 3 specific system. The show is on wsia.fm 88.9. For the Bonus Play take the Rangers as the Bonus Play. BOL RV
 

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The Clowns Update

STEVE BUDIN
Last 30 Days
W/L/P: 1/3/0
Win:Loss: 25.00%
Total Units: -60.00
Dime clients-$60,000
----------------------------

BRANDON LANG
Last 30 Days
W/L/P: 17/27/0
Win:Loss: 38.64%
Total Units: -257.75
Dime clients -$257,750
----------------------------


CHRIS JORDON
Last 30 Days
W/L/P: 14/21/0
Win:Loss: 40.00%
Total Units: -29.86
Dime clients$-29,860
----------------------------

AL DEMARCO
Last 30 Days
W/L/P: 3/6/0
Win:Loss: 33.33%
Total Units: -16.50
Dime players-16,500
----------------------------

JEFF BENTON
Last 30 days
W/L/P: 13/16/1
Win:Loss: 44.83%
Total Units: -76.00
Dime clients -$76,000
Sunday pending
---------------------------
Picks database
http://betonepicks.com/results/

:laugh:
 
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Carlo Campanella Bonus Play

Carolina Panthers at Dallas Cowboys

Prefer to take more than a Touchdown with a Carolina squad that finally seemed to pull things together offensively last Sunday as QB Delhomme passed for 308 yards against a tough Falcons defense. Knowing that Dallas QB Romo is making many bad throws early this season (Tossed 4 Interceptions at home against the NY Giants last Sunday night), might be tough for Dallas to cover the spread as we find them at 1-6 ATS on Monday Night Football following a loss. Dallas is America's team, and they'll get plenty of backing from the betting public, but they're 0-4 ATS during their last four appearances on Monday Night Football and had also failed to cover at home against the Giants on National TV on Sunday Night Football!

7* Play On Carolina
 
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Karl Garrett

Big AL Central showdown goes tonight from Comerica Park, and my money in the opener is on the home team.

Minnesota may be the hotter of the two teams right now, but the Twins are still 4 games under .500 on the road this season, while the Tigers are 22 games over .500 at home for the year, and have taken 3 of the 5 games played between the clubs in the Motor City this year.

It will be Blackburn, and Porcello in this one, and while Blackburn has pitched well his last 2 starts, I am not convinced he is totally out of the funk he was going through for the better part of the second half of the season.

Porcello did lose at the Metrodome two starts ago, but is 8-3 at home for the season. I expect the rookie to come up big in another home start tonight.

Go with the Tigers to set the tone.
1♦ DETROIT
 
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Dominic Fazzini

I gave you a winner on my complimentary selection Sunday with the Chargers' easy win over Miami. Now it's a return to the diamond to pick up another victory today!

The Tigers looked like they were going to run away with the AL Central crown, but they have been bumbling for a while now, letting the Twins have a real shot at stealing the division title from them.

Well now it comes to this, a four-game series at Comerica Park that could settle things once and for all.

Minnesota starter Nick Blackburn (11-11, 4.18 ERA) was on the verge of being an All-Star during the first half of the season, but he was horrible for most of July and August, going 1-7 with a 7.36 ERA in 11 outings, before finally starting to get his act back together this month.

The right-hander has won his last two starts, allowing two runs in 13 1/3 innings. He allowed eight hits in seven scoreless innings last Monday in a 7-0 victory at Chicago.

Blackburn is 2-3 with a 4.50 ERA in six career games (five starts) against Detroit, and 4-7 with a 4.07 ERA in 16 road starts this season.

Tigers starter Rick Porcello (14-9, 4.14) has been solid down the stretch, going 4-1 with a 3.28 ERA in his last six outings. The 20-year-old right-hander is 1-2 with a 3.71 ERA in three starts against Minnesota, with losses in his last two outings.

The Twins might not end up winning the division, but they are 9-5 against the Tigers this year. And Detroit has lost 11 of its last 19 games, while Minnesota has won 11 of 13. With Blackburn back on his game, I think the race gets a little tighter today. Go with the Twins to earn the victory.
3♦ MINNESOTA
 
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Bobby Maxwell

Today's FREE winner comes from the diamond as I go with the Twins to get the job done in this very crucial A.L. Central series with the Tigers in Detroit.

