Middle Tennessee vs Louisiana-Monroe 11/12/2011

[RXNewsbot]

AccuScore is forecasting a close game with Middle Tennessee winning 42% of simulations, and Louisiana-Monroe 58% of simulations. In close games, turnover margin is especially important. Middle Tennessee commits fewer turnovers in 38% of simulations and they go on to win 54% when they take care of the ball. Louisiana-Monroe wins 70% of the simulations in which they commit fewer turnovers. William Pratcher is averaging 49 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (23% chance) then he helps his team win 55%. Jyruss Edwards is averaging 57 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (36% chance) then he helps his team win 71%. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is LAMON -5.5

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