MistaFlava's NFL Football Week 12 ***POWER SELECTIONS*** (Writeups & Analysis)

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MistaFlava's 2021 NFL Football Record: 46-43 ATS (-13.00 Units)

Took the day off to watch and enjoy the game worry free. Having said that going for a big one tonight.

GOOD LUCK TO EVERYONE!

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Sunday, November 28



Cleveland Browns +3 (50 Units) ***PLAY OF THE MONTH***

The criticism of QB Baker Mayfield is escalating and almost every single time we've seen that this year Shake n Bake has come out with some big performances. I kind of expect the same tonight and I expect his teammates to back him up like they have done on so many occasions. The Ravens come into this game with a ton of injuries and although QB Lamar Jackson is back as the starter we don't know how he feels and we don't know if he's fully recovered from his mystery illness (maybe food poisoning or something). In the game he missed the Ravens still managed to squeak by the Chicago Bears and pull off a win which was huge but it wasn't pretty and I don't trust them at home as favorites. I've said it so many times this year, if you're going to bet on the Cleveland Browns make sure it's on the road and make sure they are underdogs. They are 3-2 ATS on the road this season and the Ravens are 2-3 ATS at home this season. So far this season the Baltimore defense has been pretty terrible at home as they have allowed 392.8 total yards of offense per Home Game and have allowed 7.1 yards per play in those games. Their run defense has been solid all year but RB Nick Chubb will definitely have an impact against a defense that has allowed 4.4 yards per carry at home this season. In the air opposing quarterbacks average 302.2 passing yards per game in Baltimore this season for a crazy 8.8 yards per pass attempt and an average QB Rating of 107.1. The Browns defense has not been much better and we could see some big plays in this one. Having said that Cleveland's defense has the ability to win games on their own and they have the #4 ranked total yards defense in the league and the #8 ranked passing and rushing defenses in the NFL this season. The Browns have struggled over the years with Baker Mayfield when facing the Ravens but the Road Team is 4-1 ATS in the last five meetings coming into this game. Cleveland comes into this game 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games coming off an ATS loss the previous game and they are 5-0 ATS in their last five Road Games versus a team with a winning Home Record (Baltimore is 4-1 SU this season). The Browns are 5-2 ATS in their last seven Road Games as an Underdog. Baltimore is 2-6 ATS in their last eight games as a Favorite and they are 0-5 ATS in their last five games coming off an ATS win the previous game. They don't have much consistency. Everytime Baker Mayfield and his job are questioned he comes out and finds a way to win the game. Cleveland got killed the last time they played here in a 38-6 loss and I know the Browns have not forgotten about that. Time to open up the playbook and win a statement game on Sunday Night Football. Browns win this game.

Trend of the Game: Cleveland is 5-0 ATS in their last five Road Games versus a team with a winning record at Home.


Cleveland 29, Baltimore 17




:cheers:
 

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You have to trust somebody and that somebody is you Flava-best to you. We all have choices and I exercise mine.
 

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Let's roll Flava!
 

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