This is it for these teams. They have got to lay it all on the line over the next four nights if they want a spot in the playoffs. Minnesota knows it has to win three of the four games to have any shot of winning the division, while Detroit knows getting just two will almost guarantee it a postseason position.

Detroit leads the division by two games, but the Twins have been coming fast. They are 11-2 in their last 13 games and on other hot streaks of 5-1 on the road, 4-1 as an underdog, 20-7 against right-handed starters, 16-6 in divisional games and 5-0 on Mondays.

Minnesota’s Nick Blackburn (11-11, 4.23 ERA) has fantastic in his last two starts, beating both the Indians and White Sox. He gave up two runs and didn’t walk a batter in 13.1 innings and over his last seven outings he’s held the opposition to three earned runs or less each time.

Detroit’s Rick Porcello (14-9, 4.14 ERA) is just 1-2 against Minnesota this season with a 3.71 ERA. He’s got a 4.07 ERA at home this season and you can expect the Twins to get to him early and get to the Tigers’ questionable bullpen.

Play the plus-money and go with the Twins.
2♦ MINNESOTA
 
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Jeff Benton

I’m snapping out of this ridiculous free-play slump Monday as I go back to the baseball diamond and take the Braves on the run-line (-1½ runs) over the Marlins.

I don’t think Atlanta’s got enough time to overtake the Rockies for the N.L. wild-card, but Bobby Cox’s club sure as hell is given it the old college try. With Sunday’s 6-3, 10-inning victory over the Nationals, the Braves have now won six in a row (all on the road, mind you) and 14 of their last 16. Their last eight wins have covered the run line, and 11 of their 14 wins during their 14-2 run have come by multiple runs.

Tonight, Cox hands the ball to his best pitcher, Jair Jurrjens. Even though his 13-10 record doesn’t suggest it, Jurrjens has been among the best pitchers in the National League this season. He’s got a 2.70 ERA overall, a 2.66 ERA at home, and he’s allowed just 176 hits in 200 innings with a 2-to-1 strikeout-to-walk ratio (140 Ks vs. 71 BBs). The right-hander has been at his absolute best down the stretch, too going 3-0 with a 0.82 ERA in his last three starts, and he’s allowed just 12 earned runs in his last eight starts covering 56 2/3 innings (1.91 ERA).

One of the reasons Jurrjens doesn’t have the wins he should have is a lack of run support (the Braves are averaging just 4.3 runs when he takes the mound). However, Atlanta’s been swinging some hot sticks lately (40 runs during their six-game road winning streak and six runs or more scored 10 times during their 14-2 run), and that figures to continue tonight against Florida’s Anibal Sanchez (4.72 career ERA against Atlanta).

Throw in the fact that the Marlins’ wild-card run for all intents and purposes is over, and we’ve got a motivational edge with Atlanta tonight, too. Lay the 1½ runs and watch Jurrjens lead the Braves to an easy win.
3♦ ATLANTA (-1 1/2 RUNS) ... (BASED ON A 1♦ TO 10♦ SCALE)
 
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Sports Gambling Hotline
We are on a 39-24-4 comp play run the last 67 days.

For Monday in baseball, we will go with the UNDER between the Marlins and the Braves.

Both teams come in a with a trend towards the OVER of late, but tonight those trends will be halted as Sanchez and Vazquez have at it.

Sanchez has allowed just 5 runs his last 18 innings of work, while Vazquez has allowed just 2 runs his last 22 innings of work.

4 of the 6 meetings this year between the teams in Atlanta have played UNDER the posted total, and the Marlins are on a 15-5-2 UNDER run the last 22 times Sanchez has started on the road.

The Braves are right there for a shot at the wild card spot, and tonight Javier Vazquez makes life tough on the Marlins hitters.

We like a low-scoring game tonight in Atlanta.

Play on the UNDER.
4♦ UNDER
 
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MLB LONG SHEET


Monday, September 28

LA DODGERS (93 - 63) at PITTSBURGH (58 - 96) - 12:35 PM
HIROKI KURODA (R) vs. ZACH DUKE (L)
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
LA DODGERS is 4-2 (+0.4 Units) against PITTSBURGH this season
3 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=-0.1 Units, Under=-0.4 Units)

HIROKI KURODA vs. PITTSBURGH since 1997
KURODA is 2-0 when starting against PITTSBURGH with an ERA of 1.89 and a WHIP of 0.895.
His team's record is 2-1 (+0.3 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-1. (+1.1 units)

ZACH DUKE vs. LA DODGERS since 1997
DUKE is 1-3 when starting against LA DODGERS with an ERA of 6.64 and a WHIP of 1.643.
His team's record is 3-4 (-0.2 units) in these starts. The OVER is 5-1. (+4.1 units)

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NY METS (67 - 89) at WASHINGTON (52 - 103) - 7:05 PM
NELSON FIGUEROA (R) vs. ROSS DETWILER (L)
Top Trends for this game.
NY METS are 67-89 (-15.1 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
NY METS are 58-78 (-31.0 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 2 seasons.
NY METS are 12-22 (-14.9 Units) against the money line when playing on Monday over the last 2 seasons.
NY METS are 103-110 (-36.2 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
NY METS are 67-89 (-15.1 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
NY METS are 39-64 (-23.1 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
NY METS are 26-42 (-16.6 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
WASHINGTON is 123-132 (+27.0 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 3 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 72-64 (+17.4 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 3 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 94-100 (+17.2 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 31-17 (+16.0 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 52-103 (-37.1 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
WASHINGTON is 30-48 (-15.3 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
WASHINGTON is 18-47 (-23.2 Units) against the money line against division opponents this season.
WASHINGTON is 52-100 (-34.1 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
WASHINGTON is 33-77 (-34.7 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
WASHINGTON is 42-80 (-25.4 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
WASHINGTON is 30-72 (-35.2 Units) against the money line after a loss this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
NY METS is 10-5 (+4.1 Units) against WASHINGTON this season
12 of 14 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+9.6 Units)

NELSON FIGUEROA vs. WASHINGTON since 1997
FIGUEROA is 1-2 when starting against WASHINGTON with an ERA of 3.34 and a WHIP of 1.221.
His team's record is 2-4 (-3.3 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 3-3. (-0.3 units)

ROSS DETWILER vs. NY METS since 1997
No recent starts.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

HOUSTON (72 - 83) at PHILADELPHIA (90 - 65) - 7:05 PM
YORMAN BAZARDO (R) vs. COLE HAMELS (L)
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
HOUSTON is 4-0 (+5.4 Units) against PHILADELPHIA this season
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+1.9 Units)

YORMAN BAZARDO vs. PHILADELPHIA since 1997
No recent starts.

COLE HAMELS vs. HOUSTON since 1997
HAMELS is 3-1 when starting against HOUSTON with an ERA of 4.65 and a WHIP of 1.138.
His team's record is 5-1 (+3.1 units) in these starts. The OVER is 3-2. (+1.1 units)

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FLORIDA (83 - 73) at ATLANTA (85 - 70) - 7:10 PM
ANIBAL SANCHEZ (R) vs. JAIR JURRJENS (R)
Top Trends for this game.
ATLANTA is 47-35 (+9.5 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
FLORIDA is 83-73 (+4.6 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
FLORIDA is 31-20 (+10.1 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 this season.
FLORIDA is 40-34 (+11.5 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
FLORIDA is 20-10 (+13.7 Units) against the money line in road games against division opponents this season.
FLORIDA is 80-70 (+3.3 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
FLORIDA is 60-50 (+6.5 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
FLORIDA is 116-108 (+10.6 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
FLORIDA is 84-66 (+24.9 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 2 seasons.
FLORIDA is 42-38 (+10.8 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
FLORIDA is 42-36 (+15.6 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 157-160 (-23.9 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 45-42 (-9.4 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 this season.
ATLANTA is 39-35 (-12.4 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
ATLANTA is 23-25 (-13.5 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 8 to 8.5 this season.
ATLANTA is 39-35 (-12.4 Units) against the money line in home games in games played on a grass field this season.
ATLANTA is 110-111 (-17.9 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 23-25 (-15.7 Units) against the money line in home games against right-handed starters this season.
ATLANTA is 14-24 (-13.6 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
FLORIDA is 8-7 (+3.1 Units) against ATLANTA this season
7 of 14 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=-0.2 Units, Under=-1.1 Units)

ANIBAL SANCHEZ vs. ATLANTA since 1997
SANCHEZ is 3-4 when starting against ATLANTA with an ERA of 4.63 and a WHIP of 1.455.
His team's record is 3-5 (-1.4 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-6. (-5.4 units)

