MistaFlava's CFB Week 8 ***PS2 POWER SIMULATIONS*** (30-6 ATS all sims NFL and CFB)

[shidalgo1004]

You are the Man Flave. I thought I would give your picks a shot with a small parlay and it hit.
Thanks.....
Keep up the good work, I am on the Flave wagon from now on.

 

[313Camper]

Yea!

Thats whats up. Mista Flav put it down on "therx" i put it on!!!!!

 

[Broke]

PS2 Video Game Simulations

Here is the deal. My capping was not on par this season in CFB or NFL so I decided to use an old capping tool that actually works pretty damn well.

We had a poster a few weeks ago who brought up the idea of using EA Sports video games to simulate games. I don't know how many of you remember when I did this back in 2005 but I used to spend hours doing pretty much the same thing, fixing rosters to the dot, using accurate weather predictions and doing all you can do have a decent simulation.

The results were staggering. The PS2 simulations hit something like 13 in a row in College Football, 14 of 16 in NFL and the same success was found in NBA and College Basketball. I got a bit side tracked with some personal stuff right after that and never thought of doing it again.

***CONFESSION***: The last few weeks, the only weeks I have been winning, my capping has been based on PS2 Simulations and I have posted most of them as my picks. The Kentucky to cover over Alabama was all PS2 based. My 5-1 ATS week in the NFL Week 5 was all done by the PS2 and there is nothing wrong with that. Accept it.


Week 5

Washington +6.5 (Winner)
Tennessee -1 (Winner) *exact score*
Denver -3.5 (Loser by 0.5)
Arizona -1 (Winner)
Pittsburgh +5.5 (Winner)
Minnesota +3 (Winner)


Week 6

Chicago -3 (Loser)
Tampa Bay -1 (Winner)
Jacksonville +3.5 (Winner)
Arizona +4.5 (Winner)
New England +6 (Loser)
Cleveland +9 (Winner)


ALL RESULTS OF THE PS2 PREDICTIONS!!! Because of the losses I decided to go back and change some of the settings and sim some of the games over and over again until I got it right. The end results were the following:

Atlanta over Chicago
San Diego over New England (large)

Okay so some of you think it's stupid and some of you think this is the dumbest thing you have ever heard of. Okay cool. The bottom line is, a lot of time and effort is put into those video games and by simulating the games with exact settings and all variables, you can really get a good idea of which teams match up well with other teams.

Having seen that thread last weekend, I decided to simulate some games from earlier this season in college football (it took me 5+ hours to setup the rosters and get everything right). I picked the top 7 games from Week 6 of college football and some games from past weeks to see what kind of results the PS2 would generate.

Examples of simulations (these are games I ran this week)


Week 3

USC -11 over Ohio State = Winner


Week 6

FAU +2.5 = Winner
Boise State -11 = Winner
Pittsburgh +13.5 = Winner
Cincinnati -3 = Winner
Georgia Tech -13 = Winner
Penn State -14 = Winner
Kentucky +16.5 = Winner
Vanderbilt +4.5 = Winner
Ohio State -1 = Winner


Week 7 (posted picks in CFB Forum)

Troy -3.5 = Winner (I was on Florida Atlantic)
Wake Forest -2.5 = Winner
Louisville -6.5 = Winner
Oklahoma -7 = Loser (Modified with new settings picked TEXAS to win)
Northwestern +1 = Loser
Oklahoma State +14 = Winner
Florida -6.5 = Winner


Simulated Games: 15-2 ATS

Posted Games: 4-2 ATS

ALL SIMULATIONS: 30-6* ATS (see below)​

*Most of these picks were simulated the last few weeks (posted and not posted). I know 6 losses out of 36 is not bad but those losses bothered me. I went back and changed more settings and spent hours trying to see what went wrong with the simulation and I came up with something good. The new settings had Texas over Oklahoma three times which is what I was looking for in the first place.

By now you get the point that all the games I simulated, after playing with all the settings and rosters for hours, turned out the results it did back in 2005, the last time I tried this experiment.

