Mississippi State vs Houston 10/9/2010

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Mississippi State is a solid favorite with a 63% chance to beat Houston. Vick Ballard is projected for 66 rushing yards and a 73% chance of having at least 1 rushing TD. In the 37% of simulations where Houston wins, Terrance Broadway averages 1.87 TD passes vs 1.69 interceptions, while in losses he has a ratio of 1 TDs to 2.05 interceptions. Bryce Beall averages 87 rushing yards and 0.89 rushing TDs when Houston wins and 76 yards and 0.54 TDs in losses. Mississippi State has a 49% chance of forcing more turnovers than they commit. Positive turnover margin helps them win 75% of the time. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is HOU +4.5

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