MO/IL Dodge Dealers 250

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Sep 3, 2005
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YTD Totals (not pretty)

+ 7.85 units (Match-Ups)
- 14.59 units (Props/Outrights)

Total: -6.74 units

Hope to right this ship soon. This is the most I've been down in over 5 years of wagering on Nascar. This is what I have for the Nationwide race at Gateway.

Match-Ups

5.00 units David Reutimann (-120) over Jason Leffler (@thegreek)
If I was on the plus side ytd this would be a much larger play. Its been 9 races since Reutimann has placed outside the Top 15 and five of those were Top 5 runs. Has three Top 7 seven finishes in the last four starts, also ran 3rd here LY.

Leffler (in 2008) always seems to qualify well and be competitive but his luck is awful, something seems to go wrong more often than not, and he also has a new crew chief this week and you never know, early on, how that will turn out. Leffler is fast tonight starting in the Top 5 or so but everything will have to fall right for him to be Top 5 (something he has only done once all year) because I believe that is were Reutimann will be.

3.00 units Reed Sorenson (-125) over Jamie McMurray (@thegreek)
Don't feel real comfortable with Sorenson but you can't knock his record at this place, this is a track he just has a knack for (last 3 races here 1st, 4th and 1st). On the other hand McMurray is in a very good ride(the 17 normally driven by Kenseth) but is also a very inconsistent driver. That leads me to believe the advantage goes to Sorenson.

3.00 units David Ragan (+100) over Mike Bliss (@thegreek)
I'm still convinced Ragan will find the winner's circle more sooner than later. Both of these guys will probably be Top 10 but Ragan has a better chance at being Top 5 (IMO).

Good luck to everbody.
 

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