This is not misleading anyone because with time you will see how accurate and powerful these simulations are and I had never thought of bringing them back once and for all. I will select only the best 6-7 games

***CFB AND NFL WENT A COMBINED 9-4 ATS last week but the four losses have been corrected and the settings have been tweaked to project better results, better totals and more accurate spreads. I am not going to do much more tweaking of the system and let's just let this cash money cow ride for now.

You don't have to like what I'm doing but it works. Enjoy while it lasts, I will post the picks and simulation results in this thread for this week.

Do not get discouraged if the PS2 loses one or two games. Example of this being yesterday Oklahoma and NW lose but Florida and Oklahoma State bring home the bacon at night. I put tons of time and effort into this shit and in the end it wins, wins and wins some more.

-------------------------------------------


Alright so last week is gone and this week is here. I am done modifying the system and I am done playing around. We either win or we lose with what I have put together because this goes way beyond just setting weather, rosters, injury reports, time, penalties and so on. This is about setting gameplay and making sure each time has the right style of play in the simulation. Example: If you simulate a Florida game and Tim Tebow doesn't run the ball, that means the team is not setup properly and changes need to be made. Call me a dork but I spent tons of time modifying each teams tendencies.

Alright enough bullshit, at 30-6 ATS in both college and NFL I am willing to keep riding this money train and hopefully some of you followers have been able to cash in so far. TIME TO GET THE MONEY TRAIN ROLLING!



Thursday, October 16



North Carolina St +11
TCU -1.5




:toast:


The first game generated a final score of 24-17 (OT) Florida State. It was an exciting game that saw both teams have big time turnover problems. Neither QB looked all that good, neither team was able to establish a run game. It was a low-scoring game for the most part that featured one top notch defense in FSU and one horrendous offense in FSU (regardless of what they have done this season). I say you all expect turnovers here and a very tight game. NC State always plays the Noles close for some reason and this game should be no different.

The second game was interesting. It saw TCU win 44-15 over the Cougars as they played their best game of the season and screwed the betting public out of their money. Make no mistake about it this is the better of the two games tonight and this should have been the game on National TV. The Horned Frogs scored first and never looked back as they forced turnover after turnover, their defense was the best it was been in ages and BYU was knocked out of BCS talks with their first loss of the season. I don't know why everyone is fading TCU at home here, they have an advantage in several matcnups (according to the PS2) and I am riding this baby to the bank.

Disclaimer: I know I'm gonna take a ton of heat for this but I don't care. Right now it's a method of capping that's working for me, it's the reason my numbers are going to get better and in this world of sports betting you do whatever it takes to have an edge. Right? So don't hate, appreciate my postings.

Bash away and good following, fading or admiring.

nice call! you were the only person that I seen with my same plays.

 

[kaynem]

24-17 Florida State - Simulation

26-17 Florida State - Real-time

Choke on that boxslayer.

Don't change a thing flava! You've hit the hot spot.

 

[smalltime]

Be Serious

Stop bashing the MAN if he continues to help you. Just thank him he is not asking to be the next God. He is just sharing what he has to offer. If you don't like it then get out. I am not I am on the train:toast::money8:Train that is. I appreciate you sharing what you have with us Mistaflava. Hell I think your stocks went up 1000% . Who need the DOW Jones. Save that paper invest in Flava it is a safer investment..:smoker2::smoker2::smoker2:

 

[MarksMoneymakers]

I don't care how you are picking winners, just keep them coming. Bottom line is you are winning and there are many people who cannot say the same thing. Maybe next year this system will suck, but this year it has been great, so keep rolling those winners out. Looking forward to your next plays.

 

[Bjizzle06]

Make it 32-6. Thanks for your hard work MistaFlava. Don't pay attention to the haters.

 

[TheShambler]

2-0 night...very nice

Even had he posted plays for an 0-2 night...it makes no difference as long as Everyone backing his plays should be aware how he is coming out with these plays.