JAIR JURRJENS vs. FLORIDA since 1997
JURRJENS is 2-1 when starting against FLORIDA with an ERA of 5.46 and a WHIP of 1.464.
His team's record is 3-2 (+0.7 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 3-2. (+0.8 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

KANSAS CITY (64 - 92) at NY YANKEES (100 - 56) - 7:05 PM
LUKE HOCHEVAR (R) vs. CHAD GAUDIN (R)
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
NY YANKEES is 2-1 (+0.8 Units) against KANSAS CITY this season
2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+0.8 Units)

LUKE HOCHEVAR vs. NY YANKEES since 1997
HOCHEVAR is 0-0 when starting against NY YANKEES with an ERA of 3.00 and a WHIP of 0.667.
His team's record is 1-0 (+2.1 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-1. (-1.1 units)

CHAD GAUDIN vs. KANSAS CITY since 1997
GAUDIN is 2-1 when starting against KANSAS CITY with an ERA of 3.00 and a WHIP of 1.143.
His team's record is 2-1 (+0.5 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-1. (+1.0 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

CHI WHITE SOX (75 - 81) at CLEVELAND (64 - 91) - 7:05 PM
JOHN DANKS (L) vs. AARON LAFFEY (L)
Top Trends for this game.
CHI WHITE SOX are 31-43 (-13.7 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
CLEVELAND is 20-11 (+12.9 Units) against the money line after 3 or more consecutive wins over the last 2 seasons.
CHI WHITE SOX are 156-127 (+16.5 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
CHI WHITE SOX are 84-59 (+16.1 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
DANKS is 15-7 (+9.5 Units) against the money line in road games in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
CLEVELAND is 64-91 (-27.1 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
CLEVELAND is 58-80 (-26.4 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 34-44 (-15.3 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
CLEVELAND is 6-19 (-13.2 Units) against the money line in September games this season.
CLEVELAND is 57-80 (-24.6 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
CLEVELAND is 40-58 (-20.7 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
CLEVELAND is 20-31 (-22.7 Units) against the money line in home games after shutting out their opponent since 1997.
CLEVELAND is 22-42 (-20.2 Units) against the money line after a win this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
CHI WHITE SOX is 8-7 (+0.4 Units) against CLEVELAND this season
8 of 15 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+0.6 Units)

JOHN DANKS vs. CLEVELAND since 1997
DANKS is 1-5 when starting against CLEVELAND with an ERA of 5.62 and a WHIP of 1.333.
His team's record is 3-6 (-2.7 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 5-4. (+0.7 units)

AARON LAFFEY vs. CHI WHITE SOX since 1997
LAFFEY is 2-2 when starting against CHI WHITE SOX with an ERA of 4.01 and a WHIP of 1.338.
His team's record is 2-2 (+0.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-2. (+0.1 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MINNESOTA (81 - 74) at DETROIT (83 - 72) - 7:05 PM
NICK BLACKBURN (R) vs. RICK PORCELLO (R)
Top Trends for this game.
MINNESOTA is 3-13 (-11.9 Units) against the money line in road games when playing on Monday over the last 2 seasons.
BLACKBURN is 10-25 (-16.4 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
BLACKBURN is 4-11 (-8.7 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season. (Team's Record)
BLACKBURN is 0-12 (-12.3 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
DETROIT is 48-26 (+12.3 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
DETROIT is 48-26 (+12.3 Units) against the money line in home games in games played on a grass field this season.
DETROIT is 36-28 (+7.9 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
PORCELLO is 18-8 (+9.1 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season. (Team's Record)
MINNESOTA is 169-149 (+7.1 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 40-25 (+11.0 Units) against the money line against division opponents this season.
MINNESOTA is 58-42 (+11.0 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
MINNESOTA is 55-42 (+7.7 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
DETROIT is 157-160 (-30.1 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 12-22 (-14.6 Units) against the money line when playing on Monday over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 63-74 (-27.2 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 100-104 (-20.9 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 104-118 (-33.2 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MINNESOTA is 9-5 (+3.5 Units) against DETROIT this season
6 of 12 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=-0.5 Units, Under=-1.2 Units)

