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YTD: 110-9-92 +16.39 (stake 277.49)

Dvo Anzoategui vs Dvo Lara (Venez)
- DANZ best home club in the country now unbeaten in 22 in league and 19-1-0 L20. Both are title challengers but defensively DANZ a level above Lara who were exposed in the back during Copa Lib play. Lara did end their streak of 12 games in a row conceding but that will start back up tonight as DANZ have scored in 20 straight league games here.

DANZ 1u to win .78u


Toronto FC vs Montreal Impact
- first match of Canadian championships and both will rotate squads. Montreal reported kept Nesta, DiVaio, and Perkins home to rest and likely giving time to youngsters. Same with TFC who are expected to start up to 5 youngsters tonight. Weather is miserable...40 and showers and Montreal coach already discussed the importance of defending well in these cup road games and going for the home win. I don't think much will be risked tonight

TFC/MTL u2.5 1u to win .86u
 

I'm from the government and I'm here to help
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CL 2:45

Dortmund vs Real Madrid
- going small on Dortmund today. Can't argue what they've done in CL play as they haven't lost a single match and any worries of spanish superiority would have been washed away about 21 hours ago. Real Madrid have a brutal history when playing cup games in Germany winning just once in 23 trips (1-5-17) and never against Dortmund or Bayern http://www.eurocupshistory.com/match/history_land/348-GER/real_madrid_against_german_clubs

Dortmund pk .5u to win .5u
 

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Real Garcilaso vs Nacional (copa lib)
- again going over the small total on a Garcilaso match, especially at home where they create a ton of chances. Nacional are highest scoring team in Uruguay and have played a bunch of altitude matches in their history and scored 3x in 2700m altitude at Toluca just 2 months ago (cusco about 3400m). Garcilaso's home cup matches ended 1-1 vs Ind Santa Fe (was about 20 great chances), 0-3 vs Tolima, and 5-1 vs Cerro Porteno. They'll be going all out to push a nice advantage before away leg and I can see Nacional scoring for sure on the counter.

Garcilaso/Nacional over 2 goals 2u to win 1.5u
 

I'm from the government and I'm here to help
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adding a beer money prop for the CL match

since Arsenal scored first at Dortmund in Sept 2011 they have scored the first goal at home in 38 of their past 41 matches including 6 of 7 in Champions League. Real Madrid scored first in 3 of their last 6 away CL matches and just 6 of their last 15 overall away matches

Dortmund to score first goal .25u to win .26u
 

I'm from the government and I'm here to help
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Tue:
-1.00 DANZ 1-1
+0.86 TFC 2-0
+0.50 Dort 4-1
+0.26 Dort first goal

Basel vs Chelsea
- Blues far from convincing away from home in Europe this year, 2-0-4 with only wins at sparta and fc nord. even winning CL last year only one once on road in europe. basel just once beaten in 2013 and haven't lost a home game since august and 4-2-0 home europa league. last year even beat united and bayern here so can play with anyone on their day. Chelsea emotional yo-yo month...beat united in fa cup, lose in fa cup semi, barely survive in russia, dealing with biting and 97th min equalizer with crazy schedule coming (another 6 games to play in 16 days). by May 11 they'll have played 14 games in 42 days

Basel +1/2 1u to win .63u


Garcilaso o2 pending
 

I'm from the government and I'm here to help
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lost a unit with Basel 1-2 FT

Garcilaso moved against me but i like the bet a lot and will add a unit

adding Garcilaso/Nacional over 2 goals 1u to win .87u
 

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garcilaso 1-0

YTD: 113-9-95 +13.01 (stake 283.24)
 

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