Michigan vs Nebraska 10/27/2012

[RXNewsbot]

AccuScore is forecasting a close game with Michigan winning 45% of simulations, and Nebraska 55% of simulations. In close games, turnover margin is especially important. Michigan commits fewer turnovers in 34% of simulations and they go on to win 59% when they take care of the ball. Nebraska wins 68% of the simulations in which they commit fewer turnovers. Denard Robinson is averaging 116 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (36% chance) then he helps his team win 57%. Rex Burkhead is averaging 95 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (33% chance) then he helps his team win 66%. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is NEB -2
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