You also must take into consideration things such as schedule changes, when points were scored (in crunch time or in a blow out) a few angles and trends (example: Air Force is 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games at Utah) and other variables, especially with second string players in the skilled positions who may have seen action last year. That is what I try to incorperate into my picks. Last year, Cal defeated Washington and Washington State (combined record of 2-22) by a combined score of 114-10. ust how improtant are those stats, compared to their two games at USC and at Oregon State,(combined record of 21-5) where they were 0-2 and outscored 51-24? It is a guessing game at best, and that is why people have big smiles on their faces at the end of the season if they were able to hit 6 out of 10.
Bqh
The basic ratings are an attempt to get a good grasp of what a team brings to the table in week one or two. I had a posting on here somewhere that I discussed how to pare a teams stats down to become more relevant in competitive situations. I also think too many people on here are concerned with W/L ATS. I am only concerned with winning money. I do a lot of first half and second half bets and when I do that I really don't care who wins that game ATS. LY I bet a lot of first half scores and just moved on. First half and second half bets may be the best bets on the board on week one. Second half bets are expecially interested because you have a better feeling for the flow of the game.
The basic ratings are an attempt to get a good grasp of what a team brings to the table in week one or two. I had a posting on here somewhere that I discussed how to pare a teams stats down to become more relevant in competitive situations. I also think too many people on here are concerned with W/L ATS. I am only concerned with winning money. I do a lot of first half and second half bets and when I do that I really don't care who wins that game ATS. LY I bet a lot of first half scores and just moved on. First half and second half bets may be the best bets on the board on week one. Second half bets are expecially interested because you have a better feeling for the flow of the game.
Gavlam: Can you post the MIT boys simulation results for every game for week 1 in college football.
computer group - MIT guys - need your help
I just posted some coaching data on my thread. I am thinking that if you could do the same thing with ATS data as opposed to my won lost records there could be some valuable information to be had. Does any body have a data base we could run it through?
I just posted some coaching data on my thread. I am thinking that if you could do the same thing with ATS data as opposed to my won lost records there could be some valuable information to be had. Does any body have a data base we could run it through?
I have results ATS for the past 10 years on college & pro football
Reference the postings on my thread (looking ahead to next season) posts
652 thru 657 and look at those lists of coaches. If someone ran the numbers on those won loss records against your ATS data base it might spotlight something relevent. I can already see a marked improvement for third year coaches over first and second year coaches. There may be some tendencies that indicate betting on or against certain coaches in certain instances. I don't think anyone has ever done that before.
they dont want to give out any info....i am getting the impression they dont want me telling anyone their picks! i will anyways because they dont know what the rx is! but yea they said okie state -4.5 looks like the best one...but also that they werent close to finished as they will be working on it all summer to present to like their professors or something...they know my financial situation with lots of school loans and weve been friends for a long time so they are cool with giving me their picks..but i dont think they want me blabbing about them
Just tell them you will not say anything to anyone. If they are not out to make money, I dont see why it would matter if you were saying anything but since they told you that, dont ever mention you are helping others with there plays. Since they know your situation with your loans & they are your friend, I hope they give you the top plays every week. Lets all win money.
Dont be hasty, lets give him a shot & see what his friends come up with & yes, your right about Walters, hes the guy that bet the big money for the group. Michael Kent that wrote the program was just a nerd & needed partners to come in & help him make the bets, so Dr Ivan Lidlin, one of Michael Kents friends & an original member intoduced Michael to Billy & the rest is history. By the way, Michael Kent & his brother still operate in Vegas under a company corporation name & they pay taxes on the winnings they claim.
I cant wait until football kicks off, this babseball stuff is entirely too boring to watch or wager on.
