MLS Thursday...

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Mar 18, 2008
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-2 units last week in MLS

got my biggest play of the season on Thursday...

Chicago Fire -0.5 -115
risking 5.8 to win 5

I'll lay the half here with confidence. Draws in this spot hit at only 20%, down from the overall Draw average of 33%.
This spot sees the home team cover the -0.5 spread 2 of 3 times.

Chicago have been better away from home this season but that only supports the motivation here vs a high profile LA team. Everyone gets up for LA due to the beckham star status and Donovan.

LA's defence is absolutely pourous. CHI have trouble scoring at times but they won't at home here.

the Fire's D is outstanding, they've allowed the least goals in the league.

i'll take the home team with the extremely significant defensive edge. the home team should be able to find goals vs the worst defence in the league

Good luck
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