Minnesota vs Purdue 10/16/2010

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AccuScore is forecasting a close game with Minnesota winning 41% of simulations, and Purdue 59% of simulations. In close games, turnover margin is especially important. Minnesota commits fewer turnovers in 47% of simulations and they go on to win 52% when they take care of the ball. Purdue wins 77% of the simulations in which they commit fewer turnovers. Duane Bennett is averaging 57 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (24% chance) then he helps his team win 57%. Rob Henry is averaging 69 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (29% chance) then he helps his team win 72%. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is PUR -5

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