MisterMJ NCAA Basketball Picks, Systems & Analysis

[Mistermj]

Getting back to what I like to do best here. Make picks, run handicapping systems and hopefully have a good time.

There are two rules I hope everyone can follow.

1. Just follow the "Golden Rule" and that takes care of most everything.
2. If rule # 1 doesn't work...don't feed the trolls...ignore them...I do. Easy!
It completely takes their power away.
If you read them, answer them or comment to them ...YOU are the problem.

And lastly...Do NOT EVER GAMBLE...But if you must...do it right...do it with purpose...and do it with discipline.

Good luck to us. :toast:

 

[Mistermj]

One pick tonight.

I use Covers lines at the time of posting. I run NCAAB systems and the picks will be MY picks from the systems.

8:00 PM ET Pick Ohio St. +1.5

NCAAB Record 0-0-0 All picks are for 1 unit

Good luck! :toast:

 

[StevieRay]

Good luck!

 

[Mistermj]

One College game tonight.

9:00 PM ET Pick Georgia St. -1
NCAA Record 0-1-0

Good luck.

MJ

 

[Mistermj]

Three games tonight.

4:00 PM ET Pick Willliam & Mary +6.5
10:00 PM ET Pick Montana PK
11:00 PM ET Pick Pacific -9

NCAAB 0-2-0

 

[Mistermj]

For College I am tracking these picks today. Expected win probability is 55% give or take. I'm less sure about the O/U's so proceed with caution.


Of course one day is a small sample...so take it for what it's worth.


I will have a number of picks coming up for ALL of the Tournaments and I expect them to be of very good quality. I've been working on this for quite a while now. These tracking picks are part of that system and they get better the last couple of weeks of the season...and peak with best performance during the Tournaments.


Here is what I'm looking at today as the regular NCAA season comes to an end.


If you play them play them small.


All times are Eastern...and once again be careful with the O/U's...less proven...ATS picks "expected" to come in at 55% ATS long term. Long term results are based on closing lines...so in theory you can allow for some line movement.


Siena
St. Peter's 02:00 PM Under 123.5


Iona
Rider 02:00 PM Over 164.0


Marist
Canisius -02:00 PM CAN -16.0


Furman
East Tennessee St. 02:00 PM Under 146.0




Colorado St.
Nevada 04:00 PM NEV -16.5




Samford
NC-Greensboro 04:00 PM UNCG -15.5




Penn St
Nebraska 05:15 PM Under 140.0


Most recent tracking records (O/U breakdown is 2-2-0 as part of the below overall records)
02/24/2018 11-7-0 61.11%
02/23/2018 2-2-0 50.00%
02/22/2018 4-2-0 66.67%
02/18/2018 0-1-0 0.00%
02/17/2018 6-7-0 46.15%
23-19-0 54.76%

 

[Mistermj]

I'm tracking these ...play along if you wish but I recommend caution and only half wagers if you decide to play. I am getting ready to run this system for all of the Conference and March Madness Tournaments. I will share it here.

So patience...what I hope is the best stuff is yet to come ..running this system for Tournament picks.

NCAA
DUKE at VT 07:00 PM Pick Over 156.0


JMU at ELON 07:00 PM Picks James Madison +2.5 and Over 142.5
College Tracking
ATS Picks 26-23-0 53.06%
O/U Picks 4-3-1 57.14%

 

[XSPower]

Good luck tonight....

 

[Mistermj]

Yesterdays results.

02/26/2018 2-1-0 66.67%

 

[Mistermj]

The College tracking is acting how we would like to see it leading up to the Tournaments...all systems go.

You can play these tracking picks if you like...but rmember keep it small or half wagers.

We can use full wagers for the upcoming College Tournament picks as things are coming together as expected...or hoped...whichever you prefer.

Frankly my dear....I don't give a damn. ointer:




NCAAB Tracking System


ST. JOES at URI 07:00 PM PICK Over 147.0


OKLA at BAY 09:00 PM PICK BAYLOR -3.5



ATS Picks 27-23-0 54.00%
O/U Picks 5-4-1 55.56%

 

[XSPower]

Good luck tonight...

 

[Ilovetobet]

bol

 

[Mistermj]

[FONT=Titillium Web, Arial, Verdana, sans-serif]Yesterday in NCAAB 1-1-0 50.00%
[/FONT]
[FONT=Titillium Web, Arial, Verdana, sans-serif][/FONT]
[FONT=Titillium Web, Arial, Verdana, sans-serif]We have more College tracking plays today if you choose to play them.[/FONT]
[FONT=Titillium Web, Arial, Verdana, sans-serif][/FONT]
[FONT=Titillium Web, Arial, Verdana, sans-serif]Remember that I recommend to play these small or as half wagers while we track the rest of the College regular season. [/FONT]
[FONT=Titillium Web, Arial, Verdana, sans-serif][/FONT]
[FONT=Titillium Web, Arial, Verdana, sans-serif]Once the Tournaments start it's looking like we can go full wagers[/FONT]
[FONT=Titillium Web, Arial, Verdana, sans-serif][/FONT]
[FONT=Titillium Web, Arial, Verdana, sans-serif]NCAAB Tracking Picks[/FONT]
[FONT=Titillium Web, Arial, Verdana, sans-serif]2/28 [/FONT]


PROV at XAV 06:30 PM Pick XAVIER -10.5 and Over 153.5


TEM at UCONN 07:00 PM Pick TEMPLE -2.0


CSF at CSN 10:00 PM Pick CAL STATE FULLERTON -7.5 AND U 140.0


NCAAB Tracking Record
ATS Picks 28-23-0 54.90%
O/U Picks 5-5-1 50.00%



MJ

 

[EZrider]

Bol (<)<

 

[HacheMan]

GL tonight

 

[Ilovetobet]

bol

 

[Mistermj]

Everything looks pretty good for the Tournaments...we were tracking to get a feel for system internals and having a positive bias with the ATS trackers is a good sign.

Now we can tighten things up and play the Tournaments with full wagers, and hopefully align ourselves with the winners going forward.

Yesterday...02/28/2018 2-3-0 40.00%

Final NCAAB Tracking Record

ATS Picks 29-25-0 53.70%
O/U Picks 6-6-1 50.00%

 

[Mistermj]

For College ...the Conference Tournaments start today and we have a new system to play.

I am ok with playing these as full wagers based on extensive testing of the history.
I would recommend that you play them all...don't pick and choose.
Flat bet...play them all for the same amount is the safest and arguably the most profitable in the long run.

MisterMJ's NCAA Tournament System ( In theory small line slippage is ok but use common sense. There are always
more picks coming)

All times are Eastern.The teams with the line are the Picks

FIU at CHAR 07:30 PM
FIU -2.5

WKU at MTU 08:00 PM
WKU +4.0

UVA at LOU 08:00 PM
UVA -4.0

WEB at MONT 09:00 PM
MONT -8.5

USF at MEM 09:00 PM
MEM -13.5

CP at UCRV 10:00 PM
UCRV -3.5

LBSU at UCSB 11:00 PM
UCSB -7.5

2018 Record 0-0-0

 

[indiana]

Mr./MJ..........BOL with all your action and a successful March..........indy

 

[Mistermj]

Thanks for the best wishes everyone. :toast:

Yesterdays NCAAB Tournament System Results (Against the Spread)
03/01/2018 3-4-0 42.86% ATS
Overall Record 3-4-0 42.86% ATS