Michigan vs Minnesota 11/3/2012

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Michigan is a heavy favorite winning 85% of simulations over Minnesota. Denard Robinson is averaging 194 passing yards and 1.72 TDs per simulation and Denard Robinson is projected for 122 rushing yards and a 73% chance of having at least 1 rushing TD. In the 15% of simulations where Minnesota wins, Philip Nelson averages 1.75 TD passes vs 0.76 interceptions, while in losses he has a ratio of 0.94 TDs to 1.06 interceptions. Donnell Kirkwood averages 64 rushing yards and 0.56 rushing TDs when Minnesota wins and 57 yards and 0.31 TDs in losses. Michigan has a 48% chance of forcing more turnovers than they commit. Positive turnover margin helps them win 92% of the time.
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