He is not making any false claims or misrepresentations. He is not asking for any money for his time on his findings. He is simply sharing a winning angle that is working for him FREE of charge. If he goes tout and people pay money for this ...then they deserve the consequences of their own stupidity. Do Not Bet Blindly or Large following these plays and then come around bashing him.

While I do agree this is NOT handicapping, nor anything close to it. it is currently working .... I make my own decisions based on my research but I love reading his results.

 

[Wingsfan]

Blind luck - great capping - call it what you want - its working! Thanks Flava and please continue to post! Dancing all the way to the bank as long as it lasts!!

:cripwalk:

 

[Boxslayer]

Talk to me when this system is 300-60, and then we can talk about a better sample size. It can win the next 20 plays straight and that would be merely by chance. However, you will see before that time comes that this system is flawed to the core.

1. Please read post above. I never said that once I posted every play was going to be a loser from here on out. Some plays will win, some will lose - in the end, you all lose juice, money and more.
2. Never seen a thread with more people with less than 30 posts defend the original poster since an ace-ace thread. This place is a ghost-town.
3. I am calling on MistaFlava to post the ACCURATE RECORD of this system. Not this BS 30-6 record. Those plays that were "simulated" AFTER the games had been decided in real life, need to be never mentioned again and stricken from the record or I am posting my record tomorrow at 300-16, and I call all other cappers to do the same and this place becomes a joke.


Those that say "I dont care its working", I used to feel the same way when I joined this site. Until the guy I was following that posted winner after winner and I didnt care how he did it, started losing. You can not follow something that the fundamentals are not strong. And you will see this in time - except it will be your money lost and not mine. So enjoy it while it lasts it is a mathematical fact that it will even out on this type of "system".

But I am done responding in here. My warnings have been heard, and guys like CowboyT are right. Too many ignorant people. If I were you all, I would go spend my money ASAP because it's only a matter of time before you give it back and then some - but you dont understand that. Too busy celebrating 2 wins out of 100 season plays and too busy celebrating one season out of many. These are all short term wins, without a solid fundamental foundation. Celebrate today, for it will be gone tomorrow. Again if you are going to blindly follow someone I urge you to follow a guy like GoSooners, who is one of many examples of CFB cappers that have solid fundamentals and will win long term.

I'm done posting in here.

 

[Broke]

1. Please read post above.
2. Never seen a thread with more people with less than 30 posts defend the original poster since an ace-ace thread. This place is a ghost-town.
3. I am calling on MistaFlava to post the ACCURATE RECORD of this system. Not this BS 30-6 record. Those plays that were "simulated" AFTER the games had been decided in real life, need to be never mentioned again and stricken from the record or I am posting my record tomorrow at 300-16, and I call all other cappers to do the same and this place becomes a joke.


Those that say "I dont care its working", I used to feel the same way when I joined this site. Until the guy I was following that posted winner after winner and I didnt care how he did it, started losing. You can not follow something that the fundamentals are not strong. And you will see this in time. So enjoy it while it lasts it is a mathematical fact that it will even out on this type of "system".

But I am done responding in here. My warnings have been heard, and guys like CowboyT are right. Too many ignorant people. If I were you all, I would go spend my money ASAP because it's only a matter of time before you give it back and then some - but you dont understand that. Too busy celebrating 2 wins out of 100 season plays and too busy celebrating one season out of many. These are all short term wins, without a solid fundamental foundation. Celebrate today, for it will be gone tomorrow. Again if you are going to blindly follow someone I urge you to follow a guy like GoSooners, who is one of many examples of CFB cappers that have solid fundamentals and will win long term.

I'm done posting in here.

Boxslayer for life! Mistaflavaflav is on a nice run right now... pure luck, or is it skill? I just know before this run he was great fade material with great write-ups.

