To me this game looks like a toss up. But it's a final in soccer it should be close. Atletico came up short two years ago in this same game in the last minute of regular time vs Real Madrid. Atletico has not lost to Real in 9 out of the last 10. They have their number. My thoughts are you have to make Real madrid the favorite because they will dominate on the ball. They will have 67% of the possession and any team that can do that is going to be the favorite because you need the ball to score. But, Atletico is ok with this as they look to play smart and capitalize on their opportunities. It wont be easy for either team. But imo atletico is more capable of scoring twice today than Real is. IMO.