NICK BLACKBURN vs. DETROIT since 1997
BLACKBURN is 2-2 when starting against DETROIT with an ERA of 3.66 and a WHIP of 1.188.
His team's record is 2-3 (-1.1 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 4-1. (+2.9 units)

RICK PORCELLO vs. MINNESOTA since 1997
PORCELLO is 1-2 when starting against MINNESOTA with an ERA of 3.71 and a WHIP of 1.471.
His team's record is 1-2 (-1.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 3-0. (+3.0 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

BALTIMORE (60 - 95) at TAMPA BAY (79 - 76) - 7:08 PM
MARK HENDRICKSON (L) vs. JEFF NIEMANN (R)
Top Trends for this game.
BALTIMORE is 60-95 (-24.2 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
BALTIMORE is 24-53 (-16.8 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
BALTIMORE is 11-37 (-21.5 Units) against the money line in September games over the last 2 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 42-95 (-37.4 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 135-250 (-106.4 Units) against the money line after 3 or more consecutive losses since 1997.
BALTIMORE is 91-164 (-46.3 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 29-67 (-24.4 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 109-54 (+34.4 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 82-62 (+21.7 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 110-57 (+31.8 Units) against the money line in games played in a dome over the last 2 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 120-65 (+34.5 Units) against the money line in games played on artificial turf over the last 2 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 69-36 (+17.1 Units) against the money line in home games after a win over the last 2 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 79-76 (-13.2 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
TAMPA BAY is 8-17 (-12.0 Units) against the money line in September games this season.
TAMPA BAY is 55-53 (-10.0 Units) against the money line in night games this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
BALTIMORE is 7-7 (+2.8 Units) against TAMPA BAY this season
7 of 13 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+0.9 Units)

MARK HENDRICKSON vs. TAMPA BAY since 1997
HENDRICKSON is 3-5 when starting against TAMPA BAY with an ERA of 5.33 and a WHIP of 1.461.
His team's record is 4-6 (-3.2 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 6-4. (+1.6 units)

JEFF NIEMANN vs. BALTIMORE since 1997
NIEMANN is 3-2 when starting against BALTIMORE with an ERA of 5.14 and a WHIP of 1.715.
His team's record is 3-2 (+0.6 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-3. (-1.1 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

TORONTO (72 - 84) at BOSTON (91 - 64) - 7:10 PM
SCOTT RICHMOND (R) vs. JOSH BECKETT (R)
Top Trends for this game.
TORONTO is 72-84 (-16.6 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
TORONTO is 28-40 (-14.2 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 this season.
TORONTO is 9-23 (-12.8 Units) against the money line on the road when the total is 9 to 9.5 this season.
TORONTO is 23-43 (-23.2 Units) against the money line against division opponents this season.
TORONTO is 41-55 (-16.6 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
TORONTO is 1-11 (-10.4 Units) against the money line after 3 or more consecutive wins this season.
BOSTON is 52-22 (+18.7 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
BOSTON is 45-24 (+19.5 Units) against the money line against division opponents this season.
BOSTON is 52-22 (+18.7 Units) against the money line in home games in games played on a grass field this season.
BOSTON is 39-15 (+16.0 Units) against the money line in home games in night games this season.
BOSTON is 38-13 (+17.5 Units) against the money line in home games against right-handed starters this season.
BOSTON is 43-15 (+17.9 Units) against the money line in home games after a loss over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 53-17 (+31.8 Units) against the money line in home games after 3 or more consecutive losses since 1997.
BOSTON is 92-47 (+31.4 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
BOSTON is 11-4 (+7.4 Units) against TORONTO this season
10 of 15 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+4.2 Units)

SCOTT RICHMOND vs. BOSTON since 1997
RICHMOND is 0-1 when starting against BOSTON with an ERA of 7.20 and a WHIP of 1.600.
His team's record is 0-2 (-2.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-1. (+0.1 units)

JOSH BECKETT vs. TORONTO since 1997
BECKETT is 3-5 when starting against TORONTO with an ERA of 6.62 and a WHIP of 1.414.
His team's record is 5-7 (-5.6 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 4-8. (-5.4 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

