MLB System Thread - 2009

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Go Blue!!
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Appreciate all the feedback. However, the forumula I'm using is rather simple and I'm going to stick to it (at least for a couple of weeks). If it fails, as I've said, I have no problem re-evaluating things and changing it up. For now though, I'm pretty comfortable with what I have.
 

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am I missing something ? i see arizona as 64.2 % and -146 and money and side valued ...is that not a play on arizona if not why ? just trying to understand
 

Go Blue!!
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am I missing something ? i see arizona as 64.2 % and -146 and money and side valued ...is that not a play on arizona if not why ? just trying to understand

Looks like we are going to run into the same issues with NBA. Line movement. Yes, it would be a play now and Colorado won't be a play now based on the change.
 

Go Blue!!
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To avoid any confusion with line changes that will change plays, I am going to go by what the lines and percentages are at Noon pacific time. That is when final plays will be posted. Obviously, if there are early games, this will change for the early games.

I feel in the interest of consistency with tracking and having system plays, having a uniform time to post makes the most sense.

Thanks for understanding and sorry for any confusion.

I will post final card today at Noon pacific time.
 

Go Blue!!
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4/7 Plays:

SF -160
St. Louis -148
SF -1.5 +140 (1 unit)
Zona -146

Again, I'm sorry for the change with Colorado and Zona, still working out the kinks.

As I've said I will post the plays one time. Between 11 and Noon pacific time. Whatever the percentages and values are then is what plays will be based on. It is the only way to get an accurate measure of how the system is performing.
 

snappin necks & cashin checks
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BetUS is showing Zona as -160 and Colorado at +140. Does that then make the Rockies a play if I can take that line or just don't play it unless there is a line move?
 

Go Blue!!
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BetUS is showing Zona as -160 and Colorado at +140. Does that then make the Rockies a play if I can take that line or just don't play it unless there is a line move?

And that's the problem I'm finding. According to my system, Zona won't be a play at -160, but it doesn't mean Colorado is a play at +140.

Theoretically, Zona has no less chance of winning with the increased juice though. However, according to the value system I use, the value is decreased by just enough to make it a no play.

This is the main reason why I will be posting only once per day with no updates. If juice changes, it'll be up to the person betting to determine whether or not they feel the value is there.
 

Go Blue!!
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3-0 so far today. Only game left is the one where there was a dispute. Play started as Col, but changed to Zona after recalculations. Play ended up being Zona officially, but I skipped it altogether. It will count towards the system record as a Zona play. Either way, going to be a nice winning day and great two day start!
 

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Well two winners with St louis and San Francisco...do not understand the RL's yet so did not take advantage of that play....grrrr...but I am down on Colorado before I saw changes..they are ahead early so hope that holds up. Also played Angels based on my own research....thanks for your work Bronco...looks like your perfect record is intact..congrats...nothing better than a system at 100% unless they were all dogs...hehehehe!! Bravo Bronco!!
 

Go Blue!!
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Thanks JJ! Glad you got on CO....so far. Like I said, I skipped the play myself, so personally, I am perfect through the first two days. Long long long season, but its looking like I may have found something here.
 

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You can't win them all unless you win the first five......

Good luck to you Bronco- great stuff.
 

Go Blue!!
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3-1 today.

ML Side Record: 5-1 (+10.62 units)
RL Side Record: 1-0 (+1.40 units)
Total Record: 0-0

Total: 6-1 (+12.02 units)


I will post tomorrow's plays between 11 and noon pacific time.
 

Go Blue!!
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Excellent job so far bro! :toast:

LOL at your avatar. There's a paralegal at the law firm I work at who has a poster hanging on her wall with the caption:

Homework...

pic is here

He Fucking Loves It.

LMAO. Hilarious shit.
 

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Yah that picture always makes me laugh when I look at his face. I'm glad that you enjoy it with some humour.
 

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