Mississippi State vs Kentucky 10/29/2011

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Mississippi State is a solid favorite with a 74% chance to beat Kentucky. Vick Ballard is projected for 107 rushing yards and a 70% chance of having at least 1 rushing TD. In the 26% of simulations where Kentucky wins, Morgan Newton averages 1.72 TD passes vs 1.35 interceptions, while in losses he has a ratio of 0.89 TDs to 1.6 interceptions. Raymond Sanders averages 56 rushing yards and 0.47 rushing TDs when Kentucky wins and 50 yards and 0.24 TDs in losses. Mississippi State has a 57% chance of forcing more turnovers than they commit. Positive turnover margin helps them win 82% of the time. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is KY +10

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