TEXAS (85 - 70) at LA ANGELS (91 - 64) - 10:05 PM
TOMMY HUNTER (R) vs. ERVIN SANTANA (R)
Top Trends for this game.
LA ANGELS are 91-64 (+17.8 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
LA ANGELS are 85-54 (+17.5 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 2 seasons.
LA ANGELS are 84-56 (+17.8 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
LA ANGELS are 126-94 (+17.0 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
LA ANGELS are 53-37 (+9.8 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
LA ANGELS are 89-66 (+19.1 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
SANTANA is 27-13 (+15.4 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season since 1997. (Team's Record)
TEXAS is 85-70 (+15.3 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
TEXAS is 37-37 (+7.5 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
TEXAS is 58-49 (+12.5 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
TEXAS is 82-64 (+17.2 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
TEXAS is 63-51 (+10.4 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
TEXAS is 56-44 (+13.2 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
TEXAS is 41-31 (+10.6 Units) against the money line after a loss this season.
TEXAS is 44-41 (+8.3 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
TEXAS is 23-17 (+10.0 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season this season.
LA ANGELS are 100-94 (-51.3 Units) against the money line as a home favorite of -150 to -175 since 1997.
LA ANGELS are 24-26 (-10.8 Units) against the money line against division opponents this season.
SANTANA is 11-15 (-11.6 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
SANTANA is 11-15 (-11.6 Units) against the money line in home games in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
SANTANA is 6-12 (-12.3 Units) against the money line in home games in night games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
TEXAS is 10-5 (+6.7 Units) against LA ANGELS this season
7 of 15 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=-1.5 Units, Under=-0.3 Units)

TOMMY HUNTER vs. LA ANGELS since 1997
HUNTER is 0-1 when starting against LA ANGELS with an ERA of 3.60 and a WHIP of 1.800.
His team's record is 0-1 (-1.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-0. (+1.0 units)

ERVIN SANTANA vs. TEXAS since 1997
SANTANA is 7-6 when starting against TEXAS with an ERA of 6.67 and a WHIP of 1.461.
His team's record is 8-7 (+0.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 10-4. (+5.6 units)
 
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MLB WRITE-UP

Monday, September 28

Hot Pitchers
-- Kuroda is 3-0, 2.25 in his last three starts.
-- Hamels is 3-1, 2.01 in his last six starts.
-- Jurrjens is 3-0, 1.23 in his last three starts. Sanchez has 1.90 RA in his last four starts.

-- Danks has a 3.38 RA in his last seven starts.
-- Bronx is 5-0 when Gaudin starts (0-0, 3.33).
-- Porcello is 5-0, 3.03 in his last six starts. Blackburn is 2-0, 1.35 in his last two starts.
-- Beckett is 2-0, 2.84 in his last three starts.

Cold Pitchers
-- Duke is 0-4, 9.23 in his last five starts.
-- Bazardo is 0-2, 11.74 in four starts this season.
-- Detwiler is 0-4, 7.83 in his last five starts. Figueroa is 0-4, 5.40 in his last four starts.

-- Laffey is 1-3, 5.57 in his last seven starts.
-- Hochevar is 1-4, 8.04 in his last five starts.
-- Hendrickson is 0-1, 7.15 in his last three starts. Niemann is 1-1, 4.42 in his last six starts.
-- Richmond has a 10.07 RA in his last nine starts.
-- Hunter has a 5.63 RA in his last five starts. Santana is 0-2, 5.61 in his last four starts.

Hot Teams
-- Braves won 14 of their last 16 games.
-- Florida won 11 of its last 17 games.
-- Dodgers won 11 of their last 15 games.

-- Indians won their last three games, scoring 22 runs.
-- Bronx is 13-3 in last sixteen home games.
-- Tigers won five of their last seven games. Twins won 11 of their last 13 games.
-- Rays won four of their last five home games.
-- Toronto won six of its last seven games.
-- Rangers won four of their last six games.

Cold Teams
-- Pirates lost 25 of their last 29 games.
-- Nationals lost ten of their last twelve games. Mets lost 19 of their last 26 road games.
-- Astros lost 11 of their last 13 games. Phillies lost four of their last six games.

-- White Sox lost last eight of last nine games not started by Peavy.
-- Royals lost four of their last five games.
-- Orioles lost their last ten games in a row.
-- Red Sox lost five of their last seven games.
-- Angels lost four of their last five games.

Totals
-- Over is 7-1-1 in Dodgers' last nine games.
-- Five of last six Jurrjens starts stayed under the total.
-- Seven of last eight Hamels starts stayed under the total.
-- Under is 4-1-1 in last six Figueroa starts.