 

[jblonghorn]

1. Please read post above. I never said that once I posted every play was going to be a loser from here on out. Some plays will win, some will lose - in the end, you all lose juice, money and more.
2. Never seen a thread with more people with less than 30 posts defend the original poster since an ace-ace thread. This place is a ghost-town.
3. I am calling on MistaFlava to post the ACCURATE RECORD of this system. Not this BS 30-6 record. Those plays that were "simulated" AFTER the games had been decided in real life, need to be never mentioned again and stricken from the record or I am posting my record tomorrow at 300-16, and I call all other cappers to do the same and this place becomes a joke.


Those that say "I dont care its working", I used to feel the same way when I joined this site. Until the guy I was following that posted winner after winner and I didnt care how he did it, started losing. You can not follow something that the fundamentals are not strong. And you will see this in time - except it will be your money lost and not mine. So enjoy it while it lasts it is a mathematical fact that it will even out on this type of "system".

But I am done responding in here. My warnings have been heard, and guys like CowboyT are right. Too many ignorant people. If I were you all, I would go spend my money ASAP because it's only a matter of time before you give it back and then some - but you dont understand that. Too busy celebrating 2 wins out of 100 season plays and too busy celebrating one season out of many. These are all short term wins, without a solid fundamental foundation. Celebrate today, for it will be gone tomorrow. Again if you are going to blindly follow someone I urge you to follow a guy like GoSooners, who is one of many examples of CFB cappers that have solid fundamentals and will win long term.

I'm done posting in here.

Later Boxslayer, and STAY OUT!

 

[newmeat]

Never seen a thread with more people with less than 30 posts defend the original poster since an ace-ace thread. This place is a ghost-town.

:nohead: Not me though, I am on your side Box. Some people have to learn for themselves.

 

[wags4]

Another nice night flava!!! Keep up the good work.:toast:

 

[DANDORO]

Hey, MistaFlava any simulation for Boise game from tonight? I think lots of us are waiting your sims like the Holy Grail...ope:ope:ope:

 

[BaldEagle]

2-0 night...very nice

While I do agree this is NOT handicapping, nor anything close to it. it is currently working .... I make my own decisions based on my research but I love reading his results.

So if someone writes a computer program which crunches a bunch of numbers and spits out predictions based on historical information. They would not be considered to be doing REAL handicapping because they didn't do it by hand?

That is basically what this is and is really not much different than any other REAL handicapping, it is just being done by a computer simulation instead of a person. There are arguments to say that this is a BETTER simulation as it is unbiased and purely statistical.

We don't go around jumping on someone who uses system trends to justify their handicapping and say they aren't doing REAL handicapping do we? We might make fun of systems being shoe-horned into situations but it is what it is. Everyone handicaps differently... Heck I do a lot of my handicapping based on what ESPN says (I also lose a lot) but it doesn't make it any less legit. It might make it less accurate, but who is to say what is accurate and what isn't.

Bottom line.. leave the man alone and let him do his handicapping any way he wants to. He puts a lot of time into this and we should be thanking him for his time and not bashing him for how he spends it. The RX is suppose to be about helping each other and sharing information to beat the book, not about bashing who's handicapping method is best.

 

[2DIMES]

:toast:d1g1tMistaflava what is the pc spiting out today?

 

[MMfan]

:cripwalk:

Stop bashing the MAN if he continues to help you. Just thank him he is not asking to be the next God. He is just sharing what he has to offer. If you don't like it then get out. I am not I am on the train:toast::money8:Train that is. I appreciate you sharing what you have with us Mistaflava. Hell I think your stocks went up 1000% . Who need the DOW Jones. Save that paper invest in Flava it is a safer investment..:smoker2::smoker2::smoker2:

 

[duckhunter]

Thank you Flava!!

I just bet a mortgage payment on a 2-team parlay and never had 2 games win so easily!!

I may sell what's left of my stocks and cash out now because THIS is where the real money can be made. Please keep posting these locks as I need to put money away for my kids college education after I just lost most of that in the stock market the last month

Stock market = Disaster
MistaFlava = Best investment out there

This is a GOLD MINE!!:chest:

dude, are you crazy????:think2:

 

[TheRooster]

You running sims for the Hawaii/Boise game?