MLS week 4

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ytd 6-2 +21.19

Houston vs Chivas USA
- Chivas USA have failed to score in either match they used a 4-5-1 but scored twice in a 4-4-2 so what alignment will they use for first true road match of year? 4-5-1..."Vasquez told the assembled coaches he favored five midfielders after using the formation against Houston in a March 20 preseason match in Santa Barbara, which the Dynamo won 3-1." 3 of what would have been the starting 5 MF's (attacking MF Romero, holding MF Saragosa, and LMF Jazic) are unavailable as is starting FW Galindo. Houston's top 2 strikers (Ching/Landin) and first backup (Weaver) are out so they will move a MF up into attack along side Oduro which is just an awful pairing. They were held without a shot on goal at home vs LA and that was with Landin playing (until red card) and Ashe at right mid, who is doubtful with ankle injury. What I see are two teams that had questionable offenses before the season and now have many of their top attacking talents out for the match. Chivas USA will go with 5 in MF to clog up the match obviously looking for 0-0 or 1-1 type game. H2H has seen one team shutout in 7 of last 9 games and there is not an established goal scorer who will be on the field Saturday afternoon. I expect a much improved Houston team but CUSA are not easy to break down and I expect 1-0 if not 0-0. In 3 matches Houston has scored just 1 goal from open play and CUSA just 2 goals total, one an own goal.

Houston under 2.5 3.5u -140

Colorado vs Toronto
- both teams played midweek matches but Toronto, no doubt, will be the team affected by it. Colorado played on Tuesday, Toronto on Thursday, and both won but Colorado started a lot of reserves and did not travel for the game since they stayed in KC since weekend MLS match. Several of their top players did not play in midweek and were sent home after last Saturday's match while Toronto of course used full regular squad for their first win of the season over expansion Philly. Truth is Toronto were not very good even with the 2-1 win but luckily were playing an expansion team who were down to 10 men after 35' and got a penalty at 81' to pull
out 3 points. Now they have to travel across 2 time zones with a quick turnaround to play in Colorado's altitude where they have scored just once in 3 matches. On the road they are winless in 11 games since beating San Jose last July and they have just 1 MLS road win in 13 months (1-5-9, 8 times shutout). Colorado a decent home team, not great, but saw 8 of their 10 2009 wins come at home (8-5-2) while allowing a league-best 10 goals at home in 15 matches. If Philly, who barely have MLS-quality attacking options, can trouble Toronto's defense I predict Colorado, who have one of MLS' top attacks, should put a few in the net. Go one game back and you will see New England put 4 in TFC's net including a hat trick by unkown rookie, Schilawski. Colorado's attacking pair are USMNT striker Casey and Jamaica MNT striker Cummings, so should be a field day for them. I've also talked a lot about the weak Eastern Conference and you'll see me opposing Eastern teams quite a bit when visiting Western Conference squads. So far in 2010 they are 1-2-3 with one of those draws coming in Colorado, when Chicago drew them 2-2. Colorado is the better team, rested, and catch a struggling squad who can't get road wins coming in off a short week and playing in altitude.

Rapids 5u -125
 

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if you guys need a match to use for doubles this weekend I suggest it be York in English Conference, available for -285 or so. York have a full strength side and are aiming to finish either 3rd or 4th and avoid a meeting with Luton in playoffs. Grays won in midweek, first time in 20+ games, but allowed an amazing 23 chances that Wimbledon failed. Half of Grays starters will be teenagers (not kidding!) and York win this one my minimum 3 goals...
 

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with you on colorado...can't disagree w/ the hou v. chivas usa under.

goats costa rican centre halves look solid. chijindu (sp?) looked good but forget about any of their other strikers. hou? landin, the new landicakes :lolBIG: is worthless...so no loss there. oduro...can't finish.
 

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ugly result in houston as Thornton can't even move anymore, giving up 40m goals. argh. at 3-0 teams had combined for 6 SOG and 4 corners...that's all. oh well, nothing else tonight

small lean to LA as RSL really beat up right now. also small lean to SJ but too many injuries to bet them. Also like the Red Bulls over a bit but not enough for a wager.
 

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chivas is in transition. mid is a mess. i like padilla...that's about it. kjlestan...not much of a factor on the year. bornstein actually looked pretty good at lwm last match.

thornton looks like he put on an extra 5lbs since coming back from inj & he resembled an nfl dt more than a mls gk last season. :lol:


houston...well, kinnear will get the most from what he has...gotta give the dynamo credit for getting a 3-0 result from his patchwork lineup.
 

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oh, i believe alvarez is a doubt and glen is out for sj. joseph out for revs.
 

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well I'm truly disgusted that I didn't give any lean a 1 or 2 unit shot as all three of those hit while my official picks won .1u

argh

ytd 7-3 +21.29
 

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Nice record so far this year, rolltide. Thanks for taking the time to post.

I've jumped on a few of your plays, including Colorado today.

I watched the LA Galaxy play last night and they looked very strong. Buddle had a couple of nice goals. He's playing well with Donovan up front.

My Sounders struggled mightily just to get shots against KC, but somehow they pulled out a win with some young kid Fucito scoring in injury time.

I don't know what Seattle's problem is, but they need to figure it out quick. Ljungberg has openings to shoot, but he always looks to pass. Montero will have 2-3 guys right on him, someone else will be wide open and he ends up getting off a poor shot attempt. Very frustrating to watch.

Oh well, on to week 5.
 

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