-- Four of last five White Sox games went over the total.
-- Four of last five Hochevar starts went over the total.
-- Last four Porcello starts went over the total.
-- Over is 9-3-1 in last thirteen Baltimore road games.
-- Seven of last nine Beckett starts went over the total.
-- Last eight Texas games went over the total.
 
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May 19, 2007
Messages
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MLB ADDITIONAL


Monday, September 28

Trend Report

12:35 PM
LA DODGERS vs. PITTSBURGH
LA Dodgers are 8-4 SU in their last 12 games
The total has gone OVER in 7 of LA Dodgers's last 9 games
Pittsburgh is 7-17 SU in their last 24 games when playing at home against LA Dodgers
The total has gone OVER in 15 of Pittsburgh's last 19 games when playing at home against LA Dodgers

7:05 PM
CHI WHITE SOX vs. CLEVELAND
Chi White Sox are 3-8 SU in their last 11 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Chi White Sox's last 5 games
Cleveland is 1-4 SU in their last 5 games when playing at home against Chi White Sox
Cleveland is 3-6 SU in their last 9 games when playing Chi White Sox

7:05 PM
HOUSTON vs. PHILADELPHIA
Houston is 2-11 SU in its last 13 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Houston's last 6 games
Philadelphia is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Houston
Philadelphia is 5-11 SU in its last 16 games when playing at home against Houston

7:05 PM
KANSAS CITY vs. NY YANKEES
Kansas City is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Kansas City's last 5 games
NY Yankees are 21-4 SU in their last 25 games when playing at home against Kansas City
NY Yankees are 4-1 SU in their last 5 games when playing Kansas City

7:05 PM
MINNESOTA vs. DETROIT
Minnesota is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Detroit
The total has gone OVER in 10 of Minnesota's last 15 games when playing on the road against Detroit
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Detroit's last 7 games at home
Detroit is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games

7:05 PM
NY METS vs. WASHINGTON
NY Mets are 15-8 SU in its last 23 games when playing on the road against Washington
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of NY Mets's last 5 games when playing on the road against Washington
Washington is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games
Washington is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games at home

7:08 PM
BALTIMORE vs. TAMPA BAY
Baltimore is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Baltimore's last 8 games
Tampa Bay is 10-2 SU in its last 12 games when playing at home against Baltimore
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Tampa Bay's last 10 games when playing at home against Baltimore

7:10 PM
FLORIDA vs. ATLANTA
Florida is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Atlanta
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Florida's last 8 games when playing on the road against Atlanta
Atlanta is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Atlanta's last 5 games

7:10 PM
TORONTO vs. BOSTON
Toronto is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Boston
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Toronto's last 7 games when playing on the road against Boston
Boston is 12-6 SU in its last 18 games
Boston is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games

10:05 PM
TEXAS vs. LA ANGELS
Texas is 4-1 SU in their last 5 games when playing on the road against LA Angels
Texas is 10-5 SU in their last 15 games when playing LA Angels
LA Angels are 1-4 SU in their last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of LA Angels's last 10 games at home
 

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Aug 15, 2008
Messages
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Sportswire

Are any of the guys over at Sportswire any good. They don't keep good records over there? Thanks for your help.
 
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Messages
5,223
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ANDY ISKOE
Matchup: Panthers at Cowboys
Time: 8:35pm ET
9/28 Free Pick: PANTHERS +9 (-110)

Analysis: This is a critical early season game for 0-2 Carolina. Dallas’ debut in their new digs resulted in a disappointing loss as the Giants rallied for a final drive that led to the winning FG. The Cowboys clearly have the better talent but Carolina has a clear edge in coaching with John Fox having a better grasp of what‘s taking place on the field than does Dallas‘ Wade Phillips. That makes getting nearly double digits an attractive take for a team that can run the ball. The Panthers have lost all 6 meetings with Dallas this decade but 5 of them have been by a TD or less. And at 0-2 a repeat of their Playoff appearance from last season is in jeopardy so expect an all out effort against a team that repeatedly shows an inability to close out games. Carolina QB Delhomme had a much better effort against Atlanta than in the opener vs Atlanta providing a much needed confidence boost. Dallas wins but by just 3 or 4 points.
 

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