As an older Capper, I find it interesting that in 2008 you have stumbled on basic capping 101; the stuff we used to do with a pencil and paper. Your simulations have at its roots of programing a basic Capping principle: Better defense will dominate and create turnovers. Turnovers have an 80 % correlation with winning and covering the spread.
Today's capping youth has been led stray with stories of public Sides Sharp sides, Betting line movements ( which is profitable, but you need to be betting high volume, betting line movement per one game is not) Betting opposite of public, betting esoteric technical angles, ie bet Texas on the second Saturday of the month if they are wearing white uniforms and their opponents has a 50% conversion rate on 3rd downs in their last game. etc etc.
Basic Capping principles have been forgotten.
You'll see that all your simulations will pick the better defense, nothing wrong with that, enjoy. If your Nintendo or what ever it is you kids call it runs out of batteries. Take a paper and pencil and start Capping, with your foundation being: Better defense.
:toast: