midweek

[rolltide]

Valencia vs Lille (Tue CL)
French teams usually no prayer on road in Spain. PSG defeated Sevilla in Europa group stage 2 years ago which is only French win in last 6 years (1-1-12...ouch). Gap growing wider as well with last two year's scores of 3-1, 4-0, 2-0, 4-0. Lille especially awful losing 3-1 at Valencia, 2-0 at Sevilla, 1-0 at Villareal in past 6 years. Lille week compared to llast year as they lost their talisman, Eden Hazard, plus centerback Cetto and MF, Joe Cole. Results have been very poor with just a single 1-0 win in past 9 games and sitting 15th in France. Valencia lost Alba to Barcelona and Hernandez to Swansea but brought in Canales and Gago from Real Madrid and Cissokho from Lyon in a 20M spending spree (only Madrid and Barca spent more). Both lost on matchday 1 so pivotal game and both have a lot of injuries...Lille likely without 3 starters, Valencia without 5. Valencia a perfect 5-0-0 home vs French teams and celebrating their 100th European match. Since April 1 only Atletico Madrid have beaten Valencia on their home ground and Atletico might be hottest team in Europe right now. (see Spain vs France h2h europe at http://www.eurocupshistory.com/matc...rance_against_spain_in_uefa_club_competitions) ... people betting against Valencia due to injuries but too much quality IMO

Valencia -0.75 -111 1u

 

[DialSquares]

some good stuff here rolltide....i have a french road over in europe fetish but maybe not with lille...i watched a bit of the first half vs BAte and lille certainly looked lost..gl -

 

[rolltide]

Arsenal vs Olympiakos (Wed CL)
Greeks 1-2-18 L21 in England but even worse 0-1-10 in Champions League. Oly a perfect 0-0-9 all time in England, Arsenal 5-2-0 vs Greeks in London and haven't lost here in CL to a non-English club since 2003 (36-9-0). Oly many injuries and sold off 35M worth of players from last year's club. Gunners should score 3 against a bad Oly defense

Arsenal -1.25 -115 risk 1u

 

[ARUKIDNME]

Like Valencia not a fan of the French sides internationally.

BOL

 

[cocktailsnlongshots+]

Arsenal vs Olympiakos (Wed CL)
Greeks 1-2-18 L21 in England but even worse 0-1-10 in Champions League. Oly a perfect 0-0-9 all time in England, Arsenal 5-2-0 vs Greeks in London and haven't lost here in CL to a non-English club since 2003 (36-9-0). Oly many injuries and sold off 35M worth of players from last year's club. Gunners should score 3 against a bad Oly defense

Arsenal -1.25 -115 risk 1u

did u vomit a lil in yer mouth when you actually clicked submit on ARSENAL?

 

[rolltide]

i actually slammed my forehead to the desk and rolled from ear to ear

 

[cocktailsnlongshots+]

figured it was something lurid

 

[DialSquares]

valencia went pretty much like it was suppose to go....nice call.....for the good of the board let's hope tomorrow's match hits just as easy......

 

[DialSquares]

you can get arsenal -1 at -134 at pinny....ultra tempted to bet my club for the second time in about 5 years.....i don't get it.

 

[rolltide]

Dynamo Kiev vs Dinamo Zagreb
- I'll say it again...Zagreb are the worst team in this competition and unlikely to win a single match. Maybe 0-1-5 is appropriate if they can sneak out a home draw but I don't see any chances away from Croatia. Huge class difference here as Ukrainians are 7-1-0 17/4 all time vs Croatians in Europe and all those matches were within the past 8 years. Six of the 7 wins came by 2 goals and when Croatians play away in CL record is 0-0-2 1/5 with Dinamo losing by 2 goals to Shakhtar and Dynamo Kiev. Dinamo much weaker than last year after selling Badlj to HSV for 4.5M euros and bringing in nobody of note...just a few local Croatian plays from their junior club Lokomotiv. No explanation for Dynamo Kiev's poor start to season. They spent a whopping 30M euros on guys from Milan, Spurs, Genoa, Hertha, and Villareal and only lost Andre who went back to Brazil yet they are struggling. Their match against PSG was a joke and then they got hammered by rival Shakhtar before needing a late goal to beat Zorya who they defeated 6-1 a year ago. So, not entirely convinced on Kiev who I tipped to qualify with Porto (not sold on PSG) but will be tough now after starting with a -3 goal differential. Last year Zagreb lost away in CL 2-0 2-0 4-0 6-2 while Dynamo were KO's by Rubin Kazan and didn't make group stage. Ukraine ranked 7th in Uefa club (ahead of Russia and Netherlands) while Croatia is 21st (down by Czechs and even behind Poles and Danes) and things back to normal with both Dynamo and Shakhtar back in group stages. I'll go with the -1 small and then stake on double with Arsenal who really shouldn't be troubled today by Oly.

Dynamo Kiev -1 goal .67u to win .5u
Kiev/Arsenal double .52 to win .5u

 

[boltfan12]

Arsenal was -1.5 -112 yesterday now -1.5 +107 today on my site, has a player been scratched or something?

 

[rolltide]

had to put a blindfold on to hit submit for this one...biggest one of week now after odds moved so heavily in Dortmund's favor

Arab Money Machine vs Dortmund
- I'm not a fan at all of German teams away in Europe especially not when playing the English champs. H2H in CL is pretty ugly with English winning 14 straight at home (yeah, that's 14-0-0) going back to the '04-'05 tournament. City contributed one of those last year beating Bayern 2-0 here while Dortmund lost in London vs Arsenal and have lost all 3 matches in England played since 2000. Dortmund had Kagawa depart to united for 14M in teh summer and important striker Barrios headed to China for 8M but they didn't lose Lewandowski to United, as expected. On road in CL last year were heavy defeats at Marseille (3-0), Oly (3-1) and Arsenal (2-1...was 2-0 until Kagawa scored in stoppage). City haven't lost a meaningful home match since Dec 2010 which includes 32 EPL games, 2 Europa league games, and 3 CL matches...37 straight without defeat including 33 outright wins. yet prices suggest City have less than a 50% chance of winning this match? huh?

City (ugh) 2u +113

 

[rolltide]

Arsenal was -1.5 -112 yesterday now -1.5 +107 today on my site, has a player been scratched or something?

no, just normal discomfort betting on arsenal HC...really not a fun team to bet on when they are fully expected to dominate the opponent. They'll win the match...i have no doubts on that...but will lose 1/2 bet if just by 1 goal (i have -1 1/4). Neither Giroud nor Walcott in lineup so the frog again refuses to play Walcott and Oxlade-Chamb at the same time.

 

[gobucks]

Line movement have put me off City here rolltide......other than their domestic form being below par I have no idea why they are + money to get three points here.

 

[cocktailsnlongshots+]

wow is all i can say!!!...city and gooners on same day....just checked outside to see if any pigs were flying....i take it you have a tv hooked up above the toilet?

 

[boltfan12]

Thanks Roll.

 

[rolltide]

wow is all i can say!!!...city and gooners on same day....just checked outside to see if any pigs were flying....i take it you have a tv hooked up above the toilet?

just keep thinking of the guy in airplane...

"i picked the wrong week to quit amphetamines" ... "i picked the wrong week to quit sniffing glue" ...

if I had also backed the scousers on the same day then you'd know armageddon had begun.

 

[cocktailsnlongshots+]

hahaha...loved lloyd bridges

 

[rolltide]

city lineup is in...i like it

Dzeko/Aguero
Nasri/NoNo/Silva/JaviG
and no Lescott or old man in defense

 

[ARUKIDNME]

Love your plays today.

Kiev have a new manager. I think they fired their current man yesterday or this week. Not sure.

I think this is a positive for their team. BOL.